Download or read book The Politics of Energy Forecasting written by Thomas Martin Baumgartner and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1987 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the process of model-building and forecasting with particular reference to energy.
Download or read book Energy Forecasting a Role for State Government written by Montana. Legislature. Study Committee on Energy Forecasting and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Renewable Energy Forecasting written by Georges Kariniotakis and published by Woodhead Publishing. This book was released on 2017-09-29 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Renewable Energy Forecasting: From Models to Applications provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of renewable energy forecasting technology and its applications. After an introduction to the principles of meteorology and renewable energy generation, groups of chapters address forecasting models, very short-term forecasting, forecasting of extremes, and longer term forecasting. The final part of the book focuses on important applications of forecasting for power system management and in energy markets. Due to shrinking fossil fuel reserves and concerns about climate change, renewable energy holds an increasing share of the energy mix. Solar, wind, wave, and hydro energy are dependent on highly variable weather conditions, so their increased penetration will lead to strong fluctuations in the power injected into the electricity grid, which needs to be managed. Reliable, high quality forecasts of renewable power generation are therefore essential for the smooth integration of large amounts of solar, wind, wave, and hydropower into the grid as well as for the profitability and effectiveness of such renewable energy projects. Offers comprehensive coverage of wind, solar, wave, and hydropower forecasting in one convenient volume Addresses a topic that is growing in importance, given the increasing penetration of renewable energy in many countries Reviews state-of-the-science techniques for renewable energy forecasting Contains chapters on operational applications
Download or read book Renewables written by Michael Aklin and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2018-03-23 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive political analysis of the rapid growth in renewable wind and solar power, mapping an energy transition through theory, case studies, and policy. Wind and solar are the most dynamic components of the global power sector. How did this happen? After the 1973 oil crisis, the limitations of an energy system based on fossil fuels created an urgent need to experiment with alternatives, and some pioneering governments reaped political gains by investing heavily in alternative energy such as wind or solar power. Public policy enabled growth over time, and economies of scale brought down costs dramatically. In this book, Michaël Aklin and Johannes Urpelainen offer a comprehensive political analysis of the rapid growth in renewable wind and solar power, mapping an energy transition through theory, case studies, and policy analysis. Aklin and Urpelainen argue that, because the fossil fuel energy system and political support for it are so entrenched, only an external shock—an abrupt rise in oil prices, or a nuclear power accident, for example—allows renewable energy to grow. They analyze the key factors that enable renewable energy to withstand political backlash, andt they draw on this analyisis to explain and predict the development of renewable energy in different countries over time. They examine the pioneering efforts in the United States, Germany, and Denmark after the 1973 oil crisis and other shocks; explain why the United States surrendered its leadership role in renewable energy; and trace the recent rapid growth of modern renewables in electricity generation, describing, among other things, the return of wind and solar to the United States. Finally, they apply the lessons of their analysis to contemporary energy policy issues.
Download or read book Long Term Projections of Power Political Economic and Military Forecasting written by Oskar Morgenstern and published by Cambridge, Mass : Ballinger Publishing Company. This book was released on 1973 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monograph presenting a critique of long term forecasting techniques operationally useful for predicting the shape of political power and technological capacity in the future - comprises a literature survey of major projections to the year 2000, and examines their relevance to armed forces power, economic systems, environmental problems, research and development efforts, etc. Bibliography pp. 217 to 224, references and statistical tables.
Download or read book Energy Policy and Forecasting written by Glenn R. DeSouza and published by Lexington Books. This book was released on 1981 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Energy Forecasting for Planners written by David Listokin and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-12-18 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the increased public awareness of a deepening energy crisis, governments at all levels have begun to examine their ability to act meaningfully in response to forms of short- and long-term energy-related political pressures. Emergency preparedness, conservation programs, and contingency planning have become watchwords in our new energy bureaus. The existence of a model provides an element of objectivity to the agency's policy pronouncements and, through the overlap in the energy agency's scope with that of other departments, the views of the energy agency are now made a part of regional development plans.This volume provides the tools to shape and implement community plans and programs relating to energy use in vehicular travel. Fully documented and effective fuel consumption forecasting models are clearly presented. These models range from static and flow adjustment equations delineating fuel consumption to analyses that explain patterns of change for vehicular use.This book shows the statistical procedures used to estimate the models, as well as the procedures used to test the models' significance. The authors include computer algorithms along with full, working examples; both are presented together with an analysis of all the principal alternative approaches. Finally, problems such as the distribution of fuel reserves to meet needs in particular areas within a jurisdiction are explored.
Download or read book Renewable Energy Resource Assessment and Forecasting written by George Galanis and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-11-27 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, several projects and studies have been launched towards the development and use of new methodologies, in order to assess, monitor, and support clean forms of energy. Accurate estimation of the available energy potential is of primary importance, but is not always easy to achieve. The present Special Issue on ‘Renewable Energy Resource Assessment and Forecasting’ aims to provide a holistic approach to the above issues, by presenting multidisciplinary methodologies and tools that are able to support research projects and meet today’s technical, socio-economic, and decision-making needs. In particular, research papers, reviews, and case studies on the following subjects are presented: wind, wave and solar energy; biofuels; resource assessment of combined renewable energy forms; numerical models for renewable energy forecasting; integrated forecasted systems; energy for buildings; sustainable development; resource analysis tools and statistical models; extreme value analysis and forecasting for renewable energy resources.
Download or read book A Guide to Energy Forecasting written by Graham Duxbury and published by Troubador Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2017-09-26 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the purposes, methodologies, modelling techniques and weaknesses in energy forecasting. It provides a rare appraisal of what is generally known as the ‘end use sector’ approach to global demand forecasting. It exposes the fallibilities that are hidden in the seductive power point presentations of forecasters and the false sense of accuracy bestowed upon them. It nevertheless stresses that forecasting remains crucial and of value to the industry. By raising awareness of the forecasting risks and the often ‘smoke and mirrors’ nature of the exercise as well as offering commentary on how the process and use of forecasts could be improved, although not necessarily the accuracy, this book is must-read for those in government, corporate planning and financing sectors of the energy industry who rely on forecasts to make policy, investment and trading decisions.
Download or read book Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment written by Jan Kleissl and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2013-06-25 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment is a vital text for solar energy professionals, addressing a critical gap in the core literature of the field. As major barriers to solar energy implementation, such as materials cost and low conversion efficiency, continue to fall, issues of intermittency and reliability have come to the fore. Scrutiny from solar project developers and their financiers on the accuracy of long-term resource projections and grid operators’ concerns about variable short-term power generation have made the field of solar forecasting and resource assessment pivotally important. This volume provides an authoritative voice on the topic, incorporating contributions from an internationally recognized group of top authors from both industry and academia, focused on providing information from underlying scientific fundamentals to practical applications and emphasizing the latest technological developments driving this discipline forward. The only reference dedicated to forecasting and assessing solar resources enables a complete understanding of the state of the art from the world’s most renowned experts. Demonstrates how to derive reliable data on solar resource availability and variability at specific locations to support accurate prediction of solar plant performance and attendant financial analysis. Provides cutting-edge information on recent advances in solar forecasting through monitoring, satellite and ground remote sensing, and numerical weather prediction.
Download or read book Energy Forecasting for Planners written by Jon H. Weyland and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-04-22 with total page 171 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the increased public awareness of a deepening energy crisis, governments at all levels have begun to examine their ability to act meaningfully in response to forms of short- and long-term energy-related political pressures. Emergency preparedness, conservation programs, and contingency planning have become watchwords in our new energy bureaus.
Download or read book The Politics of Energy Crises written by Juliet E. Carlisle and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016-09-09 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Energy crises, which amount to painful combinations of energy shortages and soaring prices, have struck the United States several times in recent decades. Each time they have resulted in political and economic shockwaves because, when gasoline becomes more expensive, the American public tends to react with anger and suspicion. Energy crises instantly put related issues at the top of the nation's agenda, sometimes with dramatic consequences for public policy. What can we learn from recent history, particularly as it may predict the role that volatile public opinion will play throughout the energy policy making process? As The Politics of Energy Crises demonstrates, one can discern patterns in politics and policymaking when looking at the cycles of energy crises in the United States. As such it is the first systematic historical study of political conflict, public opinion, and organized interest group and presidential and congressional action on energy issues, starting with the 1973 OPEC boycott and continuing through the present day. By charting the commonalities in political battles during energy crises, the authors make prognoses about what future energy crises will mean for United States policy.
Download or read book Renewable Energy Forecasting and Risk Management written by Philippe Drobinski and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-27 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gathering selected, revised and extended contributions from the conference ‘Forecasting and Risk Management for Renewable Energy FOREWER’, which took place in Paris in June 2017, this book focuses on the applications of statistics to the risk management and forecasting problems arising in the renewable energy industry. The different contributions explore all aspects of the energy production chain: forecasting and probabilistic modelling of renewable resources, including probabilistic forecasting approaches; modelling and forecasting of wind and solar power production; prediction of electricity demand; optimal operation of microgrids involving renewable production; and finally the effect of renewable production on electricity market prices. Written by experts in statistics, probability, risk management, economics and electrical engineering, this multidisciplinary volume will serve as a reference on renewable energy risk management and at the same time as a source of inspiration for statisticians and probabilists aiming to work on energy-related problems.
Download or read book Transforming Power written by Aynsley Kellow and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1996, this book is an exploration and analysis of the electricity industry in the context of uncertainty following the energy crisis of the 1970s and concern over the greenhouse effect. Few industries demand a similar level of foresight and planning, or such vast amounts of capital. The book examines five well-known Australian, Canadian and New Zealand cases and closely analyses the ways in which various agencies have sought ends to serve the means at their disposal. Electricity has long been regarded as a natural monopoly, but questions of privatisation, regulation and government control are increasingly prevalent. The book explores these issues and also notes the experiences of other countries in its analysis of institutional reform. Aynsley Kellow argues for different approaches to electricity planning, which offer much by way of economic savings and minimisation of environmental problems.
Download or read book Energy Time Series Forecasting written by Lars Dannecker and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-08-06 with total page 231 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Lars Dannecker developed a novel online forecasting process that significantly improves how forecasts are calculated. It increases forecasting efficiency and accuracy, as well as allowing the process to adapt to different situations and applications. Improving the forecasting efficiency is a key pre-requisite for ensuring stable electricity grids in the face of an increasing amount of renewable energy sources. It is also important to facilitate the move from static day ahead electricity trading towards more dynamic real-time marketplaces. The online forecasting process is realized by a number of approaches on the logical as well as on the physical layer that we introduce in the course of this book. Nominated for the Georg-Helm-Preis 2015 awarded by the Technische Universität Dresden.
Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices written by Rafal Weron and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-01-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company processes—electricity prices and loads. It provides coverage of seasonal decomposition, mean reversion, heavy-tailed distributions, exponential smoothing, spike preprocessing, autoregressive time series including models with exogenous variables and heteroskedastic (GARCH) components, regime-switching models, interval forecasts, jump-diffusion models, derivatives pricing and the market price of risk. Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices is packaged with a CD containing both the data and detailed examples of implementation of different techniques in Matlab, with additional examples in SAS. A reader can retrace all the intermediate steps of a practical implementation of a model and test his understanding of the method and correctness of the computer code using the same input data. The book will be of particular interest to the quants employed by the utilities, independent power generators and marketers, energy trading desks of the hedge funds and financial institutions, and the executives attending courses designed to help them to brush up on their technical skills. The text will be also of use to graduate students in electrical engineering, econometrics and finance wanting to get a grip on advanced statistical tools applied in this hot area. In fact, there are sixteen Case Studies in the book making it a self-contained tutorial to electricity load and price modeling and forecasting.
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Energy Politics written by Kathleen J. Hancock and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2020-10-15 with total page 833 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In many ways, everything we once knew about energy resources and technologies has been impacted by: the longstanding scientific consensus on climate change and related support for renewable energy; the affordability of extraction of unconventional fuels; increasing demand for energy resources by middle- and low-income nations; new regional and global stakeholders; fossil fuel discoveries and emerging renewable technologies; awareness of (trans)local politics; and rising interest in corporate social responsibility (CSR) and the need for energy justice. Research on these and related topics now appears frequently in social science academic journals-in broad-based journals, such as International Organization, International Studies Quarterly, and Review of International Political Economy, as well as those focused specifically on energy (e.g., Energy Research & Social Science and Energy Policy), the environment (Global Environmental Politics), natural resources (Resources Policy), and extractive industries (Extractive Industries and Society). The Oxford Handbook of Energy Politics synthesizes and aggregates this substantively diverse literature to provide insights into, and a foundation for teaching and research on, critical energy issues primarily in the areas of international relations and comparative politics. Its primary goals are to further develop the energy politics scholarship and community, and generate sophisticated new work that will benefit a variety of scholars working on energy issues"--
