Download or read book Stock Price Reaction to Quarterly Earnings Announcements with respect of outlook changes and deviation to consensus forecast written by Benjamin Schmitt and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2015-06-02 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.1, EBS European Business School gGmbH (Finance), language: English, abstract: Many authors have already studied about stock price reactions after earnings announcements yet, which is because of the importance of earnings announcements, in particular quarterly earnings announcements, for many investors. However, all major studies concerning this topic deal with long-term scenarios, the stock’s price performance is measured for a time period of at least three quarters. Due to the fact that there are many investors, especially institutional investors such as hedge funds that trade stocks much more frequently, the existing studies are not relevant for them. This paper studies stock price reactions around quarterly earnings announcements for companies listed in Deutscher Aktienindex (DAX) or Midcap DAX (MDAX) with respect to changes of the company’s full-year outlook and of earnings surprise regarding analyst consensus forecast within ten days before and after the announcement date. Hence, this paper aims to analyse short-term reaction to quarterly earnings announcements, which are of relevance for all investors, whose investment strategy is, at least partially, focussing on the short-term performance. The main target group of this analysis are therefore hedge funds and investors that run short-term strategies. Due to the fact that the widespread Event Study Methodology is focused on the long-term, it is irrelevant for this analysis.
Download or read book Stock Price Reactions to On Target Earnings Announcements Implications for Earnings Management written by William R. Baber and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the consequences of earnings management by analyzing stock price reactions to on-target quarterly earnings announcements (earnings that coincide with analysts' consensus expectations) during 1993-1999. We use techniques advanced in Jones (1991), Kang and Sivaramakrishnan (1995), and Collins and Hribar (2000) to distinguish observations where firms apparently manage earnings in order to meet expectations. We find that mean security returns during the earnings announcement period are 0.18% to 0.91% less for observations where firms apparently increase earnings than for those where firms apparently decrease earnings to meet expectations. These differences are statistically significant at conventional levels. We also find that returns during the earnings disclosure period vary inversely with the extent that firms appear to manage earnings upward. Overall, the evidence suggests that market participants are aware of incentives to manage earnings to meet expectations, and that they discount managed earnings components when interpreting quarterly earnings disclosures. Finally, we point out that the issue of stock splits should be investigated with care when using published consensus analyst forecasts.
Download or read book Contrarian Share Price Reactions to Earnings Surprises written by W. Bruce Johnson and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A persistent (but overlooked) feature of the cross-sectional distribution of quarterly earnings announcement returns is that the measured earnings surprise and share price response to that surprise are often in the opposite direction. Extending Kinney, Burgstahler and Martin [2002], we provide evidence on the prevalence, determinants, and consequences of contrarian stock returns at the earnings announcement date. Using the most recent I/B/E/S consensus EPS forecast as our earnings benchmark, we find that contrarian returns occur for roughly 40 percent of the more than 230,000 quarterly earnings announcements that comprise our sample. They are only slightly less prevalent in extreme earnings surprise deciles, and are evident each quarter during 1985-2005. The incidence of contrarian returns is statistically related to: ldquo;noiserdquo; in the measured earnings surprise (stale I/B/E/S consensus forecasts, pre-announcement stock returns, and the presence of GAAP exclusions); and ldquo;noiserdquo; in the share price response to announced earnings (discordant revenue changes, discordant earnings forecast revisions, return volatility, bid-ask spread and discordant prior quarter earnings surprises). Finally, contrarian stocks exhibit little post-earnings-announcement drift.
Download or read book STOCK PRICE REACTIONS TO EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS A written by VICTOR L. BERNARD and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Magnitude and Timing of Analyst Forecast Response to Quarterly Earnings Announcements written by Lise Newman Graham and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Influence of Quarterly Earnings Announcements on Investor Decisions as Reflected in Common Stock Price Changes written by Robert G. May and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Analysts Overreaction underreaction to Earnings Information as an Explanation for Anomalous Stock Price Behavior written by Jeffery Abarbanell and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Timing Effect of Earnings Reports and the Stock Market Reaction to Late reporting Firms written by Yann-ching Tsai and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Is Meeting the Consensus Eps Good News or Bad News Stock Splits and the Accuracy of Analysts Forecast Data written by William R. Baber and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both academic and practicing accountants use forecasts made by security analysts to estimate market expectations about forthcoming earnings announcements. We report empirical analysis to illustrate how common stock splits induce a loss of precision in computing forecast errors from commonly used analyst forecast data files. An investigation of security price reactions to earnings announcements demonstrates how the loss of precision potentially alters inferences about security price reactions to announcements of earnings that meet, but do not exceed, the consensus forecast. Further analysis indicates that, because stock-split adjustments are made retrospectively, and because firms that execute stock-splits tend to be well-performing ex post, the consequences of the stock-split problem are systematic, potentially contaminating empirical investigations of both time-series and cross-sectional characteristics of forecast errors and of security price reactions to earnings announcements.
Download or read book Post Earnings Announcement Drift written by Tomas Tomcany and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2010-11 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is a well documented finding in finance theory that share prices drift in the direction of firms' unexpected earnings changes, a phenomenom known as post-earnings announcement drift, or earnings momentum. In this book, I study the stock prices' reaction to firms' quarterly earnings announcements. The book shows that the timeframe in which the drift occurs is related to the size of a firm and is limited in time after the earnings announcement. I further analyze the effect of the number of analysts covering a firm on the magnitude and persistance of post-earnings announcement drift. I document that recent analyst coverage predicts large drifts after the earnings announcements. I suggest several possible explanations, but the evidence seems most consistent with recent analyst coverage providing information about investor (or analyst) expectations regarding firm's future earnings. This book should be useful to professionals in Financial Economics, especially to those interested in Behavioral Finance in stock markets, but also to equity analysts, traders or investors interested in the stocks' response to earnings news.
Download or read book Financial Analysts Earnings Forecast Dispersion and Intraday Stock Price Variability Around Quarterly Earnings Announcements written by Gerald J. Lobo and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the relationship between the dispersion of analysts' earnings forecasts and stock price variability around quarterly earnings announcements. Consistent with theoretical predictions, the empirical analysis shows that stock price variability at the time of earnings announcements is positively related to the degree of analysts' earnings forecast dispersion. The analysis also demonstrates that stock price variability is significantly greater from two days before to two days after the earnings announcement for firms ranked in the bottom third on the basis of analysts' forecast dispersion, whereas it is significantly greater from eight days prior to five days following the earnings announcement for firms in the top third. These results suggest that there is information about the earnings announcement that becomes available to at least a subset of investors prior to the earnings release. The increased level of price variability for five days following the earnings announcement suggests that market participants take different amounts of time to process the information conveyed by the earnings announcement.
Download or read book Trading on Corporate Earnings News Profiting from Targeted Short Term Options Positions written by John Shon and published by Pearson Education India. This book was released on 2011 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The E P Effect and the Earnings Forecast Error Effect written by Jeehong Kim and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Financial Analysts Earnings Forecast Dispersion and Intraday Stock Price Variability Around Quarterly Earnings Announcements written by Samuel S. Tung and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the relationship between the dispersion of analysts? earnings forecasts and stock price variability around quarterly earnings announcements. Consistent with theoretical predictions, the empirical analysis shows that stock price variability at the time of earnings announcements is positively related to the degree of analysts? earnings forecast dispersion. The analysis also demonstrates that stock price variability is significantly greater from two days before to two days after the earnings announcement for firms ranked in the bottom third on the basis of analysts? forecast dispersion, whereas it is significantly greater from eight days prior to five days following the earnings announcement for firms in the top third. These results suggest that there is information about the earnings announcement that becomes available to at least a subset of investors prior to the earnings release. The increased level of price variability for five days following the earnings announcement suggests that market participants take different amounts of time to process the information conveyed by the earnings announcement.
Download or read book An Examination of the systematic Post announcement Drift Anomaly Employing a Relative Measure of Earnings Surprises written by Myung Chul Chung and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation of the Information Content of Annual Earnings Announcements written by Gordon Douglas Richardson and published by Ann Arbor, Mich. : University Microfilms International. This book was released on 1983 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book On the Relationship Between Stock Price Performance and Quarterly Earnings Announcements written by Michael Nemtsev and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis examines the reaction of stock prices to higher or lower-than-expected announcements of quarterly earnings and future earnings guidance. Expectations are proxied by mean analyst forecasts. For the analysis, we employ an event study with a 41-day event window, daily observation interval and use the market model to calculate abnormal returns. We found that higher-than-expected announcements of current earnings occur more often, but reactions to lower-than-expected announcements are stronger. In contrast, we found that announcements of future earnings guidance and reactions towards them were balanced. In a comparison between reactions to current earnings and future earnings guidance, we found that return behaviour is more strongly related to future earnings guidance.
