Download or read book Terrorism Forecasting written by Sundri Khalsa and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accompanying CD-ROM includes a web-based interface and "a 45-minute video that provides an executive summary of the forecasting methodology"--P. 1.
Download or read book Forecasting Terrorism written by Sundri Khalsa and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The author identifies 68 indicators of terrorist activity and analyses each with a step-by-step explanation. He also outlines safeguards against 38 of the 42 common warning pitfalls. By following Khalsa's methodology, analysts can recognize and assess terrorist activity and thus provide warnings that will help prevent attacks.
Download or read book National Security Crisis Forecasting And Management written by Gerald W. Hopple and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-03-08 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book identifies the central problems of crisis research, assesses the progress of work in the area, and discusses prospects for the future. It addresses Soviet, Chinese, and U.S. crisis management patterns, computer-based early warning systems, terrorism, and the Rapid Deployment Force.
Download or read book TERRORISM FORECASTING A WEB BASED METHODOLOGY OCCASIONAL PAPER NUMBER ELEVEN NOVEMBER 2004 written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Macroeconomic Impacts of the 9 11 Attack written by Bryan W. Roberts and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Evaluates the macroeconomic impacts of the 9/11 attack on U.S. real GDP growth and the unemployment rate by examining how forecasts of these variables were revised after the attack occurred. By this approach, the immediate impact of the 9/11 attack was to reduce real GDP growth in 2001 by 0.5%, and to increase the unemployment rate by 0.11% (reduce employment by 598,000 jobs). Forecasted real GDP growth in 2002 fell dramatically immediately after the 9/11 attack but then recovered fully. The forecasted unemployment rate in 2002 rose sharply immediately after the 9/11 attack, but unlike real GDP growth, it never subsequently returned to a pre-9/11 level. Illustrations. This is a print on demand edition of a hard to find publication.
Download or read book Handbook of Computational Approaches to Counterterrorism written by V.S. Subrahmanian and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-12 with total page 580 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Terrorist groups throughout the world have been studied primarily through the use of social science methods. However, major advances in IT during the past decade have led to significant new ways of studying terrorist groups, making forecasts, learning models of their behaviour, and shaping policies about their behaviour. Handbook of Computational Approaches to Counterterrorism provides the first in-depth look at how advanced mathematics and modern computing technology is shaping the study of terrorist groups. This book includes contributions from world experts in the field, and presents extensive information on terrorism data sets, new ways of building such data sets in real-time using text analytics, introduces the mathematics and computational approaches to understand terror group behaviour, analyzes terror networks, forecasts terror group behaviour, and shapes policies against terrorist groups. Auxiliary information will be posted on the book’s website. This book targets defence analysts, counter terror analysts, computer scientists, mathematicians, political scientists, psychologists, and researchers from the wide variety of fields engaged in counter-terrorism research. Advanced-level students in computer science, mathematics and social sciences will also find this book useful.
Download or read book Predicting Suicide Attacks written by Walt L. Perry and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2013 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) set out to develop ways to predict what determines the targets of suicide attacks. While the ultimate goal is to create a list of areas at risk for the U.S. environment, the first phase of development employed a data set from Israel. Initially, NRL focused on spatial attributes, creating its own risk index, but realized that this focus on the where ignored the broader social context, the why. The lab asked RAND to test, as a proof of principle, the ability of sociocultural, political, economic, and demographic factors to enhance the predictive ability of NRL's methodology. Again using Israel as a sample, RAND created a database that coded for these factors, then conducted both quantitative and qualitative analyses with an eye to determining what puts a given area at greater risk. The quantitative analysis established that these factors are related to the odds of attack within specific neighborhoods and that the relationships held even when controlling for geospatial factors, so they seem to confer risk for reasons beyond their association with geospatial features of neighborhoods. The specifics of the research are limited to the preferences of Palestinian suicide bombers in Israel; however, the methods used to assess target preferences in Israel could be transferred to the United States or other countries. Any results, if proven to be robust, could be used to develop recommendations for heightened public awareness in certain areas."--Page 4 of cover.
Download or read book Terrorist Recognition Handbook written by Malcolm W. Nance and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-09-20 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 2003, Terrorist Recognition Handbook: A Practitioner's Manual for Predicting and Identifying Terrorist Activities remains one of the only books available to provide detailed information on terrorist methodology revealing terrorist motivation, organizational structure, planning, financing, and operational tactics to carry out atta
Download or read book FORECASTING TERRORISM AMP INTELLCB written by Sundri K. Khalsa and published by . This book was released on 2017-11-01 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Intelligence and Security Informatics written by Hsinchun Chen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2004-08-24 with total page 551 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past two years have seen signi?cant interest and progress made in national and homeland security research in the areas of information technologies, orga- zational studies, and security-related public policy. Like medical and biological research, which is facing signi?cant information overload and yet also trem- dous opportunities for new innovation, the communities of law enforcement, criminal analysis, and intelligence are facing the same challenge. As medical - formatics and bioinformatics have become major ?elds of study, the science of "intelligence and security informatics" is now emerging and attracting interest from academic researchers in related ?elds as well as practitioners from both government agencies and industry. Broadly de?ned, intelligence and security informatics is the study of the - velopmentanduseofadvancedinformationtechnologiesandsystemsfornational and homeland security related applications, through an integrated technological, organizational, and policy based approach. The First Symposium on Intelligence and Security Informatics (ISI2003) was held in June 2003 in Tucson, Arizona. It provided a stimulating intellectual forum of discussions among previously d- paratecommunities:academicresearchersininformationtechnologies,computer science, public policy, and social studies; local, state, and federal law enfor- ment and intelligence experts; and information technology industry consultants and practitioners. Building on the momentum of ISI2003, we held the Second Symposium on IntelligenceandSecurityInformatics(ISI2004)inJune2004inTucson,Arizona.
Download or read book Forecasting Warning and Responding to Transnational Risks written by Chiara de Franco and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-07-26 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assembling a high profile group of scholars and practitioners, this book investigates the interplay of forecasting; warnings about, and responses to, known and unknown transnational risks. It challenges conventional accounts of 'failures' of warning and preventive policy in both the academic literature and public debate.
Download or read book FORECASTING TERRORISM AMP INTELLPB written by Sundri K. Khalsa and published by . This book was released on 2017-11-01 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Download or read book Terrorist Recognition Handbook written by Malcolm W. Nance and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-04-14 with total page 475 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Effective counterterrorism requires a non-prejudicial understanding of terrorist motives and methods. Security professionals need to identify who terrorists might be, recognize pre-incident indicators of terrorist activity, and competently analyze intelligence information. Unfortunately, most terrorist education comes in short, sketchy briefings,
Download or read book Terrorism written by C. A. Gearty and published by Weidenfeld & Nicolson. This book was released on 1997 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title is one in a series of books in which some of the world's most distinguished academics and writers in their particular fields attempt to forecast the future, over the next 50 years, across a range of social, economic, political , geographical, and technological subject areas.
Download or read book The Mind of the Terrorist written by Jerrold M. Post and published by St. Martin's Press. This book was released on 2007-12-10 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In contrast to the widely held assumption that terrorists as crazed fanatics, Jerrold Post demonstrates they are psychologically "normal" and that "hatred has been bred in the bone". He reveals the powerful motivations that drive these ordinary people to such extraordinary evil by exploring the different types of terrorists, from national-separatists like the Irish Republican Army to social revolutionary terrorists like the Shining Path, as well as religious extremists like al-Qaeda and Aum Shinrikyo. In The Mind of the Terrorist, Post uses his expertise to explain how the terrorist mind works and how this information can help us to combat terrorism more effectively.
Download or read book Terrorism and Guerrilla Warfare written by Richard Clutterbuck and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2011 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 1990, this book will be of great interest to anyone concerned about conflict and stability in the 1990s, especially governments, police, and buisnesses involved in anti-terrorist technology. It will also be of value to students of politics who want to understand terrorism, and to people who want to take account of future technology in handling poltical and social problems.
