Download or read book The Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations written by Magda Kandil and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations written by Ms.Magda E. Kandil and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2000-11-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper examines the asymmetric effects of exchange rate fluctuations on real output and price in developing countries. The theoretical model decomposes movements in the exchange rate into anticipated and unanticipated components. Unanticipated currency fluctuations determine aggregate demand through exports, imports, and the demand for domestic currency, and determine aggregate supply through the cost of imported intermediate goods. The evidence indicates that the supply channel leads to output contraction and price inflation in the face of unanticipated currency depreciation. In contrast, the reduction in net exports determines output contraction without reducing price inflation in the face of unanticipated currency appreciation.
Download or read book Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on British Bilateral Trade Balances written by Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research presents first empirical time series evidence of the asymmetric impact of exchange rate changes on Britain's trade balances with her 8 trading partners. Recent advances in time series and cointegration analysis have allowed for the estimation of the nonlinear effects of currency depreciations on countries' trade balances. To this extent, we employ the nonlinear version of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration and error correction methodologies to examine whether pound appreciations affect trade differently than do pound depreciations. We use monthly trade data which runs from 1998M1 to 2015M11 to capture more robustly the asymmetric impacts of exchange rate changes on trade balances. Econometric results from the non-ARDL procedures reveal that there exist long-run relationships in the case of UK-Canada, UK-Germany, UK-Italy, UK-Japan, UK-Korea, and UK-US trade balance models. Nevertheless, we did not find any long-run relationship in the case of UK-Spain and UK-Norway trade balance models. We also present empirical evidence for the existence of long-run asymmetries of exchange rates in the case of UK-Germany, UK-Italy, UK-Korea, and UK-Japan trade balance models. This paper also discusses policy implications of the empirical results as well as offering policy recommendations.
Download or read book Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt written by Robin C. Sickles and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-03-15 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Introduction: This volume is dedicated to the remarkable career of Professor Peter Schmidt and the role he has played in mentoring us, his PhD students. Peter’s accomplishments are legendary among his students and the profession. Each of the papers in this Festschrift is a research work executed by a former PhD student of Peter’s, from his days at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill to his time at Michigan State University. Most of the papers were presented at The Conference in Honor of Peter Schmidt, June 30 - July 2, 2011. The conference was largely attended by his former students and one current student, who traveled from as far as Europe and Asia to honor Peter. This was a conference to celebrate Peter’s contribution to our contributions. By “our contributions” we mean the research papers that make up this Festschrift and the countless other publications by his students represented and not represented in this volume. Peter’s students may have their families to thank for much that is positive in their lives. However, if we think about it, our professional lives would not be the same without the lessons and the approaches to decision making that we learned from Peter. We spent our days together at Peter’s conference and the months since reminded of these aspects of our personalities and life goals that were enhanced, fostered, and nurtured by the very singular experiences we have had as Peter’s students. We recognized in 2011 that it was unlikely we would all be together again to celebrate such a wonderful moment in ours and Peter’s lives and pledged then to take full advantage of it. We did then, and we are now in the form of this volume.
Download or read book Pass through Exposure written by Gordon M. Bodnar and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes And The J Curve written by Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research on the impact of currency depreciation on the trade balance is now moving in a new direction by incorporating nonlinear dynamic adjustment of the exchange rate and by using a nonlinear approach to error-correction modeling and cointegration. Using these advances, researchers find not only more evidence of the J-curve effect, but also new evidence of asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on the trade balance. We contribute to this line of research by using monthly trade flow data from 61 two-digit industries that trade between Malaysia and Thailand, and show that not only does currency depreciation have favorable effects on the trade balance of more industries, but the long-run effects are asymmetric in 26 out of 61 cases. In line with current literature, our nonlinear model performs much better than the linear model when industry level data are used.
Download or read book Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Gustavo Adler and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-23 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the exchange rate relying on an instrumental-variables panel approach. We find robust evidence that intervention affects the level of the exchange rate in an economically meaningful way. A purchase of foreign currency of 1 percentage point of GDP causes a depreciation of the nominal and real exchange rates in the ranges of [1.7-2.0] percent and [1.4-1.7] percent respectively. The effects are found to be quite persistent. The paper also explores possible asymmetric effects, and whether effectiveness depends on the depth of domestic financial markets.
Download or read book Asymmetry Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Domestic Production written by Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Currency depreciation is said to have positive or negative effects on domestic production. Previous studies that tried to address this issue using Australian data have been inconclusive at best but mostly showed no effects. One common feature of all studies is that they have assumed that the effects of exchange rate changes are symmetric. In this paper, we use the concept of partial sum and separate appreciations from depreciations to test whether the effects are symmetric or asymmetric. Application of the nonlinear ARDL approach of Shin et al. (2014) reveals that indeed the effects of changes in the real effective exchange rate of the Australian dollar are asymmetric in the short run as well as in the long run. While in the short run both appreciations and depreciations affect Australian domestic production, only effects of appreciation last into the long run, a unique finding.
Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows Some New Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-05-19 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL
Download or read book Asymmetric News Effects on Exchange Rate Volatility written by Helinä Laakkonen and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Asymmetric Response of the US India Trade Balance to Exchange Rate Changes written by Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The relationship between the trade balance and the exchange rate continues to attract attention by international economists and has entered into new territory, mostly due to advances in econometric methods. The introduction of asymmetric error-correction modelling and asymmetric cointegration using the nonlinear ARDL approach of Shin et al. (Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric methods and applications, Springer, 2014, 281) as compared to the symmetric and linear ARDL approach of Pesaran et al. (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2001, 16, 289) has led us in a new direction to discover relatively better results. We apply these methods to the bilateral trade balance model of each of the 68 industries that trade between India and the USA. The nonlinear approach not only provides more support to the J-curve effect, but also yields support in favour of short-run and long-run asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes in most of the industries.
Download or read book An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass through in Mozambique written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-06 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Determining the magnitude and speed of the exchange rate passthrough (ERPT) to inflation has been of paramount importance for policy-makers in developed and emerging economies. This paper estimates the exchange rate passthrough in Mozambique using econometric techniques on a sample spanning from 2001 to 2019. Results suggest that the ERPT is assymetric, sizable and fast, with 50 percent of the exchange rate variations passing through to prices in less than six months. Policy-makers should continue to pursue low and stable inflation and develop a strong track record of prudent macroeconomic policies for the ERPT to decline.
Download or read book Essays on the Asymmetric News Effects on Exchange Rate Volatility written by Helina Laakkonen and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Asymmetric Effects of Tariff News on the Renminbi Exchange Rate Volatility written by Yike Sun and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study utilizes the extended HAR models to investigate the asymmetric impacts of tariff news on the renminbi exchange rate volatility during the US-China trade war. My findings indicate that there is no significant asymmetry between the effects of good and bad tariff news. However, a distinct asymmetry is observed between the impacts of future and present tariff news, where the former significantly increases the volatility of the renminbi, while the latter exhibits minor and insignificant effects.
Download or read book Asymmetric Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Eur Usd Exchange Rate in a Bvar Model with Sign Restriction written by Karel Bruna and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use a VAR model with two exogenous and eight endogenous variables to evaluate the asymmetric effect of oil price changes on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Parameters of the model are estimated with the Bayesian technique using quarterly data for the U.S. and the Eurozone from 2001 to 2021. To obtain the structural form of the VAR model from its reduced form, the sign restriction methodology is employed. The results show a significant asymmetric impact of oil price changes on EUR/USD exchange rate. A positive oil price shock causes dollar depreciation which is smaller than the dollar appreciation when oil prices decrease. We use four metrics to show that: first, the oil price effect on EUR/USD exchange rate is highly timevariant; second, oil price volatility on average is responsible for about half of exogenous shocks; third, exogenous shocks on average account for about one-third of the deterministic part of the model; and four, the model explains about two-thirds of the EUR/USD exchange rate volatility. Not only can the structural shock decomposition quantify the effect of each individual shock, it also can detect correlation relationship between the structural shocks of other endogenous variables with EUR/USD exchange rate volatility over a longer subperiod when the economy is exposed to external extraordinary events.
Download or read book Dominant Currency Paradigm A New Model for Small Open Economies written by Camila Casas and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-22 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most trade is invoiced in very few currencies. Despite this, the Mundell-Fleming benchmark and its variants focus on pricing in the producer’s currency or in local currency. We model instead a ‘dominant currency paradigm’ for small open economies characterized by three features: pricing in a dominant currency; pricing complementarities, and imported input use in production. Under this paradigm: (a) the terms-of-trade is stable; (b) dominant currency exchange rate pass-through into export and import prices is high regardless of destination or origin of goods; (c) exchange rate pass-through of non-dominant currencies is small; (d) expenditure switching occurs mostly via imports, driven by the dollar exchange rate while exports respond weakly, if at all; (e) strengthening of the dominant currency relative to non-dominant ones can negatively impact global trade; (f) optimal monetary policy targets deviations from the law of one price arising from dominant currency fluctuations, in addition to the inflation and output gap. Using data from Colombia we document strong support for the dominant currency paradigm.
Download or read book The International Role of the Dollar and Trade Balance Adjustment written by Linda S. Goldberg and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pattern of international trade adjustment is affected by the continuing international role of the dollar and related evidence on exchange rate pass-through into prices. This paper argues that a depreciation of the dollar would have asymmetric effects on flows between the United States and its trading partners. With low exchange rate pass-through to U.S. import prices and high exchange rate pass-through to the local prices of countries consuming U.S. exports, the effect of dollar depreciation on real trade flows is dominated by an adjustment in U.S. export quantities, which increase as U.S. goods become cheaper in the rest of the world. Real U.S. imports are affected less because U.S. prices are more insulated from exchange rate movements -- pass-through is low and dollar invoicing is high. In relation to prices, the effects on the U.S. terms of trade are limited: U.S. exporters earn the same amount of dollars for each unit shipped abroad, and U.S. consumers do not encounter more expensive imports. Movements in dollar exchange rates also affect the international trade transactions of countries invoicing some of their trade in dollars, even when these countries are not transacting directly with the United States.
