Download or read book Treasury Yields and Corporate Bond Yield Spreads written by Gregory R. Duffee and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically examines the relation between the Treasury term structure and spreads of investment grade corporate bond yields over Treasuries. I find that noncallable bond yield spreads fall when the level of the Treasury term structure rises. The extent of this decline depends on the initial credit quality of the bond; the decline is small for Aaa-rated bonds and large for Baa-rated bonds. The role of the business cycle in generating this pattern is explored, as is the link between yield spreads and default risk. I also argue that yield spreads based on commonly-used bond yield indexes are contaminated in two important ways. The first is that they are quot;refreshedquot; indexes, which hold credit ratings constant over time; the second is that they usually are constructed with both callable and noncallable bonds. The impact of both of these problems is examined.
Download or read book Finance and Economics Discussion Series written by Gregory R. Duffee and published by . This book was released on 2015-02-16 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Download or read book On Estimating the Relation between Corporate Bond Yield Spreads and Treasury Yields written by Gady Jacoby and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a simple theoretical framework, we issue two warnings with respect to the estimation of the yield spread - riskless rate relation. The first warning relates to Longsta and Schwartz's regression analysis applied to relative yield spreads. The second warning is closely related to Duffee's (1998) caution against interpreting results of yield-spread studies based on data sets, such as that used by Longstaand Schwartz (1995), consisting primarily of callable bonds. We provide strong support for both warnings using a data base of Canadian, investment grade, corporate bond indices containing a unique provision allowing to identify callable and noncallable indices.
Download or read book Corporate Bond Yield Spreads and the Term Structure written by Ronald W. Anderson and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Corporate Bond Risk and Real Activity written by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2001-10-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper finds that the yield spread of investment-grade bonds relative to Treasuries, a proxy of default risk, predicts marginal changes in industrial production in the United States up to 12 months in the future, even upon controlling for a commonly used predictor such as the commercial paper spread. The paper also finds that systematic risk factors associated with the yield spread of investment-grade bonds to a variety of risk-free benchmarks - Treasuries, agency bonds, and AAA-rated bonds - have significant predictive content for future growth rate of industrial production at 3 to 18 months forecasting horizon, both in- and out-of-sample. Finally, a regime-switching estimation shows that the systematic risk component is also able to capture "industrial production business cycle" well.
Download or read book Liquidity and Yield Spreads of Corporate Bonds written by Sergei Ivanovich Tishchenko and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Corporate bond bid-ask spreads explain 40 percent of the temporal variation in yield spreads when daily individual bond data are used. Other known yield spread determinants such as the level and slope of the treasury yield curve, aggregate equity returns and implied volatility jointly explain only 10 percent of the yield spread variation. On average, approximately 60 percent of the bid-ask spread is impounded in the corporate yield spread. The estimates of the yield spread sensitivity to bid-ask spread changes are remarkably stable across bonds with different Standard & Poor's credit grades ranging from AAA to CC. This evidence supports the view that corporate bond liquidity is an important yield spread determinant.
Download or read book Effects of Liquidity on the Nondefault Component of Corporate Yield Spreads written by Song Han and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Investing in Corporate Bonds and Credit Risk written by F. Hagenstein and published by Springer. This book was released on 2004-10-01 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investing in Corporate Bonds and Credit Risk is a valuable tool for any corporate bond investor. All the most recent developments and strategies in investment in corporate bonds are analyzed included with qualitative and quantitative approaches. A complete and up-to-date investment process is developed through the book, using many examples taken from banking practice. The growing significance of derivative instruments and credit diversification to bond investors is also analyzed in detail.
Download or read book Macro Factors in the Term Structure of Credit Spreads written by Jeffery D. Amato and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate arbitrage-free term structure models of US Treasury yields and spreads on BBB and B rated corporate bonds in a doubly-stochastic intensity-based framework. A novel feature of our analysis is the inclusion of macroeconomic variables -- indicators of real activity, inflation and financial conditions -- as well as latent factors, as drivers of term structure dynamics. Our results point to three key roles played by macro factors in the term structure of spreads: they have a significant impact on the level, and particularly the slope, of the curves; they are largely responsible for variation in the prices of systematic risk; and speculative grade spreads exhibit greater sensitivity to macro shocks than high grade spreads. In addition to estimating risk-neutral default intensities, we provide estimates of physical default intensities using data on Moody's KMV EDFs as a forward--looking proxy for default risk. We find that the real and financial activity indicators, along with filtered estimates of the latent factors from our term structure model, explain a large portion of the variation in EDFs across time. Furthermore, measures of the price of default event risk implied by estimates of physical and risk-neutral intensities indicate that compensation for default event risk is countercyclical, varies widely across the cycle, and is higher on average and more variable for higher-rated bonds.
Download or read book Macro Factors in Corporate Bond Credit and Liquidity Spreads written by Biao Guo and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the macroeconomic determinants of the term structures of Treasury yields, corporate bond credit spreads, and corporate bond liquidity spreads in a unified no-arbitrage framework. Four economic factors, monetary conditions, inflation, real output, and financial market volatility, are extracted from a set of macroeconomic and financial data series. During the pre-crisis period, volatility shocks decrease Treasury yields and widen both credit spreads and liquidity spreads for all rating classes, and credit spreads widen as monetary conditions tighten, but the effects of inflation and real output are insignificant. In times of stress, financial market volatility has a similar impact and the impacts of inflation and real output become significant as well. Ignoring the liquidity component of corporate yield spreads is shown to lead to inaccurate estimation of the impacts of economic factors on corporate credit spreads. The paper also provides evidence of ”flight-to-liquidity” behavior which strengthens in bad times and sheds light on the negative correlation between the risk-free rate and corporate yield spreads as well as on the positive correlation between credit spreads and liquidity spreads.
Download or read book Latent Liquidity and Corporate Bond Yield Spreads written by Amrut J. Nashikkar and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent research has shown that default risk accounts for only a part of the total yield spread on risky corporate bonds relative to their riskless benchmarks. One candidate for the unexplained portion of the spread is a premium for the illiquidity in the corporate bond market. We investigate this issue byrelating the liquidity of corporate bonds, as measured by their ease of market access, to the non-default component of their respective corporate bond yields using the portfolio holdings database of the largest custodian in the market. The ease of access of a bond is measured using a recently developed measurecalled latent liquidity that weights the turnover of funds holding the bond by their fractional holdings of the bond. We use the credit default swap (CDS) prices of the bond issuer to control for the credit risk of a bond. At an aggregate level, we find a contemporaneous relationship between aggregate latent liquidity and the average non-default component in corporate bond yields. Additionally, for individualbonds, we find that bonds with higher latent liquidity have a lower non-default component of their yield spread. We also document that bonds that are held by funds that exhibit greater buying activity command lower spreads (i.e., are more expensive), while the opposite is true for those that exhibitgreater selling activity. We also find that the liquidity in the CDS market has an impact on bond pricing, over and above bond-specific liquidity effects.
Download or read book Corporate Bond Yield Spreads in Recent Decades written by Douglas J. Lamdin and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Corporate bond interest rates are a subject of concern to investment analysts, corporate financial managers, and scholars. In this article the yield spreads between corporate bonds and government bonds, and between differing quality corporate bonds is examined during recent decades. Also, the relationship between yield spreads and stock market movements is examined. Yield spreads vary considerably over this period, and have varying trends. Causality tests show that stock market movements precede changes in yield spreads.
Download or read book The Demand for Treasury Debt written by Arvind Krishnamurthy and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that the US Debt/GDP ratio is negatively correlated with the spread between corporate bond yields and Treasury bond yields. The result holds even when controlling for the default risk on corporate bonds. We argue that the corporate bond spread reflects a convenience yield that investors attribute to Treasury debt. Changes in the supply of Treasury debt trace out the demand for convenience by investors. We show that the aggregate demand curve for the convenience provided by Treasury debt is downward sloping and provide estimates of the elasticity of demand. We analyze disaggregated data from the Flow of Funds Accounts of the Federal Reserve and show that individual groups of Treasury holders also have downward sloping demand curves. Even groups with the most elastic demand curves have demand curves that are far from flat. The results have bearing for important questions in finance and macroeconomics. We discuss implications for the behavior of corporate bond spreads, interest rate swap spreads, the riskless interest rate, and the value of aggregate liquidity. We also discuss the implications of our results for the financing of the US deficit, Ricardian equivalence, and the effects of foreign central bank demand on Treasury yields.
Download or read book Understanding Chinese Bond Yields and their Role in Monetary Policy written by Mr.Nuno Cassola and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-09-01 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China's financial prices are informative enough for the PBC to introduce a monetary policy framework centered around interest rates. While bond yields are not fully efficient?reflecting regulation, liquidity, and segmentation?we find they contain considerable information about the state of the economy as well as evidence of an emerging transmission channel: changes in PBC rates influence the structure of Treasury, financial, and corporate bond yield curves, which are then associated with changes in growth and inflation. Coporate spreads are also a leading indicator of growth and inflation. While further liberalization will strengthen both efficiency and transmission, several necessary elements to move towards indirect monetary policy are already in place.
Download or read book Guides to Profitable Bond Selection written by Sidney Homer and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Behavior of Interest Rates written by Joseph W. Conard and published by . This book was released on 1966 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Long Run Credit Risk Diversification written by David S. Sun and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Following the reduced-form models of Duffee (1999) and Jarrow, Lando and Yu (2005), this study investigates the risk diversification issue of corporate bond portfolios. Considering especially long run market behavior, our empirical decomposition of corporate bond yield spreads indicates that the idiosyncratic component serves as a good vehicle for risk diversification. Moreover, the idiosyncratic spread provides significant inferences about observed conditional corporate bond default rate, while full spread does not. Applying an affine model from Duffie and Singleton (1999), we find that the idiosyncratic credit spreads do not respond empirically to Treasury yields, unlike what is suggested in the structural model of Longstaff and Schwartz (1995) and literatures that follow. Systematic credit spreads are however positively related to Treasury yields in the long-run, but negatively so in the short run, suggesting the validity of both the tax and the option hypotheses. A long-run and optimal decomposition scheme yields an idiosyncratic credit spread measure at a median of 60 b.p.
