Download or read book The Impact of Macro Economy on Stock Price Index written by Embun Prowanta and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 6 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Objective - The objective of the study is to empirically investigate the relationship between macroeconomic variables as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, foreign exchange reserves, current accounts and export-import towards the stock price index. Methodology/Technique - The data used is monthly data for macroeconomic and the stock price index of five ASEAN countries including Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines from 2006 to 2015. The analysis uses a regression estimation of panel data and a series of chow tests i.e. the Hausman test and the LM test as the selection process, with the aim of determining the macroeconomic variables that could significantly affect the stock price index of five ASEAN countries. Findings - The result show that of the seven macroeconomic variables affecting the stock price index, only four macroeconomic variables showed a significant effect. These are GDP, interest rates, exchange rates, and inflation. Meanwhile, three other variables (foreign exchange reserves, current accounts and export-import) did not show a significant effect. Novelty - The study looked at the effect of deregulation on stock markets, focusing on variables that significantly influence the stock price index.

Download or read book Business Economics Financial Sciences and Management written by Min Zhu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-02-11 with total page 860 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A series of papers on business, economics, and financial sciences, management selected from International Conference on Business, Economics, and Financial Sciences, Management are included in this volume. Management in all business and organizational activities is the act of getting people together to accomplish desired goals and objectives using available resources efficiently and effectively. Management comprises planning, organizing, staffing, leading or directing, and controlling an organization (a group of one or more people or entities) or effort for the purpose of accomplishing a goal. Resourcing encompasses the deployment and manipulation of human resources, financial resources, technological resources and natural resources. The proceedings of BEFM2011 focuses on the various aspects of advances in Business, Economics, and Financial Sciences, Management and provides a chance for academic and industry professionals to discuss recent progress in the area of Business, Economics, and Financial Sciences, Management. It is hoped that the present book will be useful to experts and professors, both specialists and graduate students in the related fields.

Download or read book Do MacRoeconomic Variables Have an Effect on the Us Stock Market written by Dennis Sauert and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-10 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.0, Berlin School of Economics, language: English, abstract: The objective of this paper is to examine whether the unanticipated change of specific macroeconomic variables influences the US stock market represented by the S&P 500 using monthly data from 1986 to 2007. Thereby, the performance of the arbitrage pricing theory of Ross (cp. Ross, S., 1976) shall be studied. To explain the behavior of the US stock market return the paper contains the five predefined variables consumer price index (CPI), industrial production index (IPT), money stock M1 (M1), total consumer credit outstanding (TCC) and the term structure of interest rates (Term) which are approximately similar to those variables used by Ross (cp. Chen N. F. et al., 1986, pp. 383-403). Applying the OLS method, it was found that CPI, IPT and Term are negatively related to the US stock return. It was also detected that M1 affects the stock market lagging 8 months and 12 months. However, the test statistics showed that TCC has rather no impact on the US stock market return. To ensure that the ultimate results are not spurious, care will be taken in regards to autocorrelation, multicollinearity, serial correlation as well as heteroskedasticity.

Download or read book Responses of the Stock Market to Macroeconomic Announcements Across Economic States written by Zuliu Hu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-05-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is the stock market responsive to macroeconomic news? This paper employs the daily returns of the Dow Jones Industrial Index, the S&P 500 index, the Russell 1000 index, and the Russell 2000 index to examine stock market reactions to a broad list of macroeconomic announcements, including money supply, inflation, employment, housing starts, and trade balances, etc. Several announcements concerning real economic activity that have received little attention in previous research are shown to have a significant impact on stock prices. The paper also presents preliminary evidence for the different reaction to macroeconomic news by small cap stocks and large cap stocks.

Download or read book Do Macroeconomic Variables have an Effect on the US Stock Market written by Dennis Sauert and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-10-12 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.0, Berlin School of Economics, language: English, abstract: The objective of this paper is to examine whether the unanticipated change of specific macroeconomic variables influences the US stock market represented by the S&P 500 using monthly data from 1986 to 2007. Thereby, the performance of the arbitrage pricing theory of Ross (cp. Ross, S., 1976) shall be studied. To explain the behavior of the US stock market return the paper contains the five predefined variables consumer price index (CPI), industrial production index (IPT), money stock M1 (M1), total consumer credit outstanding (TCC) and the term structure of interest rates (Term) which are approximately similar to those variables used by Ross (cp. Chen N. F. et al., 1986, pp. 383-403). Applying the OLS method, it was found that CPI, IPT and Term are negatively related to the US stock return. It was also detected that M1 affects the stock market lagging 8 months and 12 months. However, the test statistics showed that TCC has rather no impact on the US stock market return. To ensure that the ultimate results are not spurious, care will be taken in regards to autocorrelation, multicollinearity, serial correlation as well as heteroskedasticity.

Download or read book Changes in Macroeconomic Variables and Their Impact on Stock Price Indices A Case Study of the Financial Times Stock Exchange FTSE and Johannesburg Stock Exchange JSE Indices written by Kudzanai Chakona and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2022-11-07 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2017 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, Birmingham City University, course: MSc Accountancy and Finance (ACCA), language: English, abstract: The purpose of this study is to analyse the changes in macroeconomic variables and evaluate the impact on a company’s stock prices, by examining the impact of changes macroeconomic variables, determining which macro-economic variables that have the least and most impact on stock prices and also suggest ways in which the impact on the macroeconomic variables on stock prices can be hedged against using agricultural futures, metal futures or a risk-free asset. The study will use five econometric models to test this impact, these include the Granger Causality test, Johansen Co-Integration test, Vector Error Model, Walt Test statistic, Multiple Regression Model. A review of a number of academic literature by notable analysis for both developed and developing markets will be provided. The FTSE share price index will be used in the study to represent the developed markets and the JSE share price index will be used in the study to represent the developing markets.

Download or read book Impact of Macro Economic Variables on the Stock Price Index written by Chhayakant Mishra and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2013 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the impact of Macro economic variable such as: Foreign Institutional Investment (FII), Economic Growth(Index of industrial production (IIP) as a proxy), Money supply (M3), Exchange Rate (E), Rate of Interest (RI) and Inflation on stock price index in India after the post liberalization period.The data sets have been considered from April,1993 to June,2012 on a monthly basis. All the required information for the study has been retrieved from the Hand book of Statistics on Indian Economy published by Reserve Bank of India (RBI), various issues of RBI and SEBI (Security and Exchange Board of India) bulletins. The Johansen's vector error correction model (VECM) has been employed to examine the objectives of the study. The study reveals that foreign institutional investment has positive impact on stock price index in India. The exchange rate and interest rate also influencing the fluctuation of the Stock Price but adversely

Download or read book Financial Information and Macroeconomic Forecasts written by Sophia Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-12-23 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the forecasting power of financial variables for macroeconomic variables for 62 countries between 1980 and 2013. We find that financial variables such as credit growth, stock prices and house prices have considerable predictive power for macroeconomic variables at one to four quarters horizons. A forecasting model with financial variables outperforms the World Economic Outlook (WEO) forecasts in up to 85 percent of our sample countries at the four quarters horizon. We also find that cross-country panel models produce more accurate out-of-sample forecasts than individual country models.

Download or read book Macroeconomic News and Stock Returns in the United States and Germany written by Norbert Funke and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-12 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using daily data for the January 1997 to June 2002 period, we analyze the impact of a broad set of macroeconomic news on stock prices in the United States and Germany. With GARCH specifications we test five hypotheses and find that news on real economic activity has a significant impact on stock prices. The effects vary between different types of stocks and depend on the state of the economy. In a boom period, bad economic news may be good news for stock prices. For German stock prices, international news is at least as important as domestic news. The analysis of bihourly data suggests that the main effect occurs within a short period of time.

Download or read book Liquidity Markets and Trading in Action written by Deniz Ozenbas and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book addresses four standard business school subjects: microeconomics, macroeconomics, finance and information systems as they relate to trading, liquidity, and market structure. It provides a detailed examination of the impact of trading costs and other impediments of trading that the authors call rictions It also presents an interactive simulation model of equity market trading, TraderEx, that enables students to implement trading decisions in different market scenarios and structures. Addressing these topics shines a bright light on how a real-world financial market operates, and the simulation provides students with an experiential learning opportunity that is informative and fun. Each of the chapters is designed so that it can be used as a stand-alone module in an existing economics, finance, or information science course. Instructor resources such as discussion questions, Powerpoint slides and TraderEx exercises are available online.

Download or read book The Impact of Macroeconomic Fundamentals on Stock Prices Revised written by Gurmeet Singh and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study investigates the relationships between the Indian stock market index (BSE Sensex) and five macroeconomic variables, namely, industrial production index, wholesale price index, money supply, treasury bills rates and exchange rates over the period January 2007 to March 2014. Johansen's co-integration and vector error correction model have been applied to explore the long-run equilibrium relationship between stock market index and macroeconomic variables. The analysis reveals that macroeconomic variables and the stock market index are co-integrated and, hence, a long-run equilibrium relationship exists between them. It is observed that the stock prices positively relate to the wholesale price index, money supply and interest rate but negatively relate to index of industrial production and exchange rate. The index of industrial production and the exchange rate are found to be insignificant in determining stock prices. In the Granger causality sense, there is bi-directional causality between exchange rate and stock market index and interest rate and stock market index. Interest rate causes stock market index in both long run and short-run. The findings show the evidence of causality from stock price index to wholesale price index in both long-run and short run but not other way around. Furthermore, it is observed from the findings that money supply causes stock prices only in the long-run but not in short run.

Download or read book The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices written by Shivangi Singh and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The relationship between fundamental macroeconomic variables of the economy and stock markets is an essential one. It affects the perspective of monetary and fiscal policy decisions, portfolio management and economic development. It has been studied that macroeconomic variables can influence investors' investment decisions. Over the world, many researchers have investigated the relationships between stock market prices and various macroeconomic variables. The focus of the current paper is to investigate whether the share price index can be considered as a reflection of economic activities in India. This study investigates the impact of five selected macroeconomic variables on Stock Market Liquidity of S&P CNX Nifty. As a result of this analysis, a simple model of the influence of macroeconomic fundamentals on the stock market index has been suggested. For better stock market performance, policy makers should put in place measures that will ensure a stable macroeconomic environment.

Download or read book Stock Market Response to Unexpected Macroeconomic News written by Mahdi Sadeghi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1992-08-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides empirical evidence on the relationship between unexpected changes in macroeconomic variables and Australian stock returns over the period 1980-1991. The results suggest that stock returns are positively correlated with any surprise news in the current account deficit, the exchange rate and growth rate of real GDP, and negatively correlated with surprise news about the inflation rate and interest rates. Stock returns are also positively correlated with the unexpected unemployment rate and negatively correlated to revisions in the expected unemployment rate. The results furthermore suggest that market portfolios can detect the impact of common economic shocks better than the portfolios of the two main subsectors of the market.

Download or read book Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market in India written by Sanjay Kumar Das and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2021-01-25 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock market returns depend on the changes in the stock market index. In India, S&P BSE Sensex is considered as the pulse of the stock market. S&P BSE Sensex is the sensitive index of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), which is a value- weighted index, composed of 30 largest and most actively traded stocks. There have been limited studies on the linkage between the macro economy and stock prices in India. The purpose of this study is to investigate this linkage between macroeconomic variables and stock market returns with reference to S&P BSE Sensex as well as the linkage between macroeconomic variables and S&P BSE sectoral indices. The study also investigates the linkage between exchange rate and volatility of S&P BSE Sensex Returns.

Download or read book The Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices Conventional Versus News Models written by John Vaz and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 642 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock prices are usually analysed and explained in terms of underlying financial indicators, such as earnings per share or dividend payout ratios. Nevertheless, fluctuations in the conditions of the economy can result in changes in demand, which can impact on profits and dividends. Since macroeconomic variables affect financial indicators it follows that macroeconomic variables affect stock prices. If markets are rational and efficient, then stock prices will reflect all known information regarding macroeconomic factors that are perceived to affect stock prices. It follows that stock prices should not change significantly unless there is a surprise or news about the state of the economy (as reflected in unexpected changes in macroeconomic variables). Intuitively, this implies that models of stock price determination based on news ought to be superior to conventional models that use the levels or changes in variables. The utilisation of news in research on stock prices is very limited. Two approaches have been traditionally used to represent the news in the absence of surveys of expectations: either by assuming announcements are news such as those in event studies or by using an econometric time series approach to extract the news components from total changes in the variables, as is the case with the news model. The majority of studies involving news models have been in the foreign exchange market using news estimated econometrically-very little has been done in estimating and testing a macro news model of stock prices and certainly nothing has been done on stock prices in developed economies such as Australia. Thus this research is motivated by the significant gaps in the literature with respect to the development, estimation and testing of a news model of stock prices. Most of the studies that investigate the relations between macro variables and stock prices have been carried out using conventional approaches by estimating models that use the variables in their levels. Some of the multivariable models of stock prices arise as a result of anomalies found in implementing the capital asset pricing model. Other multivariable approaches such as the arbitrage pricing theory (APT), due to Ross (1976), suggest that macro variables are useful, but APT is silent on the appropriate macroeconomic explanatory variables. Furthermore, there have been limited attempts to examine macroeconomic variables collectively, but not with the aim of developing a macro model of stock prices. This thesis presents the results of research that uses comprehensive econometric procedures to investigate which macroeconomic variables have significant effects on Australian stock prices and whether news about such variables can enhance the performance of conventional stock price determination models. Seven macroeconomic variables are examined: interest rates, inflation, the money supply, economic activity, commodity prices, exchange rates and a foreign stock market index to account for spill-over effects. This provides a valuable contribution to the understanding of the individual effects of macroeconomic variables on stock prices and adds to the limited literature regarding the usefulness of news in models of stock price determination. The results from this research demonstrate that although news is a theoretically sound and intuitively plausible basis for improving macro models of stock prices, in practice there is no ex-ante exploitation possible by estimating news utilising econometric methods. Simply put, news cannot be predicted-this is established by using three comprehensive methods of estimating news, which is the residual of a model fitted to the time series data of a particular variable.

Download or read book Stock Market Equilibrium and Macroeconomic Fundamentals written by Lamin Leigh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recently, there has been a resurgence of research interest in the role played by stock markets in developing countries. The International Finance Corporation (IFC) in Washington has set up the Emerging Markets Study Group particularly devoted to the understanding of the relationship between the development of stock markets and the functioning of financial intermediaries and its overall effect on growth. This paper examines the efficiency characteristics of the Stock Exchange of Singapore (SES) and its role in the economy.

Download or read book The Differential Impact of Macro economic Variables on the Long Intermediate and Short Term Time Components of a Stock Market Index written by Taron Lee Baker and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: