Download or read book The Impact of Risk on Agricultural Production Decisions written by Quazi Shahabuddin and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Coping with Risk in Agriculture 3rd Edition written by J Brian Hardaker and published by CABI. This book was released on 2015-04-24 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk and uncertainty are inescapable factors in agriculture which require careful management. Farmers face production risks from the weather, crop and livestock performance, and pests and diseases, as well as institutional, personal and business risks. This revised third edition of the popular textbook includes updated chapters on theory and methods and contains a new chapter discussing the state-contingent approach to the analysis of production and the use of copulas to better model stochastic dependency. Aiming to introduce agricultural decision making, probability and risk preference, this book is an indispensable guide for students and researchers of agriculture and agribusiness management.

Download or read book Risk Management and the Environment Agriculture in Perspective written by B.A. Babcock and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk Management and the Environment: Agriculture in Perspective is a modern academic work that seeks to bring out both to the private and the policy sectors the importance of risk management in relation to the envi ronment in agriculture, as the world moves towards freer markets. Many efforts were pooled together in making this book. Three years ago, an attempt was made by one of the editors to get a project on 'Agri cultural Risk Management and Sustainabilty' (ARMAS) funded by the European Commission. Probably deeming the proposal as prematurely novel for Europe, the Commission's screening experts abandoned its evaluation. Following that experience it became apparent that the literature on the theme ought to be strengthened and emphasized through a book by a well known publishing house. The editorial team was formed relatively quickly and an invitation to known experts in the field for contributions was issued. Subsequently, Kluwer Academic Publishers, evaluated an edited volume proposal package, and final revisions were made prior to submitting the entire manuscript for publication. We are gratefully acknowledging the moral support of several individu als as well as the patience of our publishers.

Download or read book Managing Risk in Farming written by David Kahan and published by Food & Agriculture Organization of the UN (FAO). This book was released on 2013 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This guide is intended to help extension workers better understand the concept of risk, the situation where risk occurs and management strategies that can be used to reduce, or at least soften, its effect. It is hoped that the guide will be useful in assisting extension workers to provide farmers with advice on the kind of risk management strategies that they can employ to deal with risk in their day-to-day operations. In this way extension workers can help farmers recognize and understand the risks that they are likely to face and assist them in making better farm management decisions that reduce the negative effect of the risks encountered in farming.

Download or read book Managing Risk in Farming written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book A Comprehensive Assessment of the Role of Risk in U S Agriculture written by Richard E. Just and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 580 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After all the research on agricultural risk to date, the treatment of risk in agricultural research is far from harmonious. Many competing risk models have been proposed. Some new methodologies are largely untested. Some of the leading empirical methodologies in agricultural economic research are poorly suited for problems with aggregate data where risk averse behavior is less likely to be important. This book is intended to (i) define the current state of the literature on agricultural risk research, (ii) provide a critical evaluation of economic risk research on agriculture to date and (iii) set a research agenda that will meet future needs and prospects. This type of research promises to become of increasing importance because agricultural policy in the United States and elsewhere has decidedly shifted from explicit income support objectives to risk-related motivations of helping farmers deal with risk. Beginning with the 1996 Farm Bill, the primary set of policy instruments from U.S. agriculture has shifted from target prices and set aside acreage to agricultural crop insurance. Because this book is intended to have specific implications for U.S. agricultural policy, it has a decidedly domestic scope, but clearly many of the issues have application abroad. For each of the papers and topics included in this volume, individuals have been selected to give the strongest and broadest possible treatment of each facet of the problem. The result is this comprehensive reference book on the economics of agricultural risk.

Download or read book The Farmer s Decision written by Jerry L. Hatfield and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision making to achieve a balance between the economic goals of producers and environmental quality benefits is complex. Most of the time we consider that the balance is skewed to one side or the other and that there are winners and losers. From the production perspective, the loser is the economic return in exchange for environmental quality while from the environmental perspective, the loser is the environment at the expense of agricultural production and increased inputs. In reality, there are opportunities within agriculture for a win-win situation; however, to explore the endless possibilities that constitute acceptable solutions is extremely difficult. Over the past few years there has been an increasing development of decision support tools that provide a framework that could be applied to agriculture. As I have worked with producers extensively over the past few years, it has become apparent that we could provide more information to the American producer that would help them evaluate different scenarios in their farming systems and evaluate potential alternatives through a combination of simulation tools and decision support systems. These are easy concepts to suggest, but more difficult to implement. As an effort to expand our understanding of the potential of decision support tools for economic and environmental balance, a proposal was made to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in two theme areas. The outcome yielded an international workshop that assembled an international group of experts in decision support systems, simulation models, and agricultural production through industry, consultants, and producers. This group also addressed enhancing environmental quality in agricultural systems. ---Jerry L. Hatfield from Preface.

Download or read book The Economic Impact of Public Support to Agriculture written by Virgil Ball and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-07-27 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite a gradual and sustained decline in the contribution of agriculture to the economies of the member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), the sector remains socially and politically important. Although agriculture accounts for less than 2% of the gross domestic product of the OECD countries, it occupies over 35% of their total land area. Predominantly rural regions, where agriculture remains particularly important, contain almost one quarter of the population of OECD countries. The past quarter century has witnessed signi?cant changes in agricultural po- cies in OECD countries. Although total support remains high, a shift has taken place from price-linked measures to direct income support, most notably in the European Union. Policies have been adapted to meet pressing social concerns, such as ens- ing food security and improving environmental quality. OECD countries face major economic issues due to the ageing of their populations and the need to adapt to gl- alization and increasing competition from emerging economies. Continued pressure to reform agricultural policies will be exerted by the need to economize on the use of scarce public resources. At the same time, agriculture faces new challenges g- erated by climate change, the “greening” of the economy, increasing scarcity of energy and water, and the demands placed on the food system by an expanding world population.

Download or read book Modeling Farm Decisions For Policy Analysis written by Kenneth H Baum and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-03-08 with total page 442 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Microeconomic modeling has been an important tool for agricultural economists for several decades and promises to be important for ad-dressing the research problems of the 1980s as well. This volume explores the possibilities for using micromodeling to analyze how individual farm businesses react to and are affected by farm policies. Although this purpose represents only one potential use of micro-modeling, effective modeling for policy analysis necessitates a broad look from several historical, analytical, and institutional perspectives. The Micromodeling Conference held November 18-20, 1981, at Airlie House, Virginia, under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Agri-culture's Economic Research Service and the Farm Foundation reflected these concerns.

Download or read book How Does Risk Management Influence Production Decisions written by Shawn Cole and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Weather is a key source of income risk for many firms and households, particularly in emerging market economies. This paper studies how an innovative risk management instrument for hedging rainfall risk affects production decisions among a sample of Indian agricultural firms, using a randomized controlled trial approach. We find that the provision of insurance induces farmers to shift production towards higher-return but higher-risk cash crops, particularly amongst more-educated farmers. Our results support the view that financial innovation may help mitigate the real effects of uninsured production risk. In a second experiment we elicit willingness to pay for insurance policies that differ in their contract terms, using the Becker-DeGroot-Marshak mechanism. Willingness-to-pay is increasing in the actuarial value of the insurance, but substantially less than one-for-one, suggesting that farmers' valuations are inconsistent with a fully rational benchmark.

Download or read book Risk Uncertainty and the Agricultural Firm written by Charles Britt Moss and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. Introduction. 1.1. Formulating the risk problem. 1.2. Decision criteria. 1.3. Decision making under risk : fact and fiction -- 2. Probability theory - a mathematical basis for making decisions under risk and uncertainty. 2.1. Set theory and probability. 2.2. Random variables. 2.3. Conditional probability and independence. 2.4. Some useful distribution functions. 2.5. Expected value, moments, and the moment generating function. 2.6. Estimating probability functions. 2.7. Martingales and random walks. 2.8. Summary -- 3. Expected utility - the economic basis of decision making under risk. 3.1. Consumption and utility. 3.2. Expected utility. 3.3. Expected value - variance and expected utility models. 3.4. Problems with expected utility. 3.5. Summary -- 4. Risk aversion in the large and small. 4.1. Arrow-Pratt risk aversion coefficient. 4.2. Eliciting risk aversion coefficients. 4.3 Summary -- 5. Portfolio theory and decision making under risk. 5.1. The expected value - variance frontier. 5.2. A simple portfolio. 5.3. A graphical depiction of the expected value-variance frontier. 5.4. Mean-variance versus direct utility maximization. 5.5. Derivation of the expected value-variance frontier. 5.6. Summary -- 6. Whole farm-planning models. 6.1. Farm portfolio models. 6.2. Minimize total absolute deviation. 6.3. Focus-loss. 6.4. Target MOTAD. 6.5. Direct utility maximization. 6.6. Discrete sequential stochastic programming. 6.7. Chance-constrained programming. 6.8. Interpreting shadow values from risk programming models. 6.9. Summary -- 7. Risk efficiency approaches - stochastic dominance. 7.1. Stochastic dominance. 7.2. Applications of stochastic dominance. 7.3. Summary -- 8. Dynamic decision rules and the value of information. 8.1. Decision making and Bayesian probabilities. 8.2. Concepts of information. 8.3. A model of information. 8.4. Summary -- 9. Market models of decision making under risk. 9.1. Risk equilibrium from the consumer's point of view. 9.2. The role of the riskless asset. 9.3. Risk equilibrium from the firm's perspective. 9.4. Arbitrage pricing theorem. 9.5. Empirical applications of capital market models. 9.6. Summary -- 10. Option pricing approaches to risk. 10.1. Introductions to options and futures. 10.2. Real option valuation. 10.3. Crop insurance. 10.4. Summary -- 11. State contingent production model : the stochastic production set. 11.1. Depicting risk and input decisions in the production function. 11.2. State Production set and input requirement set. 11.3. Distance functions and risk aversion. 11.4. Summary -- 12. Risk, uncertainty, and the agricultural firm - a summary and outlook

Download or read book How Does Risk Management Influence Production Decisions Evidence from a Field Experiment written by Shawn Allen Cole and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Weather is a key source of income risk, particularly in emerging market economies. This paper uses a randomized controlled trial involving a sample of Indian farmers to study how an innovative rainfall insurance product affects production decisions. We find that insurance provision induces farmers -- particularly educated farmers -- to shift production toward higher-return but higher-risk cash crops. Our results support the view that financial innovation can mitigate the real effects of uninsured production risk. Addressing the puzzle of low adoption, we show that payouts improve trust in the product and that farmers shield payouts from claims by relatives.

Download or read book Coping with Risk in Agriculture written by J. B. Hardaker and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk and uncertainty are inescapable factors in agriculture which require careful management. Farmers face production risks from the weather, crop and livestock performance, and pests and diseases, as well as institutional, personal and business risks. This revised third edition of the popular textbook includes updated chapters on theory and methods and contains a new chapter discussing the state-contingent approach to the analysis of production and the use of copulas to better model stochastic dependency. Aiming to introduce agricultural decision making, probability and risk preference, this.

Download or read book The Role of Information and Flexibility in Small farm Decision Making and Risk Management written by Patricia M. Kristjanson and published by Ann Arbor, Mich. : University Microfilms International. This book was released on 1987 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Coping with Risk in Agriculture written by J. B. Hardaker and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1997 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk and uncertainty are inescapable factors in agriculture. Farmers face production risk, from the weather, crop and livestock performance, and pests and diseases, as well as government-controlled institutional risk, and personal or human risk. Together with price or market risks, these constitute business risk which is further related to financial risk. All of these factors must be managed to achieve satisfactory management in agriculture. The aim of this book is to introduce the nature of agricultural decision making under uncertainty, the concept of rational choice and its foundations in theories of probability and risk preference. It also describes methods for the analysis of risky decisions that can be used in agriculture and the preparation of plans for risk management.

Download or read book Effects of Climate Change and Variability on Agricultural Production Systems written by Otto C. Doering III and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Effects of Climate Change and Viarability on the Agricultural Production Systems provides an integrated assessment of global climate change's impact on agriculture at the farm level, in the context of farm level adaptation decisions. Ten agricultural areas in the Upper Midwest region - the heart of the United States' corn belt - were subjected to climate change and changing climate variability scenarios through simulations of future climate using results from general circulation models. Crop growth models, calibrated to the study sites, were used to simulate yields under varying climate conditions. Farm level production and economic analyses were performed to determine what adaptation strategies might be best utilized to maintain production and profitability for producers under conditions of global climate change and changing climate variability. Similar integrated analyses from Australia and Argentina provide comparisons from different regions.

Download or read book Risk Analysis for Agricultural Production Firms written by and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: