Download or read book Testing the constancy of regression parameters against continuous change written by Chien-Fu Jeff Lin and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Testing the Constancy of Regression Parameters Against Continuous Structural Change written by Chien-Fu Jeff Lin and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Testing the Constancy of Regression Parameters Against Continuous Change written by Chien-Fu Jeff Lin and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Testing the Constancy of Regression Parameters Against Continous Change written by Chien-Fu Jeff Lin and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Stability Of Regression Models written by Ngoc Luan Ho Trieu and published by QesInvAcc. This book was released on 2018-03-15 with total page 119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book begins with a discussion of the danger of model instability which has received scant attention in the assessment of regression models; this leads to their frequent unsatisfactory performance when used in forecasting or in prediction. A main reason is a well specified regression model with statistically significant parameter estimates of relevant variables can still suffer from structural instability which comes from two sources: (i) a statistical source due to measurement error and variation in the bias due to unknown or known but unexpected exogenous factors, and (ii) the numerical source due to the ill condition of the data matrix. The two sources can jointly amplify the destabilizing force on the parameter estimates, then the model predictions or forecasts. This book exposes major tests for detecting instability of regression models with sufficient discussion and guidance to help the reader select the appropriate tests and apply them. An illustrative example provides a step by step guidance on how to implement those tests in TROLL, the econometric package produced by the MIT (USA). The book is prepared by Ngoc Luan Ho Trieu who holds a Bachelor of Economics and a Bachelor of Art from the University Of Western Australia; and his post-graduate qualifications include a Graduate Diploma in Economics, a Graduate Diploma in Econometrics, and a Master of Economics of Development (Australian National University).

Download or read book Change Point Analysis for Time Series written by Lajos Horváth and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Nonlinear Econometric Modeling in Time Series written by William A. Barnett and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-05-22 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents some of the more recent developments in nonlinear time series, including Bayesian analysis and cointegration tests.

Download or read book Modern Econometric Analysis written by Olaf Hübler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-04-29 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book leading German econometricians in different fields present survey articles of the most important new methods in econometrics. The book gives an overview of the field and it shows progress made in recent years and remaining problems.

Download or read book Analysing Economic Data written by T. Mills and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-12-10 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Covers the key issues required for students wishing to understand and analyse the core empirical issues in economics. It focuses on descriptive statistics, probability concepts and basic econometric techniques and has an accompanying website that contains all the data used in the examples and provides exercises for undertaking original research.

Download or read book Forecasting and Hedging in the Foreign Exchange Markets written by Christian Ullrich and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-30 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Historical and recent developments at international ?nancial markets show that it is easy to loose money, while it is dif?cult to predict future developments and op- mize decision-making towards maximizing returns and minimizing risk. One of the reasons of our inability to make reliable predictions and to make optimal decisions is the growing complexity of the global economy. This is especially true for the f- eign exchange market (FX market) which is considered as one of the largest and most liquid ?nancial markets. Its grade of ef?ciencyand its complexityis one of the starting points of this volume. From the high complexity of the FX market, Christian Ullrich deduces the - cessity to use tools from machine learning and arti?cial intelligence, e.g., support vector machines, and to combine such methods with sophisticated ?nancial mod- ing techniques. The suitability of this combination of ideas is demonstrated by an empirical study and by simulation. I am pleased to introduce this book to its - dience, hoping that it will provide the reader with interesting ideas to support the understanding of FX markets and to help to improve risk management in dif?cult times. Moreover, I hope that its publication will stimulate further research to contribute to the solution of the many open questions in this area.

Download or read book Nonlinear and Complex Dynamics written by José António Tenreiro Machado and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-08-28 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nonlinear Dynamics of Complex Systems describes chaos, fractal and stochasticities within celestial mechanics, financial systems and biochemical systems. Part I discusses methods and applications in celestial systems and new results in such areas as low energy impact dynamics, low-thrust planar trajectories to the moon and earth-to-halo transfers in the sun, earth and moon. Part II presents the dynamics of complex systems including bio-systems, neural systems, chemical systems and hydro-dynamical systems. Finally, Part III covers economic and financial systems including market uncertainty, inflation, economic activity and foreign competition and the role of nonlinear dynamics in each.

Download or read book Empirical Vector Autoregressive Modeling written by Marius Ooms and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. 1 Integrating results The empirical study of macroeconomic time series is interesting. It is also difficult and not immediately rewarding. Many statistical and economic issues are involved. The main problems is that these issues are so interrelated that it does not seem sensible to address them one at a time. As soon as one sets about the making of a model of macroeconomic time series one has to choose which problems one will try to tackle oneself and which problems one will leave unresolved or to be solved by others. From a theoretic point of view it can be fruitful to concentrate oneself on only one problem. If one follows this strategy in empirical application one runs a serious risk of making a seemingly interesting model, that is just a corollary of some important mistake in the handling of other problems. Two well known examples of statistical artifacts are the finding of Kuznets "pseudo-waves" of about 20 years in economic activity (Sargent (1979, p. 248)) and the "spurious regression" of macroeconomic time series described in Granger and Newbold (1986, §6. 4). The easiest way to get away with possible mistakes is to admit they may be there in the first place, but that time constraints and unfamiliarity with the solution do not allow the researcher to do something about them. This can be a viable argument.

Download or read book Bayesian Inference in Dynamic Econometric Models written by Luc Bauwens and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2000-01-06 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains an up-to-date coverage of the last twenty years advances in Bayesian inference in econometrics, with an emphasis on dynamic models. It shows how to treat Bayesian inference in non linear models, by integrating the useful developments of numerical integration techniques based on simulations (such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods), and the long available analytical results of Bayesian inference for linear regression models. It thus covers a broad range of rather recent models for economic time series, such as non linear models, autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regressions, and cointegrated vector autoregressive models. It contains also an extensive chapter on unit root inference from the Bayesian viewpoint. Several examples illustrate the methods.

Download or read book Co integration Error Correction and the Econometric Analysis of Non Stationary Data written by Anindya Banerjee and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1993-05-27 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a wide-ranging account of the literature on co-integration and the modelling of integrated processes (those which accumulate the effects of past shocks). Data series which display integrated behaviour are common in economics, although techniques appropriate to analysing such data are of recent origin and there are few existing expositions of the literature. This book focuses on the exploration of relationships among integrated data series and the exploitation of these relationships in dynamic econometric modelling. The concepts of co-integration and error-correction models are fundamental components of the modelling strategy. This area of time-series econometrics has grown in importance over the past decade and is of interest to econometric theorists and applied econometricians alike. By explaining the important concepts informally, but also presenting them formally, the book bridges the gap between purely descriptive and purely theoretical accounts of the literature. The asymptotic theory of integrated processes is described and the tools provided by this theory are used to develop the distributions of estimators and test statistics. Practical modelling advice, and the use of techniques for systems estimation, are also emphasized. A knowledge of econometrics, statistics, and matrix algebra at the level of a final-year undergraduate or first-year undergraduate course in econometrics is sufficient for most of the book. Other mathematical tools are described as they occur.

Download or read book Advances in Theoretical and Applied Statistics written by Nicola Torelli and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-26 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume includes contributions selected after a double blind review process and presented as a preliminary version at the 45th Meeting of the Italian Statistical Society. The papers provide significant and innovative original contributions and cover a broad range of topics including: statistical theory; methods for time series and spatial data; statistical modeling and data analysis; survey methodology and official statistics; analysis of social, demographic and health data; and economic statistics and econometrics.

Download or read book Applied Time Series Analysis written by Terence C. Mills and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2019-01-22 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written for those who need an introduction, Applied Time Series Analysis reviews applications of the popular econometric analysis technique across disciplines. Carefully balancing accessibility with rigor, it spans economics, finance, economic history, climatology, meteorology, and public health. Terence Mills provides a practical, step-by-step approach that emphasizes core theories and results without becoming bogged down by excessive technical details. Including univariate and multivariate techniques, Applied Time Series Analysis provides data sets and program files that support a broad range of multidisciplinary applications, distinguishing this book from others. Focuses on practical application of time series analysis, using step-by-step techniques and without excessive technical detail Supported by copious disciplinary examples, helping readers quickly adapt time series analysis to their area of study Covers both univariate and multivariate techniques in one volume Provides expert tips on, and helps mitigate common pitfalls of, powerful statistical software including EVIEWS and R Written in jargon-free and clear English from a master educator with 30 years+ experience explaining time series to novices Accompanied by a microsite with disciplinary data sets and files explaining how to build the calculations used in examples

Download or read book Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles written by C. Milas and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2006-02-08 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume of Contributions to Economic Analysis addresses a number of important questions in the field of business cycles including: How should business cycles be dated and measured? What is the response of output and employment to oil-price and monetary shocks? And, is the business cycle asymmetric, and does it matter?