Download or read book The Impact of the Financial Crisis on the Role of Credit Rating as a Determinant of Asset Backed Securities Launch Spreads written by Riccardo Magno and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I investigate the evolution of spread determinants on structured finance issues over a twelve years period, before and during the financial crisis, with a specific focus on the impact of the securitization markets collapse on the role of Credit Rating as a determinant of asset-backed securities launch spread. Through an empirical study on a sample of securitization issues, I find that Credit Rating influence on spread has been subject to changes on specific aspects since the beginning of the financial crisis. I find evidences that on average, during the financial crisis, higher Credit Ratings have a less intense impact in lowering asset-backed securities' launch spread than in pre-crisis times, while negative ratings' worsening effect on spread is somehow amplified. Furthermore, I find a few evidences that during the financial crisis investors may also rely on other public information about liquidity and market characteristics and as well about systematic risk aspects in assessing a given issue. Such information is usually included in Credit Rating to assess structured finance issues, but has revealed to be less significant in pre-crisis time. Thus the influence of Credit Rating on spread, and as well that of other relevant spread determinants, may be subject to changes in structure and dimension as a result of the financial crisis. I also theoretically discuss and suggest the likely possibility that such results are linked to changes in markets and investors' expectations about Credit Rating and Rating Agencies' reliability and trustworthiness.
Download or read book Good News is No News written by John Ammer and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "We assess the impact of credit ratings on the pricing of structured financial products, using a sample of more than 1300 changes in Moodys or Standard and Poors (S & P) ratings of U.S. asset-backed securities (ABS). We find that rating downgrades tend to be accompanied by negative returns and widening spreads, with the average effects stronger than those that have been reported in prior research on corporate and sovereign bond ratings. A portion of the negative implications of ABS downgrades are anticipated by price movements ahead of the rating action, although to a lesser degree than has been found for bond ratings. Accordingly, ABS market participants appear to rely somewhat more on rating agencies as a source of negative news about credit risk. Nevertheless, because ABS rating downgrades are relatively rare events, their effects account for only a small fraction of the variance of returns. In contrast to our results on downgrades, market reactions to ABS rating upgrades are virtually zero, on average. Together, the results imply even greater asymmetry in the value-relevance of ABS rating changes than has been found in event studies of changes in bond ratings"--Federal Reserve Board web site
Download or read book The Role of Rating Agencies in Financial Crises written by Malte Henrik Klein and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2016-03-11 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - International Economic Relations, grade: 2.0, University of Osnabrück, language: English, abstract: To understand the roots of the capital markets and the rating agencies I want to start this Bachelor Thesis with a historical development. With introduction of the Issuer Pays Model and the proclamation of so called NRSROs there is the starting point for a long time discussion within the credit rating industry. Then I want to introduce the case of Enron, a former energy conglomerate which has been wrongly rated by the rating agencies. I want to investigate if there are any parallels to the crisis of 2007. I also want to understand and show the reasons and the structure of the crisis of 2007. So I will introduce the Subprime market and structured finance, as these topics were probably the triggers for the crisis. The main part of my thesis is to find an explanation for the performance of the credit rating agencies. I use a theoretical model which stresses the complexity of assets. The model says that the more complex an asset is, the harder it is to rate for the agencies. In opposite to that I want to compare the results of the theoretical model with an empirical study. I want to investigate if the theoretical model gets the same result as the empirical approach or if there are huge differences. At last I want to introduce some solution proposals by myself and think about further approaches.
Download or read book Wall Street and the Financial Crisis The role of credit rating agencies April 23 2010 written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs. Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 1228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book To the Brink of Destruction written by Timothy J. Sinclair and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2021-11-15 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To the Brink of Destruction exposes how America's rating agencies helped generate the global financial crisis of 2007 and beyond, surviving and thriving in the aftermath. Despite widespread scrutiny, rating agencies continued to operate on the same business model and wield extraordinary power, exerting extensive influence over public policy. Timothy J. Sinclair brings the shadowy corners of this story to life by examining congressional testimony, showing how the wheels of accountability turned—and ultimately failed—during the crisis. He asks how and why the agencies risked their lucrative franchise by aligning so closely with a process of financial innovation that came undone during the crisis. What he finds is that key institutions, including the agencies, changed from being judges to being advocates years before the crisis, eliminating a vital safety valve meant to hinder financial excess. Sinclair's well-researched investigation offers a clear, accessible explanation of structured finance and how it works. To the Brink of Destruction avoids tired accusations, instead providing novel insight into the role rating agencies played in the worst crisis of modern global capitalism.
Download or read book The Role and Impact of Credit Rating Agencies on the Subprime Credit Markets written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Asset Backed Securitization and Financial Stability written by and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asset-backed securitization (ABS) may contribute to generating instability in financial markets both through an 'inside effect' in the banking system - facilitating progressive deterioration of bank assets' quality - and through an 'outside effect' - favoring credit risk transfer from balance sheets of banks acting as originators to investors in asset-backed securities (ABS). The rating assigned to ABS has the function of indicating to the market the credit risk borne by investors. This depends on the quality of assets and of guarantees lent by originators and by any third-party guarantor, as well as on the trend of macroeconomic determinants which may compromise the capacity of principal debtors to honor their debts.The underlying hypothesis on which this work is based is that rating models do not correctly embody the impact of macroeconomic variables on debtors' solvency, determining a lag in downgrading. In particular, it is considered that any variations in interest rates and GDP have an impact on ABS performances, but that such an impact is not picked up in a timely fashion by rating models. Essentially, in pre-crisis periods, when interest rate increases as well as decreases are recorded in growth rates of GDP, rating assessments fail to register risk increases in ABS securities, only proceeding to downgrade later, when variations in macroeconomic variables have generated negative effects on the flow of ABS funds.We verify this hypothesis specifically with reference to ABS transactions active during the recent financial and economic crisis. We then proceed to test information on ABS rating, assessing it in relation to the timing of downgrading on a sample of transactions which took place between 2000 and 2009. The conclusions reached confirm the theoretical hypothesis, demonstrating that, in the pre-crisis period, when macroeconomic variables suggested the need for a downgrading judgement, agencies delayed downmarking, making the announcement only at a later stage, after the crisis had taken place and the transaction criticalities were already displayed. The chapter is related to the literature analyzing relations between the financial crisis and asset- backed securitization, bringing an innovative contribution to empirical and theoretical studies, aimed at defining an interpretational model for relations between ABS and financial crises.
Download or read book The Economics of Credit Rating Agencies written by Francesco Sangiorgi and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Economics of Credit Rating Agencies explores the economic and regulatory issues and frictions associated with credit rating agencies in the aftermath of the financial crisis. While ratings and other public signals are important, they can discourage independent due diligence and be a source of systemic risk. The authors highlight the diverse underlying views towards these competing approaches to reducing systemic risk and discuss the subtle contrasts between credit rating agencies and other types of due diligence providers, such as auditors, analysts and proxy-voting advisors. After an introduction, Section 2 provides a broad discussion of ratings in the regulatory framework, as well as how ratings potentially crowd out private information production and the risks associated with overreliance on ratings in market pricing. Section 3 contrasts credit rating agencies with alternative gatekeepers, such as auditors, analysts and proxy-voting advisers. Section 4 describes the difficulty of selling information and the underpinnings of the payment model for various financial information intermediaries under alternative assumptions. Section 5 discusses of rating agency analyst conflict of interest. An important aspect of credit ratings is the feedback effect that arises when a firm's behavior responds to the change in the cost of funding that is influenced by the rating. Feedback effects arise because of contractual triggers, but also through coordination and learning channels. Section 6 discusses these channels and especially the learning channel. Section 7 discusses selection issues including rating shopping and the contrast between solicited and unsolicited credit ratings. Section 8 contrasts ratings across products, including sovereign debt, and rating agencies. The nature of competition and the role of entry and reputation in the credit rating agency space are explored in Section 9. Section 10 examines why ratings matter, as well as techniques for identifying the real effects of ratings. The authors provide concluding observations and takeaways about rating agencies that emerged as a byproduct of the financial crisis in Section 11.
Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations Types and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.
Download or read book The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions written by Jiri Podpiera and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-06-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to identify the fundamental variables that drive the credit default swaps during the initial phase of distress in selected European Large Complex Financial Institutions (LCFIs). It uses yearly data over 2004 - 08 for 29 European LCFIs. The results from a dynamic panel data estimator show that LCFIs’ business models, earnings potential, and economic uncertainty (represented by market expectations about the future risks of a particular LCFI and market views on prospects for economic growth) are among the most significant determinants of credit risk. The findings of the paper are broadly consistent with those of the literature on bank failure, where the determinants of the latter include the entire CAMELS structure - that is, Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, Management Quality, Earnings Potential, Liquidity, and Sensitivity to Market Risk. By establishing a link between the financial and market fundamentals of LCFIs and their CDS spreads, the paper offers a potential tool for fundamentals-based vulnerability and early warning system for LCFIs.
Download or read book The Global Financial Crisis Asset Backed Securitization Regulatory Responses Thereto in the EU and the United States written by Troy C. Fuhriman and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States and the European Union (“EU”) are at the forefront of financial market re-regulation in the wake of the most recent banking, financial and economic crisis. Since 2007, they, like those regulators in various other jurisdictions around the world, have instituted new regulations on asset-backed securities (“ABS”). Such regulations have been part of a comprehensive, yet fairly disjointed, re-regulation of domestic and international financial markets, including previously lightly regulated areas. While their asset-backed securitization (“securitization”) regulations have had some positive impact on the functionality of the debt markets in the United States, Europe and beyond, they (1) have thus far failed to provide a coherent legal framework for market participants to rely upon and have (2) increased the political risk associated with involvement in the debt markets.The disjointed and improperly targeted nature of regulatory efforts thus far are evident in the primary areas of securitization regulation thus far, the so-called “skin in the game” regulations and transparency regulations. In both areas, the United States and the EU have started with similar objectives but are in the process of instituting regulatory regimes that fail to be properly coordinated within their own jurisdictions and across jurisdictions as well. Part of the reasons for this is that regulators, in a bit of panic or maybe opportunism, started the regulatory process before they could fully understand what they were regulating or the true nature of the problems they were trying to deal with.As regulators and market participants around the world endeavor to restart ABS markets or even launch them for the first time, they need to do a better job of understanding the institutions and markets they are seeking to regulate. Additionally, they need to acknowledge that no regulations can make up for prudent underwriting and thorough due diligence. No amount of regulation can force such activities to take place.
Download or read book Asset backed Securities written by Richard H. Borgman and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Economics of Credit Rating Agencies written by Francesco Sangiorgi and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We explore through both an economics and regulatory lens the frictions associated with credit rating agencies in the aftermath of the financial crisis. While ratings and other public signals are an efficient response to scale economies in information production, these also can discourage independent due diligence and be a source of systemic risk. Though Dodd-Frank pulls back on the regulatory use of ratings, it also promotes greater regulation of the rating agencies. We highlight the diverse underlying views towards these competing approaches to reducing systemic risk. Our monograph also discusses the subtle contrasts between credit rating agencies and other types of due diligence providers, such as auditors, analysts and proxy-voting advisors. We discuss the frictions associated with paying for information in the context of credit ratings; while the issuer-pay model has been identified as a major issue because of potential conflict of interests, we argue that it has several advantages over the investor-pay model in promoting market transparency. We develop a formal reputation model to explore the underlying nature of rating inflation and how the reputational trade-off is affected by various aspects of the rating process such as regulatory constraints, the fee structure, asymmetric information between issuers and investors and the extent of competition among rating agencies. The monograph also uses our illustrative framework to highlight tension between rating accuracy and economic efficiency when ratings influence project value in the presence of feedback effects. We discuss how selective disclosure of ratings by the issuer distorts the distribution of observed ratings. Selection also provides an alternative explanation for why solicited (purchased) ratings exceed unsolicited (complimentary) ratings and helps interpret the greater SEC support for unsolicited ratings in recent years as illustrating the theory of the second best. We explore the impact of greater competition on welfare, building upon a variety of frameworks. Our analysis points to several ways in which ratings matter as well as techniques for documenting such effects.
Download or read book Lessons and Policy Implications from the Global Financial Crisis written by Mr.Luc Laeven and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-02-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ongoing global financial crisis is rooted in a combination of factors common to previous financial crises and some new factors. The crisis has brought to light a number of deficiencies in financial regulation and architecture, particularly in the treatment of systemically important financial institutions, the assessments of systemic risks and vulnerabilities, and the resolution of financial institutions. The global nature of the financial crisis has made clear that financially integrated markets, while offering many benefits, can also pose significant risks, with large real economic consequences. Deep reforms are therefore needed to the international financial architecture to safeguard the stability of an increasingly financially integrated world.
Download or read book Slapped by the Invisible Hand written by Gary B. Gorton and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2010-03-08 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally written for a conference of the Federal Reserve, Gary Gorton's "The Panic of 2007" garnered enormous attention and is considered by many to be the most convincing take on the recent economic meltdown. Now, in Slapped by the Invisible Hand, Gorton builds upon this seminal work, explaining how the securitized-banking system, the nexus of financial markets and instruments unknown to most people, stands at the heart of the financial crisis. Gorton shows that the Panic of 2007 was not so different from the Panics of 1907 or of 1893, except that, in 2007, most people had never heard of the markets that were involved, didn't know how they worked, or what their purposes were. Terms like subprime mortgage, asset-backed commercial paper conduit, structured investment vehicle, credit derivative, securitization, or repo market were meaningless. In this superb volume, Gorton makes all of this crystal clear. He shows that the securitized banking system is, in fact, a real banking system, allowing institutional investors and firms to make enormous, short-term deposits. But as any banking system, it was vulnerable to a panic. Indeed the events starting in August 2007 can best be understood not as a retail panic involving individuals, but as a wholesale panic involving institutions, where large financial firms "ran" on other financial firms, making the system insolvent. An authority on banking panics, Gorton is the ideal person to explain the financial calamity of 2007. Indeed, as the crisis unfolded, he was working inside an institution that played a central role in the collapse. Thus, this book presents the unparalleled and invaluable perspective of a top scholar who was also a key insider.
Download or read book Financial Crises written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-19 with total page 754 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lingering effects of the economic crisis are still visible—this shows a clear need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book surveys a wide range of crises, including banking, balance of payments, and sovereign debt crises. It begins with an overview of the various types of crises and introduces a comprehensive database of crises. Broad lessons on crisis prevention and management, as well as the short-term economic effects of crises, recessions, and recoveries, are discussed.
Download or read book What Caused the Global Financial Crisis written by Erlend Nier and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-11-01 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates empirically the drivers of financial imbalances ahead of the global financial crisis. Three factors may have contributed to the build-up of financial imbalances: (i) rising global imbalances (capital flows), (ii) monetary policy that might have been too loose, (iii) inadequate supervision and regulation. Panel data regressions are performed for OECD countries from 1999 to 2007, so as to shed light on the relative importance of these factors, as well as the extent to which these factors might have interacted in fuelling the build-up. We find that the build-up of financial imbalances was driven by capital inflows and an associated compression of the spread between long and short rates. The effect of capital inflows on the build-up is amplified where the supervisory and regulatory environment was relatively weak. We find that, by contrast, differences in monetary policy cannot account for differences across countries in the build-up of financial imbalances ahead of the crisis.
