Download or read book The Information Content of Quarterly Earnings Data and the Market s Revision of Risk Predictions Implied in Options Prices written by David Chen Ming-Dau and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Information Content of Quarterly Earnings Data and the Market s Revision of Risk Predictions Implied in Option Prices written by David Ming-Dau Chen and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation of the Information Content of Annual Earnings Announcements written by Gordon Douglas Richardson and published by Ann Arbor, Mich. : University Microfilms International. This book was released on 1983 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Interpreting the Volatility Smile written by Steven A. Weinberg and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Option Market s Anticipation of Information Content in Earnings Announcements written by Mary Brooke Billings and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We exploit information in option prices in order to study whether the ex post responsiveness of tock prices to earnings information is reflected from an ex ante, firm- and quarter-specific perspective. Specifically, we develop a measure of anticipated information content (AIC) that isolates the forecasted magnitude of the stock market's reaction to earnings information. We find that the AIC positively correlates with the ex post magnitude of the stock market sensitivity to unexpected earnings, increases with earnings persistence, firm growth prospects, the richness of firms' information environments and the presence of (and changes in) sophisticated ownership, and decreases with discount rates. Our paper sheds light on the role that earnings information plays in shaping option-market behavior and offers researchers an option-market approach to studying the responsiveness of stock prices to earnings information.
Download or read book Misstated Quarterly Earnings Alternative Information and Financial Analyst Earnings Forecast Revisions written by Michael L. Ettredge and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book American Doctoral Dissertations written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 696 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Information Content of Guidance and Earnings written by Jonathan A. Milian and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I compare the information content of quarterly earnings guidance and quarterly earnings by examining their associations with current and future stock returns when the two signals are bundled at earnings announcements. At the bundled announcement, I find a significantly stronger association between announcement returns and guidance news. From the day after the bundled announcement through the next earnings announcement, both signals generate abnormal return drifts of about 200 basis points. However, the timing of the post-announcement returns differs considerably. For guidance, about 50% of the post-announcement drift occurs at the next earnings announcement. In contrast, for earnings, about 20% of the preceding drift reverses at the next earnings announcement. Investor ignorance of the drift following guidance news coupled with a fixation on post-earnings announcement drift potentially explains this surprising difference in the timing of the post-announcement returns. Overall, this study indicates that bundled quarterly earnings guidance contains more information than quarterly earnings and that investors incorrectly overweight the earnings news and underweight the guidance news during the post-announcement period until the next earnings announcement.
Download or read book The Predictive Value of Interim Reports for Improving Forecasts of Future Quarterly Earnings written by Lawrence D. Brown and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimates of future quarterly earnings are of prime importance to capital market participants for formulating their investment decisions. Superior ability to forecast future earnings may enable investors to reap extraordinary returns by trading in the affected securities. The extant forecast accuracy literature has presented convincing evidence that interim accounting data contain predictive value for improving forecasts of annual earnings. But by concentrating upon forecasts of annual earnings, past research has presented no evidence regarding the predictive value of interim data for improving forecasts of future quarterly earnings. Improved annual forecasts are not synonymous with improved forecasts of future quarterly earnings. As the year progresses, the annual earnings forecast generally can be significantly improved by substituting known interim data for their earlier predicted values, leaving intact previous forecasts of future quarterly earnings. By introducing an alternative methodology, evidence is presented that interim data have predictive value for improving forecasts of future quarterly earnings.
Download or read book Using Option Implied Volatilities to Predict Absolute Stock Returns Evidence from Earnings Announcements and Annual Shareholders Meetings written by Suresh Govindaraj and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide evidence that an option implied volatility-based measure predicts future absolute excess returns of the underlying stock around earnings announcements and annual meetings of shareholders, even after controlling for the realized stock return volatility shortly before these information events, and the volatility of excess stock returns around these two events in the past. Our results imply that option traders anticipate the change in uncertainty around these two scheduled events, and also trade on the expected volatility. In addition, we show that net straddle returns (after transaction costs) around earnings announcements and annual meetings of shareholders are significantly and negatively related to the predicted volatility of returns around the events. This suggests that the writers of call and put options expect to be compensated for the predicted volatility. Overall, we find that option traders anticipate and correctly incorporate the volatility induced by the information released in quarterly earnings announcements, and annual meetings of shareholders.
Download or read book Information Share in Options Markets written by Lenaye Harris and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I find no significant difference in the level of information share attributed to the option market when using put data as opposed to call data. In a 12-day sample of 14 S&P 500 stocks, trading volume in the options market increased significantly on the day of an earnings announcement, but, although some securities showed dramatic increases in option information share, no sample-wide consistently signed difference was found around earnings announcements. Companies with higher stock trading volume tend to exhibit higher information share in the options market. Implied price volatility is somewhat correlated with higher information share in options, but its significance shrinks when jointly evaluated with volume.
Download or read book Implied Volatility Functions written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black-Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the underlying asset's return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time and develop the deterministic volatility function (DVF) option valuation model, which has the potential of fitting the observed cross-section of option prices exactly. Using a sample of S & P 500 index options during the period June 1988 through December 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive and hedging performance of the DV option valuation model. We find that its performance is worse than that of an ad hoc Black-Scholes model with variable implied volatilities.
Download or read book Comprehensive Dissertation Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 978 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 734 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
Download or read book Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data written by Peter Easton and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2009 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data focuses on estimating the expected rate of return implied by market prices, summary accounting numbers, and forecasts of earnings and dividends. Estimates of the expected rate of return, often used as proxies for the cost of capital, are obtained by inverting accounting-based valuation models. The author describes accounting-based valuation models and discusses how these models have been used, and how they may be used, to obtain estimates of the cost of capital. The practical appeal of accounting-based valuation models is that they focus on the two variables that are commonly at the heart of valuations carried out by equity analysts -- forecasts of earnings and forecasts of earnings growth. The question at the core of this monograph is -- How can these forecasts be used to obtain an estimate of the cost of capital? The author examines the empirical validity of the estimates based on these forecasts and explores ways to improve these estimates. In addition, this monograph details a method for isolating the effect of any factor of interest (such as cross-listing, fraud, disclosure quality, taxes, analyst following, accounting standards, etc.) on the cost of capital. If you are interested in understanding the academic literature on accounting-based estimates of expected rate of return this monograph is for you. Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data provides a foundation for a deeper comprehension of this literature and will give a jump start to those who have an interest in these topics. The key ideas are introduced via examples based on actual forecasts, accounting information, and market prices for listed firms, and the numerical examples are based on sound algebraic relations.
