Download or read book Ruin Theory Under a Threshold Insurance Risk Model written by Kwok-man Kwan and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Ruin Theory Under a Threshold Insurance Risk Model written by Kwok-Man Kwan and published by . This book was released on 2017-01-27 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "Ruin Theory Under a Threshold Insurance Risk Model" by Kwok-man, Kwan, 關國文, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Abstract of the thesis entitled RUIN THEORY UNDER A THRESHOLD INSURANCE RISK MODEL submitted by Kwan, Kwok Man for the degree of Master of Philosophy at The University of Hong Kong in April 2007 Since the classical Lundberg model was studied in 1903, there have been many studies about the generalization of the classical insurance risk model. The most popular ones are the Sparre-Anderson model, the Markov-modulated model and the di(R)usion-perturbed model. Recently, more and more attentions have been paid to the dependent models. The risk models with dependent claim sizes and the common shock models with di(R)erent lines of business have been studied by many authors. This thesis studies two risk models with dependence between claim size and inter-arrivaltimethroughathresholdstructure.Intherstinsuranceriskmodel, the distribution of the inter-arrival time depends on the last claim size: when the lastclaimsizeisbelowathreshold, thecurrentinter-arrivaltimefollowsacertain probability distribution; otherwise, it follows another probability distribution. Inthe second insurance risk model, its dependence relation is the reversal of the previous one, that is: when the last inter-arrival time is below a threshold, the current claim size follows a certain probability distribution; otherwise, it follows another probability distribution. It was found that the ruin probability became a dicult problem when the model involved these dependent structures. In order to obtain the solution of the ultimate ruin probability for these de- pendent models, the integro-di(R)erential equation, the integral equation and the Laplace transform satised by the ruin probability were derived and the explicit formula of the ruin probability was obtained in the case of exponential claim size. DOI: 10.5353/th_b3832003 Subjects: Risk (Insurance) - Mathematical models Probabilities
Download or read book Adaptive Policies and Drawdown Problems in Insurance Risk Models written by Shu Li and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ruin theory studies an insurer's solvency risk, and to quantify such a risk, a stochastic process is used to model the insurer's surplus process. In fact, research on ruin theory dates back to the pioneer works of Lundberg (1903) and Cramer (1930), where the classical compound Poisson risk model (also known as the Cramer-Lundberg model) was first introduced. The research was later extended to the Sparre Andersen risk model, the Markov arrival risk model, the Levy insurance risk model, and so on. However, in most analysis of the risk models, it is assumed that the premium rate per unit time is constant, which does not always reflect accurately the insurance environment. To better reflect the surplus cash flows of an insurance portfolio, there have been some studies (such as those related to dividend strategies and tax models) which allow the premium rate to take different values over time. Recently, Landriault et al. (2012) proposed the idea of an adaptive premium policy where the premium rate charged is based on the behaviour of the surplus process itself. Motivated by their model, the first part of the thesis focuses on risk models including certain adjustments to the premium rate to reflect the recent claim experience. In Chapter 2, we generalize the Gerber-Shiu analysis of the adaptive premium policy model of Landriault et al. (2012). Chapter 3 proposes an experience-based premium policy under the compound Poisson dynamic, where the premium rate changes are based on the increment between successive random review times. In Chapter 4, we examine a drawdown-based regime-switching Levy insurance model, where the drawdown process is used to model an insurer's level of financial distress over time, and to trigger regime-switching (or premium changes). Similarly to ruin problems which examine the first passage time of the risk process below a threshold level, drawdown problems relate to the first time that a drop in value from a historical peak exceeds a certain level (or equivalently the first passage time of the reflected process above a certain level). As such, drawdowns are fundamentally relevant from the viewpoint of risk management as they are known to be useful to detect, measure and manage extreme risks. They have various applications in many research areas, for instance, mathematical finance, applied probability and statistics. Among the common insurance surplus processes in ruin theory, drawdown episodes have been extensively studied in the class of spectrally negative Levy processes, or more recently, its Markov additive generalization. However, far less attention has been paid to the Sparre Andersen risk model, where the claim arrival process is modelled by a renewal process. The difficulty lies in the fact that such a process does not possess the strong Markov property. Therefore, in the second part of the thesis (Chapter 5), we extend the two-sided exit and drawdown analyses to a renewal risk process. In conclusion, the general focus of this thesis is to derive and analyze ruin-related and drawdown-related quantities in insurance risk models with adaptive policies, and assess their risk management impacts. Chapter 6 ends the thesis by some concluding remarks and directions for future research.
Download or read book Gerber Shiu Risk Theory written by Andreas E. Kyprianou and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-10-02 with total page 95 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the many and long-standing contributions of H. Gerber and E. Shiu, this book gives a modern perspective on the problem of ruin for the classical Cramér–Lundberg model and the surplus of an insurance company. The book studies martingales and path decompositions, which are the main tools used in analysing the distribution of the time of ruin, the wealth prior to ruin and the deficit at ruin. Recent developments in exotic ruin theory are also considered. In particular, by making dividend or tax payments out of the surplus process, the effect on ruin is explored. Gerber-Shiu Risk Theory can be used as lecture notes and is suitable for a graduate course. Each chapter corresponds to approximately two hours of lectures.
Download or read book Risk Theory written by Hanspeter Schmidli and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-04-04 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an overview of classical actuarial techniques, including material that is not readily accessible elsewhere such as the Ammeter risk model and the Markov-modulated risk model. Other topics covered include utility theory, credibility theory, claims reserving and ruin theory. The author treats both theoretical and practical aspects and also discusses links to Solvency II. Written by one of the leading experts in the field, these lecture notes serve as a valuable introduction to some of the most frequently used methods in non-life insurance. They will be of particular interest to graduate students, researchers and practitioners in insurance, finance and risk management.
Download or read book Analysis of Some Risk Processes in Ruin Theory written by Luyin Liu and published by . This book was released on 2017-01-26 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "Analysis of Some Risk Processes in Ruin Theory" by Luyin, Liu, 劉綠茵, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: In the literature of ruin theory, there have been extensive studies trying to generalize the classical insurance risk model. In this thesis, we look into two particular risk processes considering multi-dimensional risk and dependent structures respectively. The first one is a bivariate risk process with a dividend barrier, which concerns a two-dimensional risk model under a barrier strategy. Copula is used to represent the dependence between two business lines when a common shock strikes. By defining the time of ruin to be the first time that either of the two lines has its surplus level below zero, we derive a discrete approximation procedure to calculate the expected discounted dividends until ruin under such a model. A thorough discussion of application in proportional reinsurance with numerical examples is provided as well as an examination of the joint optimal dividend barrier for the bivariate process. The second risk process is a semi-Markovian dual risk process. Assuming that the dependence among innovations and waiting times is driven by a Markov chain, we analyze a quantity resembling the Gerber-Shiu expected discounted penalty function that incorporates random variables defined before and after the time of ruin, such as the minimum surplus level before ruin and the time of the first gain after ruin. General properties of the function are studied, and some exact results are derived upon distributional assumptions on either the inter-arrival times or the gain amounts. Applications in a perpetual insurance and the last inter-arrival time before ruin are given along with some numerical examples. DOI: 10.5353/th_b5153734 Subjects: Risk (Insurance) - Mathematical models
Download or read book Insurance Risk and Ruin written by David C. M. Dickson and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-10-27 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The focus of this book is on the two major areas of risk theory: aggregate claims distributions and ruin theory. For aggregate claims distributions, detailed descriptions are given of recursive techniques that can be used in the individual and collective risk models. For the collective model, the book discusses different classes of counting distribution, and presents recursion schemes for probability functions and moments. For the individual model, the book illustrates the three most commonly applied techniques. Beyond the classical topics in ruin theory, this new edition features an expanded section covering time of ruin problems, Gerber–Shiu functions, and the application of De Vylder approximations. Suitable for a first course in insurance risk theory and extensively classroom tested, the book is accessible to readers with a solid understanding of basic probability. Numerous worked examples are included and each chapter concludes with exercises for which complete solutions are provided.
Download or read book Ruin Theory for Portfolio Risk Modeling in Banking and Insurance written by Guusje Delsing and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book On the Probability of Maximum Severity of Ruin for a Classical and Renewal Risk Model written by Palash Ranjan Das and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors of this paper engage ruin theory as a mathematical basis for quantifying the financial risks in insurance industry. Considering a classical risk model with dividend barrier it is calibrated to obtain the maximum probability of ruin when the claim amount distribution is either exponential or Erlangian. It is to be noted that for numerical evaluation, the premium loading factor is taken to be 20% in both the cases. In order to ensure fair comparison, exponential and Erlangian parameters have been chosen in such a way that their mean and the expected total claims are same for both the distributions over a given time interval. Ultimately, it is generalized that the classical risk model by considering a renewal risk model can be used to find an expression for the maximum severity of ruin in the insurance industry.
Download or read book Ruin Probabilities written by S?ren Asmussen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010 with total page 621 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book gives a comprehensive treatment of the classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramr?Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (e.g., for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation, periodicity, change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas, like queueing theory. In this substantially updated and extended second version, new topics include stochastic control, fluctuation theory for Levy processes, Gerber?Shiu functions and dependence.
Download or read book Risk Models with Dependence and Perturbation written by Zhong Li and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In ruin theory, the surplus process of an insurance company is usually modeled by the classical compound Poisson risk model or its general version, the Sparre-Andersen risk model. Under these models, the claim amounts and the inter-claim times are assumed to be independently distributed, which is not always appropriate in practice. In recent years, risk models relaxing the independence assumption have drawn increasing attention. However, previous research mostly considers the so call dependent Sparre-Andersen risk model under which the pairs of random variables consisting of the inter-claim time and the next claim amount remain independent of each other. In this thesis, we aim to examine the opposite case. Namely, the distribution of the time until the next claim depends on the size of the previous claim amount. Explicit solutions for the Gerber-Shiu function are provided for arbitrary claim sizes and various ruin-related quantities are obtained as special cases. Numerical examples are also presented. The dependent insurance risk process is further generalized to a perturbed version to incorporate small fluctuations of the underlying surplus process. Explicit solutions for the Gerber-Shiu funtion are deduced along with applications and examples. Lastly, we introduce a perturbed dependence structure into the dual risk model and study the ruin time problem. Exact solutions for the Laplace transform and the first moment of the time to ruin with an arbitrary gain-size distribution are obtained. Applications with numerical examples are provided to illustrate the impact of the dependence structure and the perturbation.
Download or read book Gerber Shiu Risk Theory written by Andreas Kyprianou and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-11-27 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the many and long-standing contributions of H. Gerber and E. Shiu, this book gives a modern perspective on the problem of ruin for the classical Cramér–Lundberg model and the surplus of an insurance company. The book studies martingales and path decompositions, which are the main tools used in analysing the distribution of the time of ruin, the wealth prior to ruin and the deficit at ruin. Recent developments in exotic ruin theory are also considered. In particular, by making dividend or tax payments out of the surplus process, the effect on ruin is explored. Gerber-Shiu Risk Theory can be used as lecture notes and is suitable for a graduate course. Each chapter corresponds to approximately two hours of lectures.
Download or read book Ruin Theory Under Markovian Regime switching Risk Models written by Jinxia Zhu and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book ON THE JOINT ANALYSIS OF DISCO written by Haibo Liu and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-26 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "On the Joint Analysis of Discounted Aggregate Claim Costs Until Ruin and Other Ruin-related Quantities" by Haibo, Liu, 劉海波, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: In the context of classical ruin theory, ruin quantities (e.g. ruin probability and the time of ruin) are studied separately. It was not until the publication of the seminal paper by Gerber and Shiu (1998) that researchers began to focus on the joint analysis of several ruin quantities. Gerber and Shiu (1998) proposed the well-known Gerber-Shiu expected discounted penalty function or Gerber-Shiu function which unifies the study of three key ruin quantities, namely the time of ruin, the surplus just before ruin and the deficit at ruin. In this thesis, we further incorporate the discounted aggregate claim costs until ruin as well as the discounted aggregate dividends until ruin if any dividend strategy is implemented into the Gerber-Shiu function. The generalized Gerber-Shiu function is examined under the compound Poisson model with a barrier dividend strategy or a threshold dividend strategy and a risk model with 2-sided jumps. In a risk model with a barrier dividend strategy or a threshold dividend strategy, dividends are paid to shareholder whenever the surplus reaches a predetermined level. The dividends and the claims can be deemed as the payments to the shareholders and policyholders, respectively. As it will be seen in this thesis, if the cost function is specified, the generalized Gerber-Shiu function allows us study the time of ruin, the discounted total dividends until ruin and the discounted aggregate claims until ruin at the same time. Numerical examples are also provided to illustrate the relationship between these quantities. In traditional risk models, insurance companies are assumed to receive premiums at a constant rate. However, some premiums are paid in lump sums, such as insurances of traveling art collections. The assumptions in a risk model with 2-sided jumps are more realistic in this regard since the upward jumps represent the random premiums. To separate the contributions of random gains and losses, both the discounted aggregate downward jump costs' until ruin and the discounted aggregate upward jump costs' until ruin are incorporated into the Gerber-Shiu function. Aside from the general analysis of the generalized Gerber-Shiu function, explicit solutions of two special cases under specific downward jump distribution assumptions are derived along with numerical illustrations related to the first case. DOI: 10.5353/th_b5576759 Subjects: Risk (Insurance) - Mathematical models
Download or read book Risk Ruin and Survival written by Ricardas Zitikis and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-04-02 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Developing techniques for assessing various risks and calculating probabilities of ruin and survival are exciting topics for mathematically-inclined academics. For practicing actuaries and financial engineers, the resulting insights have provided enormous opportunities but also created serious challenges to overcome, thus facilitating closer cooperation between industries and academic institutions. In this book, several renown researchers with extensive interdisciplinary research experiences share their thoughts that, in one way or another, contribute to the betterment of practice and theory of decision making under uncertainty. Behavioral, cultural, mathematical, and statistical aspects of risk assessment and modelling have been explored, and have been often illustrated using real and simulated data. Topics range from financial and insurance risks to security-type risks, from one-dimensional to multi- and even infinite-dimensional risks. The articles in the book were written with a broad audience in mind and should provide enjoyable reading for those with university level degrees and/or those who have studied for accreditation by various actuarial and financial societies.
Download or read book On the Time Value of Ruin for Insurance Risk Models written by Shuanming Li and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Risk Theory and Reinsurance written by Griselda Deelstra and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-22 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reinsurance is an important production factor of non-life insurance. The efficiency and the capacity of the reinsurance market directly regulate those of insurance markets. The purpose of this book is to provide a concise introduction to risk theory, as well as to its main application procedures to reinsurance. The first part of the book covers risk theory. It presents the most prevalent model of ruin theory, as well as a discussion on insurance premium calculation principles and the mathematical tools that enable portfolios to be ordered according to their risk levels. The second part describes the institutional context of reinsurance. It first strives to clarify the legal nature of reinsurance transactions. It describes the structure of the reinsurance market and then the different legal and technical features of reinsurance contracts, known as reinsurance ‘treaties’ by practitioners. The third part creates a link between the theories presented in the first part and the practice described in the second one. Indeed, it sets out, mostly through examples, some methods for pricing and optimizing reinsurance. The authors aim is to apply the formalism presented in the first part to the institutional framework given in the second part. It is reassuring to find such a relationship between approaches seemingly abstract and solutions adopted by practitioners. Risk Theory and Reinsurance is mainly aimed at master's students in actuarial science but will also be useful for practitioners wishing to revive their knowledge of risk theory or to quickly learn about the main mechanisms of reinsurance.
