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Book On the Relationship Between the Length of Season and Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North Atlantic Basin During the Weather Satellite Era  1960 2013

Download or read book On the Relationship Between the Length of Season and Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North Atlantic Basin During the Weather Satellite Era 1960 2013 written by Robert M. Wilson and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Statistical Aspects of North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones During the Weather Satellite Era  1960 2013

Download or read book Statistical Aspects of North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones During the Weather Satellite Era 1960 2013 written by National Aeronaut Administration (Nasa) and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2020-08-21 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A tropical cyclone is described as a warm-core, nonfrontal, synoptic-scale system that originates over tropical or subtropical waters, having organized deep convection and closed surface wind circulation (counterclockwise in the Northern Hemisphere) about a well defined center. When its sustained wind speed equals 34-63 kt, it is called a tropical (or subtropical) storm and is given a name (i.e., alternating male and female names, beginning in 1979); when its sustained wind speed equals 64-95 kt, it is called a hurricane (at least in the Eastern Pacific and North Atlantic basin); and when its sustained wind speed equals 96 kt or higher, it is called an intense or major hurricane (i.e., categories 3-5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). Although tropical cyclones have been reported and described since the voyages of Columbus, a detailed record of their occurrences extends only from 1851 to the present, with the most reliable portion extending only from about 1945 to the present, owing to the use of near-continuous routine reconnaissance aircraft monitoring flights and the use of satellite imagery (beginning in 1960; see Davis). Even so, the record may still be incomplete, possibly missing at least one tropical cyclone per yearly hurricane season, especially prior to the use of continuous satellite monitoring. In fact, often an unnamed tropical cyclone is included in the year-end listing of events at the conclusion of the season, following post-season analysis (e.g., as happened in 2011 and 2013, each having one unnamed event). In this two-part Technical Publication (TP), statistical aspects of the North Atlantic basin tropical cyclones are examined for the interval 1960-2013, the weather satellite era. Part 1 examines some 25 parameters of tropical cyclones (e.g., frequencies, peak wind speed (PWS), accumulated cyclone energy (ACE), etc.), while part 2 examines the relationship of these parameters against specific climate-related factors. These studies are a continuation of nearly two decades of previous tropical cyclone-related investigations. Wilson, Robert M. Marshall Space Flight Center NASA/TP-2014-218196, M-1385

Book Statistical Aspects of North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones During the Weather Satellite Era  1960 2013

Download or read book Statistical Aspects of North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones During the Weather Satellite Era 1960 2013 written by National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2018-05-23 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Technical Publication (TP) is part 2 of a two-part study of the North Atlantic basin tropical cyclones that occurred during the weather satellite era, 1960-2013. In particular, this TP examines the inferred statistical relationships between 25 tropical cyclone parameters and 9 specific climate-related factors, including the (1) Oceanic Niño Index (ONI), (2) Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), (3) Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) index, (4) Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) index, (5) North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index of the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), (6) NAO index of the Climate Research Unit (CRU), (7) Armagh surface air temperature (ASAT), (8) Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index (GLOTI), and (9) Mauna Loa carbon dioxide (CO2) (MLCO2) index. Part 1 of this two-part study examined the statistical aspects of the 25 tropical cyclone parameters (e.g., frequencies, peak wind speed (PWS), accumulated cyclone energy (ACE), etc.) and provided the results of statistical testing (i.e., runs-testing, the t-statistic for independent samples, and Poisson distributions). Also, the study gave predictions for the frequencies of the number of tropical cyclones (NTC), number of hurricanes (NH), number of major hurricanes (NMH), and number of United States land-falling hurricanes (NUSLFH) expected for the 2014 season, based on the statistics of the overall interval 1960-2013, the subinterval 1995-2013, and whether the year 2014 would be either an El Niño year (ENY) or a non-El Niño year (NENY). Wilson, Robert M. Marshall Space Flight Center TROPICAL STORMS; ATLANTIC OCEAN; CLIMATE; NORTHERN HEMISPHERE; SATELLITE IMAGERY; METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS; CYCLONES; OCEAN TEMPERATURE; SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; SURFACE TEMPERATURE; IN SITU MEASUREMENT

Book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean written by George W. Cry and published by . This book was released on 1965 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean  1871 1992

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean 1871 1992 written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean  1851 2006

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean 1851 2006 written by Colin McAdie and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book An Estimate of the North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for the 2010 Hurricane Season

Download or read book An Estimate of the North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for the 2010 Hurricane Season written by National Aeronautics and Space Adm Nasa and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2019-01-14 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimates are presented for the tropical cyclone activity expected for the 2010 North Atlantic basin hurricane season. It is anticipated that the 2010 season will be more active than the 2009 season, reflecting increased frequencies more akin to that of the current more active phase that has been in vogue since 1995. Averages (+/- 1 sd) during the current more active phase are 14.5+/-4.7, 7.8+/-3.2, 3.7+/-1.8, and 2+/- 2, respectively, for the number of tropical cyclones (NTC), the number of hurricanes (NH), the number of major hurricanes (NMH), and the number of United States (U.S.) land-falling hurricanes (NUSLFH). Based on the "usual" behavior of the 10-yma parametric first differences, one expects NTC = 19+/-2, NH = 14+/-2, NMH = 7+/-2, and NUSLFH = 4+/-2 for the 2010 hurricane season; however, based on the "best guess" 10-yma values of surface-air temperature at the Armagh Observatory (Northern Ireland) and the Oceanic Nino Index, one expects NTC > or equals 16, NH > or equals 14, NMH > or equals 7, and NUSLFH > or equals 6. NASA/TP-2010-216429, M-1278 Wilson, Robert M. Marshall Space Flight Center

Book On the Current Trend of Tropical Cyclone Activity and the Lengthening of the Tropical Cyclone Season in the North Atlantic Basin

Download or read book On the Current Trend of Tropical Cyclone Activity and the Lengthening of the Tropical Cyclone Season in the North Atlantic Basin written by National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2018-05-23 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this TP, the trend in North Atlantic basin TC activity, especially as related to the determination of the length of season (LOS) and its possible association with warming surface-air and sea-surface temperature, is revisited. In particular, examined are: (1) the trend in TC activity for the yearly intervals 1945-1965, 1966-1994, and 1995-2012 for TCs having duration NSD greater or equal to 0.25 day, less than 2 days, greater than or equal to 2 days, greater than or equal to 4 days, and greater than or equal to 8 days; (2) the latitudinal and longitudinal genesis locations of the short-lived TC (defined herein as those TCs having duration NSD less than 2 days) for the three yearly intervals; (3) the first storm day (FSD), last storm day (LSD), and LOS based on TCs having duration NSD greater than or equal to 0.25 day and NSD greater than or equal to 2 days; (4) the relationship between FSD, LSD, and LOS for TCs having duration NSD greater than or equal to 0.25 day and NSD greater than or equal to 2 days; (5) the surface-air and sea-surface temperature, wind, and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) during the interval 1945-2012; (6) the relationship of FSD, LSD, and LOS against surface-air and sea-surface temperature, wind, and the NAO; (7) the relationship of TC activity against surface-air and sea-surface temperature, wind, and the NAO; and (8) the relationship of TC activity against FSD and LOS. This TP represents an update to an earlier study by Wilson concerning the length of the yearly hurricane season. Wilson, Robert M. Marshall Space Flight Center TROPICAL STORMS; CYCLONES; ATLANTIC OCEAN; TRENDS; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE

Book Climatology of 24 hour North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Movements

Download or read book Climatology of 24 hour North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Movements written by George W. Cry and published by . This book was released on 1961 with total page 936 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean  1871 1980

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean 1871 1980 written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book An Extended Forecast of the Frequencies of North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for 2009

Download or read book An Extended Forecast of the Frequencies of North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for 2009 written by National Aeronaut Administration (Nasa) and published by . This book was released on 2020-08-07 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An extended forecast of the frequencies for the 2009 North Atlantic basin hurricane season is presented. Continued increased activity during the 2009 season with numbers of tropical cyclones, hurricanes, and major hurricanes exceeding long-term averages are indicated. Poisson statistics for the combined high-activity intervals (1950-1965 and 1995-2008) give the central 50% intervals to be 9-14, 5-8, and 2-4, respectively, for the number of tropical cyclones, hurricanes, and major hurricanes, with a 23.4% chance of exceeding 14 tropical cyclones, a 28% chance of exceeding 8 hurricanes, and a 31.9% chance of exceeding 4 major hurricanes. Based strictly on the statistics of the current high-activity interval (1995-2008), the central 50% intervals for the numbers of tropical cyclones, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12-18, 6-10, and 3-5, respectively, with only a 5% chance of exceeding 23, 13, or 7 storms, respectively. Also examined are the first differences in 10-yr moving averages and the effects of global warming and decadal-length oscillations on the frequencies of occurrence for North Atlantic basin tropical cyclones. In particular, temperature now appears to be the principal driver of increased activity and storm strength during the current high-activity interval, with near-record values possible during the 2009 season. Wilson, Robert M. Marshall Space Flight Center NASA/TP-2009-215741, M-1253 TROPICAL STORMS; CYCLONES; HURRICANES; FORECASTING; EL NINO; GLOBAL WARMING; STORMS; PERIODIC VARIATIONS; ATLANTIC OCEAN; OSCILLATIONS

Book The Use of Satellite Imagery in Tropical Cyclone Analysis

Download or read book The Use of Satellite Imagery in Tropical Cyclone Analysis written by World Meteorological Organization and published by Bernan Press(PA). This book was released on 1977 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean  1871 1986

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean 1871 1986 written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean  1871 1992

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean 1871 1992 written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: