Download or read book The Magic of Choosing Uncertainty written by Tom Scarda and published by . This book was released on 2014-04 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do you have a problem deciding between soup and salad? Are you always asking others for their opinion. This book is for you. Tom Scarda shares techniques from his own experiences to help you make everyday decisions and major life choices. Tom includes techniques and exercises to help you change your ways, if you chose to. He calls these sections, "Fuel for Change."
Download or read book Thriving Through Uncertainty written by Tama Kieves and published by National Geographic Books. This book was released on 2018-01-09 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tama Kieves--inspirational coach, career transition expert and author of Inspired & Unstoppable--guides you through life's uncertain times, helping you discover the blessings within difficulties. Tama Kieves knows a thing or two about dramatic changes. After graduating from Harvard Law School with honors, Tama left an unfulfilling life at a prestigious corporate law firm to pursue her passion and make a name for herself as a writer and inspirational speaker. Now, she dedicates her time to helping people face their fears, tackle uncertainty, and shift their mindset to achieve the extraordinary in their own lives. This book isn't just about getting through life changes, it'll teach you to use that change and uncertainty as a launching pad for joy. Thriving Through Uncertainty proves that the moment your plans fall apart is precisely when your true destiny begins. With Tama's guidance, you can take hold of the blessings and opportunities hidden within uncertain transitional periods and begin to move forward. Weaving together practical exercises and techniques along with anecdotes from Tama's own experiences, you'll master key lessons like: -How to control your mindset and mood to stay focused and happy -Having faith in yourself and your journey -Allowing yourself to feel pain and discomfort -Continuing to thrive through future obstacles, and much more. Packed with heartfelt and dynamic guidance, this supportive, inspiring book will make you feel as if you've attended several sessions with Tama herself.
Download or read book Great by Choice written by Jim Collins and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2011-10-11 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ten years after the worldwide bestseller Good to Great, Jim Collins returns withanother groundbreaking work, this time to ask: why do some companies thrive inuncertainty, even chaos, and others do not? Based on nine years of research,buttressed by rigorous analysis and infused with engaging stories, Collins andhis colleague Morten Hansen enumerate the principles for building a truly greatenterprise in unpredictable, tumultuous and fast-moving times. This book isclassic Collins: contrarian, data-driven and uplifting.
Download or read book The Economics and Uncertainties of Nuclear Power written by François Lévêque and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2015 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An in-depth and balanced economic analysis of the costs, hazards, regulation and politics of nuclear power.
Download or read book Magical Habits written by Monica Huerta and published by Duke University Press. This book was released on 2021-06-28 with total page 195 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Magical Habits Monica Huerta draws on her experiences growing up in her family's Mexican restaurants and her life as a scholar of literature and culture to meditate on how relationships among self, place, race, and storytelling contend with both the afterlives of history and racial capitalism. Whether dwelling on mundane aspects of everyday life, such as the smell of old kitchen grease, or grappling with the thorny, unsatisfying question of authenticity, Huerta stages a dynamic conversation among genres, voices, and archives: personal and critical essays exist alongside a fairy tale; photographs and restaurant menus complement fictional monologues based on her family's history. Developing a new mode of criticism through storytelling, Huerta takes readers through Cook County courtrooms, the Cristero Rebellion (in which her great-grandfather was martyred by the Mexican government), Japanese baths in San Francisco—and a little bit about Chaucer too. Ultimately, Huerta sketches out habits of living while thinking that allow us to consider what it means to live with and try to peer beyond history even as we are caught up in the middle of it. Duke University Press Scholars of Color First Book Award recipient
Download or read book The Visitor written by Karen Mc Dermott and published by BalboaPress. This book was released on 2011-07-21 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sometimes things happen to test us, its only if we pass the test do we receive the true gift. The time has come for the visitor to arrive. When this happens it is a life changing event for those he encounters. Their lives have reached a turning point and with the watchful eye of the Visitor they will each recieve a gem. By passing the test comes the opportunity to recieve the true gift if they are fortunate enough. His journey with each of these five women leads him to not only change their lives but also his own. From all negative situations is the potential for a positive outcome Endorsements : 1. I couldnt stop reading, I got emotional at a few points, I loved the story, I love the twists Sharyn,. Warrior Films 2. The Visitor gave me the answer that my heart longed for. Donna Di Lallo. .Adoptamum.com
Download or read book Taming Uncertainty written by Ralph Hertwig and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-08-13 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An examination of the cognitive tools that the mind uses to grapple with uncertainty in the real world. How do humans navigate uncertainty, continuously making near-effortless decisions and predictions even under conditions of imperfect knowledge, high complexity, and extreme time pressure? Taming Uncertainty argues that the human mind has developed tools to grapple with uncertainty. Unlike much previous scholarship in psychology and economics, this approach is rooted in what is known about what real minds can do. Rather than reducing the human response to uncertainty to an act of juggling probabilities, the authors propose that the human cognitive system has specific tools for dealing with different forms of uncertainty. They identify three types of tools: simple heuristics, tools for information search, and tools for harnessing the wisdom of others. This set of strategies for making predictions, inferences, and decisions constitute the mind's adaptive toolbox. The authors show how these three dimensions of human decision making are integrated and they argue that the toolbox, its cognitive foundation, and the environment are in constant flux and subject to developmental change. They demonstrate that each cognitive tool can be analyzed through the concept of ecological rationality—that is, the fit between specific tools and specific environments. Chapters deal with such specific instances of decision making as food choice architecture, intertemporal choice, financial uncertainty, pedestrian navigation, and adolescent behavior.
Download or read book The Magic of Organization written by Hugo Letiche and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2020-09-25 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exploring magic as a creative necessity in contemporary business, this book clarifies the differences between magic as an organizational resource and magic as fakery, pretence and manipulation. Using this lens, it highlights insights into the relationship between anthropology and business, and organizational studies.
Download or read book Thriving Through Uncertainty written by Tama Kieves and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2018-01-09 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tama Kieves--inspirational coach, career transition expert and author of Inspired & Unstoppable--guides you through life's uncertain times, helping you discover the blessings within difficulties. Tama Kieves knows a thing or two about dramatic changes. After graduating from Harvard Law School with honors, Tama left an unfulfilling life at a prestigious corporate law firm to pursue her passion and make a name for herself as a writer and inspirational speaker. Now, she dedicates her time to helping people face their fears, tackle uncertainty, and shift their mindset to achieve the extraordinary in their own lives. This book isn't just about getting through life changes, it'll teach you to use that change and uncertainty as a launching pad for joy. Thriving Through Uncertainty proves that the moment your plans fall apart is precisely when your true destiny begins. With Tama's guidance, you can take hold of the blessings and opportunities hidden within uncertain transitional periods and begin to move forward. Weaving together practical exercises and techniques along with anecdotes from Tama's own experiences, you'll master key lessons like: -How to control your mindset and mood to stay focused and happy -Having faith in yourself and your journey -Allowing yourself to feel pain and discomfort -Continuing to thrive through future obstacles, and much more. Packed with heartfelt and dynamic guidance, this supportive, inspiring book will make you feel as if you've attended several sessions with Tama herself.
Download or read book Theory and Methods for Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2007 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes an approach to high-level decision support for a Joint Forces Air Component Commander in combat operations or a Chief of Staff in defense planning. Its central theme is the fundamental importance of dealing effectively with uncertainty, whether in effects-based operations, building the Air Force's Commander's Predictive Environment, or planning future forces with the methods of capabilities-based planning. Because many features of the future cannot be predicted with reasonable confidence, it is better to proceed with the expectation of surprise developments and to have skill in recognizing adaptations and making them than it is to treat uncertainty merely as an annoyance. This report sketches the framework of a high-level decision-support environment that is top-down, expresses concepts in simple and intuitive language, deals explicitly with risk and uncertainty, and provides the capability for decisionmakers to readily discover and question the bases for key assumptions and assessments. It can accommodate both "rational-analytic" and "naturalistic" decisionmakers, allowing them to produce strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust (FAR). Two explicit methods and their related tools are described. The first involves portfolio-style thinking and analysis, a good mechanism for balancing risks and other considerations in choosing a course of action. The second is a novel modification of foresight exercises that addresses the need to include humans effectively in dealing with uncertainty. A more extensive discussion of available methods and enabling technologies is also presented, along with some recommendations about investment priorities.
Download or read book Fuzzy TOPSIS written by Mohamed El Alaoui and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-05-26 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book aims to justify the use of fuzzy logic as a logic and as an uncertainty theory in the decision-making context. It also discusses the development of the TOPSIS method (Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) with related examples and MATLAB codes. This is the first book devoted to TOPSIS and its fuzzy versions. It presents the use of fuzzy logic as a logic and as an uncertainty theory in the decision-making content and discusses the development of the TOPSIS method in classical and fuzzy context. The book justifies the use of fuzzy logic as an uncertainty theory and provides illustrative examples for each fuzzy TOPSIS extension, along with related MATLAB codes and case studies. This book is for industrial engineers, operations research engineers, systems engineers, and production engineers working in the areas of decision analysis, multi-criteria decision making, and multiple objective optimization.
Download or read book Magic and Loss written by Virginia Heffernan and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2017-06-27 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Virginia Heffernan gives a highly informative analysis of what the internet is and can be in an examination of its past, present and future.
Download or read book Analytical Skills for AI and Data Science written by Daniel Vaughan and published by O'Reilly Media. This book was released on 2020-05-21 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While several market-leading companies have successfully transformed their business models by following data- and AI-driven paths, the vast majority have yet to reap the benefits. How can your business and analytics units gain a competitive advantage by capturing the full potential of this predictive revolution? This practical guide presents a battle-tested end-to-end method to help you translate business decisions into tractable prescriptive solutions using data and AI as fundamental inputs. Author Daniel Vaughan shows data scientists, analytics practitioners, and others interested in using AI to transform their businesses not only how to ask the right questions but also how to generate value using modern AI technologies and decision-making principles. You’ll explore several use cases common to many enterprises, complete with examples you can apply when working to solve your own issues. Break business decisions into stages that can be tackled using different skills from the analytical toolbox Identify and embrace uncertainty in decision making and protect against common human biases Customize optimal decisions to different customers using predictive and prescriptive methods and technologies Ask business questions that create high value through AI- and data-driven technologies
Download or read book I CHOOSE YOU written by MIRRIAM MUSONDA-SALATI and published by Mirriam Kangwa Salati-Oppong. This book was released on 2024-02-02 with total page 11 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "I Choose You" unfolds the riveting saga of Olivia and Alexander, bound by the mysterious allure of an ancient locket. Passed down through generations, this timeless piece becomes the focal point of a narrative that traverses through the annals of history. As Olivia and Alexander face the complexities of love, their choices become threads woven into the fabric of destiny. From the grandeur of ancient civilizations to the challenges of contemporary life, each chapter unravels the profound connection between these two souls. In a dance where choices shape the course of their shared future, the locket acts as a guide, echoing through time and resonating with the heartbeat of enduring love. Will their commitment withstand the tests of time, or will the choices they make redefine the very essence of their connection? "I Choose You" invites readers into a world where love and choice intersect, creating a narrative that transcends the ordinary. Through echoes of the past and present, Olivia and Alexander's journey unfolds, leaving an indelible mark on the heart of the reader. Immerse yourself in this tale where the power of choice becomes a beacon illuminating the path toward an everlasting love.
Download or read book Uncertainty in Strategic Decision Making written by Richard J. Arend and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2024-01-03 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Knight (1921) defines uncertainty as an informational market failure that, while being detrimental to most existing businesses, presents possible profitable opportunities for others. This book builds upon that classic work by providing an analysis of the alternative approaches to strategic decision-making under such uncertainty. It covers what uncertainty is, why it is important, and what connections it has to business and related fields, culminating in a new and comprehensive typology and a valuable guide for how to appropriately address various types of uncertainties, even under AI. It clarifies the current terminological and categorical confusion about ‘unknowns’ while complementing the mathematical, probability-based approaches that treat uncertainty as ‘knowable’ (i.e., as risk). It corrects the mistaken approaches that treat ‘unknowables’ as ‘shapeable’ or ‘discoverable’. This book widens the perspective for viewing uncertainty, in terms of its impacts across humanity, by offering a shrewder understanding of what roles uncertainties play in human activity. It will appeal to academics across business, economics, philosophy, and other disciplines looking for approaches to apply, test, and hone for dealing with decision-making under uncertainty.
Download or read book Analytics and Intuition in the Process of Selecting Talent written by Jürgen Deters and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2022-11-07 with total page 662 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human decisions, especially in management and personnel selection, are based on making judgments about people analytically and intuitively. Yet in business and scientific contexts, judgments are expected to be based on a rational analysis rather than intuitions or emotions. Intuition is often seen as something mystical that should not be trusted and thus eliminated from human decision-making. Our empirical and theoretical research shows that this is impossible when people are dealing with people. Instead, intuitions and emotions have significant power in the decision-making process. Neuroscience even shows that humans are incapable of switching off their emotions or intuitions when making decisions. Therefore, intuition and emotions as evolutionary achievements of human beings should be looked at more closely to use the wisdom they offer. This book provides an insight into the current state of research on rational-analytical procedures in personnel selection and complements this with research on intuitions and emotions in personnel diagnostics. By integrating scientifically verifiable rational-analytical decision-making procedures with the inner experiential knowledge of people, this book bridges two complementary ways of recognizing and making good decisions. It demonstrates how intuitions are developed and used in different fields of practice and cultures and how scientific research results from rational-analytical and intuitive-emotional selection procedures are successfully integrated by practitioners.
Download or read book Unicorn Magic written by Kitty Bishop and published by BalboaPress. This book was released on 2010-08-25 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unicorn Magic teaches you about the true nature of unicorns, why people are now remembering them, and their purpose for returning to this planet at this time. Included in this book are messages, meditations and exercises to help you heal your heart and discover and manifest your soul's purpose. You will find out more about the psychic children, what they have come to teach us and how healing your heart chakra with these powerful tools can lead to an increase in joy, prosperity and success in your life. You will discover 8 unicorn signs and symbols and how to decode messages in numerology. This book will also teach you how to use past lives as a healing modality, how to use quantum physics to discover the ultimate nature of reality and how to use hermetics to understand the vibrational qualities of the elementals, including fairies, mermaids, and sylphs. The teachings in this book will transform your life!
