Download or read book Understanding the Effects of Government Spending on Consumption written by Board of Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2014-11-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent evidence on the effect of government spending shocks on consumption cannot be easily reconciled with existing optimizing business cycle models. We extend the standard New Keynesian model to allow for the presence of rule-of-thumb (non- Ricardian) consumers. We show how the interaction of the latter with sticky prices and deficit financing can account for the existing evidence on the effects of government spending.

Download or read book Understanding the Effects of Government Spending on Consumption written by Jordi Galí and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent evidence suggests that consumption rises in response to an increase in government spending. That finding cannot be easily reconciled with existing optimizing business cycle models. We extend the standard new Keynesian model to allow for the presence of rule-of-thumb consumers. We show how the interaction of the latter with sticky prices and deficit financing can account for the existing evidence on the effects of government spending.

Download or read book Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis written by Alberto Alesina and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-06-25 with total page 596 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent recession has brought fiscal policy back to the forefront, with economists and policy makers struggling to reach a consensus on highly political issues like tax rates and government spending. At the heart of the debate are fiscal multipliers, whose size and sensitivity determine the power of such policies to influence economic growth. Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis focuses on the effects of fiscal stimuli and increased government spending, with contributions that consider the measurement of the multiplier effect and its size. In the face of uncertainty over the sustainability of recent economic policies, further contributions to this volume discuss the merits of alternate means of debt reduction through decreased government spending or increased taxes. A final section examines how the short-term political forces driving fiscal policy might be balanced with aspects of the long-term planning governing monetary policy. A direct intervention in timely debates, Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis offers invaluable insights about various responses to the recent financial crisis.

Download or read book International Finance Discussion Papers written by Jordi Gali and published by Scholar's Choice. This book was released on 2015-02-16 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.

Download or read book Government Spending and Consumption Hours Preferences written by and published by "la Caixa". This book was released on with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Understanding the Effects of Fiscal Policy written by Gillian Brunet and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A key question in macroeconomics is the government's ability to stimulate economic activity through expansionary fiscal policy. How much economic activity results when the government increases spending by one dollar, and how does the economic and institutional context affect the answer to that question? This dissertation uses a variety of empirical techniques to explore aspects of this question using historical data on U.S. military spending. In chapter one I use state-level variation in war production spending to measure the fiscal multiplier during World War II, and examine how features of the wartime economy influenced the size of the fiscal multiplier. Chapter two focuses on how the measurement of government spending influences the estimated size of the multiplier. I introduce a new time series measure of aggregate defense spending. In chapter three I return to World War II, but this time examine the effects of wartime military spending on the post-war economy, establishing causal evidence for its role in driving the immediate post-war boom. In chapter one I use war production spending to quantify the idiosyncratic factors affecting estimates of the fiscal multiplier during World War II. World War II is often viewed as a quintessential example of government spending stimulating the economy, and is interesting both because it was such a significant economic event and because it strongly influences estimates of the multiplier whenever it is included in the sample. Newly digitized war supply contract data allow me to construct state-level panel data on U.S. spending for 1940-45 and examine state-level outcomes. Using state-level variation I estimate a relative multiplier of 0.25 to 0.3, depending on the estimation approach. This implies an aggregate multiplier of roughly 0.3 to 0.4 given wartime economic conditions. I find small employment effects: an additional job-year is associated with $165,000 to $255,000 of spending (in 2015 dollars), also depending on the estimation approach. I also find evidence that the effects of stimulus were systematically larger in states that had lower employment levels pre-war. To explain why the stimulative effects of war spending were so small, I look for guidance from the historical narrative. I show that unique features of the wartime economy significantly reduced the stimulative impact of wartime spending. Conversion from civilian manufacturing to war production reduced the initial stimulus from war production. At least 75 percent of the income generated by war spending went into increased saving and income taxes, implying that the add-on effects from increased consumption were minimal in the short run. Chapter two focuses on how the measurement of government spending influences the estimated fiscal multiplier. Economists have previously focused on measuring shocks to expectations rather than the measurement of government spending itself. My approach is driven by the observation that government spending is a long and complex process. Specifically, I introduce an alternative measure of government spending, called budget authority, which uses authorizations to measure the government's commitment to spend. Budget authority is established annually as part of the congressional budget process, and is readily available from 1976 onward. I use historical budget publications to construct defense budget authority for 1938 to 1975, extending the available data backwards by several crucial decades. Using annualized data (for purposes of comparison) to estimate the aggregate fiscal multiplier using shocks to defense spending, budget authority produces similar point estimates to the traditional NIPA measure, but much more precisely estimated. Budget authority is conceptually different from the best-known measure of shocks to anticipated defense spending, Ramey's narrative measure, particularly in how it measures shocks to expectations and how it treats uncertainty. Budget authority implies an aggregate fiscal multiplier of 0.8, while Ramey's narrative measure implies a much smaller fiscal multiplier, around 0.1. Budget authority shows consumption responses to spending more clearly than other available measures, and also picks up strong investment responses over a one-year time horizon. Ramey's narrative measure shows significant investment responses over all time horizons up to three years. While shocks to all three measures predict strong responses in total government spending, it appears that both budget authority and Ramey's measure understate the response of government spending due to timing differences between those measures and NIPA. The definition of spending mostly closely aligned to national accounting is subtly different from the definition that is most relevant for measuring the stimulative effect of government spending. Thus using the NIPA definition of spending creates a downward bias in measuring the fiscal multiplier. A fourth measure of spending, budget outlays, allows me to estimate a lower bound for the magnitude of this bias. When this bias is corrected, budget authority implies an aggregate fiscal multiplier of 1.3 to 1.4, and potentially as large as 1.4 to 1.6. Chapter three examines the influence of World War II spending in the U.S. on household consumption and savings in the immediate post-war years (1946-1949). Chapter three uses geographic variation in war spending to measure the effects of World War II spending on household consumption and savings behavior after the war ended and rationing was relaxed. I find that compared to households in locations receiving less war spending, similar households in locations which received more war spending were significantly more likely to purchase both cars and houses in the immediate post-war years. These households also had higher liquid asset holdings and, conversely, higher total debt. With the exception of debt, all of these effects were stronger for households headed by an individual age 45-64, which was the age cohort most likely to have worked in war production.

Download or read book the effects of government spending on private consumption theory and evidence written by roger c. kormendi and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Government Spending Effects in Low income Countries written by Ms.Wenyi Shen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-12-30 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite the voluminous literature on fiscal policy, very few papers focus on low-income countries (LICs). This paper develops a new-Keynesian small open economy model to show, analytically and through simulations, that some of the prevalent features of LICs—different types of financing including aid, the marginal efficiency of public investment, and the degree of home bias—play a key role in determining the effects of fiscal policy and related multipliers in these countries. External financing like aid increases the resource envelope of the economy, mitigating the private sector crowding out effects of government spending and pushing up the output multiplier. The same external financing, however, tends to appreciate the real exchange rate and as a result, traded output can respond quite negatively, reducing the overall output multiplier. Although capital scarcity implies high returns to public capital in LICs, declines in public investment efficiency can substantially dampen the output multiplier. Since LICs often import substantial amounts of goods, public investment may not be as effective in stimulating domestic production in the short run.

Download or read book Evaluating Changes in the Transmission Mechanism of Government Spending Shocks written by Mr.Nooman Rebei and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-03-13 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We empirically revisit the crowding-in effect of government spending on private consumption based on rolling windows of U.S. data. Results show that in earlier samples government spending is increasingly crowding in private consumption; however, this relation is reverted in the latest periods. We propose a model embedding non-separable public and private consumption in the utility function and rule-of-thumb consumers to assess the sources of non-monotonic changes in the transmission of the shock. The iterative full information estimation of the model reveals that changes in the co-movement between private and public spending is primarily driven by the fluctuations in the elasticity of substitution between private and public consumption, the share of financially constrained consumers, and the elasticity of intertemporal substitution.

Download or read book The households effects of government consumption written by Francesco Giavazzi and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides new evidence on the effects of fiscal policy by studying, using household-level data, how households respond to shifts in government spending. Our identification strategy allows us to control for time-specific aggregate effects, such as the stance of monetary policy or the U.S.-wide business cycle. However, it potentially prevents us from estimating the wealth effects associated with a shift in spending. We find significant heterogeneity in households' response to a spending shock; the effects appear vary over time depending, among other factors, on the state of business cycle and, at a lower frequency, on the composition of employment (such as the share of workers in part-time jobs). Shifts in spending could also have important distributional effects that are lost when estimating an aggregate multiplier. Heads of households working relatively few (weekly) hours, for instance, suffer from a spending shock of the type we analyzed: their consumption falls, their hours increase and their real wages fall.

Download or read book The International Effects of Government Spending Composition written by Giovanni Ganelli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper helps resolve a paradox in the literature, noticed by Alesina and Perotti (1995), which is that, although government employment is an important component of public spending, the debate on the effects of fiscal policy focuses almost exclusively on shocks to non-wage government consumption. We incorporate the distinction between spending for government employment and spending for non-wage government consumption in a "new open economy macroeconomics" model. Our results show that a permanent reduction in public employment in one country reduces relative private consumption and appreciates the domestic exchange rate if it is matched by a reduction in taxes. When the reduction in public employment is used to finance increased non-wage government consumption, the macroeconomic effects results are ambiguous, and are affected by the initial level of the public wage bill.

Download or read book The Effects of Government Spending on Saving and Investment in an Open Economy written by Jane Marrinan and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Explaining the Effects of Government Spending Shocks on Consumption and the Real Exchange Rate written by Morten O. Ravn and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using structural VAR analysis, we document that in a panel of industrialized countries, an increase in government purchases leads to an expansion in output and private consumption, a deterioration in the trade balance, and a depreciation of the real exchange rate (i.e., a decrease in the domestic CPI relative to the exchange-rate adjusted foreign CPI). We propose an explanation for these observed effects based on the deep habit mechanism. We estimate the key parameters of the deep-habit model employing a limited information approach. The predictions of the estimated deep-habit model fit remarkably well the observed responses of output, consumption, the trade balance, and the real exchange rate to an unanticipated government spending shock. In addition, the deep-habit model predicts that in response to an anticipated increase in government spending consumption and wages fail to increase on impact, which is consistent with the empirical evidence stemming from the narrative identification approach. In this way, the deep-habit model reconciles the findings of the SVAR and narrative literatures on the effects of government spending shocks.

Download or read book International Evidence on Employment Output and Consumption Effects of Government Spending written by Georgios Karras and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Adverse Effects of Government Spending on Private Consumption in New Keynesian Models written by Stefan Kühn and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Effects of Government Spending on the Distribution of Consumption written by Giacomo De Giorgi and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity written by Richard Hemming and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-12 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.