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Book The Challenge for Arms Control Verification in the Post New START World

Download or read book The Challenge for Arms Control Verification in the Post New START World written by and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nuclear weapon arms control treaty verification is a key aspect of any agreement between signatories to establish that the terms and conditions spelled out in the treaty are being met. Historically, arms control negotiations have focused more on the rules and protocols for reducing the numbers of warheads and delivery systems - sometimes resorting to complex and arcane procedures for counting forces - in an attempt to address perceived or real imbalances in a nation's strategic posture that could lead to instability. Verification procedures are generally defined in arms control treaties and supporting documents and tend to focus on technical means and measures designed to ensure that a country is following the terms of the treaty and that it is not liable to engage in deception or outright cheating in an attempt to circumvent the spirit and the letter of the agreement. As the Obama Administration implements the articles, terms, and conditions of the recently ratified and entered-into-force New START treaty, there are already efforts within and outside of government to move well below the specified New START levels of 1550 warheads, 700 deployed strategic delivery vehicles, and 800 deployed and nondeployed strategic launchers (Inter-Continental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) silos, Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missile (SLBM) tubes on submarines, and bombers). A number of articles and opinion pieces have appeared that advocate for significantly deeper cuts in the U.S. nuclear stockpile, with some suggesting that unilateral reductions on the part of the U.S. would help coax Russia and others to follow our lead. Papers and studies prepared for the U.S. Department of Defense and at the U.S. Air War College have also been published, suggesting that nuclear forces totaling no more than about 300 warheads would be sufficient to meet U.S. national security and deterrence needs. (Davis 2011, Schaub and Forsyth 2010) Recent articles by James M. Acton and others suggest that the prospects for maintaining U.S. security and minimizing the chances of nuclear war, while deliberately reducing stockpiles to a few hundred weapons, is possible but not without risk. While the question of the appropriate level of cuts to U.S. nuclear forces is being actively debated, a key issue continues to be whether verification procedures are strong enough to ensure that both the U.S. and Russia are fulfilling their obligations under the current New Start treaty and any future arms reduction treaties. A recent opinion piece by Henry Kissinger and Brent Scowcroft (2012) raised a number of issues with respect to governing a policy to enhance strategic stability, including: in deciding on force levels and lower numbers, verification is crucial. Particularly important is a determination of what level of uncertainty threatens the calculation of stability. At present, that level is well within the capabilities of the existing verification systems. We must be certain that projected levels maintain - and when possible, reinforce - that confidence. The strengths and weaknesses of the New START verification regime should inform and give rise to stronger regimes for future arms control agreements. These future arms control agreements will likely need to include other nuclear weapons states and so any verification regime will need to be acceptable to all parties. Currently, China is considered the most challenging party to include in any future arms control agreement and China's willingness to enter into verification regimes such as those implemented in New START may only be possible when it feels it has reached nuclear parity with the U.S. and Russia. Similarly, in keeping with its goals of reaching peer status with the U.S. and Russia, Frieman (2004) suggests that China would be more willing to accept internationally accepted and applied verification regimes rather than bilateral ones. The current verification protocols specified in the New START treaty are considered as the baseline case and are contrasted with possible alternative verification protocols that could be effective in a post-New START era of significant reductions in U.S. and other countries nuclear stockpiles. Of particular concern is the possibility of deception and breakout when declared and observed numbers of weapons are below the level considered to pose an existential threat to the U.S. In a regime of very low stockpile numbers, 'traditional' verification protocols as currently embodied in the New START treaty might prove less than adequate. I introduce and discuss a number of issues that need to be considered in future verification protocols, many of which do not have immediate solutions and so require further study. I also discuss alternatives and enhancements to traditional verification protocols, for example, confidence building measures such as burden sharing against the common threat of weapon of mass destruction (WMD) terrorism, joint research and development.

Book The Verification Challenge

Download or read book The Verification Challenge written by SCRIBNER and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-11 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Challenges Of Verification

Download or read book Challenges Of Verification written by Heinz Gaertner and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-05-20 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Heinz Gaertner argues in this Occasional Paper, one area of arms control in which the NNA and smaller European states can make a significant contribution is verification. This study explores the possibilities for the smaller nations of Europe to make positive contributions to the verification of reductions in conventional forces and arms, a chemica

Book Verification in an Age of Insecurity

Download or read book Verification in an Age of Insecurity written by Philip D. O'Neill (Jr.) and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2010 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Verification in an Age of Insecurity takes the reader into some of the most urgent arms control issues facing the world community, including the nuclear activities of rogue states and threats from sophisticated non-state actors. In the book, national security expert Philip D. O'Neill, Jr. identifies and addresses issues from the resuscitated disarmament agenda, from the comprehensive test ban to fissile material and biological weapons. O'Neill examines the need for shifts in verification standards and policy suitable for our volatile era and beyond it. He surveys recent history to show how established verification procedures fail to produce the certainty necessary to meet today's threats. Verification in an Age of Insecurity goes beyond a discussion of rogue states like North Korea to offer suggestions on how best to bring compliance policy up to date with modern threats.

Book Arms Control

    Book Details:
  • Author : Nancy W. Gallagher
  • Publisher : Taylor & Francis
  • Release : 1998
  • ISBN : 0714643637
  • Pages : 186 pages

Download or read book Arms Control written by Nancy W. Gallagher and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 1998 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essays in this volume explore the complexity of national arms control decision-making and multilateral negotiations, and the challenges of reaching domestic and international agreement on verification.

Book On site Inspection for Arms Control

Download or read book On site Inspection for Arms Control written by Richard L. Shearer and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Verification

    Book Details:
  • Author : United States. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency
  • Publisher :
  • Release : 1976
  • ISBN :
  • Pages : 46 pages

Download or read book Verification written by United States. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Rethinking the Unthinkable

Download or read book Rethinking the Unthinkable written by Ivo H. Daalder and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-02-04 with total page 277 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rethinking the Unthinkable examines the future direction of nuclear arms control in the post-Cold War security environment. Believing that the new environment requires a radical rethinking of the purpose and role of nuclear weapons in international politics, the contributors address many fundamental issues influencing further US, Russian and European nuclear arms reductions. This volume is a product of the Project on Rethinking Arms Control, sponsored by the Center for International and Security Studies in Maryland.

Book Arms Control Verification and the New Role of On site Inspection

Download or read book Arms Control Verification and the New Role of On site Inspection written by Lewis A. Dunn and published by Free Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since enactment of the INF Treaty, on-site inspection to monitor compliance has come to figure prominently in negotiations over strategic arms reductions, conventional force reductions, and specific weapons bans. This volume offers many perspectives on the future of on-site inspection in arms control. Experts in the field offer their evaluations of what on-site inspection can and cannot contribute to the realization of US arms control and national security goals in the coming decade. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Book New Horizons and Challenges in Arms Control and Verification

Download or read book New Horizons and Challenges in Arms Control and Verification written by James Brown and published by Paul & Company Pub Consortium. This book was released on 1994 with total page 277 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Arms Control Law

    Book Details:
  • Author : Daniel H. Joyner
  • Publisher : Routledge
  • Release : 2012
  • ISBN : 9780754629535
  • Pages : 0 pages

Download or read book Arms Control Law written by Daniel H. Joyner and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume features a selection of the best scholarship on international law as it is relevant to the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. The essays consider the nonproliferation legal regime as a normative system and offer a more discrete consideration of international law in each weapons of mass destruction technology area. The role, authority and track record of the UN Security Council in this area are also evaluated.

Book Verification

    Book Details:
  • Author : Allan S. Krass
  • Publisher : Routledge
  • Release : 2020-11-19
  • ISBN : 1000200558
  • Pages : 286 pages

Download or read book Verification written by Allan S. Krass and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-11-19 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1985, the level of anxiety and suspicion between the USA and the USSR had rarely been higher. Many advocates of arms control believed that effective verification would reduce tensions and lessen the risk of war. This book analyses the two main issues of verification. One is technological: what are the present capabilities of various verification techniques and what is their potential? The devices and methods currently employed by the two major nuclear powers and by international organizations to monitor the compliance of states with arms control or disarmament treaties are examined. The second issue is political: how do US and Soviet approaches compare, what are the roles of domestic and bureaucratic politics, and on what criteria can a workable standard of adequacy be based? In short, how much is enough? Although the study concludes that a number of significant arms control measures can already be adequately verified, modern weapons are becoming more mobile and it is becoming easier to conceal them. There is a danger that the ability to hide weapons will outstrip the ability to find them. Verification cannot promise to detect all violations; a workable standard of adequacy in verification must derive from the ability to detect militarily significant violations.

Book The Converging Roles of Arms Control Verification  Confidence building Measures and Peace Operations

Download or read book The Converging Roles of Arms Control Verification Confidence building Measures and Peace Operations written by Patricia Bliss McFate and published by The Division. This book was released on 1994 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report explores the interrelationships among three processes: arms control verification, confidence-building and peacekeeping. It argues that in the current dangerous and unstable world, these three processes are undergoing changed demands, which brings each into closer relationship with the others. underlying this report is the premise that the synergistic relationships among these three processes can further contribute to international security, through both improved effectiveness and better use of limited resources. The study also emphasizes that the roles of the United Nations and other international bodies could be expanded and harmonized to contribute to greater transparency and security.

Book Verification 1996

Download or read book Verification 1996 written by J. B. Poole and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-09-18 with total page 459 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This sixth issue of Verification on the aspects of international arms control and disarmament agreements documents the developments in the field during 1995. It discusses the anniversaries of the Second World War, the atomic bombing on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and the United Nations.

Book Negotiating the New START Treaty

Download or read book Negotiating the New START Treaty written by Rose Gottemoeller and published by Cambria Press. This book was released on 2021-05-15 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rose Gottemoeller, the US chief negotiator of the New START treaty-and the first woman to lead a major nuclear arms negotiation-delivers in this book an invaluable insider's account of the negotiations between the US and Russian delegations in Geneva in 2009 and 2010. It also examines the crucially important discussions about the treaty between President Barack Obama and President Dmitry Medvedev, and it describes the tough negotiations Gottemoeller and her team went through to gain the support of the Senate for the treaty. And importantly, at a time when the US Congress stands deeply divided, it tells the story of how, in a previous time of partisan division, Republicans and Democrats came together to ratify a treaty to safeguard the future of all Americans. Rose Gottemoeller is uniquely qualified to write this book, bringing to the task not only many years of high-level experience in creating and enacting US policy on arms control and compliance but also a profound understanding of the broader politico-military context from her time as NATO Deputy Secretary General. Thanks to her years working with Russians, including as Director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, she provides rare insights into the actions of the Russian delegation-and the dynamics between Medvedev and then-Prime Minister Vladmir Putin. Her encyclopedic recall of the events and astute ability to analyze objectively, while laying out her own thoughts and feelings at the time, make this both an invaluable document of record-and a fascinating story. In conveying the sense of excitement and satisfaction in delivering an innovative arms control instrument for the American people and by laying out the lessons Gottemoeller and her colleagues learned, this book will serve as an inspiration for the next generation of negotiators, as a road map for them as they learn and practice their trade, and as a blueprint to inform the shaping and ratification of future treaties. This book is in the Rapid Communications in Conflict and Security (RCCS) Series (General Editor: Dr. Geoffrey R.H. Burn) and has received much praise, including: “As advances in technology usher in a new age of weaponry, future negotiators would benefit from reading Rose Gottemoeller’s memoir of the process leading to the most significant arms control agreement of recent decades.” —Henry Kissinger, former U.S. Secretary of State “Rose Gottemoeller’s book on the New START negotiations is the definitive book on this treaty or indeed, any of the nuclear treaties with the Soviet Union or Russia. These treaties played a key role in keeping the hostility between the United States and the Soviet Union from breaking out into a civilization-ending war. But her story of the New START negotiation is no dry academic treatise. She tells with wit and charm the human story of the negotiators, as well as the critical issues involved. Rose’s book is an important and well-told story about the last nuclear treaty negotiated between the US and Russia.” —William J. Perry, former U.S. Secretary of Defense “This book is important, but not just because it tells you about a very significant past, but also because it helps you understand the future.” — George Shultz, former U.S. Secretary of State

Book A Conceptual Working Paper on Arms Control Verification

Download or read book A Conceptual Working Paper on Arms Control Verification written by F. R. Cleminson and published by Ottawa, Ont., Canada : The Division. This book was released on 1986 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Intelligence Cooperation under Multipolarity

Download or read book Intelligence Cooperation under Multipolarity written by Thomas Juneau and published by University of Toronto Press. This book was released on 2023-11-30 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While counterterrorism has been the primary focus of the defence and security policies of major Western countries in the last two decades, recent years have seen the re-emergence of states as the major threat. Intelligence Cooperation under Multipolarity offers a timely analysis of the challenges and opportunities for intelligence cooperation, characterized by the re-emergence of great power competition, particularly between the United States, China, and Russia. This collection explores foreign policy and national security tools and partnerships that have emerged as the United States, typically an international leader, experiences internal and external shocks that have rendered its role on the international stage more uncertain. The book focuses on non-American perspectives in order to understand how America’s allies and partners have adjusted to global power transitions. Drawing on contributions from leading intelligence and strategic studies scholars and professionals, Intelligence Cooperation under Multipolarity aims to broaden and deepen our understanding of the consequences of the power transition on national security policies.