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Book Scenario Logic and Probabilistic Management of Risk in Business and Engineering

Download or read book Scenario Logic and Probabilistic Management of Risk in Business and Engineering written by Evgueni D. Solojentsev and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-07-21 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this volume the methodological aspects of the scenario logic and probabilistic (LP) non-success risk management are considered. The theoretical bases of scenario non-success risk LP-management in business and engineering are also stated. Methods and algorithms for the scenario risk LP-management in problems of classification, investment and effectiveness are described. Risk LP- models and results of numerical investigations for credit risks, risk of frauds, security portfolio risk, risk of quality, accuracy, and risk in multi-stage systems reliability are given. In addition, a rather large number of new problems of estimation, analysis and management of risk are considered. Software for risk problems based on LP-methods, LP-theory, and GIE is described too.

Book How is my CEO doing

Download or read book How is my CEO doing written by Kit H. Lui and published by Phoenix Consulting. This book was released on 2024-01-23 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I used my POE AI bot, KitLuiCEObot, to write this book based on materials I uploaded to my bot. It was written by my bot with some editing and research from me and some prompts and questions to train the bot. Hope you enjoy the journey and learn something new from my book. This book is intended for CEOs and people that deal with them. It provides a practical tool of quick referencing for CEOs. We hope that you will use my bot to further explore the role of a CEO in innovation and leadership for a 21st century corporation. The success of the organization depends on the CEO more than ever now in our exponentially changing global environment. The book emphasizes the importance of innovation and leadership in the 21st century business landscape. It explores the innovation process, mindset, and culture, highlighting the stages and steps involved in bringing new ideas to life. It also discusses various tools and methods that can facilitate innovation, such as brainstorming, design thinking, and lean startup. Moreover, the book delves into the essential qualities and skills of an excellent CEO, as well as the factors that shape a CEO's performance and impact. It explores the challenges and obstacles that CEOs may face and provides practical advice for success. The book also addresses the relationship between the CEO and the board, offering principles and guidance for effective collaboration. Additionally, the book touches upon the significance of employee engagement and the impact it has on organizational success. It identifies the main drivers and factors of employee engagement and provides actionable steps to increase engagement levels within an organization. Furthermore, the book discusses the different types of organizational failure and the drivers that can prevent such failures. It highlights the stages and phases of organizational failure and the challenges that hinder its resolution. Actionable steps are provided to avoid organizational failure and promote a culture of continuous improvement. Lastly, the book explores the identification of bad CEOs, the sources that enable their behavior, and the impacts they have on organizations. It also addresses the factors that delay the removal of bad CEOs and provides actionable steps to avoid or replace them. In conclusion, this book provides a comprehensive guide for CEOs and leaders in navigating the challenges of the modern business world. It emphasizes the importance of innovation, leadership, employee engagement, and organizational success. The book offers practical advice, tools, and methods to foster innovation, develop essential leadership qualities, and create a culture of continuous improvement. It serves as a valuable resource for CEOs looking to enhance their performance and drive positive outcomes for their organizations. Enjoy the journey!

Book Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty

Download or read book Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty written by Frederick Funston and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-06-03 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new book to help senior executives and boards get smart about risk management The ability of businesses to survive and thrive often requires unconventional thinking and calculated risk taking. The key is to make the right decisions—even under the most risky, uncertain, and turbulent conditions. In the new book, Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty: Creating the Risk Intelligent Enterprise, authors Rick Funston and Steve Wagner suggest that effective risk taking is needed in order to innovate, stay competitive, and drive value creation. Based on their combined decades of experience as practitioners, consultants, and advisors to numerous business professionals throughout the world, Funston and Wagner discuss the adoption of 10 essential and practical skills, which will improve agility, resilience, and realize benefits: Challenging basic business assumptions can help identify "Black Swans" and provide first-mover advantage Defining the corporate risk appetite and risk tolerances can help reduce the risk of ruin. Anticipating potential causes of failure can improve chances of survival and success through improved preparedness. Factoring in velocity and momentum can improve speed of response and recovery. Verifying sources and the reliability of information can improve insights for decision making and thus decision quality. Taking a longer-term perspective can aid in identifying the potential unintended consequences of short-term decisions.

Book Stop IT Project Failure Through Risk Management

Download or read book Stop IT Project Failure Through Risk Management written by D. Remenyi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 1999 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about information systems development failures and how to avoid them. It considers what goes wrong with information systems development projects and what actions may be taken to avoid potential difficulties.The reduction of the impact,or even the elimination of the problems,is discussed in terms of an information systems risk management programme. Stop I.T.Project failure helps to ensure that IS project managers are successful in helping to deliver application systems. However, IS development risk can never be entirely eliminated and consequently the practitioner needs to bear in mind that an IS development project is never without risk, and hence there is a continuing potential for something to go wrong. The book covers the key issues and variables and makes specific practical suggestions about the good management practice that is required to implement IS project risk processes. Dr. Dan Remenyi has spent more than 25 years working in the field of corporate computers and information systems. He has worked with computers as an IS professional, business consultant and user. In all these capacities he has been primarily concerned with benefit realisation and obtaining the maximum value for money from the organisations' information systems investment and effort. He has worked extensively in the field of information systems project management, specialising in the area of project risk identification and management. He has written a number of books and papers in the field of IT management and regularly conducts courses and seminars as well as working as a consultant in this area. Dr.Dan Remenyi holds a B.Soc.Sc., an MBA and a PhD. He is a Visiting Professor at Chalmers University of Technology in Gothenberg, Sweden and an associate member of faculty at Henley Management College in the United Kingdom.

Book The Art of Decisions

Download or read book The Art of Decisions written by Chris Blake and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2010 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Fast-Paced, Fun-to-Read Guide to Making Better Decisions! How much information do you really need to make a business decision? Why don't past winners keep on winning? When should you fold your hand, and when should you press on? In The Art of Decisions, Chris Blake reveals the amazing hidden realities beneath human decision making-and helps you optimize every decision you make. Blake begins by exploding the #1 myth of decision making: the idea that if you have enough knowledge, you can engineer away all risk and make a rational, objective decision that's nearly guaranteed to succeed. Next, Blake turns to the decision-making process itself, teaching better ways to make decisions in a world full of uncertainty, randomness, and tough luck. Drawing on the secrets of psychology, poker, and probability, you'll learn how to identify and overcome biases and errors that constantly creep into the decision-making process. You'll discover the power and pitfalls of intuition in familiar and unfamiliar environments and learn "rules of thumb" drawn from fields as diverse as gambling and computer programming. You're human. You'll never be perfect. But if you want to be right more often, when it matters most, this book will get you there. * Decision-making lessons from Texas Hold'em What to do about the risks and randomness you can't eliminate * Follow your instinct or follow the rules? When to use your intuition--and when to doubt it * Know when it's time to decide How to know when you know enough * Make better decisions in unfamiliar environments Hire a guide or make a map?

Book Defense of the Scientific Hypothesis

Download or read book Defense of the Scientific Hypothesis written by Bradley E. Alger and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-09-03 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Defense of Scientific Hypothesis: From Reproducibility Crisis to Big Data sets out to explain and defend the scientific hypothesis. Alger's mission is to counteract the misinformation and misunderstanding about the hypothesis that even seasoned scientists have concerning its nature and place in modern science. Most biological scientists receive little or no formal training in scientific thinking. Further, the hypothesis is under attack by critics who claim that it is irrelevant to science. In order to appreciate and evaluate scientific controversies like global climate change, vaccine safety, etc., the public first needs to understand the hypothesis. Defense of Scientific Hypothesis begins by describing and analyzing the scientific hypothesis in depth and examining its relationships to various kinds of science. Alger then guides readers through a review of the hypothesis in the context of the Reproducibility Crisis and presents survey data on how scientists perceive and employ hypotheses. He assesses cognitive factors that influence our ability to use the hypothesis and makes practical and policy recommendations for teaching and learning about it. Finally, Alger considers two possible futures of the hypothesis in science as the Big Data revolution looms: in one scenario, the hypothesis is displaced by the Big Data Mindset that forgoes understanding in favor of correlation and prediction. In the other, robotic science incorporates the hypotheses into mechanized laboratories guided by artificial intelligence. But in his illuminating epilogue, Alger envisions a third way, the Centaur Scientist, a symbiotic relationship between human scientists and computers.

Book People and Process

Download or read book People and Process written by Jan A. Baltzer and published by Boulder, Colo. : CAUSE. This book was released on 1991 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Entrepreneurial Edge

Download or read book The Entrepreneurial Edge written by Kaustuva Pradhan and published by Kaustuva Pradhan. This book was released on with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The Entrepreneurial Edge: Building a Profitable Business from Scratch" is a comprehensive guide to starting and growing a successful business from the ground up. This book is ideal for aspiring entrepreneurs who want to learn how to turn their innovative ideas into profitable ventures. The book begins with an introduction to entrepreneurship and its fundamental principles, including the mindset, traits, and skills required to succeed as an entrepreneur. It then moves on to business planning, where readers will learn how to create a business plan, identify market opportunities, and assess the competition. Next, the book covers the various financing options available to entrepreneurs, including bootstrapping, crowdfunding, and venture capital. It also discusses the legal and regulatory issues that entrepreneurs need to be aware of when starting and running a business. Marketing and branding are critical components of any successful business, and this book provides valuable insights into how to develop a marketing strategy, build a brand, and effectively promote your products or services. The book also covers sales and customer service, which are essential for creating long-term customer relationships. Operations and project management are important aspects of running a business, and this book provides practical tips for streamlining processes, optimizing productivity, and managing projects effectively. The book also covers human resources, including hiring, training, and managing employees. Technology and innovation are transforming the business landscape, and this book provides valuable insights into how entrepreneurs can leverage technology to gain a competitive edge. The book also covers growth strategies, including how to scale your business and expand into new markets. Managing change and crisis is an essential skill for entrepreneurs, and this book provides practical advice for navigating uncertain times and overcoming obstacles. The book also covers leadership and management, including how to build a high-performing team and inspire others to achieve their full potential. The book concludes with a discussion of entrepreneurship in the digital age, including how to leverage technology and social media to grow your business. It also covers exit strategies, including how to sell your business or pass it on to the next generation. Overall, "The Entrepreneurial Edge: Building a Profitable Business from Scratch" is an invaluable resource for anyone who wants to start and grow a successful business. It provides practical advice, real-world examples, and expert insights into all aspects of entrepreneurship, making it a must-read for aspiring entrepreneurs and business owners alike.

Book The War Within   Between Good and Evil

Download or read book The War Within Between Good and Evil written by Bhimeswara Challa and published by . This book was released on with total page 707 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The human has always prided himself as an exceptional ‘moral species’ but has always been haunted by two questions: ‘Why am I not good when I want to be; ‘why do I do bad when I don’t want to’. This is at the heart of what scriptures and sages have long alluded to as the eternal internal struggle-between good and evil - that wages in the human consciousness. The book posits that much of our confusion and angst stems from our inability to recognize the ramifications of this ‘war’ between two sides of our own ‘self’. It is because we are ignoring this ‘war’ between two sides of our own ‘self’. It is because we are ignoring this war that we are losing all other wars of the world. That ignorance is the primary source of all the horrors, malevolence, and violence that fill us with so much dread. But a ‘favorable’ outcome is possible only if the forces of goodness are aided to get an upper hand consistently - and that calls for two cathartic changes: consciousness-change by inducing a turn from the mind to the heart; and contextual-change, by radically reconstructing the roles of morality, money, and mortality in our everyday lives. The book offers a menu of insights and options we all can use to tilt the scales in the war waging inside each of us.

Book Failure and Success in America

Download or read book Failure and Success in America written by Martha Banta and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-03-08 with total page 580 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ranging widely over a span of three hundred and fifty years of discussion and controversy, Martha Banta's book makes a fundamental contribution to the continuing debate on the nature of success and failure in a specifically American context. Her Whitmanesque view of the debate takes in the work of innumerable writers, particularly Emerson, Thoreau, Twain, Melville, Henry Adams, William and Henry James, Faulkner, Gertrude Stein, and Norman Mailer. She draws on the work of philosophers, psychologists, and historians as well. Rather than discussing failure and success as merely economic or political statistics, Professor Banta explores them in terms of attitudes and concepts. She asks what it feels like for an American to succeed or fail in a country that is often defined in relation to its own success or failure as an idea and as an experience. While examining the thoughts, feelings, and language of Americans caught in the dialectic between winning and losing, the author reveals the strain Americans feel in fulfilling the overall scheme of their own lives as well as the life or destiny of their country. Originally published in 1979. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

Book Success in Innovation

Download or read book Success in Innovation written by Jan Verloop and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-03-13 with total page 141 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Success in Innovation tackles its subject from a novel perspective: instead of focusing on factors for success, it specifically examines the factors for failure. Similar books often attempt to stimulate more effort on innovation with success stories and methods. But innovation is risky business and most innovative ideas fail. By understanding the typical pitfalls and hurdles in the process, and how to avoid or manage them, readers can significantly improve their chances of success. Success in Innovation is broad in scope and useful to managers, consultants, entrepreneurs, tech start-ups — anyone with a stake in new and powerful ideas, products, businesses, or methods. This book helps readers work smarter, not simply more. - Provides guidelines for assessing innovative ideas - Includes methods for valuing innovation - Discusses the danger points in the innovation process - Explains the planning and development processes - Includes innovation models - Discusses the methods for risk assessment

Book The Strategic Management of Intellectual Capital and Organizational Knowledge

Download or read book The Strategic Management of Intellectual Capital and Organizational Knowledge written by Chun Wei Choo and published by New York : Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2002 with total page 769 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the first to present a review and synthesis of the research in knowledge management and strategy management. The readings in this book will help readers get an understanding of the best methods to create and apply knowledge in order to sustain superior organizational performance.

Book In Praise of Failure

Download or read book In Praise of Failure written by Mark H. Anshel and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2016-03-17 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many of our greatest athletes, scientists, and entertainers failed repeatedly throughout their careers, yet they refused to allow past mistakes stop them from striving for future success. Instead, they turned those so-called failures into opportunities to learn, improve, and eventually earn the achievements they are celebrated for today. Why, then, is failure considered negative in our society? Perhaps failure is not, in fact, something to be avoided, but something to be encouraged. In Praise of Failure: The Value of Overcoming Mistakes in Sports and in Life aims to change the way our society defines and perceives what is commonly called “failure.” Mark H. Anshel provides a refreshing, new perspective on how we can embrace failure as part of the process of achieving and succeeding at the highest level. Anshel uses sports psychology in a grounded, easy-to-read manner to examine failure in sports settings, revealing that not only is failure inevitable in an imperfect world, it is essential. He addresses such issues as how to properly promote failure in sport and exercise settings, how errors lead to improvement, ways to constructively cope with failure, and how to help child athletes fail “safely.” In the process, Anshel shows that the highest-performing athletes have one characteristic in common—they learned and improved from apparent setbacks. In Praise of Failure shares stories of professional athletes, business professionals, scholars, and famous inventors who failed repeatedly before attaining their dreams, revealing the integral role failure plays in success. Offering a fresh and exciting take on how to approach the failures we face in life, this bookwill be invaluable for athletes, coaches, exercise and fitness trainers, dieticians, students, and even for the corporate world.

Book Fostering Innovation in the Intelligence Community

Download or read book Fostering Innovation in the Intelligence Community written by Craig W. Gruber and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-09-12 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In response to the increasingly ubiquitous, asynchronous, and pervasive use of cyber technology in everyday life, unique threats to cybersecurity (CS) have emerged requiring innovative and systemic solutions. Of the potential threats, Ubiquitous Technical Surveillance (UTS) presents one of the most acute generalized vulnerabilities facing the broader Intelligence Community (IC), Department of Defense (DoD), and United States Government. While security systems and networks have attempted to adapt to meet these evolving threats, internal organizational structures, culture, and human behavior often lag behind due to the inherent challenges in changing these dynamic variables. It is crucial that scientific disciplines identify systemic and innovative behavioral countermeasures that are informed by sub-disciplines of the psychology and CS literature. Innovative strategies involve collaboration amongst experts from the domains of social psychology, game theory, Bayesian statistics, and the IC, which will be discussed in-depth. A special issue that pulls from cross-disciplinary professionals will have a broad impact for the IC and DOD eliciting wide readership and spurring needed innovation._____________________________________________________________________ "Cultivating a culture of innovation, though difficult, is important for any enduring organization. It's downright essential for the US Intelligence Community, which must stay one step ahead of adversaries on surveillance technologies and tradecraft to be effective. This collection of articles brings together insightful research and analysis from diverse domains, moving us closer to the deeper appreciation of innovation and culture that is so urgently needed."David Priess, Ph.D., former Central Intelligence Agency officer and author, The President's Book of Secrets

Book Unlocking Potential

    Book Details:
  • Author : Tamra Stambaugh
  • Publisher : Routledge
  • Release : 2021-09-03
  • ISBN : 1000490270
  • Pages : 269 pages

Download or read book Unlocking Potential written by Tamra Stambaugh and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-09-03 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of NAGC's 2021 Book of the Year Award This edited book, written by authors with extensive experience in working with gifted students from low-income households, focuses on ways to translate the latest research and theory into evidence-supported practices that impact how schools identify and serve these students. Readers will: Learn about evidence-supported identification systems, tools, and strategies for finding students from low-income households. Discover curriculum models, resources, and instructional strategies found effective from projects focused on supporting these students. Understand the important role that intra- and interpersonal skills, ethnicity/race, families, school systems, and communities play. Consider the perceptions of gifted students who grew up in low-income households. Learn how educators can use their experiences to strengthen current services. Unlocking Potential is the go-to resource for an up-to-date overview of best practices in identification, curriculum, instruction, community support, and program design for gifted learners from low-income households.

Book Eight Setbacks That Can Make a Child a Success

Download or read book Eight Setbacks That Can Make a Child a Success written by Michelle Icard and published by Rodale Books. This book was released on 2023-08-22 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Turn common adolescent missteps, from relationship blunders to rebellions that backfire, into character-building moments—by the author of Fourteen Talks by Age Fourteen. “This clear-eyed, practical, fun-to-read guide is an essential read for every parent.”—Lisa Damour, PhD, New York Times bestselling author of Untangled, Under Pressure, and The Emotional Lives of Teenagers Every child messes up, sometimes in ways that seem sure to wreck their futures: a bad report card, poor sportsmanship, underaged drinking. These are tough moments for parent and child alike, often complicated by the fear that the misstep is also an indictment of our parenting. But what each of these “fails” has in common for our kids is the precious silver lining of a chance for character building and developing more grit—if we help them process their mistake well. An invaluable playbook for anxious parents everywhere, Eight Setbacks That Can Make a Child a Success offers specific and unexpected advice about what to say, what not to say, and what to do to help children in eight categories of tense situations. Distilled from Michelle Icard’s decades of experience working with tweens, teenagers, and families, it also introduces her signature three-step approach to any kind of failure: • Contain: Affirm your child, gather the facts, and control the narrative. • Resolve: Explain what went wrong, define clear consequences, teach them to apologize well, and develop a plan to rebuild trust. • Evolve: Reaffirm and re-expand their rights, and establish rewards for good behaviors. With empathy, insight, and optimism, Michelle Icard’s advice ensures that a child’s mistake or rebellion doesn’t become the headline of their childhood, but instead becomes a launch pad to a better future.

Book Organization at the Limit

Download or read book Organization at the Limit written by William Starbuck and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-02-09 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book offers important insight relevant to Corporate, Governmentand Global organizations management in general. The internationallyrecognised authors tackle vital issues in decision making, howorganizational risk is managed, how can technological andorganizational complexities interact, what are the impediments foreffective learning and how large, medium, and small organizationscan, and in fact must, increase their resilience. Managers,organizational consultants, expert professionals, and trainingspecialists; particularly those in high risk organizations, mayfind the issues covered in the book relevant to their daily workand a potential catalyst for thought and action. A timely analysis of the Columbia disaster and theorganizational lessons that can be learned from it. Includes contributions from those involved in the InvestigationBoard report into the incident. Tackles vital issues such as the role of time pressures andgoal conflict in decision making, and the impediments for effectivelearning. Examines how organizational risk is managed and howtechnological and organizational complexities interact. Assesses how large, medium, and small organizations can, and infact must, increase their resilience. Questions our eagerness to embrace new technologies, yetreluctance to accept the risks of innovation. Offers a step by step understanding of the complex factors thatled to disaster.