Download or read book Short term and Long term Trends Seasonal Adjustment and the Business Cycle written by Regina Kaiser and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analyzes in detail some of the major limitations of the standard procedure to estimate business cycles with the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter.
Download or read book Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend Cycle Estimation written by Estela Bee Dagum and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-20 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores widely used seasonal adjustment methods and recent developments in real time trend-cycle estimation. It discusses in detail the properties and limitations of X12ARIMA, TRAMO-SEATS and STAMP - the main seasonal adjustment methods used by statistical agencies. Several real-world cases illustrate each method and real data examples can be followed throughout the text. The trend-cycle estimation is presented using nonparametric techniques based on moving averages, linear filters and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, taking recent advances into account. The book provides a systematical treatment of results that to date have been scattered throughout the literature. Seasonal adjustment and real time trend-cycle prediction play an essential part at all levels of activity in modern economies. They are used by governments to counteract cyclical recessions, by central banks to control inflation, by decision makers for better modeling and planning and by hospitals, manufacturers, builders, transportation, and consumers in general to decide on appropriate action. This book appeals to practitioners in government institutions, finance and business, macroeconomists, and other professionals who use economic data as well as academic researchers in time series analysis, seasonal adjustment methods, filtering and signal extraction. It is also useful for graduate and final-year undergraduate courses in econometrics and time series with a good understanding of linear regression and matrix algebra, as well as ARIMA modelling.
Download or read book Economic Time Series written by William R. Bell and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-11-14 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s
Download or read book Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis written by Steven Durlauf and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-30 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.
Download or read book Measuring Business Cycles in Economic Time Series written by Regina Kaiser and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book outlines and demonstrates problems with the use of the HP filter, and proposes an alternative strategy for inferring cyclical behavior from a time series featuring seasonal, trend, cyclical and noise components. The main innovation of the alternative strategy involves augmenting the series forecasts and back-casts obtained from an ARIMA model, and then applying the HP filter to the augmented series. Comparisons presented using artificial and actual data demonstrate the superiority of the alternative strategy.
Download or read book Business Cycles written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 613 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.
Download or read book Forecasting principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Download or read book B C D written by United States. Bureau of the Census and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 798 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Vols. for Nov. 1968- include an advance release of the expanded summary table (table 1).
Download or read book Business Conditions Digest written by United States. Bureau of Economic Analysis and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 744 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Vols. for Nov. 1968- include an advance release of the expanded summary table (table 1).
Download or read book Understanding Economic Statistics An OECD Perspective written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2008-10-08 with total page 199 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing on OECD statistics in particular, ‘Understanding Economic Statistics: an OECD perspective' shows readers how to use statistics to understand the world economy. It gives an overview of the history, key concepts and the main providers of economic statistics.
Download or read book Estimation of the Business Cycle written by Regina Kaiser and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Short Term Forecasting for Empirical Economists written by Maximo Camacho and published by . This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Short-term Forecasting for Empirical Economists seeks to close the gap between research and applied short-term forecasting. The authors review some of the key theoretical results and empirical findings in the recent literature on short-term forecasting, and translate these findings into economically meaningful techniques to facilitate their widespread application to compute short-term forecasts in economics, and to monitor the ongoing business cycle developments in real time.
Download or read book Business Cycle Developments written by and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 940 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Business Cycle Developments written by United States. Bureau of the Census and published by . This book was released on 1966 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Employment and Earnings written by and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 862 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book COMPSTAT written by Jelke G. Bethlehem and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Volume contains the Keynote, Invited and Full Contributed papers presented at COMPSTAT 2000. A companion volume (Jansen & Bethlehem, 2000) contains papers describing the Short Communications and Posters. COMPST AT is a one week conference held every two years under the auspices of the International Association of Statistical Computing, a section of the International Statistical Institute. COMPST AT 2000 is jointly organised by the Department of Methodology and Statistics of the Faculty of Social Sciences of Utrecht University, and Statistics Netherlands. It is taking place from 21-25 August 2000 at Utrecht University. Previous COMPSTATs (from 1974-1998) were in Vienna, Berlin, Leiden, Edinburgh, Toulouse, Prague, Rome, Copenhagen, Dubrovnik, Neuchatel, Vienna, Barcelona and Bristol. The conference is the main European forum for developments at the interface between statistics and computing. This was encapsulated as follows on the COMPST A T 2000 homepage http://neon. vb.cbs.nlIrsml compstat. Statistical computing provides the link between statistical theory and applied statistics. As at previous COMPSTATs, the scientific programme will range over all aspects of this link, from the development and implementation of new statistical ideas through to user experiences and software evaluation. The programme should appeal to anyone working in statistics and using computers, whether in universities, industrial companies, research institutes or as software developers. At COMPST AT 2000 there is a special interest in the interplay with official statistics. This is evident from papers in the area of computerised data collection, survey methodology, treatment of missing data, and the like.
Download or read book Current Construction Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
