Download or read book Storm Surge Forecasting and Future Projection in Practice written by Masaya Toyoda and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-10-08 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This accessible shortform book describes storm surge forecasting to enable port managers and practitioners to forecast these and mitigate their effects. This is particularly useful as global warming increases the severity of typhoons, particularly windstorms and storm surge disasters, globally. The authors first summarize the current status of typhoons and storm surges in practice. They also present a combination of the latest findings at the research level and at the practical level. Throughout the book, the authors carefully explain the use and limitations of empirical typhoon models that practitioners should learn from, including statistical, numerical, probabilistic, data-driven and coastal vulnerability models. They also explore artificial neural networks and convolutional neural networks and their use in such models. Finally, the book describes the potential for further development of empirical typhoon models (such as future climate experiments). This book is a vital resource that enables port managers to make effective and informed decisions when conducting storm surge forecasting in practice. It also contains useful insights for civil engineering students, especially those studying coastal engineering.
Download or read book Storm surge Forecasting written by J. W. Nickerson and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The report contains an adaptation of a unique storm-surge forecasting technique developed by Dr. C.P. Jelesnianski. This technique results in a computed storm surge profile at the inner boundary of an artificial standard basin seaward of the coast. The profile is derived from nomograms based upon a standard storm passing over a standard basin. Thumb rules and guidelines are presented in the publication for subjectively modifying the computer storm surge height as it moves shoreward of the artificial basin boundary, to fit the natural conditions of a particular coastline. Major advantages of this system are its applicability to almost any locale, its adaptability to data normally available to the field forecaster and the speed with which the forecast may be modified to remain current with natural fluctuations of the storm.
Download or read book Guide to Storm Surge Forecasting written by Organisation Météorologique Mondiale and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting extratropical storm surges for the northeast coast of the United States written by N. Arthur Pore and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The National Weather Service (NWS) has developed a technique for forecasting extratropical storm surges along the northeast coast of the United States. The storm surge is caused mainly by the strong winds associated with extra-tropical storms over nearshore areas.
Download or read book A First generation National Storm Surge Forecast System written by Stewart Allen and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Coastal Hazards Related to Storm Surge written by Rick Luettich and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2018-03-13 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Coastal Hazards Related to Storm Surge" that was published in JMSE
Download or read book Anatomy of Storm Surge Science at Liverpool Tidal Institute 1919 1959 written by Anna Elizabeth Carlsson-Hyslop and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Present Techniques of Tropical Storm Surge Prediction written by Prosad Kumar Das and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Risk and Management of Current and Future Storm Surges written by H. Kremer and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-07-14 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Storm surges represent a major hazard for many coastal regions worldwide. The 1953 and 1962 catastrophes are well remembered in Europe, and recent incidents in Bangladesh and Myanmar caused over 100,000 casualties. Developing innovative responses and overcoming the frequently fragmented discussion about this global phenomenon and its regional implications call for improved knowledge of present risks and future conditions based on sound interdisciplinary approaches. This selection of articles presents multiple scientific and management oriented perspectives on current and future storm surges, covering the fields of observing, modelling and forecasting, risk and vulnerability analysis, planning and innovative coastal protection concepts. It originates from the international ‘2010 Storm Surges Congress - Risk and Management of Current and Future Storm Surges,’ initiated and organized by the Institute of Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht (formerly the GKSS-Research Centre) in collaboration with the KlimaCampus (CliSAP) of the University of Hamburg, Germany. The Land-Ocean Interactions in the Coastal Zone (LOICZ) co-sponsored the event and its international project office (IPO) provided the necessary organizational support. The congress was generously supported by international and national partners. Some highlights: Remote sensing surveillance and mapping of storm surge extent based on NASA MODIS sensors may ultimately provide new global insights into the vulnerability of deltas where human pressures outbalance natural land-ocean forcing. Up-scaling hazard lines and risk mapping from local to full continental scale is the ambition in India. From an insurance risk perspective, its societal perception and economic issues determine societal response options. In urban contexts flood risk is anticipated as a combination of climate change-induced sea level rise and socio-economic drivers. A cost-benefit analysis of flood defence in London underlines the fact that future investment will be highly beneficial; thoughtful planning rather than rushing to new engineering solutions is preferable. Several modelling case studies and approaches are presented, covering the effects of individual storms, the development of analytical models that can help us to understand relevant processes and mechanisms, and sensitivity studies that test the impact and relevance of various physical processes for storm surge generation and evolution. Hydrodynamic models applied to different emission scenarios suggest that the threat of extreme storm surges in the North Sea may increase but strong decadal fluctuations and internal variability need to be considered. A Korean study suggests that future global warming may not always lead to an increase in the number of intense cyclones or the magnitude of associated storm surges. Past and recent storm surges arising at the dune coast of France call for improved assessment and management of a growing flood risk in future sea-level rise projections. In the same context rather than deterministic approaches, considering the uncertainties that influence extreme water levels can significantly improve the design levels of coastal structures and flood defences. The innovative Dutch “Building with Nature” concept employs natural processes for coastal flood protection. Previously published in Natural Hazards, Volume 66, No. 3, 2013
Download or read book Future Development of Operational Storm Surge and Sea Level Prediction written by Roger Flather and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Great Lakes Storm Surge Planning Program SSPP written by David J. Schwab and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Comparison and Verification of Dynamical and Statistical Lake Erie Storm Surge Forecasts written by William Shelby Richardson and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory and the Techniques Development Laboratory have compared Lake Erie storm surge forecasts produced by a dynamical and a statistical method for several months in 1977 and 1978. The dynamical method yields much better forecasts at Buffalo and slightly better forecasts at Toledo.
Download or read book Nowcast forecast of Storm Surge and Drawdown Using a Hybrid FE ANN Approach written by Joel T. Darnell and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the northwestern Gulf of Mexico there is a need for reliable water level forecasts to facilitate safe commercial navigation, marine construction, and emergency management. Though the low amplitude tides of the region can be predicted with conventional harmonic techniques, frequent strong storms make accurate forecasts of water levels difficult. Prediction of surge associated with storms is useful for management of activities in low lying coastal areas subject to flooding, while prediction of drawdown is important for estimating the under keel clearance of deep draft vessels. First, this thesis presents the analysis of nine years of observations to quantify the effects of extra-tropical storms on water level fluctuations at four locations along the northwestern coast of the Gulf of Mexico. The monthly root-mean-square of the meteorological component of the observed water level is shown to be of similar magnitude to the astronomical tide from September to April, attributed to the weekly passage of storm systems. Return periods for extreme maximum (surge) and minimum (drawdown) meteorological water levels associated with these storms are computed using a 9-year record of observed water levels. Significant surge and drawdown water levels, defined as those exceeding 30 cm, are shown to have return periods ranging from 0.17 to 7.14 years at the four stations studied. At the entrance to Galveston Bay, Texas, both significant storm surge and drawdown can be expected to occur about four times each year. These results reinforced the need to include meteorological forcing in the forecasting of water levels in the region. In an effort to provide more accurate water level forecasting within Galveston Bay during storms, the finite element (FE) hydrodynamic model ADCIRC was applied to simulate a range of observed storm events by inclusion of wind stress and remote forcing from the Gulf of Mexico. Comparisons with observations showed the limited accuracy of ADCIRC, as applied here, in predicting the water level response for drawdown events. Thus, the ADCIRC output was incorporated into a data assimilation method utilizing artificial neural networks (ANN). This hybrid FE/ANN approach substantially improved the pure FE simulations for short term forecasts and also outperformed other forecasting methods. With further refinement, this hybrid approach could provide operational forecasts of water levels within Galveston Bay during storms.
Download or read book Analytical numerical Studies Relating to the Storm Surge Forecast written by M. G. Wurtele and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Hurricane Sandy written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on the Department of Homeland Security and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate written by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2022-04-30 with total page 755 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the leading international body for assessing the science related to climate change. It provides policymakers with regular assessments of the scientific basis of human-induced climate change, its impacts and future risks, and options for adaptation and mitigation. This IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate is the most comprehensive and up-to-date assessment of the observed and projected changes to the ocean and cryosphere and their associated impacts and risks, with a focus on resilience, risk management response options, and adaptation measures, considering both their potential and limitations. It brings together knowledge on physical and biogeochemical changes, the interplay with ecosystem changes, and the implications for human communities. It serves policymakers, decision makers, stakeholders, and all interested parties with unbiased, up-to-date, policy-relevant information. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.
Download or read book SLOSH a Hurricane Storm Surge Forecast Model written by Chester P. Jelesnianski and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
