Download or read book Switching to Non Affine Stochastic Volatility written by Nicolas Langrené and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Stochastic Volatility and Jumps written by Katja Ignatieva and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes exponentially affine and non-affine stochastic volatility models with jumps in returns and volatility. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique is applied within a Bayesian inference to estimate model parameters and latent variables using daily returns from the Samp;P 500 stock index. There are two approaches to overcome the problem of misspecification of the square root stochastic volatility model. The first approach proposed by Christo ersen, Jacobs and Mimouni (2008) suggests to investigate some non-affine alternatives of the volatility process. The second approach consists in examining more heavily parametrized models by adding jumps to the return and possibly to the volatility process. The aim of this paper is to combine both model frameworks and to test whether the class of affine models is outperformed by the class of non-affine models if we include jumps into the stochastic processes. We conclude that the non-affine model structure have promising statistical properties and are worth further investigations. Further, we find affine models with jump components that perform similar to the non affine models without jump components. Since non affine models yield economically unrealistic parameter estimates, and research is rather developed for the affine model structures we have a tendency to prefer the affine jump diffusion models.
Download or read book Empirical Performance of Non Affine Stochastic Volatility Models written by Øystein Sivertsen Jensen and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis aims to test the empirical performance of 5 different non-affine specifications of the stochastic volatility model. The performance of the common affine square-root (SQR) specification is also investigated. The analysis is carried out by calibrating each model to option data by fitting the model-implied Black-Scholes volatilities to the marked-implied Black-Scholes volatilities. The data is collected from three months of very different financial climates; January 2007, October 2008, and July 2010. Three assets are considered; the S&P500 index, Apple Inc. and ExxonMobil Corporation. The findings confirm that model fit can be improved by choosing a non-affine model specification. The VAR model stands out as the best specification across all performance measures. The 3/2N model also consistently outperforms the SQR model. A separate estimation exercise based on maximum likelihood is also performed, confirming the better performance of the non-affine model specifications. The estimated parameters from the two estimation exercises show little sign of consistency, which indicates that all models are misspecified.
Download or read book A Unified Valuation Framework for Variance Swaps Under Non Affine Stochastic Volatility Models written by Alex Badescu and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this article, we investigate the pricing and convergence of general non-affine non-Gaussian GARCH-based variance swap prices. Explicit solutions for fair strike prices under two different sampling schemes are derived using the extended Girsanov principle as our pricing kernel candidate. Following standard assumptions on the time-varying GARCH parameters, we show that these quantities converge to discretely and continuously sampled variance swaps constructed based on the weak diffusion limit of the underlying GARCH model. An empirical study which relies on a joint estimation using both historical returns and VIX data indicates that an asymmetric heavier-tailed distribution is more appropriate for modelling the GARCH innovations. Finally, we provide several numerical exercises to support our theoretical convergence results in which we investigate the effect of the quadratic variation approximation for the realized variance, as well as the impact of discrete versus continuous-time modelling of asset returns.
Download or read book Empirical Analysis of Affine vs Non Affine Variance Specifications in Jump Diffusion Models for Equity Indices written by Katja Ignatieva and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to model the variance process driving stock returns is a major research questions in finance. The specification of a variance model has implications for, e.g., risk management decisions, portfolio allocation or derivative pricing. This paper analyzes several crucial questions for setting up a variance model. (i) Are jumps an important model ingredient even when using a non-affine specification? (ii) How do affine specifications perform when compared to non-affine models. (iii) How should non-linearities be modeled? We find that, first, jump models clearly outperform pure stochastic volatility models. Second, non-affine specifications outperform affine models, even after including jumps. And finally, we find that the polynomial specification of the drift term, that has also been used in short rate models, is the best non-affine model under consideration.
Download or read book Log Normal Stochastic Volatility Model written by Artur Sepp and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While empirical studies have established that the log-normal stochastic volatility (SV) model is superior to its alternatives, the model does not allow for the analytical solutions available for affine models. To circumvent this, we show that the joint moment generating function (MGF) of the log-price and the quadratic variance (QV) under the log-normal SV model can be decomposed into a leading term, which is given by an exponential-affine form, and a residual term, whose estimate depends on the higher order moments of the volatility process. We prove that the second-order leading term is theoretically consistent with the expected values and covariance matrix of the log-price and the quadratic variance. We further extend this approach to the log-normal SV model with jumps. We use Fourier inversion techniques to value vanilla options on the equity and the QV and, by comparison to Monte Carlo simulations, we show that the second-order leading term is precise for the valuation of vanilla options. We generalize the affine decomposition to other non-affine stochastic volatility models with polynomial drift and volatility functions, and with jumps in the volatility process.
Download or read book Hedging in Affine Stochastic Volatility Models written by Richard Vierthauer and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives written by Yue Kuen Kwok and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-05-08 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives summarizes most of the recent research results in pricing models of derivatives on discrete realized variance and VIX. The book begins with the presentation of volatility trading and uses of variance derivatives. It then moves on to discuss the robust replication strategy of variance swaps using portfolio of options, which is one of the major milestones in pricing theory of variance derivatives. The replication procedure provides the theoretical foundation of the construction of VIX. This book provides sound arguments for formulating the pricing models of variance derivatives and establishes formal proofs of various technical results. Illustrative numerical examples are included to show accuracy and effectiveness of analytic and approximation methods. Features Useful for practitioners and quants in the financial industry who need to make choices between various pricing models of variance derivatives Fabulous resource for researchers interested in pricing and hedging issues of variance derivatives and VIX products Can be used as a university textbook in a topic course on pricing variance derivatives
Download or read book Parameter Estimation in Stochastic Volatility Models written by Jaya P. N. Bishwal and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-08-06 with total page 634 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book develops alternative methods to estimate the unknown parameters in stochastic volatility models, offering a new approach to test model accuracy. While there is ample research to document stochastic differential equation models driven by Brownian motion based on discrete observations of the underlying diffusion process, these traditional methods often fail to estimate the unknown parameters in the unobserved volatility processes. This text studies the second order rate of weak convergence to normality to obtain refined inference results like confidence interval, as well as nontraditional continuous time stochastic volatility models driven by fractional Levy processes. By incorporating jumps and long memory into the volatility process, these new methods will help better predict option pricing and stock market crash risk. Some simulation algorithms for numerical experiments are provided.
Download or read book A New Class of Stochastic Volatility Models with Jumps written by Mikhail Chernov and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this paper is to propose a new class of jump diffusions which feature both stochastic volatility and random intensity jumps. Previous studies have focused primarily on pure jump processes with constant intensity and log-normal jumps or constant jump intensity combined with a one factor stochastic volatility model. We introduce several generalizations which can better accommodate several empirical features of returns data. In their most general form we introduce a class of processes which nests jump-diffusions previously considered in empirical work and includes the affine class of random intensity models studied by Bates (1998) and Duffie, Pan and Singleton (1998) but also allows for non-affine random intensity jump components. We attain the generality of our specification through a generic Levy process characterization of the jump component. The processes we introduce share the desirable feature with the affine class that they yield analytically tractable and explicit option pricing formula. The non-affine class of processes we study include specifications where the random intensity jump component depends on the size of the previous jump which represent an alternative to affine random intensity jump processes which feature correlation between the stochastic volatility and jump component. We also allow for and experiment with different empirical specifications of the jump size distributions. We use two types of data sets. One involves the Samp;P500 and the other comprises of 100 years of daily Dow Jones index. The former is a return series often used in the literature and allows us to compare our results with previous studies. The latter has the advantage to provide a long time series and enhances the possibility of estimating the jump component more precisely. The non-affine random intensity jump processes are more parsimonious than the affine class and appear to fit the data much better.
Download or read book Stochastic volatility and the pricing of financial derivatives written by Antoine Petrus Cornelius van der Ploeg and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2006 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book On Moment Non Explosions for Wishart Based Stochastic Volatility Models written by José Da Fonseca and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a result on moment non-explosions for a stock following a Wishart multidimensional stochastic volatility dynamic or a Wishart affine stochastic correlation dynamic when the parameter values satisfy certain constraints. By reformulating the stock dynamic in terms of the volatility path along with standard results on matrix Lyapunov and Riccati equations, a non-explosion result of the moment of order greater than one can be obtained. It extends to these frameworks a property well known for the Heston model.
Download or read book Missing Data Methods written by David M. Drukker and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2011-11-30 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part of the "Advances in Econometrics" series, this title contains chapters covering topics such as: Missing-Data Imputation in Nonstationary Panel Data Models; Markov Switching Models in Empirical Finance; Bayesian Analysis of Multivariate Sample Selection Models Using Gaussian Copulas; and, Consistent Estimation and Orthogonality.
Download or read book Modelling and Simulation of Stochastic Volatility in Finance written by Christian Kahl and published by Universal-Publishers. This book was released on 2008 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The famous Black-Scholes model was the starting point of a new financial industry and has been a very important pillar of all options trading since. One of its core assumptions is that the volatility of the underlying asset is constant. It was realised early that one has to specify a dynamic on the volatility itself to get closer to market behaviour. There are mainly two aspects making this fact apparent. Considering historical evolution of volatility by analysing time series data one observes erratic behaviour over time. Secondly, backing out implied volatility from daily traded plain vanilla options, the volatility changes with strike. The most common realisations of this phenomenon are the implied volatility smile or skew. The natural question arises how to extend the Black-Scholes model appropriately. Within this book the concept of stochastic volatility is analysed and discussed with special regard to the numerical problems occurring either in calibrating the model to the market implied volatility surface or in the numerical simulation of the two-dimensional system of stochastic differential equations required to price non-vanilla financial derivatives. We introduce a new stochastic volatility model, the so-called Hyp-Hyp model, and use Watanabe's calculus to find an analytical approximation to the model implied volatility. Further, the class of affine diffusion models, such as Heston, is analysed in view of using the characteristic function and Fourier inversion techniques to value European derivatives.
Download or read book Alternative Investments and Strategies written by Rdiger Kiesel and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book combines academic research and practical expertise on alternative assets and trading strategies in a unique way. The asset classes that are discussed include: credit risk, cross-asset derivatives, energy, private equity, freight agreements, alternative real assets (ARA), and socially responsible investments (SRI). The coverage on trading and investment strategies are directed at portfolio insurance, especially constant proportion portfolio insurance (CPPI) and constant proportion debt obligation (CPDO) strategies, robust portfolio optimization, and hedging strategies for exotic options.
Download or read book Stochastic Volatility in Financial Markets written by Antonio Mele and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic Volatility in Financial Markets presents advanced topics in financial econometrics and theoretical finance, and is divided into three main parts. The first part aims at documenting an empirical regularity of financial price changes: the occurrence of sudden and persistent changes of financial markets volatility. This phenomenon, technically termed `stochastic volatility', or `conditional heteroskedasticity', has been well known for at least 20 years; in this part, further, useful theoretical properties of conditionally heteroskedastic models are uncovered. The second part goes beyond the statistical aspects of stochastic volatility models: it constructs and uses new fully articulated, theoretically-sounded financial asset pricing models that allow for the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity. The third part shows how the inclusion of the statistical aspects of stochastic volatility in a rigorous economic scheme can be faced from an empirical standpoint.
Download or read book Advances in Probability and Mathematical Statistics written by Daniel Hernández‐Hernández and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-11-14 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains papers which were presented at the XV Latin American Congress of Probability and Mathematical Statistics (CLAPEM) in December 2019 in Mérida-Yucatán, México. They represent well the wide set of topics on probability and statistics that was covered at this congress, and their high quality and variety illustrates the rich academic program of the conference.
