Download or read book Risk taking Adaptation to Macroeconomic Experiences written by Remy Levin and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Adaptive Risk Taking written by Remy Levin and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I study how attitudes towards risk and risky behavior adapt over the long-run to changes in risk in individuals' environments. In the first chapter I build a dynamic model of choice in which agents' endogenous foreground risk-taking adapts to evolving beliefs about exogenous background risk. The key features of this model are that foreground and background risk are substitutes, and that the agent learns about both the mean and variance of the background risk from observing its realizations over their lifetime. My model makes sharp predictions about the dynamics of risk-taking, the three most important being that (1) risk aversion increases monotonically in variance increases relative to the prior variance, and is (2) decreasing and (3) convex in mean increases about the prior mean. In the subsequent two chapters I test the predictions of my model for two sources of background risk, using large-scale panel surveys from Indonesia and Mexico containing repeat elicited measures of risk aversion for the same subjects years apart. In chapter two, coauthored with Daniela Vidart, we link changes in measured risk aversion to state-level real GDP growth time series capturing subjects' lifetime macroeconomic experiences. In line with the model's predictions we find that measured risk aversion increases in growth volatility and decreases in mean growth. These findings are robust to controlling for changes in subjects' personal economic circumstances and experiences of violence and natural disasters. Decreases in measured risk aversion correlate with substantial increases in risky behavior in the domains of health, migration, and occupational choice. In chapter three, coauthored with Wesley Howden, we link changes in measured risk aversion to state-level temperature and precipitation time series measuring subjects' lifetime experiences of climate change. We find that measured risk aversion increases in the volatility of temperature in Indonesia and precipitation in Mexico, that it decreases in the mean of temperature in both countries and precipitation in Mexico, and that it is convex in the mean of temperature in Indonesia. These findings are robust to the inclusion of controls. Decreases in measured risk aversion correlate with large changes in migration, occupational choice, and agricultural investment behavior.
Download or read book The Impact of Life Experiences on Risk Taking written by Peter Ayton and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Macroeconomic Risk and Idiosyncratic Risk Taking written by Zhiyao Chen and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop and estimate a dynamic model of risk-shifting over the business cycle. First, equity holders with Epstein-Zin preferences increase their taking of idiosyncratic risk substantially more than the standard model in repeated games, because they perceive the arrival probability of bad states higher than the actual probability and prefer an early resolution of macroeconomic uncertainty. Second, sudden switches to bad states and large shocks in the bad states induce the countercyclical and "synchronized'' idiosyncratic risk. Third, combined with high market risk premium in the bad states, the clustered risk-taking generates the countercyclical idiosyncratic volatility discount on equity returns.
Download or read book Human Factors Business Management and Society written by Vesa Salminen and published by AHFE International. This book was released on 2022-07-24 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human Factors, Business Management and Society Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics (AHFE 2022), July 24–28, 2022, New York, USA
Download or read book Realising the Triple Dividend of Resilience written by Swenja Surminski and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-11-25 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why aren’t we investing more in disaster resilience, despite the rising costs of disaster events? This book argues that decision-makers in governments, businesses, households, and development agencies tend to focus on avoiding losses from disasters, and perceive the return on investment as uncertain – only realised if a somewhat unlikely disaster event actually happens. This book develops a new business case for investment based on the multiple dividends of resilience. This looks beyond only avoided losses (the first dividend) to the wider benefits gained independently of whether or not the disaster event occurs. These include unleashing entrepreneurial activities and productive investments by lowering the looming threat of losses from disasters and enabling businesses, farmers and homeowners to take positive risks (the second dividend); and co-benefits of resilience measures beyond just disaster risk (the third dividend), such as flood embankments in Bangladesh that double as roads, or wetlands in Colombo that reduce urban heat extremes.
Download or read book Handbook of Experimental Finance written by Füllbrunn, Sascha and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2022-10-13 with total page 451 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With an in-depth overview of the past, present and future of the field, The Handbook of Experimental Finance provides a comprehensive analysis of the current topics, methodologies, findings, and breakthroughs in research conducted with the help of experimental finance methodology. Leading experts suggest innovative ways of designing, implementing, analyzing, and interpreting finance experiments.
Download or read book International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis written by Laurent Ferrara and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-06-13 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects selected articles addressing several currently debated issues in the field of international macroeconomics. They focus on the role of the central banks in the debate on how to come to terms with the long-term decline in productivity growth, insufficient aggregate demand, high economic uncertainty and growing inequalities following the global financial crisis. Central banks are of considerable importance in this debate since understanding the sluggishness of the recovery process as well as its implications for the natural interest rate are key to assessing output gaps and the monetary policy stance. The authors argue that a more dynamic domestic and external aggregate demand helps to raise the inflation rate, easing the constraint deriving from the zero lower bound and allowing monetary policy to depart from its current ultra-accommodative position. Beyond macroeconomic factors, the book also discusses a supportive financial environment as a precondition for the rebound of global economic activity, stressing that understanding capital flows is a prerequisite for economic-policy decisions.
Download or read book Economic Risks of Climate Change written by Trevor Houser and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2015-08-18 with total page 381 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change threatens the economy of the United States in myriad ways, including increased flooding and storm damage, altered crop yields, lost labor productivity, higher crime, reshaped public-health patterns, and strained energy systems, among many other effects. Combining the latest climate models, state-of-the-art econometric research on human responses to climate, and cutting-edge private-sector risk-assessment tools, Economic Risks of Climate Change: An American Prospectus crafts a game-changing profile of the economic risks of climate change in the United States. This prospectus is based on a critically acclaimed independent assessment of the economic risks posed by climate change commissioned by the Risky Business Project. With new contributions from Karen Fisher-Vanden, Michael Greenstone, Geoffrey Heal, Michael Oppenheimer, and Nicholas Stern and Bob Ward, as well as a foreword from Risky Business cochairs Michael Bloomberg, Henry Paulson, and Thomas Steyer, the book speaks to scientists, researchers, scholars, activists, and policy makers. It depicts the distribution of escalating climate-change risk across the country and assesses its effects on aspects of the economy as varied as hurricane damages and violent crime. Beautifully illustrated and accessibly written, this book is an essential tool for helping businesses and governments prepare for the future.
Download or read book Review of the Climate Macroeconomic Assessment Program Pilots written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-06-16 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the two Climate Macroeconomic Assessment Program (CMAP) pilots and proposes a way forward. It builds on the experience of the previous six Climate Change Policy Assessment (CCPA) pilots, and the recent rollout of the World Bank’s Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR). It also accounts for early experience with countries requesting support under the Fund’s Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST). Based on the lessons from pilots and recent developments, staff proposes to streamline the CMAP to focus on the Fund’s comparative advantages in the areas of mitigation, PFM and macro-fiscal impact of climate change policies, provide a streamlined CMAP in exceptional circumstances, and expand more targeted CD in particular in support of RSF countries. This focused and tailored approach would benefit members as it is more agile, allows the Fund to serve more members within the same resource envelope and enhance synergies with other Fund products and the World Bank’s CCDR.
Download or read book Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change in the Small States of the Pacific written by Ezequiel Cabezon and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-19 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Natural disasters and climate change are interrelated macro-critical issues affecting all Pacific small states to varying degrees. In addition to their devastating human costs, these events damage growth prospects and worsen countries’ fiscal positions. This is the first cross-country IMF study assessing the impact of natural disasters on growth in the Pacific islands as a group. A panel VAR analysis suggests that, for damage and losses equivalent to 1 percent of GDP, growth drops by 0.7 percentage point in the year of the disaster. We also find that, during 1980-2014, trend growth was 0.7 percentage point lower than it would have been without natural disasters. The paper also discusses a multi-pillar framework to enhance resilience to natural disasters at the national, regional, and multilateral levels and the importance of enhancing countries’ risk-management capacities. It highlights how this approach can provide a more strategic and less ad hoc framework for strengthening both ex ante and ex post resilience and what role the IMF can play.
Download or read book Repeated Crisis Exposure Euroskepticism Political Behavior written by Lukas Möller and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-10-18 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Europe, the last decade has been shaped by euro crisis, migration crisis and corona crisis. Studies have analyzed how citizens react to crises in their voting behavior. This political economy analysis examines the research gap to what extent repeated crisis exposure within a short period of time can deepen existing Euroskepticism. It is defined as an index consisting of the individual identification as European, the view on the EU and on own country’s benefits of EU membership. Survey results of the Eurobarometer of all 28 EU member states, including the United Kingdom, in combination with macroeconomic data are analyzed using modern econometric methods. Bootstrapping and entropy balancing ensure conservative estimates. We find that a single crisis exposure increases existing Euroskepticism, but that the temporal distance between the crises matters. The impact of a crisis on the current situation marginalizes with its temporal distance. Furthermore, a hysteresis-like effect occurs: After the crisis ends, the Euroskepticism level does not go back to its pre-crisis level. Especially today, when (Western) democracy is under attack from many sides, this work extends the understanding of the influence of crises on political behavior aiming to derive recommendations how to act in the future.
Download or read book Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation written by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-05-28 with total page 593 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Extreme weather and climate events, interacting with exposed and vulnerable human and natural systems, can lead to disasters. This Special Report explores the social as well as physical dimensions of weather- and climate-related disasters, considering opportunities for managing risks at local to international scales. SREX was approved and accepted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) on 18 November 2011 in Kampala, Uganda.
Download or read book Information Sampling and Adaptive Cognition written by Klaus Fiedler and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes that environmental information samples are biased and cognitive processes are not.
Download or read book Mainstreaming Climate Risk Management in Development written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2017-11-01 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Pilot Program for Climate Resilience (PPCR) is a funding window of the Climate Investment Funds, of which the Asian Development Bank (ADB) is a major partner in Asia and the Pacific, delivering investments through six country programs (Bangladesh, Cambodia, Nepal, Papua New Guinea, Tajikistan, and Tonga) and one regional program for the Pacific. This study looks back at the development of PPCR funding from an ADB perspective, documents the contributions of the PPCR to country readiness for adaptation planning and climate finance, and identifies some early lessons learned from Cambodia, Nepal, and Tajikistan.
Download or read book Routledge Handbook of the Economics of Climate Change Adaptation written by Anil Markandya and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-01-03 with total page 462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing human kind owing to the great uncertainty regarding future impacts, which affect all regions and many ecosystems. Many publications deal with economic issues relating to mitigation policies, but the economics of adaptation to climate change has received comparatively little attention. However, this area is is critical and a central pillar of any adaptation strategy or plan and is the economic dimension, which therefore merits the increase in attention it is receiving. This book deals with the difficulties that face the economics of adaptation. Critical issues include: uncertainty; baselines; reversibility, flexibility and adaptive management; distributional impacts; discount rates and time horizons; mixing monetary and non-monetary evaluations and limits to the use of cost-benefit analysis; economy-wide impacts and cross-sectoral linkages. All of these are addressed in the book from the perspective of economics of adaptation. Other dimensions of adaptation are also included, such as the role of low- and middle-income countries, technology and the impacts of extreme events. This timely book will prove essential reading for international researchers and policy makers in the fields of natural resources, environmental economics and climate change.
Download or read book Climate Sensitive Management of Public Finances Green PFM written by Mr. Fabien Gonguet and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-08-11 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Public financial management (PFM) consists of all the government’s institutional arrangements in place to facilitate the implementation of fiscal policies. In response to the growing urgency to fight climate change, “green PFM” aims at adapting existing PFM practices to support climate-sensitive policies. With the cross-cutting nature of climate change and wider environmental concerns, green PFM can be a key enabler of an integrated government strategy to combat climate change. This note outlines a framework for green PFM, emphasizing the need for an approach combining various entry points within, across, and beyond the budget cycle. This includes components such as fiscal transparency and external oversight, and coordination with state-owned enterprises and subnational governments. The note also identifies principles for effective implementation of a green PFM strategy, among which the need for a strong stewardship located within the ministry of finance is paramount.
