Download or read book The Volatility In Financial Markets During The Covid 19 Pandemic written by Niklas Humann and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2022-04-28 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essay from the year 2022 in the subject Business economics - Market research, grade: 1.3, University of Münster, language: English, abstract: The objective of this essay is to investigate the effects of Covid-19 on the volatility of individual asset markets as well as the correlation between those markets using the Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH methodology developed by Engle (2002). The investigated assets are the major world equity indices as well as oil, gold, and bitcoin. I have found significant volatility clustering over the entire spectrum of assets, as well as increases in the correlation between assets during the initial phase of the pandemic. Furthermore, gold and bitcoin are shown to exhibit relatively low correlations with the investigated equity markets and may hence act as important components of a robust portfolio during turbulent times. While no direct effect of Covid-19 related policy variables on the returns could be established for all assets, the results indicate that the response of financial markets was immediate and not dependent on the national exposure to the pandemic itself. Finally, all markets are shown to recover within a reasonably short time span.

Download or read book Financial Market Dynamics after COVID 19 written by Stéphane Goutte and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-04-27 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in different areas of Finance emphasizing the contagion effect in capital markets. The volume presents evidence-based case studies from the global financial crisis that followed after the onset of the pandemic in March 2020.

Download or read book Pandemic Related Financial Market Volatility Spillovers written by Shaen Corbet and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Utilising Chinese-developed data based on long-standing influenza indices and the more recently-developed coronavirus and face-mask indices, we set out to test for the presence of volatility spillovers from Chinese financial markets during the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic upon a broad number of traditional financial assets. Such indices are used to specifically measure the performance of Chinese companies who are inherently involved in the R&D and production of materials and products used to mitigate the effects of influenza and coronavirus, therefore, such indices present a unique barometer of investor sentiment relating to COVID-19 in comparison to traditional Chinese influenza. Within days of the formal announcement of the COVID-19 outbreak, results indicate exceptionally pronounced and persistent impacts of coronavirus on Chinese financial markets compared to that of the traditional and long-standing influenza index. Further, in a novel finding to date, COVID-19 is found to have had a substantial effect on directional spillovers upon the Bitcoin market. Cryptocurrency-based confidence appears to have been instigated through government-developed education schemes, which are identified as one possible explanation for our results, which are found to remain robust across methodological variation.

Download or read book Turbulence in the Financial Markets written by Steve J. Bickley and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current coronavirus pandemic has had far-reaching global effects on the health and wellbeing of individuals across each and every continent of the world. The economic and financial market response has been equally disastrous and turbulent with high levels of volatility observed across international financial markets. This study explores the temporal relation between the observed structural breaks, market volatility and government policy interventions for 28 countries and their respective market indices. We present results which indicate that the establishment of stay-at-home policies cause sharp discontinuities in 15 of the 28 markets (53.57%) and increase market efficiency in 30 of 49 stay-at-home policy establishment cases (61.22%). These results indicate a small, yet statistically significant degree of persistence and hence, predictability in international financial markets and their associated market indices in response to stay-at-home policies.

Download or read book Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy written by Carl Chiarella and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-06-02 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important new book from a group of Keynesian, but nonetheless technically-oriented economists explores one of the dominant paradigms in financial economics: the ‘intertemporal general equilibrium approach’.

Download or read book Covid 19 Pandemic And Energy Markets Commodity Markets Cryptocurrencies And Electricity Consumption Under The Covid 19 written by Khaled Guesmi and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2021-09-15 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The World Health Organization confirmed COVID-19 a pandemic on March 11, 2020, causing vast impact on international economy. The coronavirus pandemic has given rise to an unprecedented global health and economic crises. Apart from the toll of early deaths, economic activities have been stalled and stock markets have tumbled, while a wide range of energy markets — including oil, gas and renewable energy — have been severely affected. This crisis The pandemic has stressed the critical value of the health care infrastructure and electricity infrastructure. In view of the above, while governments and policy makers respond to these interlinked crises, they must not lose sight of a major challenge of our time: clean energy transitions.The pandemic has continued to to slow down the recovery of economic activities and consumption due to combination of many factors such as economic recession, expensive storage, warm climate, and enormous uncertainty. Mitigation and adaptation policies are crucial to overcoming the crisis. The commodity futures market will depend on the effectiveness of decision-makers' policies in containing the COVID-19 outbreak and reducing the negative effect of the pandemic on economic activities. This book seeks to throw light on the adverse effects of COVID-19 through enhanced scientific and multi-disciplinary knowledge. The chapters in the book show that the energy, stock, crypto-currencies markets are vulnerable to the surge in coronavirus deaths.

Download or read book Policy Uncertainty in Japan written by Ms.Elif C Arbatli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-30 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987 onwards building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles that contain certain terms pertaining to the economy, policy matters and uncertainty. Our overall EPU index co-varies positively with implied volatilities for Japanese equities, exchange rates and interest rates and with a survey-based measure of political uncertainty. The EPU index rises around contested national elections and major leadership transitions in Japan, during the Asian Financial Crisis and in reaction to the Lehman Brothers failure, U.S. debt downgrade in 2011, Brexit referendum, and Japan’s recent decision to defer a consumption tax hike. Our uncertainty indices for fiscal, monetary, trade and exchange rate policy co-vary positively but also display distinct dynamics. VAR models imply that upward EPU innovations foreshadow deteriorations in Japan’s macroeconomic performance, as reflected by impulse response functions for investment, employment and output. Our study adds to evidence that credible policy plans and strong policy frameworks can favorably influence macroeconomic performance by, in part, reducing policy uncertainty.

Download or read book Financial Transformations Beyond The Covid 19 Health Crisis written by Sabri Boubaker and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2022-05-18 with total page 857 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 global health pandemic, which started in late December 2019, forced many countries to adopt unusual measures such as social distancing and strict lockdowns. It changed many of our certainties and practices, including the foundations of the market-led version of capitalism, by bringing social and health considerations back to the forefront of firms' considerations, investors' strategies and governments' priorities. Under the effects of this unprecedented crisis, all sectors of finance and real economy have been seriously affected.Health uncertainties and their increasing consequences for human life and activities require stronger and faster actions to shape pathways towards sustainability and better resilience. The COVID-19 health crisis is a visible part of a greater iceberg: the World Health Organization has tracked, over recent years, a large number of epidemic events around the world, suggesting that many other similar diseases could appear and evolve in the future from epidemic to pandemic in a globalized world.Financial Transformations Beyond the COVID-19 Health Crisis was specifically designed to provide the readers with new results, recent findings and future outlook on the impacts of COVID-19 on financial markets, firm behaviors, and finance and investment strategies. It favors multidimensional perspectives and brings together conceptual, empirical and policy-oriented chapters, using quantitative and qualitative methods alike. This is a timely and comprehensive collection of theoretical, empirical and policy contributions from renowned scholars around the world, and provides the thoughts and insights required to rethink the financial sector in the event of new shocks of the same nature.

Download or read book Research on Pandemics written by Yezhou Sha and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2021-11-24 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lasting turmoil associated with the unprecedented pandemic, triggered by the novel corona virus COVID-19, has dragged the world into a mud of uncertainty. Fiscal stimulation, interest rate cuts, global supply-chain redeployment, "pandemic bond" and circuit breakers kicked in and the world is responding to this great challenge. But how can finance and economic research help the world under such circumstances? This book dwells on this new area of research and tries to understand how pandemics impact the economic and financial ecosystem of both emerging and advanced economies. Lessons learnt from the experience of previous pandemics maybe presented and discussed through drawing on policy lessons to date. By gathering research on political economy, geopolitical issues, behavioral finance, international institutional responses and medical and health issues resulting from pandemics, the chapters in this edited volume help in expanding the knowledge of social and economic consequences of the pandemic as well as set the foundation for future research. This book would benefit scholars, policy makers and entrepreneurs worldwide as a valuable archive of research on pandemics. The chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of Emerging Markets Finance and Trade.

Download or read book Global Economic Prospects June 2020 written by World Bank Group and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2020-07-07 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic has, with alarming speed, dealt a heavy blow to an already-weak global economy, which is expected to slide into its deepest recession since the second world war, despite unprecedented policy support. The global recession would be deeper if countries take longer to bring the pandemic under control, if financial stress triggers defaults, or if there are protracted effects on households and firms. Economic disruptions are likely to be more severe and protracted in emerging market and developing economies with larger domestic outbreaks and weaker medical care systems; greater exposure to international spillovers through trade, tourism, and commodity and financial markets; weaker macroeconomic frameworks; and more pervasive informality and poverty. Beyond the current steep economic contraction, the pandemic is likely to leave lasting scars on the global economy by undermining consumer and investor confidence, human capital, and global value chains. Being mostly a reflection of the recent plunge in global energy demand, low oil prices are unlikely to provide much of a boost to global growth in the near term. While policymakers' immediate priorities are to address the health crisis and moderate the short-term economic losses, the likely long-term consequences of the pandemic highlight the need to forcefully undertake comprehensive reform programs to improve the fundamental drivers of economic growth, once the crisis abates. Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). The January edition includes in-depth analyses of topical policy challenges faced by these economies, while the June edition contains shorter analytical pieces.

Download or read book Coronavirus Outbreak and the Great Lockdown written by Bhaskar Bagchi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-09-21 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book captures the dynamic relationship between COVID-19 pandemic, crude oil prices and major stock indices as well as the crude oil prices and stock market volatility that have been caused due to outbreak of this pandemic. The pandemic has changed the world melodramatically and major world markets collapsed in the beginning, affecting major industries in an unprecedented way. The book will be useful to the researcher in the field of finance and economics, and policy makers both at government and private level, keeping in view the present state of economy throughout the world.

Download or read book ARCH Models and Financial Applications written by Christian Gourieroux and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The classical ARMA models have limitations when applied to the field of financial and monetary economics. Financial time series present nonlinear dynamic characteristics and the ARCH models offer a more adaptive framework for this type of problem. This book surveys the recent work in this area from the perspective of statistical theory, financial models, and applications and will be of interest to theorists and practitioners. From the view point of statistical theory, ARCH models may be considered as specific nonlinear time series models which allow for an exhaustive study of the underlying dynamics. It is possible to reexamine a number of classical questions such as the random walk hypothesis, prediction interval building, presence of latent variables etc., and to test the validity of the previously studied results. There are two main categories of potential applications. One is testing several economic or financial theories concerning the stocks, bonds, and currencies markets, or studying the links between the short and long run. The second is related to the interventions of the banks on the markets, such as choice of optimal portfolios, hedging portfolios, values at risk, and the size and times of block trading.

Download or read book Investing in Stock Market During COVID 19 Period written by Alexander Babenko and published by . This book was released on 2020-06-15 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No previous epidemic of infectious disease, like Spanish flu, has as profoundly impacted the stock market as the COVID-19 pandemic has. We use text-based methods to establish this argument in terms of broad regular stock market changes back to 1900 and overall stock market volatility.This is why this material was designed to give practitioners and financial professionals an understanding of the pandemic 's effect on the stock market.It would also argue that policy responses to the pandemic COVID-19 offer the most convincing reason for its unparalleled effect on the stock market. In this material, we analyze the potential effects that the coronavirus, "COVID-19," will have on the stock market and then we propose possible ways for an individual to profit from a global viral outbreak-affected market. We look at past outbreaks and come to the conclusion that, in the short term, markets will often react adversely to such incidents but that, in the long run, markets will eventually correct themselves and grow. We recommend shorting industries to benefit from such a demand that would be instantly impacted by the virus in the short run and ultimately buy back into those industries after their price has fallen significantly. Specifically, we look at the travel industry, the technology industry, the entertainment industry and gold as possible areas where large profits can be made.This material will help to understand possible steps that can be taken in times like this, and how to still make stock market profits even while we are all at home.

Download or read book The COVID 19 Impact on Corporate Leverage and Financial Fragility written by Sharjil M. Haque and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-11-05 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the impact of the COVID-19 recession on capital structure of publicly listed U.S. firms. Our estimates suggest leverage (Net Debt/Asset) decreased by 5.3 percentage points from the pre-shock mean of 19.6 percent, while debt maturity increased moderately. This de-leveraging effect is stronger for firms exposed to significant rollover risk, while firms whose businesses were most vulnerable to social distancing did not reduce leverage. We rationalize our evidence through a structural model of firm value that shows lower expected growth rate and higher volatility of cash flows following COVID-19 reduced optimal levels of corporate leverage. Model-implied optimal leverage indicates firms which did not de-lever became over-leveraged. We find default probability deteriorates most in large, over-leveraged firms and those that were stressed pre-COVID. Additional stress tests predict value of these firms will be less than one standard deviation away from default if cash flows decline by 20 percent.

Download or read book The Rising Resilience of Emerging Market and Developing Economies written by Mr.Abdul Abiad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-12-20 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic performance in many emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) improved substantially over the past twenty years. The past decade was particularly good—for the first time EMDEs spent more time in expansion and had smaller downturns thanadvanced economies. In this paper we document the history of EMDEs’ resilience over the past sixty years, and investigate what factors have been associated with it. We find that their improved performance in recent years is accounted for by both good policies and a lowerincidence of external and domestic shocks—better policies account for about three-fifths of their improved resilience, while less frequent shocks account for the remainder.

Download or read book Financial Systems Central Banking and Monetary Policy During COVID 19 Pandemic and After written by Çagatay Basarir and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2021-10-11 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book makes an effort in investigating the present and future developments in the financial system, after the COVID-19 Pandemic. The effects of health issues and epidemic diseases influencing the country economies and expected to influence to effect in the future in terms of banking sector especially Central Banking will be discussed. People who take this work will be able to look at events from different windows about money, banking, Central Banks, historical transformation of the banking sector and the relations among the entire financial system and policy makers and also their current issues.

Download or read book The Macroeconomic Effects of a Pandemic in Europe a Model Based Assessment written by Lars Jonung and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report estimates possible macroeconomic effects of a pandemic taking place in the EU in 2006, using a quarterly macroeconomic model. The macroeconomic costs of a pandemic, that is the cost in terms of production lost due to illness and death measured as reductions in GDP growth and/or declines in the level of GDP, are quantified in various pandemic scenarios. We focus on two sectors of the European economy that are expected to be particularly severely hit, tourism and trade. The results are compared with those obtained in similar studies for the United States and Canada. Our basic conclusion is that, although a pandemic would take a huge toll in human suffering, it would most likely not be a severe threat to the European macroeconomy.