Download or read book Testing the Efficiency of African Markets written by Daniel N. Simons and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we employ various tests to investigate the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis for four African stock markets - Ghana, Mauritius, Egypt and South Africa. The results of both parametric and non-parametric tests show that the South African stock market is weak form efficient, whereas that of Ghana, Mauritius and Egypt are weak form inefficient. This implies that successive security returns on the South African market are independent and follow a random walk. The same cannot be said of the other three markets. Consequently, we also fitted an ARIMA model to the excess return data for Ghana, Mauritius and Egypt using the Box-Jenkins method. The ARIMA models are then used to generate one-period ahead forecasts for the subsequent 12 periods for these three countries. The ARIMA forecasts in all three countries outperformed the naïve model, corroborating our initial inefficiency results from the earlier tests.

Download or read book Efficient Market Hypothesis in Africa s Sub Saharan Stock Markets written by Sebastian Groh and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2009-10-03 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2009 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1,3, University of Mannheim (Lehrstuhl für Volkswirtschaftslehre, insbes. Ökonometrie), course: Bachelorarbeit, language: English, abstract: In recent years foreign aid was often conditioned on good institutions. Due to this course the development of financial institutions has been considered vital for the development process. This thesis points in its theoretical part to the positive effects of efficient stock markets on economic growth and examines empirically the efficiency of Africa's sub-Saharan stock markets. Results are then compared with the same tests on four emerging markets in Asia and as a benchmark on S&P 500 and DAX. It discusses further the relationship between market efficiency and financial crisis and comes to the conclusion that a crisis worsens the respective efficiency level. Nevertheless, all African markets are at least able to pass the critical lowest hurdle of market efficiency. However, conclusions from the research propose, that the Asian markets perform better than the African markets, although the study comes to some inconclusive results. Limits to the efficient market hypothesis itself and its empirical analysis are shown throughout the paper. The study suggests that former reforms need to be intensified in order to avoid a further increase in overall income inequalities.

Download or read book Efficient Market Hypothesis in Africa s Sub Saharan Stock Markets written by Sebastian Groh and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2009-10-02 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2009 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1,3, University of Mannheim (Lehrstuhl für Volkswirtschaftslehre, insbes. Ökonometrie), course: Bachelorarbeit, language: English, abstract: In recent years foreign aid was often conditioned on good institutions. Due to this course the development of financial institutions has been considered vital for the development process. This thesis points in its theoretical part to the positive effects of efficient stock markets on economic growth and examines empirically the efficiency of Africa’s sub-Saharan stock markets. Results are then compared with the same tests on four emerging markets in Asia and as a benchmark on S&P 500 and DAX. It discusses further the relationship between market efficiency and financial crisis and comes to the conclusion that a crisis worsens the respective efficiency level. Nevertheless, all African markets are at least able to pass the critical lowest hurdle of market efficiency. However, conclusions from the research propose, that the Asian markets perform better than the African markets, although the study comes to some inconclusive results. Limits to the efficient market hypothesis itself and its empirical analysis are shown throughout the paper. The study suggests that former reforms need to be intensified in order to avoid a further increase in overall income inequalities.

Download or read book Are African Stock Markets Inefficient Or Adaptive Empirical Literature written by Paul-Francois Muzindutsi and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This chapter reviews empirical studies on weak form of efficiency with the aim of establishing whether the African market is inefficient or adaptive. The reviewed studies are categorised based on their methodological approaches to compare the power of linear and non-linear models in testing for weak-form efficiency. The studies on calendar anomalies, an indication of weak-form inefficiency, are reviewed to assess whether these anomalies are adaptive as portrayed by the relatively recent theory of adaptive market hypothesis (AMH). The scope of reviewed studies is also extended to developed and emerging markets to gain a broad comparison of the findings. This review revealed that non-linear dependence has been revealed in stock returns suggesting that non-linear models are best fit to test for the stock market efficiency. Reviewed studies produced contradictory findings with some supporting and others rejecting weak-form efficiency. Thus, most studies support the AMH, which suggests that market efficiencies and anomalies are time changing. This chapter concludes that most of the existing studies on AMH have been carried out in markets other than Africa, and hence, further empirical studies on the evolving and changing nature of efficiency in African stock markets are recommended.

Download or read book Efficiency and Market Structure written by Christopher Udry and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Efficiency Tests in Sub Saharan African Foreign Exchange Markets written by Janine Aron and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Efficiency of African Stock Markets written by Magnús Árni Magnússon and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Efficiency of Emerging Stock Markets written by Abdelmoneim Youssef and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the efficiency in pricing securities as well as the relation between exchange rate and dynamics of equity returns in a number of emerging stock markets from Africa and Asia,. This study utilizes methodologies based on Single variance ratio test of Lo and Mackinlay (1988), multiple variance tests of Chow and Denning (1993), individual variance test based on ranks and signs of Wright (2000), Wild bootstrap test of Chow and Denning introduced by Kim (2006), and joint version of sign test of Wright by Kim and Shamsuddin (2008). Results shows that Egyptian, Moroccan and Indian exchanges are not in conformity with the Random Walk Hypothesis (RWH) from the perspective of both local and international investors. Whereas the first two markets are considered inefficient in pricing equities, from the perspective of both local and international investors, when monthly returns are employed. The Indian market supports that testing for RWH is sensitive to the frequency of data used. It is worth mentioning that empirical results demonstrate also insensitivity of testing of RWH to exchange rate changes. The main significance of our study is the use of the latest test methodologies in analyzing an investment area that is growing in the emerging stock markets.

Download or read book Econometric Analysis of Weak Form of Market Efficiency written by Uttam B Sapate and published by Educreation Publishing. This book was released on with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Econometric Analysis of Weak Form of Market Efficiency This book "Econometric Analysis of Weak Form of Market Efficiency" is an outcome of doctoral research work carried out on a large amount of stock market data using MATLAB software. It is a unique study wherein a battery of econometric tests has been applied to test the Indian stock market's weak form efficiency. This book consists of 6 chapters describing the concepts of market efficiency, econometric analysis and outcomes of the study. Each chapter deals with complex mathematical terminology in lucid and simple language for better understanding. This books aims at providing advance knowledge to the researches for application of econometric techniques to ascertain market efficiency. However, at the same time it is useful as a practical guide to the graduate / post graduate students of management, economics, and securities markets and engineering for carrying out desk research using MATLAB handling large amount of secondary data. The research outcomes are expected to be guiding force to investors, academicians, researchers in many ways wherein this work can further be extended.

Download or read book The Emergence of Land Markets in Africa written by Stein T Holden and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2010-09-30 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the first systematic attempt to address emerging land markets and their implications for poverty, equity, and efficiency across a number of African countries. The high incidence of poverty and the need for increased agricultural productivity remain acute in rural areas of sub-Saharan Africa, where a lack of secure land rights and a growing scarcity of land relative to the size of the population are becoming increasingly critical issues. Indeed, land issues in the region are high on the international policy agenda. Yet our knowledge about land tenure security and other rural factor markets (such as labor, oxen, manure, purchased inputs, and credit) is far from adequate to formulate sensible policies. The case studies in the book show that, while land markets and especially informal markets have been rapidly emerging in densely populated parts of Africa - and have generally been to the benefit of the poor--their functions remain imperfect. This is due to policy-induced tenure insecurity and the fragmentation of agricultural land. Applying rigorous quantitative analyses, the book provides a basis for taking into account the role of land markets in national land policies. All too often, the authors argue, land policies have been extreme, either prohibiting all land transactions or giving unrestricted freehold rights to a small elite at the expense of the poor. From the long experience in Asia, it is known that such policies are detrimental to both production efficiency and equity of land use. The authors argue that future policies in Africa should work with the markets. Regulations should be imposed only with careful testing that they are having the intended effects. The Emergence of Land Markets in Africa is a resource for teaching in developed and developing countries, as it provides both comprehensive reviews of the literature and detailed case studies. It is intended to facilitate the dialogue between researchers and policymakers, as well as inspire researchers to go further in their investigations and build an even stronger basis for good policies. The Emergence of Land Markets in Africa is the first publication in the new Environment for Development (EfD) book series. EfD books focus on research and applications in environmental and natural resource economics as they are relevant to poverty reduction and environmental problems in developing countries. The EfD book series is part of the EfD initiative. (www.environmentfordevelopment.org)

Download or read book Market Microstructure in Emerging and Developed Markets written by H. Kent Baker and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-07-31 with total page 758 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive guide to the dynamic area of finance known as market microstructure Interest in market microstructure has grown dramatically in recent years due largely in part to the rapid transformation of the financial market environment by technology, regulation, and globalization. Looking at market transactions at the most granular level—and taking into account market structure, price discovery, information flows, transaction costs, and the trading process—market microstructure also forms the basis of high-frequency trading strategies that can help professional investors generate profits and/or execute optimal transactions. Part of the Robert W. Kolb Series in Finance, Market Microstructure skillfully puts this discipline in perspective and examines how the working processes of markets impact transaction costs, prices, quotes, volume, and trading behavior. Along the way, it offers valuable insights on how specific features of the trading process like the existence of intermediaries or the environment in which trading takes place affect the price formation process. Explore issues including market structure and design, transaction costs, information flows, and disclosure Addresses market microstructure in emerging markets Covers the legal and regulatory issues impacting this area of finance Contains contributions from both experienced financial professionals and respected academics in this field If you're looking to gain a firm understanding of market microstructure, this book is the best place to start.

Download or read book The Efficiency of Government Expenditure written by Ms.Keiko Honjo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-11-01 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses the efficiency of government expenditure on education and health in 38 countries in Africa in 1984-95, both in relation to each other and compared with countries in Asia and the Western Hemisphere. The results show that, on average, countries in Africa are less efficient than countries in Asia and the Western Hemisphere; however, education and health spending in Africa became more efficient during that period. The assessment further suggests that improvements in educational attainment and health output in African countries require more than just higher budgetary allocations.

Download or read book Development Centre Seminars Regional Integration in Africa written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2002-04-25 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regional integration and co-ordination are not a panacea but they could hold the key to African countries' long-awaited participation in the world economy. This was one of the conclusions of the second International Forum on African Perspectives ...

Download or read book Proceedings of the 2022 International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis MSEA 2022 written by Gaikar Vilas Bhau and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-12-22 with total page 1514 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an open access book. 2022 International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis(MSEA 2022) will be held in Dalian, China from May 27 to 29, 2022. Based on probability theory, mathematical statistics studies the statistical regularity of a large number of random phenomena, and infers and forecasts the whole. Economic development is very important to people's life and the country. Through data statistics and analysis, we can quickly understand the law of economic development. This conference combines mathematical statistics and economic analysis for the first time to explore the relationship between them, so as to provide a platform for experts and scholars in the field of mathematical statistics and economic analysis to exchange and discuss.

Download or read book Principles of Investment written by Patrick Maina Gachuhi, Grace W. Njoroge Kahura, Abbas Said Abubakar, Conrad K. Wambugu, Denis Ambundo Munala and published by Cari Journals USA LLC. This book was released on 2022-09-21 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: TOPICS IN THE BOOK Effects of Bonus Issue on Stock Prices of Companies Quoted At the Nairobi Securities Exchange Social Cultural and Environmental Related Factors Influencing the Selection of Areas of Residence in Kenya: A Survey of Nairobi Residents Cost and Accessibility Related Factors Influencing the Selection of Areas of Residence in Kenya: A Survey of Nairobi Residents Islamic Banking and Investment Financing: A Case of Islamic Banking in Kenya Relationship between Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Maize Prices in Kenya Constraints to Growth of Micro Finance Institutions in Nairobi County, Kenya

Download or read book Emerging Markets written by Vito Bobek and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2021-07-07 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The rapid growth and development of emerging economies offer both opportunities and threats for international businesses. Understanding the economic development of emerging markets, combined with a knowledge of the increasingly complex international business market, enables better exploitation of opportunities in increasingly competitive world markets. The BRIC countries, the most prominent emerging markets, have long been discovered by foreign firms due to their enormous potential for investment opportunities. This book offers a comprehensive look at emerging markets, especially as they integrate with the global economy. It offers a conceptual framework to analyze emerging markets from multiple perspectives, including those of indigenous entrepreneurs struggling to overcome constraints to build world-class businesses, multinationals from developed countries tapping into emerging markets for their next growth spurt, and domestic and foreign investors seeking to profit from investment opportunities in emerging markets.

Download or read book Market Institutions in Sub Saharan Africa written by Marcel Fafchamps and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2003-12-05 with total page 543 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An analysis of recent data on the economic behavior of market institutions in sub-Saharan Africa, with implications for future research and current policy. In Market Institutions in Sub-Saharan Africa, Marcel Fafchamps synthesizes the results of recent surveys of indigenous market institutions in twelve countries, including Benin, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar, Malawi, and Zimbabwe, and presents findings about economics exchange in Africa that have implications both for future research and current policy. Employing empirical data as well as theoretical models that clarify the data, Fafchamps takes as his unifying principle the difficulties of contract enforcement. Arguing that in an unpredictable world contracts are not always likely to be respected, he shows that contract agreements in sub-Saharan Africa are affected by the absence of large hierarchies (both corporate and governmental) and as a result must depend to a greater degree than in more developed economies on social networks and personal trust. Fafchamps considers policy recommendations as they apply to countries in three different stages of development: countries with undeveloped market institutions, like Ghana; countries at an intermediate stage, like Kenya; and countries with developed market institutions, like Zimbabwe. Market Institutions in Sub-Saharan Africa caps ten years of personal research by the author. Fafchamps, in collaboration with such institutions as the Africa Division of the World Bank and the International Food Policy Research Institute, participated in the surveys of manufacturing firms and agricultural traders that provide the empirical basis for the book. The result is a work that makes a significant contribution to research on the continuing economic stagnation of many countries in sub-Saharan Africa and is also largely accessible to researchers in other fields and policy professionals.