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Book The Power of Unit Root Tests Against Nonlinear Local Alternatives

Download or read book The Power of Unit Root Tests Against Nonlinear Local Alternatives written by Matei Demetrescu and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Almost All About Unit Roots

Download or read book Almost All About Unit Roots written by In Choi and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2015-05-12 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many economic theories depend on the presence or absence of a unit root for their validity, making familiarity with unit roots extremely important to econometric and statistical theory. This book introduces the literature on unit roots in a comprehensive manner to empirical and theoretical researchers in economics and other areas.

Book On the power of unit root tests against fractional alternatives

Download or read book On the power of unit root tests against fractional alternatives written by Uwe Haßler and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics

Download or read book Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics written by Nigar Hashimzade and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2013-01-01 with total page 627 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This comprehensive Handbook presents the current state of art in the theory and methodology of macroeconomic data analysis. It is intended as a reference for graduate students and researchers interested in exploring new methodologies, but can also be employed as a graduate text. The Handbook concentrates on the most important issues, models and techniques for research in macroeconomics, and highlights the core methodologies and their empirical application in an accessible manner. Each chapter is largely self-contained, whilst the comprehensive introduction provides an overview of the key statistical concepts and methods. All of the chapters include the essential references for each topic and provide a sound guide for further reading. Topics covered include unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks, time aggregation, forecasting, the Kalman filter, generalised method of moments, maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation, vector autoregressive, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium and dynamic panel models. Presenting the most important models and techniques for empirical research, this Handbook will appeal to students, researchers and academics working in empirical macro and econometrics.

Book Unit Roots  Cointegration  and Structural Change

Download or read book Unit Roots Cointegration and Structural Change written by G. S. Maddala and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive review of unit roots, cointegration and structural change from a best-selling author.

Book Testing for a Unit Root in Panels with Dynamic Factors

Download or read book Testing for a Unit Root in Panels with Dynamic Factors written by Hyungsik Roger Moon and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies testing for a unit root for large n and T panels in which the cross-sectional units are correlated. To model this cross-sectional correlation, we assume that the data is generated by an unknown number of unobservable common factors. We propose unit root tests in this environment and derive their (Gaussian) asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis of a unit root and local alternatives. We also show that these tests have no power against the same local alternatives when it is necessary to remove deterministic components. Through Monte Carlo simulations, we provide evidence on the finite sample properties of these new tests.

Book Time Series and Panel Data Econometrics

Download or read book Time Series and Panel Data Econometrics written by M. Hashem Pesaran and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015-10-01 with total page 1443 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is concerned with recent developments in time series and panel data techniques for the analysis of macroeconomic and financial data. It provides a rigorous, nevertheless user-friendly, account of the time series techniques dealing with univariate and multivariate time series models, as well as panel data models. It is distinct from other time series texts in the sense that it also covers panel data models and attempts at a more coherent integration of time series, multivariate analysis, and panel data models. It builds on the author's extensive research in the areas of time series and panel data analysis and covers a wide variety of topics in one volume. Different parts of the book can be used as teaching material for a variety of courses in econometrics. It can also be used as reference manual. It begins with an overview of basic econometric and statistical techniques, and provides an account of stochastic processes, univariate and multivariate time series, tests for unit roots, cointegration, impulse response analysis, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models, simultaneous equation models, vector autoregressions, causality, forecasting, multivariate volatility models, panel data models, aggregation and global vector autoregressive models (GVAR). The techniques are illustrated using Microfit 5 (Pesaran and Pesaran, 2009, OUP) with applications to real output, inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, and stock prices.

Book Comparison of Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts

Download or read book Comparison of Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts written by Markku Lanne and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unit root tests are considered for time series which have a level shift at a known point in time. The shift can have a very general nonlinear form, and additional deterministic mean and trend terms are allowed for. Prior to the tests, the deterministic parts and other nuisance parameters of the data generation process are estimated in a first step. Then, the series are adjusted for these terms and unit root tests of the Dickey-Fuller type are applied to the adjusted series. The properties of previously suggested tests of this sort are analysed and modifications are proposed which take into account estimation errors in the nuisance parameters. An important result is that estimation under the null hypothesis is preferable to estimation under local alternatives. This contrasts with results obtained by other authors for time series without level shifts.

Book Unit Root Testing in Multiple Smooth Break Models with Nonlinear Dynamics

Download or read book Unit Root Testing in Multiple Smooth Break Models with Nonlinear Dynamics written by Rickard Sandberg and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work builds a flexible model accommodating nonlinear dynamics around a trend function with multiple (up to) gradual shifts. Such a model is suitable for capturing the behavior of many post World War II economic time-series subject to the onset of external causes such as oil crises, financial crises, technology changes and regulatory changes. Deriving unit root tests in this nonlinear model is of particular interest. In fact, the options of a general trend specification and nonlinear dynamics are critical to remedy unit root tests not being biased toward a non-rejection of a unit root hypothesis and prevents the first-differences of a series from being used too often. An asymptotic theory for the unit root tests is also established. The unit root tests are applied to G7 industrial production series, and evidence in favor of nonlinear trend 'stationary' models is found in a majority of the cases. The merits of the new model are further demonstrated in an estimation exercise for the US industrial production series, and evidence of four gradual shifts in the trend, different growth patterns for different periods, and business cycle asymmetries is found.

Book Local Power of Fixed T Panel Unit Root Tests with Serially Correlated Errors and Incidental Trends

Download or read book Local Power of Fixed T Panel Unit Root Tests with Serially Correlated Errors and Incidental Trends written by Yiannis Karavias and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The asymptotic local power properties of various fixed T)panel unit root tests with serially correlated errors and incidental trends are studied. Asymptotic (over N) local power functions are analytically derived, and through them, the effects of general forms of serial correlation are examined. We find that a test based on an instrumental variables (IV) estimator dominates the tests based on the within-groups (WG) estimator. These functions also show that in the presence of incidental trends, an instrumental variables test based on the first differences of the model has non-trivial local power in an N-1/2)neighbourhood of unity. Furthermore, for a test based on the within-groups estimator, although it is found that it has trivial power in the presence of incidental trends, this ceases to be the case if there is serial correlation as well.

Book More Powerful Unit Root Tests with Non Normal Errors

Download or read book More Powerful Unit Root Tests with Non Normal Errors written by Kyung So Im and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes new unit root tests that are more powerful when the error term follows a non-normal distribution. The improved power is gained by utilizing the additional moment conditions embodied in non-normal errors. Specifi𓏊lly, we follow the work of Im and Schmidt (2008), using the framework of generalized methods of moments (GMM), and adopt a simple two-step procedure based on the "residual augmented least squares" (RALS) methodology. Our RALS-based unit root tests make use of non-linear moment conditions through a computationally simple procedure. Our Monte Carlo simulation results show that the RALS-based unit root tests have good size and power properties, and they show significant efficiency gains when utilizing the additional information contained in non-normal errors information that is ignored in traditional unit root tests.

Book Asymmetric Adjustment and Smooth Transitions

Download or read book Asymmetric Adjustment and Smooth Transitions written by Robert Sollis and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Conventional Dickey-Fuller unit root tests have been generalized to allow for nonlinearity under the alternative hypothesis by Enders and Granger [Journal of Business Economics and Statistics, 16 (1998) 304] (EG) and Leybourne, Newbold and Vougas [Journal of Time Series Analysis, 19 (1998) 83] (LNV). EG focus on the case of asymmetric adjustment modelled as threshold autoregression, while LNV extend the concept of trend stationarity to that of stationarity around a smooth transition between deterministic linear trends. In this study, the EG and LNV methodologies are combined to develop tests of the null hypothesis of a unit root, that under the alternative hypothesis allow for stationary asymmetric adjustment around a smooth transition between deterministic linear trends. The empirical power of the combined tests is briefly investigated and an empirical application to time series on aggregate industrial production in the UK and the US is considered.

Book Three Essays on More Powerful Unit Root Tests with Non normal Errors

Download or read book Three Essays on More Powerful Unit Root Tests with Non normal Errors written by Ming Meng and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation is concerned with finding ways to improve the power of unit root tests. This dissertation consists of three essays. In the first essay, we extends the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) unit toot tests of Schmidt and Phillips (1992) to utilize information contained in non-normal errors. The new tests adopt the Residual Augmented Least Squares (RALS) estimation procedure of Im and Schmidt (2008). This essay complements the work of Im, Lee and Tieslau (2012) who adopt the RALS procedure for DF-based tests. This essay provides the relevant asymptotic distribution and the corresponding critical values of the new tests. The RALS-LM tests show improved power over the RALS-DF tests. Moreover, the main advantage of the RALS-LM tests lies in the invariance feature that the distribution does not depend on the nuisance parameter in the presence of level-breaks. The second essay tests the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis by examining paths of primary commodity prices which are known to exhibit multiple structural breaks. In order to examine the issue more properly, we first suggest new unit root tests that can allow for structural breaks in both the intercept and the slope. Then, we adopt the RALS procedure to gain much improved power when the error term follows a non-normal distribution. Since the suggested test is more powerful and free of nuisance parameters, rejection of the null can be considered as more accurate evidence of stationarity. We apply the new test on the recently extended Grilli and Yang index of 24 commodity series from 1900 to 2007. The empirical findings provide significant evidence to support that primary commodity prices are stationary with one or two trend breaks. However, compared with past studies, they provide even weaker evidence to support the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis. The third essay extends the Fourier Lagrange Multiplier (FLM) unit root tests of Enders and Lee (2012a) by using the RALS estimation procedure of Im and Schmidt (2008). While the F\LM type of tests can be used to control for smooth structural breaks of an unknown functional form, the RALS procedure can utilize additional higher-moment information contained in non-normal errors. For these new tests, knowledge of the underlying type of non-normal distribution of the error term or the precise functional form of the structure breaks is not required. Our simulation results demonstrate significant power gains over the FLM tests in the presence of non-normal errors.

Book Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 1

Download or read book Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 1 written by K. Patterson and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-02-25 with total page 676 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Testing for a unit root is now an essential part of time series analysis. This volume provides a critical overview and assessment of tests for a unit root in time series, developing the concepts necessary to understand the key theoretical and practical models in unit root testing.

Book Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2

Download or read book Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2 written by K. Patterson and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-07-05 with total page 586 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Testing for a Unit Root is now an essential part of time series analysis but the literature on the topic is so large that knowing where to start is difficult even for the specialist. This book provides a way into the techniques of unit root testing, explaining the pitfalls and nonstandard cases, using practical examples and simulation analysis.

Book Journal of Econometrics  Volume 122  Issue 1

Download or read book Journal of Econometrics Volume 122 Issue 1 written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: