Download or read book Stock Market Overreaction Evidence from the FTSE 100 written by Brendan Lynch and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Does the UK Stock Market Overreact Some Further Evidence for Stock Market Efficiency written by Arief Daynes and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the central hypotheses of behavioural finance is that stock prices systematically overreact. The seminal study is DeBondt and Thaler (1985), which appears to show that past winners (stocks that have earned the highest positive abnormal returns during the pre-formation period) tend to exhibit negative abnormal returns during the post-formation period, and similarly that past losers (stocks that have earned the greatest negative abnormal returns during the pre-formation period) tend to exhibit positive abnormal returns during the post-formation period. Pre- and post-formation periods range from one year to five years. It is further reported that stocks that have 'overreacted' the most, i.e. where the pre-formation period is longer, and hence where the abnormal returns are more extreme, tend to exhibit a correspondingly greater 'correction' during the post-formation period. The ensuing debate has focussed mainly on whether the results can be explained by a risk-premium story. However, the question has also been raised as to whether the purported overreaction effect actually exists at all, or whether it is merely an artefact created by data or methodological biases. The present study addresses the second of these issues, by carrying out an overreaction study using a new survivorship and look-ahead bias-free database on the UK stock market, SFD Capital UK Fully Listed Version 2.1, and using both cumulative abnormal return and holding period return methodologies in computing long-term returns. Using cumulative abnormal returns largely corroborates the results of DeBondt and Thaler (1985), while using holding period returns finds no evidence of overreaction. It is argued that the main results of the paper provide further evidence for weak form efficiency in the UK stock market.

Download or read book Stock Market Overreaction and Underreaction written by Taisheng Liu and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Evidence Regarding the Stock Market s Overreaction to Management Earning Forecasts written by Chao-Shin Liu and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Overreaction Evidence from Large Cap Stocks written by Tibebe A. Assefa and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to assess the performance of a contrarian investment strategy focusing on frequently traded large-cap U.S. stocks. We address previous criticisms that losers' gains are not due to overreaction but due to their tendency to be thinly traded and smaller-sized firms than winners.Design/Methodology/Approach - We construct portfolios based on past performance and examine whether contrarian returns exist. We employ the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), Fama and French three-factor model and the Carhart's (1996) momentum portfolio to test whether excess returns are feasible in a contrarian strategy.Findings - The results show an asymmetric performance following portfolio formation. Whereas both, winners and losers portfolios, have gains during holding periods, losers outperform winners at all times, and with a differential of up to 29.2% thirty-six months after portfolio formation. Furthermore, the loser and the winner portfolios' alphas are significant, suggesting that the CAPM and the multifactor models are unable to explain return differentials between winners and losers. Our evidence supports two main conclusions. First, stock market overreaction still holds for a sample of large firms. Second, this is robust to the Fama and French (1993, 1996) three-factor model and Carhart (1997) momentum portfolio. Our findings emphasize the relevance of a contrarian strategy when rebalancing investment portfolios.Practical Implications - Portfolio managers can improve stock returns by selling past winners and buying previous loser large-cap U.S. stocks.Originality/Value - This paper is the first, to the authors' knowledge, to examine frequently traded large cap U.S. stocks in order to avoid infrequent trading and size concerns.

Download or read book The Overreaction Hypothesis written by Oleksiy Plastun and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the short-term price reactions after one-day abnormal price changes on the Ukrainian stock market. The original method of abnormal returns calculation is examined. We find significant evidence of overreactions using the daily data over the period 2008-2012. Our analysis confirms the hypothesis that after an abnormal price movement the size of contrarian price movement is usually higher then after normal (typical) daily fluctuation. Comparing Ukrainian data with the figures from US stock market it is concluded that the Ukrainian stock market is less efficient which gives rise to opportunities for extra profits obtained from trading based on contrarian strategies. Based on results of the research we also recommend some rules of trading on short-term market overreactions.

Download or read book Stock Market Overreaction and Fundamental Valuation written by Mathias Külpmann and published by Springer. This book was released on 2001-10-23 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does the stock market overreact? Recent capital market turbulences have cast doubt whether the behaviour of stock markets is in line with rational investor behaviour. This book investigates recent evidence of reversals in the cross section of stock returns. The surprising finding of this monograph is that reversals in stock returns are parallelled by movements in fundamentals. Outperformance in the stock market is driven by outperformance in corporate earnings. This monograph analyses this effect and provides background reasoning both from a theoretical and from an empirical point of view. The reader will pursue the question whether capital markets are efficient and thereby obtain a deeper understanding of the relationship between stock returns and underlying fundamentals.

Download or read book Short Term Market Overreaction on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange written by Sebastian Lobe and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper offers out-of-sample evidence of subsequent short-term abnormal returns for stocks experiencing a price change of ten percent or more in either direction on the German stock market between 1988 and 2007. First, we find significant evidence of overreaction which is not exclusively concentrated in small-caps. Second, some well documented anomalies and stock characteristics seem to exhibit explanatory power. However, when controlling for size only a reversal effect can pervasively explain the abnormal 1-day stock market reaction to price shocks. Third, due to transaction costs and unpredictable market sentiment these anomalies can hardly be exploited. After all, our robust findings suggest no violation of the efficient market hypothesis.

Download or read book Do Stockmarket Investors Overreact written by Gishan Dissanaike and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Overreaction Hypothesis written by Julija Meirane and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Abnormal Stock Market Returns Around Peaks in VIX written by Valeriy Zakamulin and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Even though the VIX index was intended to be a measure of future volatility of the stock market, researchers argue that in reality VIX measures the investor sentiment. Anecdotal evidence suggests that peaks in VIX coincide with stock market bottoms followed by rallies, yet so far there have been no scientific evidence confirming this casual observation. In this paper we perform an event study of abnormal stock market returns around peaks in VIX and discuss our findings within the framework of behavioral finance theory. First of all, we detect peaks in VIX using formal turning-point identification procedures and provide detailed descriptive statistics of periods of rising and falling VIX. The results of our event study reveal strong evidence of the presence of abnormal stock market returns around peaks in VIX. We argue that the pattern of abnormal returns can be attributed to investor overreaction to bad news with subsequent correction. To validate our conjecture, we test whether the abnormal returns around peaks in VIX satisfy the two properties of overreaction. We find that the results of these empirical tests are consistent with the overreaction hypothesis. To further confirm the idea that the VIX index reflects the investor sentiment, we test the predictions of behavioral finance theory which postulates that investor sentiment affects various types of stocks to different degrees. In agreement with the theoretical predictions, we find evidence that over the event window around a peak in VIX the prices of large and value stocks undergo a relatively small downward correction, while the prices of more speculative small and growth stocks are corrected down to a higher degree. Our additional tests suggest that these cross-sectional differences cannot be explained by a set of standard risk factors.

Download or read book Investor Behavior written by H. Kent Baker and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-02-10 with total page 645 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: WINNER, Business: Personal Finance/Investing, 2015 USA Best Book Awards FINALIST, Business: Reference, 2015 USA Best Book Awards Investor Behavior provides readers with a comprehensive understanding and the latest research in the area of behavioral finance and investor decision making. Blending contributions from noted academics and experienced practitioners, this 30-chapter book will provide investment professionals with insights on how to understand and manage client behavior; a framework for interpreting financial market activity; and an in-depth understanding of this important new field of investment research. The book should also be of interest to academics, investors, and students. The book will cover the major principles of investor psychology, including heuristics, bounded rationality, regret theory, mental accounting, framing, prospect theory, and loss aversion. Specific sections of the book will delve into the role of personality traits, financial therapy, retirement planning, financial coaching, and emotions in investment decisions. Other topics covered include risk perception and tolerance, asset allocation decisions under inertia and inattention bias; evidenced based financial planning, motivation and satisfaction, behavioral investment management, and neurofinance. Contributions will delve into the behavioral underpinnings of various trading and investment topics including trader psychology, stock momentum, earnings surprises, and anomalies. The final chapters of the book examine new research on socially responsible investing, mutual funds, and real estate investing from a behavioral perspective. Empirical evidence and current literature about each type of investment issue are featured. Cited research studies are presented in a straightforward manner focusing on the comprehension of study findings, rather than on the details of mathematical frameworks.

Download or read book The Internationalization of Equity Markets written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely volume addresses three important recent trends in the internationalization of United States equity markets: extensive market integration through foreign investment and links among stock prices around the world; increasing securitization as countries such as Japan come to rely more than ever before on markets in equities and bonds at the expense of banks; and the opening of national financial systems of newly industrializing countries to international financial flows and institutions, as governments remove capital controls and other barriers. Eight essays examine such issues as the current extent of international market integration, gains to U.S. investors through international diversification, home-country bias in investing, the role of time and location around the world in stock trading, and the behavior of country funds. Other, long-standing questions about equity markets are also addressed, including market efficiency and the accuracy of models of expected returns, with a particular focus on variances, covariances, and the price of risk according to the Capital Asset Pricing Model.

Download or read book The World Scientific Handbook of Futures Markets written by Anastasios G. E. T. Al MALLIARIS and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2015-08-06 with total page 844 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The World Scientific Handbook of Futures Markets serves as a definitive source for comprehensive and accessible information in futures markets. The emphasis is on the unique characteristics of futures markets that make them worthy of a special volume. In our judgment, futures markets are currently undergoing remarkable changes as trading is shifting from open outcry to electronic and as the traditional functions of hedging and speculation are extended to include futures as an alternative investment vehicle in traditional portfolios. The unique feature of this volume is the selection of five classic papers that lay the foundations of the futures markets and the invitation to the leading academics who do work in the area to write critical surveys in a dozen important topics."--$cProvided by publisher.

Download or read book How the Stock Market Works written by Michael Becket and published by Kogan Page Publishers. This book was released on 2012-01-03 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now more than ever, people are being affected by the fluctuations in the global economy and by financial uncertainty - with major impacts on their savings, portfolios and pensions. Fully updated for this fourth edition, How the Stock Market Works tells investors what is being traded and how, who does what with whom, and how to evaluate a particular share or bond in light of rival claims from critics and admirers. From the practical consequences of being a shareholder to a basic coverage of the taxation regime, the book provides a wealth of information on individual product types as well as the key players themselves.

Download or read book Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance written by Marco Corazza and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-12-13 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The cooperation and contamination between mathematicians, statisticians and econometricians working in actuarial sciences and finance is improving the research on these topics and producing numerous meaningful scientific results. This volume presents new ideas, in the form of four- to six-page papers, presented at the International Conference eMAF2020 – Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance. Due to the now sadly famous COVID-19 pandemic, the conference was held remotely through the Zoom platform offered by the Department of Economics of the Ca’ Foscari University of Venice on September 18, 22 and 25, 2020. eMAF2020 is the ninth edition of an international biennial series of scientific meetings, started in 2004 at the initiative of the Department of Economics and Statistics of the University of Salerno. The effectiveness of this idea has been proven by wide participation in all editions, which have been held in Salerno (2004, 2006, 2010 and 2014), Venice (2008, 2012 and 2020), Paris (2016) and Madrid (2018). This book covers a wide variety of subjects: artificial intelligence and machine learning in finance and insurance, behavioral finance, credit risk methods and models, dynamic optimization in finance, financial data analytics, forecasting dynamics of actuarial and financial phenomena, foreign exchange markets, insurance models, interest rate models, longevity risk, models and methods for financial time series analysis, multivariate techniques for financial markets analysis, pension systems, portfolio selection and management, real-world finance, risk analysis and management, trading systems, and others. This volume is a valuable resource for academics, PhD students, practitioners, professionals and researchers. Moreover, it is also of interest to other readers with quantitative background knowledge.

Download or read book Handbook of the Economics of Finance written by G. Constantinides and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2003-11-04 with total page 698 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Arbitrage, State Prices and Portfolio Theory / Philip h. Dybvig and Stephen a. Ross / - Intertemporal Asset Pricing Theory / Darrell Duffle / - Tests of Multifactor Pricing Models, Volatility Bounds and Portfolio Performance / Wayne E. Ferson / - Consumption-Based Asset Pricing / John y Campbell / - The Equity Premium in Retrospect / Rainish Mehra and Edward c. Prescott / - Anomalies and Market Efficiency / William Schwert / - Are Financial Assets Priced Locally or Globally? / G. Andrew Karolyi and Rene M. Stuli / - Microstructure and Asset Pricing / David Easley and Maureen O'hara / - A Survey of Behavioral Finance / Nicholas Barberis and Richard Thaler / - Derivatives / Robert E. Whaley / - Fixed-Income Pricing / Qiang Dai and Kenneth J. Singleton.