Download or read book Unemployment Hysteresis in the East Asia Pacific Region written by Fumitaka Furuoka and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study re-examined the unemployment hysteresis hypothesis in the context of twelve countries in the East Asia-Pacific region, namely Australia, China, Guam, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, and Thailand. It employed the multivariate augmented Dickey-Fuller test and the seemingly unrelated regression augmented Dickey-Fuller test for this purpose. The empirical results confirmed the presence of unemployment hysteresis in these countries, except in South Korea and New Zealand. The findings indicated that the equilibrium rate of unemployment in the East Asia-Pacific region tended to be path dependent and that cyclical fluctuations in these countries' economies could have permanent effects on the level of unemployment. These results provide additional empirical proof of the validity of the hysteresis hypothesis.
Download or read book A Note on Southeast Asian Hysteretic Unemployment written by Yoke-Kee Eng and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present paper attempts to examine if unemployment rates in Southeast Asia demonstrate hysteresis, and to find out the propagation mechanism at work. By using the standard Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, Schmidt and Phillips, and Lee and Strazicich LM unit root test respectively without and with structural breaks, we found that our sampled countries exhibit no hysteresis in unemployment rates, except for Singapore. With a dynamic optimizing model we inferred that hysteresis in unemployment can be induced by monetary policy. Given the weight on actual inflation stabilization, countries that implement policy feedback rule that assigns greater weight on output gap stabilization, in effect, respond to both actual and expected inflation rates. Such a policy stance that over emphasizes both actual and expected inflationary threats will lead to inflation persistence, which in turn, causes unemployment persistence as the real wage is unable to adjust to equilibrate the labor market. How policy is conducted, be it cold-turkey or gradualism approach, is also responsible for the existence of hysteretic unemployment.
Download or read book The First 100 Days of Covid 19 written by Aleksandar Stojanović and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-25 with total page 584 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a novel in-depth study of the early pandemic response policy at the intersection of political economy and law. It explores: (1) whether the responses to COVID-19 were democratically accountable; (2) the ways in which new surveillance and enforcement techniques were adopted; (3) the new monetary and fiscal policies which were implemented; (4) the ways in which employed and unemployed persons were differently impacted by the new policies; and (5) how companies were economically sustained through the pandemic. A compelling look at what happens to societies when disaster strikes, this book will be of interest to legal scholars, political scientists and economists.
Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
Download or read book World Bank East Asia and Pacific Economic Update October 2017 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2017-10-03 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The economic outlook for the developing EAP region remains positive, and will benefit from an improved external environment as well as strong domestic demand. The growth of regional GDP excluding China is forecast to accelerate in 2018, while China's GDP growth is expected to decline in 2018 and 2019, although remain higher than most countries in the region. Poverty is projected to continue its long-term decline. Major downside risks include financial sector vulnerabilities, large fiscal imbalances, and the possible escalation of geopolitical tensions. The improved outlook for global growth provides a window of opportunity for developing EAP to continue to reduce key vulnerabilities and strengthen the foundations for sustained and inclusive growth in the medium term. The region could also benefit from further developing tourism sectors and deepening of regional integration, to offset the emerging global protectionism. And policies to ensure inclusive growth should involve ensuring economic mobility and security for all, going beyond the primary focus on reducing poverty.
Download or read book Disability and Employment written by Fumitaka Furuoka and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Current Debates in Finance Econometrics written by Ozan Gönüllü and published by IJOPEC. This book was released on 2018 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the outcome of the seventh international congress, the papers in this volume cover a wide range of topics related to the main theme of the conference, titled “Current Debates in Social Sciences”, and basically focus on finance and econometrics. Even though most of the papers deal with the empirical analysis on finance, there are also studies on econometrics analysis. In this context, the articles in the book draw attention to the different aspects of finance and econometrics such as outlined banking sector studies, capital market analysis and case studies, the impact of the use of social media for financial purposes on financial literacy, discussion of the performance evaluation of Type A mutual funds in Turkey. The U-shape hypothesis validity in Turkey, validity of the hypothesis of unemployment hysteria in selected OECD countries. We believe that these studies would contribute to the development of debates in social sciences and encourage interdisciplinary approaches.
Download or read book Regional Economic Outlook October 2021 Middle East and Central Asia Trade Offs Today for Transformation Tomorrow written by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-19 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fragile recovery continues in the Middle East and Central Asia region. The region has made good progress since the beginning of the year, but new challenges have emerged. They include a pandemic wave in countries with weak vaccination progress and rising inflation, which has contributed to declining monetary policy space, adding to the difficulties posed by limited fiscal policy space. Additionally, divergent recoveries and concerns about economic scarring persist. Inequities are also on the rise, and countries will need to tackle the pandemic’s impact on debt, labor markets, and the corporate sector. Countries will face difficult tradeoffs amid this challenging environment as they continue to manage the current crisis. Ramping up vaccine acquisition and distribution remains the most urgent short-term priority. Additional support should be well targeted, and central banks may need to raise interest rates if inflation expectations start to increase. Improving policy frameworks will be important to reduce policy tradeoffs. Preparing for a new chapter by investing in a transformational recovery will be vital to the region’s future. Important priorities include reorienting the role of the state toward health, education, and social safety nets; leveraging global trends like digitalization; and investing in climate-resilient technology.
Download or read book Identifying the Main Drivers of Productivity Growth A Literature Review written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2022-11-07 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report represents the second outcome of the collaboration between the Asian Productivity Organization (APO) and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) to improve the measurement and analysis of productivity developments across APO and OECD member economies. The report discusses the potential impact of COVID-19 on productivity and examines the role of Multifactor Productivity (MFP) as a major driver of economic growth and changes in living standards.
Download or read book Explaining High Unemployment in ECCU Countries written by Ronald James and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-07-11 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, unemployment rates in some ECCU countries have been among the highest globally. This paper evaluates several factors that could explain them, finding that high unit labor costs, in a context of strong unionization, are significantly associated with high structural unemployment, while the global crisis added a cyclical component. Our analysis also suggests that high-paid jobs in the public and tourism sectors, which have been growing considerably in recent decades, could have increased the reservation wage and lowered labor force participation. We find no indication that high structural unemployment is related to the phase out of EU preferences on bananas/sugar exports or to a skills mismatch. As expected, unemployment has been substantially, but only temporarily fueled by large natural disasters.
Download or read book Accelerating Growth and Job Creation in South Asia written by Ejaz Ghani and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses issues affecting growth and employment in South Asia. It looks at the policies and institutions that could propel the region towards higher growth.
Download or read book The Global Social Crisis written by United Nations and published by UN. This book was released on 2011 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During 2008-2009, the world experienced its worst financial and economic crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s. The crisis followed the effects of the food and fuel price hikes in 2007 and 2008. In 2009, global output contracted by 2 per cent. This 2011 Report on the World Social Situation reviews the ongoing adverse social consequences of these crises after an overview of its causes and transmission.
Download or read book Towards Human Development written by Giovanni Andrea Cornia and published by . This book was released on 2014-04 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book advances thinking in the area of Human Development by analysing its relation with inequality and macro-economic policy. It presents a new framework for a pro-growth pro-Human Development macro-economics, including suggestions for the global management of technology and capital flows.
Download or read book Global Economic Prospects June 2021 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-08-03 with total page 339 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world economy is experiencing a very strong but uneven recovery, with many emerging market and developing economies facing obstacles to vaccination. The global outlook remains uncertain, with major risks around the path of the pandemic and the possibility of financial stress amid large debt loads. Policy makers face a difficult balancing act as they seek to nurture the recovery while safeguarding price stability and fiscal sustainability. A comprehensive set of policies will be required to promote a strong recovery that mitigates inequality and enhances environmental sustainability, ultimately putting economies on a path of green, resilient, and inclusive development. Prominent among the necessary policies are efforts to lower trade costs so that trade can once again become a robust engine of growth. This year marks the 30th anniversary of the Global Economic Prospects. The Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). Each edition includes analytical pieces on topical policy challenges faced by these economies.
Download or read book Australian national bibliography written by and published by National Library Australia. This book was released on 1961 with total page 1818 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Explaining Unemployment in Spain written by Mr.Jeffrey R. Franks and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-09-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Spain has the most serious and persistent unemployment problem in Europe, with an unemployment rate that reached 24.6 percent in early 1994. This paper explores the characteristics of this unemployment problem, its causes, and provides a brief discussion of recent labor market reform measures and their likely Impact. A demographic shift in recent years has produced a large rise in female labor force participation and a decrease in agricultural jobs to which the economy has been unable to adjust. The effects of generous unemployment benefits and the large underground economy may explain 6–12 percentage points of the resulting unemployment, but the remainder must be explained by failures and rigidities in the labor market. The paper presents econometric evidence that unemployment displays hysteresis, and that wages are not responsive to changes in the unemployment rate. This evidence supports the claim that insider-outsider factors and rigidities in the legal structure of the labor market are responsible for much of the high unemployment rate. Recent reforms have improved the functioning of the labor market, but they are unlikely to be sufficient to reduce unemployment to single digit rates without further action.
Download or read book Unemployment in Latin America and the Caribbean written by Laurence M. Ball and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-11-01 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: JEL Cl This study constructs a new data set on unemployment rates in Latin America and the Caribbean and then explores the determinants of unemployment. We compare different countries, finding that unemployment is influenced by the size of the rural population and that the effects of government regulations are generally weak. We also examine large, persistent increases in unemployment over time, finding that they are caused by contractions in aggregate demand. These demand contractions result from either disinflationary monetary policy or the defense of an exchange - rate peg in the face of capital flight. Our evidence supports hysteresis theories in which short - run changes in unemployment influence the natural rate.
