Download or read book The Analysis of the Region Real Estate Credit Risk Management in China written by Jiang Xiaowei and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Assessing China s Residential Real Estate Market written by Ding Ding and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-16 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s real estate market rebounded sharply after a temporary slowdown in 2014-2015. This paper uses city-level data to estimate the range of house price overvaluation across city-tiers and assesses the main risks of a sharp housing market slowdown. If house prices rise further beyond “fundamental” levels and the bubble expands to smaller cities, it would increase the likelihood and costs of a sharp correction, which would weaken growth, undermine financial stability, reduce local government spending room, and spur capital outflows. Empirical analysis suggests that the increasing intensity of macroprudential policies tailored to local conditions is appropriate. The government should expand its toolkit to include additional macroprudential measures and push forward reforms to address the fundamental imbalances in the residential housing market.
Download or read book CHINA S REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY written by Yujie Liu and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China's real estate industry played an outsized role in both China and global economy and has experienced a rapid growth during the past 15 years, but it went through a tough period of roller-coaster since the last half of 2021.More and more concerns about the credit stability of the industry arise with the default rate going up dramatically and both of onshore and offshore public financing windows have almost closed. This paper aims to systematically review and analyze the historical growth and credit evolvement of Chinese real estate industry based on in-depth research on the relative literature and industry practice, and to explore the key factors that drive the significant changes of the industry. It is found that the historical high growth rate and low default rate of Chinese developers relied highly on government policies, credit easing and supply-demand structure of Chinese housing market. As the macroeconomic environment has changed tremendously since the year 2021, credit of Chinese developers deteriorated dramatically and the industry is entering into a cycle of deleveraging. The paper systematically analyzed the evolvement of the three key factors including public policy, supply-demand balance and financial stability of the key players, and draw a conclusion that it is really challenging for Chinese developers to achieve soft landing during this round of downturn because it is the result of the superposition and comprehensive fermentation of short-term, medium-term and long-term factors.
Download or read book Understanding China s Real Estate Markets written by Bing Wang and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-01-05 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s economy has been transforming rapidly over the last 25 years. As a result, Chinese conurbations have changed remarkably, with cities expanding both vertically and horizontally, and the physical environment acting as a medium for unprecedented urbanization. This has provided vast opportunities for investors, real estate developers, and service companies, but also presents huge challenges—as traditional city spaces have been reconfigured, environmental risks and the volatility of real estate markets increased. However, as engagement with China is becoming strategically important for many, forming a synthesized lens through which to read China across the vicissitudes of its real estate sector bears historic significance. By offering an insightful framework and structure for understanding China’s variegated real estate dynamics, players, and markets, Understanding China’s Real Estate Markets codifies the principles and practices of real estate development, finance, and investment in China and builds foundations for future academic research and practical knowledge in shaping and engaging the urban environment within China and beyond.
Download or read book ICIDC 2022 written by Zuriati Ahmad Zukarnain and published by European Alliance for Innovation. This book was released on 2022-10-13 with total page 2599 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2022 International Conference on Information Economy, Data Modeling and Cloud Computing (ICIDC 2022) was successfully held in Qingdao, China from June 17 to 19, 2022. Under the impact of COVID-19, ICIDC 2022 was held adopting a combination of online and offline conference. During this conference, we were greatly honored to have Prof Datuk Dr Hj Kasim Hj Md Mansur from Universiti Malaysia Sabah, Malaysia to serve as our Conference Chairman. And there were 260 individuals attending the conference. The conference agenda was composed of keynote speeches, oral presentations, and online Q&A discussion. The proceedings of ICIDC 2022 cover various topics, including Big Data Finance, E-Commerce and Digital Business, Modeling Method, 3D Modeling, Internet of Things, Cloud Computing Platform, etc. All the papers have been checked through rigorous review and processes to meet the requirements of publication. Data modeling allows us to obtain the dynamic change trend of various indicator data, so how to use big data information to model and study the development trend of economic operation plan is of great significance. And that is exactly the purpose of this conference, focusing on the application of big data in the economic field as well as conducting more profound research in combination with cloud computing.
Download or read book People s Republic of China Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Financial Sector Assessment Program Technical Note Banking Sector Supervision and Regulation written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-06-15 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Banking supervision and regulation by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) remain strong. This assessment confirms the 2014 Basel Core Principles assessment that the HKMA achieves a high level of compliance with the BCPs. The Basel III framework (and related guidance) and domestic and cross-border cooperation arrangements are firmly in place. The HKMA actively contributes to the development and implementation of relevant international standards. Updating their risk based supervisory approach helped the HKMA optimize supervisory resources. The HKMA’s highly experienced supervisory staff is a key driver to achieving one of the most sophisticated levels of supervision and regulation observed in Asia and beyond.
Download or read book China s Rise And Internationalization Regional And Global Challenges And Impacts written by Filip Abraham and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-04-15 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 2018 marks the 40th anniversary of the start of China's reform and opening up policy, which created China's growth miracle with an annual average growth rate of around 9.5 percent. China's rapid rise and internationalization has also generated profound impacts both regionally and globally. This edited book aims to bring together academics and researchers at policy institutions to discuss ongoing research on a wide range of theoretical and empirical issues related to China's rapid rise and internationalization from both regional and global perspectives.
Download or read book Financial Security in China written by Dexu He and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-05 with total page 235 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book studies typical issues regarding China’s financial security, such as internal and external currency security, herd behavior in bank credit, system risk in the stock market, major risks in the insurance industry, risks related to shadow banking, and real-estate finance security. The book reflects the author’s longtime research experience and personal thought. It uses a completely new structure to present useful and targeted-based countermeasures and suggestions, making it a valuable reference resource for those involved in solving China’s financial security problems and creating China’s future financial security system. It is highly recommended for readers who want to understand the current situation and features of China’s financial security.
Download or read book Understanding Residential Real Estate in China written by MissMali Chivakul and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-28 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s residential real estate sector plays an important role in the economy and has been a key driver of growth. Since 2014 the sector has softened visibly, reflecting overbuilding across many cities. An orderly adjustment of the sector is welcome. The key questions are how severe the adjustment will be and how long it will last. This paper uses various datasets, an analytical framework to estimate demand and supply conditions, and develops a number of scenarios to determine the oversupply both at the national level and by city tiers. It highlights that the adjustment will be a multiyear process with adverse implications for investment and growth. Smaller cities, as well as those in the Northeast region, face more challenging demand-supply dynamics. The key will be to allow the adjustment to take place, while avoiding a too sharp of an economic slowdown.
Download or read book Risk in the Global Real Estate Market written by Mike C. I. Nwogugu and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-01-26 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essential reading for professional investors, risk managers, regulators, central bankers, and real estate professionals, Risk in the Global Real Estate Market: International Risk Regulation, Mechanism Design, Foreclosures, Title Systems, and REITs takes an international look at the ways in which U.S.-style constitutional laws, financial laws, and real estate laws in various countries affect global economics and risk; and analyzes specific constraints that deter market development such as Asset Liability Matching, inappropriate financial products, land title systems, inefficient constitutions and human biases. The sub-prime mortgage crisis (that began around 2006) and the Global Financial Crisis of 2007–2010 disrupted the economies of various countries and exposed many of the psychological, social, and economic problems inherent in the legal/risk infrastructure for mortgages, land title systems, REITs, securitization, and pensions. In this remarkable new book, Michael Nwogugu explains how these processes and statutes are unconstitutional and inefficient, and how they influence demand for housing, real estate prices, retirement savings, household wealth, consumer disposable income, marriage opportunities, job markets, crime, and regional economic growth. The resulting major economic and public health problems have continued to reduce the quality-of-life of nations, and continue to cause permanent declines in wealth, increases in crime and delinquency, high divorce rates, depression, and inadequate job creation, among other problems. The book examines a range of fields—including mechanism design, psychology, risk finance, and corporate governance; and emphasizes Constitutional economics as a distinct dimension of risk analysis. Risk in the Global Real Estate Market makes a compelling case about how constitutional torts increase information asymmetry, transaction costs, agency problems, and compliance costs, as well as inefficiency in real estate transactions. These problems, the book argues, are not unique to the United States, but also affect Commonwealth countries and other nations that have developed regulations that are similar to, or are based on U.S. commercial, securities, and or constitutional laws. Risk in the Global Real Estate Market presents a novel analysis of the sub-prime crisis (that first began in 2006), the failure of securitization (CMBS/MBS) markets, the Global Financial Crisis, and socio-economic problems caused by traditional mortgages and securitization. The book reveals that many of the statutes and processes that define mortgages, foreclosures, securitization, and REITs in the United States (and many common-law countries and nations that have adopted American-style real estate regulations) are fundamentally unconstitutional and inefficient, and have lasting negative effects on consumer psychology, the demand for real estate, price discovery in property markets, economic growth, and quality of life. The book examines the nature of constitutional torts and property rights as the foundation for business transactions and economic growth within the context of risk regulation, interstate commerce, takings, and legislation. Risk in the Global Real Estate Market introduces new theories of consumer psychology and institutional dynamics in real estate transactions; presents new theories of takings, and also surveys psychology/psychiatry studies (based on data from various countries) that confirm the harmful effects of mortgages, securitization, and foreclosures. Using elements of mechanism design, Michael Nwogugu develops new efficient financial products (Mortgage-Alternatives products), and presents a policy framework for a unified “Mortgage-Alternatives” market for the CEE/CIS region and China. He also explains why Asset Liability Matching hinders lending, capital formation and risk management, especially in developing countries.
Download or read book People s Republic of China Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Financial Sector Assessment Program Technical Note Stress Testing the Banking Sector and Systemic Risk Analysis written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-06-15 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hong Kong SAR (HKSAR) is a small and open economy, and a major international financial center with extensive linkages to Mainland China. Over the past two years, Hong Kong SAR’s economy and financial sector were adversely impacted by domestic social unrest, US-China tensions, and the global COVID-19 pandemic, resulting in an unprecedented two consecutive years of negative economic growth.
Download or read book How Strong are the Linkages Between Real Estate and Other Sectors in China written by Wenlang Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International experience points to the critical role of stable property markets in maintaining financial stability. In China, the real estate sector has become increasingly important for the economy, but existing evidence has likely understated its importance as its linkages with other sectors have not been taken into account. This paper attempts to shed some light on these linkages which occur through both real and financial channels. Our analysis based on input-output tables shows that the linkages between the real estate and other sectors have strengthened through real channels, and that the real estate sector has been much more important to the economy's output than suggested by the share of its value added in total value added. The real estate industry is also closely linked to other sectors through various financial channels, including serving as collateral in credit expansion. We quantify these financial linkages by studying the spill-overs of credit risk across sectors using data of listed firms. In general, we find that corporate credit risk has risen in recent years, and that credit risk in the real estate sector can potentially have large-scale spill-over effects onto other sectors. Consequently, shocks to the property market could have much larger impact on the Chinese economy than suggested by headline figures.
Download or read book Proceedings of the 2022 2nd International Conference on Business Administration and Data Science BADS 2022 written by Víctor Fernández-Viagas and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-01-13 with total page 1511 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an open access book. The 2nd International Conference on Business Administration and Data Science (BADS 2022) is hosted by Kashi University and organized by the College of Economics and Management of Kashi University. The 2nd International Conference on Business Administration and Data Science (BADS 2022) is one of the series of activities for the 60th anniversary of the founding of Kashgar University In the current situation of rapid economic development, the competition in the market is increasingly fierce. The drawbacks of traditional enterprise management and the backward management concept have seriously hindered the normal development of enterprises. In order to improve their competitive advantages and market share, enterprises must optimize their management methods and build a modern business administration system. In this situation, enterprises can only promote their development process by improving their business management mode and formulating scientific business management policies.
Download or read book The Spillover Effects of a Downturn in China s Real Estate Investment written by Mr.Ashvin Ahuja and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-05 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sector’s extensive industrial and financial linkages make it a special type of economic activity, especially where the credit creation process relies primarily on collateral, like in China. As a result, the impact on economic activity of a collapse in real estate investment in China—though a low-probability event—would be sizable, with large spillovers to a number of China’s trading partners. Using a two-region factor-augmented vector autoregression model that allows for interaction between China and the rest of the G20 economies, we find that a 1-percent decline in China’s real estate investment would shave about 0.1 percent off China’s real GDP within the first year, with negative spillover impacts to China’s G20 trading partners that would cause global output to decline by roughly 0.05 percent from baseline. Japan, Korea, and Germany would be among the hardest hit. In that event, commodity prices, especially metal prices, could fall by as much as 0.8–2.2 percent below baseline one year after the shock.
Download or read book Stabilizing China s Housing Market written by Richard Koss and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-04-13 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The sharp rise of house prices in China’s Tier-1 cities has fostered a great deal of commentary about the possibility of bubbles forming there. However, China’s unique housing market characteristics make it difficult to assess the macroeconomic severity of bursting bubbles, even if they exist. These include the setting of land supply and prices by the government, among many others. The presence of overbuilt “ghost cities” greatly complicates the ability of traditional macroeconomic policies to address these concerns. This paper looks at proposals to shore up the mortgage underwriting and legal infrastructure to help China withstand the impact of falling prices, should this occur.
Download or read book People s Republic of China Hong Kong Special Administrative Region written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-01-13 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper analyzes Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) banks’ exposure to nonbanking businesses in Mainland China. Hong Kong SAR banks are generally less exposed to riskier Mainland businesses. Despite that, a sharp deterioration in the balance sheet of Mainland businesses, as well as a sharper-than-expected downturn in the Mainland economy could negatively affect Hong Kong SAR banks, raising debt at risk well above suggested estimates. As Hong Kong SAR banks generally have sizable buffers against downside risks, the best approach to such a scenario is vigilance, including maintaining high origination and underwriting standards.
Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015 written by Martin Eichenbaum and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2016-06-22 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This year, the NBER Macroeconomics Annual celebrates its thirtieth volume. The first two papers examine China’s macroeconomic development. “Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy” by Chun Chang, Kaiji Chen, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha outlines the key characteristics of growth and business cycles in China. “Demystifying the Chinese Housing Boom” by Hanming Fang, Quanlin Gu, Wei Xiong, and Li-An Zhou constructs a new house price index, showing that Chinese house prices have grown by ten percent per year over the past decade. The third paper, “External and Public Debt Crises” by Cristina Arellano, Andrew Atkeson, and Mark Wright, asks why there appear to be large differences across countries and subnational jurisdictions in the effect of rising public debts on economic outcomes. The fourth, “Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration” by Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr, explains how the network structure of the US economy propagates the effect of gross output productivity shocks across upstream and downstream sectors. The fifth and sixth papers investigate the usefulness of surveys of household’s beliefs for understanding economic phenomena. “Expectations and Investment,” by Nicola Gennaioli, Yueran Ma, and Andrei Shleifer, demonstrates that a chief financial officer's expectations of a firm's future earnings growth is related to both the planned and actual future investment of that firm. “Declining Desire to Work and Downward Trends in Unemployment and Participation” by Regis Barnichon and Andrew Figura shows that an increasing number of prime-age Americans who are not in the labor force report no desire to work and that this decline accelerated during the second half of the 1990s.
