Download or read book Almost a Mirror written by Kirsten Krauth and published by Transit Lounge . This book was released on 2020-04-01 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Shortlisted for the Penguin Literary Prize Like fireflies to the light, Mona, Benny and Jimmy are drawn into the elegantly wasted orbit of the Crystal Ballroom and the post-punk scene of 80s Melbourne, a world that includes Nick Cave and Dodge, a photographer pushing his art to the edge. With precision and richness Kirsten Krauth hauntingly evokes the power of music to infuse our lives, while diving deep into loss, beauty, innocence and agency. Filled with unforgettable characters, the novel is above all about the shapes that love can take and the many ways we express tenderness throughout a lifetime. As it moves between the Blue Mountains and Melbourne, Sydney and Castlemaine, Almost a Mirror reflects on the healing power of creativity and the everyday sacredness of family and friendship in the face of unexpected tragedy.
Download or read book Crystal Ball Reading for Beginners written by Alexandra Chauran and published by Llewellyn Worldwide. This book was released on 2011-10-08 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Haven't you always wanted to gaze into a crystal ball and see what the future holds? You can learn to use a crystal ball for divination, guidance, and meditation—this friendly introductory guide tells you how! Alexandra Chauran, a second-generation fortuneteller, presents everything you need to know to begin doing crystal ball readings immediately. You'll learn what a crystal ball is, how it works, and how to choose your first one. Step-by-step instructions describe what to look for when doing a reading and how to interpret the symbols found within the crystal ball. You can gain heightened intuitive abilities, greater self-knowledge, and a deeper understanding of the universe when you practice the ancient art of crystal ball reading.
Download or read book The Crystal Ball written by Jacqueline Dembar Greene and published by American Girl Publishing Incorporated. This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes an excerpt from the novel A Growing Suspicion.
Download or read book The Crystal Ball written by Joyce Mason and published by . This book was released on 2013-11 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An astrologer and her ex-FBI-agent boyfriend blend their hot chemistry into a crime busting Odd Couple at a longevity association's futuristic costume ball. Outlandish get-ups, characters and gadgets! Who is that masked man who will stop at nothing to steal the "secret" of extended life? Hiding behind which mask? Or is he?
Download or read book The Many Lives of the Crystal Ballroom written by Tim J. Hills and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Upgrading Leadership s Crystal Ball written by Jeffrey C. Bauer and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-10-24 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Clearly, concisely, and with many examples from public and private enterprise, Upgrading Leadership’s Crystal Ball shows why predictions are usually wrong and presents a better way to look at the future—forecasting. This book is essential-reading for anyone who needs to make the best possible strategic decisions for moving an organization forward in today’s rapidly changing environment. Dr. Bauer supplies an insightful comparison of the two mainstream approaches for looking ahead. Although predicting and forecasting are usually used as synonyms for a single process, they are conceptually and methodologically quite different. He explains why everyday failure to operationalize these differences robs us of power to envision and pursue good futures, especially when we are headed in the wrong direction. Readers will learn the real-world value of distinguishing between predicting (extrapolating historical trends) and forecasting (estimating the probabilities of possibilities). Following a description of predictive modeling and a discussion of five reasons why it fails so often in current applications, Dr. Bauer explains the superiority of forecasting and how to do it. To complete readers’ understanding of the many compelling reasons for making the shift from predicting to forecasting, Upgrading Leadership’s Crystal Ball presents a practical approach to strategic planning in unpredictable times. It concludes with an analysis of the future of big data and its likely impact on the future. Dr. Bauer is uniquely qualified to write this important book; he is trained in both predicting (economics) and forecasting (meteorology). Author of more than 250 publications, he is internationally recognized not only for long-term success in foretelling the future of medical science and health care, but also for successful innovations to create a better delivery system. This book distills the lessons garnered over his 40 year career as economist and futurist into a guide that other leaders can use to avoid problems and create better options in any realm. The book includes a foreword by Dr. Stan Gryskiewicz, author of Positive Turbulence.
Download or read book Your Wedding Music Revised Edition written by Liturgy Training Publications and published by LiturgyTrainingPublications. This book was released on 1993-02 with total page 6 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A brochure to be given to couples as they begin to plan the wedding liturgy and its music.
Download or read book Magic Crystal Ball written by Marlo Scrimizzi and published by RP Minis. This book was released on 2018-09-18 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Find the answers you seek and see into your future! Bring a touch of magic to your office or home with the Magic Crystal Ball. With a wave your hand over the miniature 3" glass crystal ball to unlock the mystical powers of a fortune teller and reveal one of 15 "answers" to help guide you. Perfect for when you need a little guidance or want to show off your mystical skills at work or with friends, the Magic Crystal Ball will help you achieve balance, put you on the path to fulfilling your dreams, and finding happiness. Kit includes: A mini 3" glass crystal ball with motion activated light (glowing aura) and sound (music and mystical answers). A black base A 48-page mini book, with a brief history and tips on how to use your crystal ball
Download or read book The Clue in the Crystal Ball written by Dona Smith and published by Apple. This book was released on 1997 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Another collection of mini-mysteries challenges the reader to figure out if Mrs. White, Miss Scarlet, Colonel Mustard, or another of the group did in Mr. Boddy.
Download or read book The Secret Society of the Pink Crystal Ball written by Risa Green and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2012-05-01 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Erin inherits a Magic 8 Ball and a set of cryptic instructions from her free-spirited aunt. Erin and her two best friends give it a try and discover that this particular 8 Ball has an uncanny knack for being accurate. But as with all magic, it comes with limits and a price.
Download or read book The Crystal Ballroom written by Libby Sommer and published by . This book was released on 2017-04-04 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Libby Sommer lays bare the foibles of human nature in her finely observed stories of love and loss in the singles dance scene. Brilliantly drawn with wit, compassion and poignancy, the characters you meet in The Crystal Ballroom are sure to remind you of someone - maybe even yourself.' - Jan Cornall, Writer's Journey 'Libby Sommer exposes the secret lives of the singles who dance at the Crystal Ballroom. Authentic and powerful, this unique book will be loved by the dancers and readers.' - Frida Kotlyar, ballroom, Latin and Argentine tango dancer 'Libby Sommer's fiction has wit but is essentially serious with a subtle but strong underlying pathos, a wry humour and accomplished satirical tone.' - Amanda Lohrey, Patrick White Award winner 'Sommer's existentialism is one of the best and most articulate voices of middle-age angst ever.' - Richard English, novelist and visiting lecturer, Brunel University London
Download or read book Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel written by John Charnes and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-08-04 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball(r) and Excel(r) "Professor Charnes's book drives clarity into applied Monte Carlo analysis using examples and tools relevant to real-world finance. The book will prove useful for analysts of all levels and as a supplement to academic courses in multiple disciplines." -Mark Odermann, Senior Financial Analyst, Microsoft "Think you really know financial modeling? This is a must-have for power Excel users. Professor Charnes shows how to make more realistic models that result in fewer surprises. Every analyst needs this credibility booster." -James Franklin, CEO, Decisioneering, Inc. "This book packs a first-year MBA's worth of financial and business modeling education into a few dozen easy-to-understand examples. Crystal Ball software does the housekeeping, so readers can concentrate on the business decision. A careful reader who works the examples on a computer will master the best general-purpose technology available for working with uncertainty." -Aaron Brown, Executive Director, Morgan Stanley, author of The Poker Face of Wall Street "Using Crystal Ball and Excel, John Charnes takes you step by step, demonstrating a conceptual framework that turns static Excel data and financial models into true risk models. I am astonished by the clarity of the text and the hands-on, step-by-step examples using Crystal Ball and Excel; Professor Charnes is a masterful teacher, and this is an absolute gem of a book for the new generation of analyst." -Brian Watt, Chief Operating Officer, GECC, Inc. "Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel is a comprehensive, well-written guide to one of the most useful analysis tools available to professional risk managers and quantitative analysts. This is a must-have book for anyone using Crystal Ball, and anyone wanting an overview of basic risk management concepts." -Paul Dietz, Manager, Quantitative Analysis, Westar Energy "John Charnes presents an insightful exploration of techniques for analysis and understanding of risk and uncertainty in business cases. By application of real options theory and Monte Carlo simulation to planning, doors are opened to analysis of what used to be impossible, such as modeling the value today of future project choices." -Bruce Wallace, Nortel
Download or read book Harry Potter Divination Crystal Ball written by Donald Lemke and published by Running Press Miniature Editions. This book was released on 2021-09-07 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This officially licensed, finely detailed light-up collectible replica of the crystal ball from Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry's divination class is a perfect gift for fans of the Wizarding World. SPECIFICATIONS: Mini crystal ball set on an intricately designed elephant base; ball and base are approximately 3 inches tall LIGHTS UP: Ball illuminates when light switch is turned on BOOK INCLUDED: Set includes mini book of quotes and behind-the-scenes information from the Harry Potter films, featuring full-color photography throughout PERFECT GIFT: A unique gift for fans of the wizarding world OFFICIALLY LICENSED: Authentic collectible
Download or read book Crystal Ball Instruction Manual Volume One Introduction to Data Science written by Stephen Davies and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Ballroom written by Dolores San Miguel and published by Melbourne Books. This book was released on 2021-02-01 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Ballroom is a brutally frank memoir of what has become known as one of the most pivotal, fascinating and influential periods of Australian musical and cultural history. The story is illustrated with original flyers and candid photos, some never before seen or published.
Download or read book Inside the Crystal Ball written by Maury Harris and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-12-31 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A practical guide to understanding economic forecasts In Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts, UBS Chief U.S. Economist Maury Harris helps readers improve their own forecasting abilities by examining the elements and processes that characterize successful and failed forecasts. The book: Provides insights from Maury Harris, named among Bloomberg's 50 Most Influential People in Global Finance. Demonstrates "best practices" in the assembly and evaluation of forecasts. Harris walks readers through the real-life steps he and other successful forecasters take in preparing their projections. These valuable procedures can help forecast users evaluate forecasts and forecasters as inputs for making their own specific business and investment decisions. Emphasizes the critical role of judgment in improving projections derived from purely statistical methodologies. Harris explores the prerequisites for sound forecasting judgment—a good sense of history and an understanding of contemporary theoretical frameworks—in readable and illuminating detail. Addresses everyday forecasting issues, including the credibility of government statistics and analyses, fickle consumers, and volatile business spirits. Harris also offers procedural guidelines for special circumstances, such as natural disasters, terrorist threats, gyrating oil and stock prices, and international economic crises. Evaluates major contemporary forecasting issues—including the now commonplace hypothesis of sustained economic sluggishness, possible inflation outcomes in an environment of falling unemployment, and projecting interest rates when central banks implement unprecedented low interest rate and quantitative easing (QE) policies. Brings to life Harris's own experiences and those of other leading economists in his almost four-decade career as a professional economist and forecaster. Dr. Harris presents his personal recipes for long-term credibility and commercial success to anyone offering advice about the future.
Download or read book Inside the Crystal Ball written by Maury Harris and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-12-12 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A practical guide to understanding economic forecasts In Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts, UBS Chief U.S. Economist Maury Harris helps readers improve their own forecasting abilities by examining the elements and processes that characterize successful and failed forecasts. The book: Provides insights from Maury Harris, named among Bloomberg's 50 Most Influential People in Global Finance. Demonstrates "best practices" in the assembly and evaluation of forecasts. Harris walks readers through the real-life steps he and other successful forecasters take in preparing their projections. These valuable procedures can help forecast users evaluate forecasts and forecasters as inputs for making their own specific business and investment decisions. Emphasizes the critical role of judgment in improving projections derived from purely statistical methodologies. Harris explores the prerequisites for sound forecasting judgment—a good sense of history and an understanding of contemporary theoretical frameworks—in readable and illuminating detail. Addresses everyday forecasting issues, including the credibility of government statistics and analyses, fickle consumers, and volatile business spirits. Harris also offers procedural guidelines for special circumstances, such as natural disasters, terrorist threats, gyrating oil and stock prices, and international economic crises. Evaluates major contemporary forecasting issues—including the now commonplace hypothesis of sustained economic sluggishness, possible inflation outcomes in an environment of falling unemployment, and projecting interest rates when central banks implement unprecedented low interest rate and quantitative easing (QE) policies. Brings to life Harris's own experiences and those of other leading economists in his almost four-decade career as a professional economist and forecaster. Dr. Harris presents his personal recipes for long-term credibility and commercial success to anyone offering advice about the future.
