Download or read book Trade Patterns and Exchange Rates in East Asia written by Mizanur Rahman and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper shows that East Asian trade pattern exhibits a dynamic shift in the regional value chain. Several developing Asian economies including China notably gained comparative advantage in the production and exporting of medium-and-high technology products. Japan and the NIEs further deepened their intra-regional comparative advantage across product lines. Nonetheless, the region significantly depends on final demands from the Americas and Europe. The build-up of an unsustainable payment imbalance in the US was substantially mirrored in the reserve accumulation by East Asian countries. Given that a disorderly unwinding of the imbalance is in progress amid the global financial crisis and a fear of prolonged recession, the present study examines how real exchange rate changes and a shift in relative demand will affect exports from the East Asian countries. The findings show that both the real exchange rate change and a shift in relative foreign income would significantly reduce exports from East Asia. The findings further show that with the value chain becoming increasingly fragmented along the production network, changes in the intra-regional exchange rates significantly affect their exports but in an asymmetric way. The implication is that the production network has called for a greater symmetry in their intra-regional real exchange rates. An arrangement whereby East Asian exchange rates converge to relative stability within the region but greater flexibility against others (particularly the US dollar and Euro) would itself be a mechanism for international adjustment.

Download or read book Trade Patterns and Exchange Rates in East Asia written by Mizanur Rahman and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2012-06-30 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In his Testimony on June 23 2005 before the U.S. Senate Committee on Finance, Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, remarked, "The enhanced integration of China into the world trading system is having notable effect on Asia's trade with the rest of the world and on trade within Asia. After having risen rapidly through the 1990s, U.S. imports from Asia excluding China have flattened since 2000. This has occurred as production within Asia has evolved, with the final stages of assembly and exporting to the United States and elsewhere becoming increasingly concentrated in China." The phenomenon is called East Asian production networks whereby production processes are fragmented across national borders in the region. This development is undeniably related to the global imbalance problem. Several studies showed that the build-up of an unsustainable payment imbalance in the U.S. was substantially mirrored in the reserve accumulation by East Asian countries including China notably. These studies predicted that unless "coordination and shared responsibility" led to a gradual adjustment of it, the world economy would move toward a major crisis. Some authors even predicted an imminent collapse of the U.S. dollar, and a global financial meltdown. A global financial crisis indeed began in 2008. The crisis has accompanied a prolonged economic slowdown across the developed and developing world. An unwinding of the imbalance has progressed but in a disorderly way. The moral of this research is that real exchange rate changes and redistribution of world expenditures will continue to play key role in the process of international adjustment. However, our focus would be on how it would affect East Asian exports within the region and between East Asia and the rest of the world. We apply an empirical framework that essentially incorporates the fact that production within Asia has evolved. The consideration has an important implication. It is that exports by country are recorded on a gross basis rather than as value added and therefore the domestic value added is only a part of the gross value of the exports. An appreciation by the exporting country per se will affect only the domestic value added but not the gross value. But a joint appreciation of countries supplying intermediate goods will increase the dollar cost of intermediate goods imported into the exporting country from the rest of Asia, which represents a significant share of the gross value. This was the conjecture of Alan Greenspan. He argued that such a coordinated exchange appreciation would have larger effect on East Asian exports. In fact, East Asian exchange rates are now on a path of real appreciation but in an environment of no explicit coordination. The question is how changes in intra-regional real exchange rates will affect trade along the production networks and final exports from East Asia to the world. This study defines two channels of this effect. The first is the production linkage effect through fragmented value chain and the other is the competitive effect. A real appreciation of one East Asian country against the others will imply an adverse competitiveness effect but a favorable linkage effect. We further examine in this research the evolving trade patterns of East Asian countries. We do it by analyzing composition as well as comparative advantage of East Asian exports by stages of production and across geographic locations. The purpose is to see how production specialization has evolved across the core and peripheral countries within the region. We conduct the analyses for all East Asian countries and over 1985-2008 period. They include Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan comprising the core region and China and seven ASEAN countries comprising the peripheral region. The ASEAN countries are Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Viet Nam.

Download or read book International Trade in East Asia written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 431 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The practice of trading across international borders has undergone a series of changes with great consequences for the world trading community, the result of new trade agreements, a number of financial crises, the emergence of the World Trade Organization, and countless other less obvious developments. In International Trade in East Asia, a group of esteemed contributors provides a summary of empirical factors of international trade specifically as they pertain to East Asian countries such as China, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan. Comprised of twelve fascinating studies, International Trade in East Asia highlights many of the trading practices between countries within the region as well as outside of it. The contributors bring into focus some of the region's endemic and external barriers to international trade and discuss strategies for improving productivity and fostering trade relationships. Studies on some of the factors that drive exports, the influence of research and development, the effects of foreign investment, and the ramifications of different types of protectionism will particularly resonate with the financial and economic communities who are trying to keep pace with this dramatically altered landscape.

Download or read book An Analysis of Trade Patterns in East Asia and the Effects of the Real Exchange Rate Movements written by Moon Jung Choi and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates how patterns of vertical specialization in trade among the three major East Asian economies -- China, Japan and Korea -- are shaped, and what the effects of the real exchange rate fluctuations on trade volumes are. We develop a simple two-country model that focuses on the multistage production process, and apply TimeVarying Parameter (TVP) VAR to the countries' bilateral trade data. From our theoretical model, we find two distinct features of vertical specialization where multistage production processes occur: one is that, when a multistage production process exists, an increase in final demand in one country causes both countries' intermediate goods exports to expand; the other is that, if a multistage production process exists in the production of one country's final goods, then real depreciation of the currency in the other country has an amplified effect through the circulating trade chain. In the following empirical analysis, we first find that a multistage production process is prominent in the production of China's final consumption goods. Another finding is that the existence of a multistage production process across two countries, especially Korea and China, strengthens the effect of the real exchange rate on intermediate goods trades through the amplified effect that the theoretical model predicts.

Download or read book Trade Patterns and Global Value Chains in East Asia written by World Trade Organization and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book International Production Sharing and Exchange Rates of Asian Countries written by United Nations Publications and published by UN. This book was released on 2016-05-25 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent years has seen a sharp increase in the trade of intermediate goods between ASEAN countries and China, reflecting the emergence of China as a regional 'assembly centre' and sourcing the bulk of parts and components from countries in South-East and North-East Asia in the production of final goods for export to the United States and the European Union. This expansion of trade in intermediates is closely linked to the spread of international production networks (IPNs) in Asia. The expansion raises important new analytical and policy challenges generating rapidly growing literature. This study focuses on how new patterns of production and trade influence the effects of exchange rates on international trade flows of manufactured goods, and draws attention to several ways in which IPNs have altered the nature of international production and trade

Download or read book Proposed Strategy for a Regional Exchange Rate Arrangement in Post crisis East Asia written by Masahiro Kawai and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2000 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A coordinated action by East Asian countries to stabilize their currencies against a common basket of major currencies (broadly representative of their average structure of trade and foreign direct investment) would help stabilize both intraregional exchange rates and effective exchange rates, in a way consistent with the medium-term objective of promoting trade investment and growth in the region.

Download or read book Exchange Rates Under the East Asian Dollar Standard written by Ronald I. McKinnon and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The policy dilemmas inherent in using the US dollar as the key currency for stabilizing exchange rates in East Asia.

Download or read book Exchange Rates Shocks and Inter dependency in East Asia written by Sophie Saglio and published by KIEP. This book was released on 2005 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Trade Effects of a Fixed Rate System in East Asia written by Mizanur Rahman and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2015-07-06 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global trade imbalance against China as well as East Asia is an outcome of 'globally integrated business strategy of multinational corporations,' which has led to the development of production networks in East Asia. As an outcome, economic interdependency in East Asia has grown even stronger in relation to its rapid economic growth. It has also been associated with increasing factor mobility and business cycle synchronization across countries within the region. This led me to conjecture that East Asia was an optimum currency area. Nevertheless, the countries have independent national currencies and conduct heterogeneous exchange rate and monetary policies. This provides the setting for this research. This monograph empirically examines if the actual policy environment relative to the optimal choice, in presence of an external shock, can significantly affect East Asian production networks and thereby the pattern of regional trade integration. While the actual policy environment is characterized by heterogeneous exchange rate regimes of East Asian countries, the optimal choice is assumed to be a currency area arrangement whereby the countries either share a single currency or have their exchange rates fixed to one another. It is thereby an ex ante analysis of a potential institutional arrangement. The conceptual framework and empirical methodologies are designed in order to draw valid inference on both the short-run dynamics and the long-run equilibrium relations between exchange rates and exports. It has been applied in the context of China, where final stages of assembly and exporting have become increasingly concentrated. In doing that, the study uses a unique Chinese trade dataset that distinguishes exports that are produced along the production networks from those that are not.

Download or read book The Effects of Capital Outflows from Neighboring Countries on a Home Country s Terms of Trade and Real Exchange Rate written by Sammo Kang and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While there is an extensive body of empirical analyses showing that currency crises tend to be regionally concentrated to specific areas and contagious to countries with high levels of trade, there has been insufficient research on the mechanisms underlying such tendencies. Using a two country model, we investigate the possibility of deterioration in the terms of trade and a rise in the real exchange rate of a home country in the case of capital outflows from its trade partner. In addition, an empirical analysis of East Asian countries conclusively shows that some countries conform to the model.Generally, neighboring countries trade extensively with one another for reasons like low logistics costs. This paper finds that such patterns of trade can be one reason for a currency crisis being regional.

Download or read book China s Trade Patterns and International Comparative Advantage written by X. Zhang and published by Springer. This book was released on 1999-11-19 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book outlines the process of China's trade reforms over the past two decades and assesses the impact of these reforms on the economy. The author provides a detailed quantitative analysis to trace China's evolving commodity pattern of trade and changing comparative advantage structure over the entire reform period.

Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes in East Asia written by Gordon De Brouwer and published by Taylor & Francis US. This book was released on 2004-08 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a deepening debate in East Asia about the prospects for common exchange rate arrangements, even including the formation of a common currency in the longer term. This raises a complex set of issues and this volume provides a detailed yet comprehensive examination of key issues in the debate. It looks, for example, at the nature and extent of linkages in East Asia, in terms of trade and foreign investment, finance, labour, and consumption, investment and output. It examines how the exchange rate affects various aspects of economies. And it critically analyzes various proposals for currency regimes for the region, including floating exchange rates, basket pegs, and currency union.

Download or read book Toward an East Asian Exchange Rate Regime written by Duck-Koo Chung and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2007-05-01 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: East Asian exchange rates have become a global flashpoint. U.S. policymakers blame artificially low Asian currency values for global imbalances, including America's ballooning current account deficit. The solution, they argue, lies in some combination of greater exchange rate flexibility and the appreciation of Asian currencies against the dollar. Asian officials recognize the need to let their exchange rates rise, but they fear that would hamper growth and cut sharply into the value of their dollar reserves. Toward an East Asian Exchange Rate Regime offers a timely and comprehensive analysis of the resulting debates, drawing on expertise from China, Japan, South Korea, and the United States. The introduction reviews the issues at stake, sketches a variety of proposed exchange rate regimes, and discusses comparisons between East Asia and the West. Subsequent chapters examine the connection between global financial imbalances and East Asian monetary cooperation, China's potential role in regional coordination, the relationship between monetary and trade integration, and different paths toward regional cooperation. Authoritative yet concise, this is an essential primer on East Asian monetary integration. Contributors include Gongpil Choi (Korean Institute of Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco), Masahiro Kawai (University of Tokyo, Asian Development Bank), Kwanho Shin (Korea University), Yunjong Wang (SK Institute), Masaru Yoshitomi (RIETI,Tokyo), and Yongding Yu (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences).

Download or read book Changing Patterns of Global Trade written by Nagwa Riad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-01-15 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Changing Patterns of Global Trade outlines the factors underlying important shifts in global trade that have occurred in recent decades. The emergence of global supply chains and their increasing role in trade patterns allowed emerging market economies to boost their inputs in high-technology exports and is associated with increased trade interconnectedness.The analysis points to one important trend taking place over the last decade: the emergence of China as a major systemically important trading hub, reflecting not only the size of trade but also the increase in number of its significant trading partners.

Download or read book Exchange Rate Monetary and Financial Issues and Policies in Asia written by Ramkishen S. Rajan and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2009 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A decade has passed since the Asian crisis of 1997OCo1998 which decimated many of the regional economies. While the crisis itself led to severe economic and political consequences, its primary cause was an inappropriate mix of policies, as regional economies attempted to simultaneously maintain fairly rigid exchange rates (soft US dollar pegs) and monetary policy autonomy in the presence of large-scale capital outflows. The chapters in this volume focus on selected exchange rate, monetary and financial issues and policies that are of contemporary relevance and importance to Asia, including choice of exchange rate regimes, causes and consequences of reserve accumulation, international capital flows, macroeconomic synchronization, and regional monetary and financial cooperation.

Download or read book China s Growing Role in World Trade written by Robert C. Feenstra and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-03-10 with total page 603 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In less than three decades, China has grown from playing a negligible role in international trade to being one of the world's largest exporters, a substantial importer of raw materials, intermediate outputs, and other goods, and both a recipient and source of foreign investment. Not surprisingly, China's economic dynamism has generated considerable attention and concern in the United States and beyond. While some analysts have warned of the potential pitfalls of China's rise—the loss of jobs, for example—others have highlighted the benefits of new market and investment opportunities for US firms. Bringing together an expert group of contributors, China's Growing Role in World Trade undertakes an empirical investigation of the effects of China's new status. The essays collected here provide detailed analyses of the microstructure of trade, the macroeconomic implications, sector-level issues, and foreign direct investment. This volume's careful examination of micro data in light of established economic theories clarifies a number of misconceptions, disproves some conventional wisdom, and documents data patterns that enhance our understanding of China's trade and what it may mean to the rest of the world.