Download or read book Some Robust Inference Techniques in Time Series written by William Wiant Davis and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book A Review of Some Aspects of Robust Inference for Time Series written by R. D. Martin and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper briefly surveys some aspects of robust inference for time series, and gives an indication of the current state of knowledge in other problem areas. Basic notions of robustness are stated, and technical difficulties associated with the time series case are mentioned. Some models for time series with outliers are given. Least-squares procedures lack robustness for such models and robust alternatives are described. Issues of adaptivity versus robustness are briefly mentioned. Robustness problems involving dependency are discussed. Algorithms for robust data smoother-cleaners are briefly described, along with an application to radar glint noise. Additional keyword; Autoregression. (Author).

Download or read book Robust Inference in Econometrics with Applications to Time Series and Panel Data Models written by Linxia Ren and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Having robust methods of inference is important in econometrics to achieve reliable results. This thesis tackles robustness issues in three different contexts: structural change in panel data robust to a short transition period, inference on the mean of a time series robust to the so-called ill-posed problem, inference on the slope of a trend function robust to the stationary or integrated nature of the noise component. Chapter 1 considers testing for and estimating an unknown structural break date in panel data models in the presence of individual specific effects and serial correlation for both short and long panels. I allow for a time varying effect after a regime change in the form of a short transition period. A statistic that has a pivotal limit distribution under a standard asymptotic framework is proposed. It is shown to be robust to the transition period. The usefulness of the method is illustrated via simulations and empirical applications. Chapter 2 deals with the relevance of so-called impossibility results in the context of estimating the spectral density function of a stationary process at the zero frequency. As shown previously, any estimate will have an infinite minimax risk. Most often it is a nuisance parameter of which an estimate is needed to obtain test statistics that have a pivotal distribution. In this context, I argue that such an impossibility result is irrelevant. I show that, in the presence of the discontinuities that cause the ill-posedness problem, using the true value leads to tests that have either 0 or 100% size and, hence, lead to confidence intervals that are completely uninformative. On the other hand, tests based on standard estimates will have well defined limit distributions and, accordingly, be more informative and robust. Chapter 3 is concerned with inference on the slope of the trend function of a time series whose noise component can be stationary or integrated. I focus on a procedure suggested by Perron and Yabu (2009). I prove that it has the correct size uniformly over the specified parameter space but that it is not uniformly asymptotically similar.

Download or read book Time Series written by Raquel Prado and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2010-05-21 with total page 375 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Focusing on Bayesian approaches and computations using simulation-based methods for inference, Time Series: Modeling, Computation, and Inference integrates mainstream approaches for time series modeling with significant recent developments in methodology and applications of time series analysis. It encompasses a graduate-level account of Bayesian time series modeling and analysis, a broad range of references to state-of-the-art approaches to univariate and multivariate time series analysis, and emerging topics at research frontiers. The book presents overviews of several classes of models and related methodology for inference, statistical computation for model fitting and assessment, and forecasting. The authors also explore the connections between time- and frequency-domain approaches and develop various models and analyses using Bayesian tools, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. They illustrate the models and methods with examples and case studies from a variety of fields, including signal processing, biomedicine, and finance. Data sets, R and MATLAB® code, and other material are available on the authors’ websites. Along with core models and methods, this text offers sophisticated tools for analyzing challenging time series problems. It also demonstrates the growth of time series analysis into new application areas.

Download or read book Time Series written by Raquel Prado and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-07-27 with total page 473 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: • Expanded on aspects of core model theory and methodology. • Multiple new examples and exercises. • Detailed development of dynamic factor models. • Updated discussion and connections with recent and current research frontiers.

Download or read book Robust Inference and Learning of Multivariate Statistical Models written by Linbo Liu and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Model robustness has become increasingly popular in recent decades. We study multiple aspects of robustness (in the setting of time series, image classification and linear regression) in this dissertation work. First three chapters concerns the time series setting. Specifically, Chapter 1 establishes a novel Bernstein-type inequality for high dimensional linear processes. We then apply it to investigate two high dimensional robust estimation problems: (1) time series regression with fat-tailed and correlated covariates and errors, (2) fat-tailed vector autoregression. As a natural requirement of consistency, the dimension can be allowed to increase exponentially with the sample size under very mild moment and dependence conditions. In Chapter 2, we develop Gaussian approximation theory for VAR model to derive the asymptotic distribution of the de-biased estimator and propose a multiplier bootstrap-assisted procedure to obtain critical values under very mild moment conditions on the innovations. Chapter 3 studies the threats of adversarial attack on multivariate probabilistic forecasting models and viable defense mechanisms. Our studies discover a new attack pattern that negatively impact the forecasting of a target time series via making strategic, sparse (imperceptible) modifications to the past observations of a small number of other time series. To mitigate the impact of such attack, we also develop two defense strategies. First, we extend a previously developed randomized smoothing technique in classification to multivariate forecasting scenarios. Second, we develop an adversarial training algorithm that learns to create adversarial examples and at the same time optimizes the forecasting model to improve its robustness against such adversarial simulation. In Chapter 4, we improve the robustness of image classifier by enhancing the randomized smoothing technique and model ensemble. Chapter 5 considers the robust estimation of linear regression coefficients under heavy-tailed noise and covariates using a clipping idea.

Download or read book Time Series Techniques for Economists written by Terence C. Mills and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The application of time series techniques in economics has become increasingly important, both for forecasting purposes and in the empirical analysis of time series in general. In this book, Terence Mills not only brings together recent research at the frontiers of the subject, but also analyses the areas of most importance to applied economics. It is an up-to-date text which extends the basic techniques of analysis to cover the development of methods that can be used to analyse a wide range of economic problems. The book analyses three basic areas of time series analysis: univariate models, multivariate models, and non-linear models. In each case the basic theory is outlined and then extended to cover recent developments. Particular emphasis is placed on applications of the theory to important areas of applied economics and on the computer software and programs needed to implement the techniques. This book clearly distinguishes itself from its competitors by emphasising the techniques of time series modelling rather than technical aspects such as estimation, and by the breadth of the models considered. It features many detailed real-world examples using a wide range of actual time series. It will be useful to econometricians and specialists in forecasting and finance and accessible to most practitioners in economics and the allied professions.

Download or read book Research Papers in Statistical Inference for Time Series and Related Models written by Yan Liu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-05-31 with total page 591 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book compiles theoretical developments on statistical inference for time series and related models in honor of Masanobu Taniguchi's 70th birthday. It covers models such as long-range dependence models, nonlinear conditionally heteroscedastic time series, locally stationary processes, integer-valued time series, Lévy Processes, complex-valued time series, categorical time series, exclusive topic models, and copula models. Many cutting-edge methods such as empirical likelihood methods, quantile regression, portmanteau tests, rank-based inference, change-point detection, testing for the goodness-of-fit, higher-order asymptotic expansion, minimum contrast estimation, optimal transportation, and topological methods are proposed, considered, or applied to complex data based on the statistical inference for stochastic processes. The performances of these methods are illustrated by a variety of data analyses. This collection of original papers provides the reader with comprehensive and state-of-the-art theoretical works on time series and related models. It contains deep and profound treatments of the asymptotic theory of statistical inference. In addition, many specialized methodologies based on the asymptotic theory are presented in a simple way for a wide variety of statistical models. This Festschrift finds its core audiences in statistics, signal processing, and econometrics.

Download or read book Robust Inference in Multiple Nonstationary Times Series written by Ted Peter Juhl and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Robustness in Statistics written by Robert L. Launer and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to robust estimation; The robustness of residual displays; Robust smoothing; Robust pitman-like estimators; Robust estimation in the presence of outliers; Study of robustness by simulation: particularly improvement by adjustment and combination; Robust techniques for the user; Application of robust regression to trajectory data reduction; Tests for censoring of extreme values (especially) when population distributions are incompletely defined; Robust estimation for time series autoregressions; Robust techniques in communication; Robustness in the strategy of scientific model building; A density-quantile function perspective on robust.

Download or read book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-20 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.

Download or read book Robust Inference written by Moti Lal Tiku and published by Marcel Dekker. This book was released on 1986 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This authoritative new volume treats a wide class of distributions that constitute plausible alternatives to normality -- such as short- and long-tailed symmetric distributions and moderately skewed distributions -- all having finite mean and variance. Robust Inference illustrates the appropriateness of various robust methods for solving both one-sample and multisample statistical inference problems ... develops Laguerre series expansions for Student's t and variance-ratio F statistic distributions ... analyzes normal and nonnormal distribution efficiencies ... works out modified maximum likelihood (MML) estimators based on type II censored samples for log-normal, logistic, exponential, and Rayleigh distributions ... uses MML estimators in constructing robust hypothesis-testing procedures ... considers the specialized topics of regression, analysis of variance, classification, and sample survey ... discusses goodness-of-fit tests ... describes Q-Q plots in a special appendix ... and much more. An outstanding, time-saving reference for theoreticians and practitioners of statistics, Robust Inference is also an excellent auxiliary text for an undergraduate- or graduate-level course on robustness. Book jacket.

Download or read book Empirical Likelihood and Quantile Methods for Time Series written by Yan Liu and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-05 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book integrates the fundamentals of asymptotic theory of statistical inference for time series under nonstandard settings, e.g., infinite variance processes, not only from the point of view of efficiency but also from that of robustness and optimality by minimizing prediction error. This is the first book to consider the generalized empirical likelihood applied to time series models in frequency domain and also the estimation motivated by minimizing quantile prediction error without assumption of true model. It provides the reader with a new horizon for understanding the prediction problem that occurs in time series modeling and a contemporary approach of hypothesis testing by the generalized empirical likelihood method. Nonparametric aspects of the methods proposed in this book also satisfactorily address economic and financial problems without imposing redundantly strong restrictions on the model, which has been true until now. Dealing with infinite variance processes makes analysis of economic and financial data more accurate under the existing results from the demonstrative research. The scope of applications, however, is expected to apply to much broader academic fields. The methods are also sufficiently flexible in that they represent an advanced and unified development of prediction form including multiple-point extrapolation, interpolation, and other incomplete past forecastings. Consequently, they lead readers to a good combination of efficient and robust estimate and test, and discriminate pivotal quantities contained in realistic time series models.

Download or read book Time Series Analysis Methods and Applications written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2012-05-18 with total page 777 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The field of statistics not only affects all areas of scientific activity, but also many other matters such as public policy. It is branching rapidly into so many different subjects that a series of handbooks is the only way of comprehensively presenting the various aspects of statistical methodology, applications, and recent developments.The Handbook of Statistics is a series of self-contained reference books. Each volume is devoted to a particular topic in statistics, with Volume 30 dealing with time series. The series is addressed to the entire community of statisticians and scientists in various disciplines who use statistical methodology in their work. At the same time, special emphasis is placed on applications-oriented techniques, with the applied statistician in mind as the primary audience. Comprehensively presents the various aspects of statistical methodology Discusses a wide variety of diverse applications and recent developments Contributors are internationally renowened experts in their respective areas

Download or read book Understanding Robust and Exploratory Data Analysis written by David C. Hoaglin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2000-06-02 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in hardcover in 1982, this book is now offered in a Wiley Classics Library edition. A contributed volume, edited by some of the preeminent statisticians of the 20th century, Understanding of Robust and Exploratory Data Analysis explains why and how to use exploratory data analysis and robust and resistant methods in statistical practice.

Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by Wilfredo Palma and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-04-29 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A modern and accessible guide to the analysis of introductory time series data Featuring an organized and self-contained guide, Time Series Analysis provides a broad introduction to the most fundamental methodologies and techniques of time series analysis. The book focuses on the treatment of univariate time series by illustrating a number of well-known models such as ARMA and ARIMA. Providing contemporary coverage, the book features several useful and newlydeveloped techniques such as weak and strong dependence, Bayesian methods, non-Gaussian data, local stationarity, missing values and outliers, and threshold models. Time Series Analysis includes practical applications of time series methods throughout, as well as: Real-world examples and exercise sets that allow readers to practice the presented methods and techniques Numerous detailed analyses of computational aspects related to the implementation of methodologies including algorithm efficiency, arithmetic complexity, and process time End-of-chapter proposed problems and bibliographical notes to deepen readers’ knowledge of the presented material Appendices that contain details on fundamental concepts and select solutions of the problems implemented throughout A companion website with additional data fi les and computer codes Time Series Analysis is an excellent textbook for undergraduate and beginning graduate-level courses in time series as well as a supplement for students in advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, and physics. The book is also a useful reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, econometrics, and finance. Wilfredo Palma, PhD, is Professor of Statistics in the Department of Statistics at Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. He has published several refereed articles and has received over a dozen academic honors and awards. His research interests include time series analysis, prediction theory, state space systems, linear models, and econometrics. He is the author of Long-Memory Time Series: Theory and Methods, also published by Wiley.

Download or read book Time Series Analysis Methods and Applications written by Tata Subba Rao and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2012-06-26 with total page 778 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Handbook of Statistics' is a series of self-contained reference books. Each volume is devoted to a particular topic in statistics, with volume 30 dealing with time series.