Download or read book Risk and Return of Capital Structure Arbitrage with Credit Default Swap CDS written by Yuchen Luo and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study also contributes to the literature on information flows across markets by providing economically significant evidence that information flows from stock and options markets to CDS market.

Download or read book Credit Default Swap Trading Strategies written by Wolfgang Schöpf and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2010-07-23 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Introduction: Credit default swaps are by far the most often traded credit derivatives and the credit default swap markets have seen tremendous growth over the past two decades. Put simply, a credit default swap is a tradeable contract that provides insurance against the default of a certain debtor. Initially, when the first form of a credit default swap (CDS) was traded in 1991, they were mainly used by commercial banks in order to lay off credit risk to insurance companies. However, focus shifted in the subsequent years as new players entered the market. Hedge funds became big players, money managers and reinsurers entered, and banks started to not only buy protection on their assets but also sell protection in order to diversify their portfolios. All this led to today s CDS market being dominated by investors rather than banks and, as a consequence, CDSs are now structured to meet investors needs instead of those of the banks. Over the same time as this shift to an investor orientated market took place, CDS markets grew at an astonishing rate with notional amount outstanding pretty much doubling every year until peaking in the second half of 2007 at USD 62,173.20 billions. The need to effciently transfer credit risk as well as the increasing standardization of CDS contracts by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association propelled this development. Only in 2008 did the notional amount outstanding in CDSs retract for the first time and come down to USD 31,223.10 billion in the first half of 2009. A partial reason was the full blown financial crisis in which CDSs also played a prominent role. The demise of Lehman Brothers, for example, triggered roughly USD 400 billion in protection payments and American International Group needed to be bailed out in 2008 because it had sold too much CDS protection. Amongst other concerns, these incidents highlight the systemic importance of CDSs. Combined with the phenomenal growth of CDS markets, this makes CDSs a highly relevant component of the current ?nancial environment and a fruitful subject for academic research. Today, just like most other financial instruments, CDSs serve a multitude of purposes spanning hedging, speculation, and arbitrage. The aim of this thesis is to explore these uses further and answer the following research questions: What CDS trading strategies are commonly used and how does a selection of these strategies CDS curve trades including forward CDSs, [...]

Download or read book How Efficient are Credit Default Swap Markets An Empirical Study of Capital Structure Arbitrage Based on Structural Pricing Models written by Björn Imbierowicz and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the efficiency of the credit default swap (CDS) market via the profitability and risk of capital structure arbitrage strategies based on observed mispricing in the CDS market over the years 2002 to 2006. We find that the CDS market has been inefficient in our observation period although this inefficiency declined over time. For this purpose, we calculate CDS premiums by means of the CreditGrades (2002) model and the models of Leland and Toft (1996) and Zhou (2001) and apply those within a capital structure arbitrage context for a dataset covering more than 800,000 observations. Our results indicate that structural credit risk models can adequately replicate market spreads but still produce significant positive arbitrage returns within our strategy. This also holds when transaction costs are incorporated. Accounting for risk via the Sharpe ratio reveals that the CDS market was inefficient at the beginning of our sample period but became efficient in the years 2004/2005 consistent with soaring trading volumes and the introduction of CDS index trading at this time. We are also able to show that the mathematically more advanced Leland and Toft and Zhou models provide larger arbitrage returns within our strategy. Considering rating classes, the arbitrage returns increase as obligors become riskier, in line with standard investment theory.

Download or read book The Credit Risk Information Dynamics Between the Cds and Equity Markets written by Vincent Xiang and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An information link exists between the credit default swap (CDS) and equity markets. The CDS spread is an observable price of a reference firm's credit risk. The same credit risk information is also reflected in its equity price. According to the structural credit risk pricing approach, equity is analogous to a call option written on firm assets, with the face value of the debt as the strike price. Accordingly, the probability of non-exercise equals the probability of default. Any information that affects a firm's creditworthiness affects the value of this call option and hence the stock price.This thesis examines the credit risk information dynamics between the CDS and equity markets. Unlike existing studies, we do not model the interaction between the change of CDS spread and stock return. This is because stock returns also reflect non-credit-related information. Instead, we utilise the CreditGrades model, which belongs to the structural credit risk pricing approach, to extract the implied credit default spread (ICDS) from a firm's equity price. The pairwise CDS spread and ICDS thus represent price of credit risk from the CDS and equity markets, respectively.We propose a new approach to calibrate the CreditGrades model to extract the ICDS. First, we make a less arbitrary assumption regarding unobservable parameters that describe the stochastic recovery process of the firm. Second, we calibrate unobservable parameters on a more frequent basis. Third, we recalibrate model parameters to incorporate newly released accounting figures, since the recovery process is determined by a firm's capital structure fundamental. We document strong evidence that our calibration approach generates more accurate ICDS estimates than those used by previous studies. The more accurate ICDS estimates facilitate a cleaner study of credit risk information flow between the CDS and equity markets.We analyse the nature of information linkage between the CDS and equity markets for a sample of 174 U.S. investment-grade firms. We document strong cointegration between the CDS spread and ICDS, suggesting a long-run credit risk pricing equilibrium between the two markets. Using Gonzalo and Granger (1995) and Hasbrouck (1995) measures, we sort firms into five categories of credit risk price discovery. When forward-shifting the estimation window, we uncover an interesting transmigration pattern. From January 2005 to June 2007, the CDS market influenced price discovery for 92 firms. From January 2006 to June 2008, with the onset of the global financial crisis (GFC), that number increased to 159. As we move away from the height of the GFC, the number of CDS-influenced firms diminishes but remains high compared to the pre-GFC period. Using CDS spreads as trading signals, a conditional portfolio strategy that updates the list of CDS-influenced firms produces a significant alpha against Fama-French factors. It also outperforms buy-and-hold, momentum, and dividend yield strategies.Finally, we propose a new trading algorithm to implement capital structure arbitrage, a convergent-type strategy that exploits mispricing between the CDS and equity markets. Our trading algorithm incorporates both long-run credit risk pricing equilibrium and short-run price discovery process between the two markets. Using our trading algorithm, the arbitrageur avoids the risk of non-convergence and of incurring substantial losses. We confirm that most of the trading profits are generated by conditioning the strategy on firms for which the CDS market dominates the price discovery process. Despite the fact that our trading sample covers the entire GFC, the conditional trading strategy produces a Sharpe ratio that is comparable to that of other fixed income arbitrage strategies.

Download or read book Capital Structure Arbitrage Revisited written by Marcin Wojtowicz and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study risk and return properties of capital structure arbitrage strategies aiming to profit from temporal mispricing between equity and credit default swaps (CDSs) of companies. We find that capital structure arbitrage provides an attractive annualized return of 24.35% on invested capital. The arbitrage returns are higher for lower rated companies and surprisingly they are also higher for more liquid companies with larger CDS trading volumes. We find that the number of open arbitrage trades can at times cluster and in our sample the concentration of trades occurs when they are most profitable, which highlights the issue of capital allocation. Constructing weekly return indices of capital structure arbitrage, we find that no more than 15% of the returns is explained by common risk factors.

Download or read book How Profitable is Capital Structure Arbitrage written by Fan Yu and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the risk and return of the so-called capital structure arbitrage, which exploits the mispricing between a company's debt and equity. Specifically, a structural model connects a company's equity price with its credit default swap (CDS) spread. Based on the deviation of CDS market spreads from their theoretical counterparts, a convergence-type trading strategy is proposed and analyzed using 135,759 daily CDS spreads on 261 obligors. At the level of individual trades, the risk of the strategy arises when the arbitrageur shorts CDS and the market spread subsequently skyrockets, forcing the arbitrageur into early liquidation and engendering large losses. An equally-weighted portfolio of all trades produces Sharpe ratios similar to those of other fixed-income arbitrage strategies and hedge fund industry benchmarks. However, the monthly excess returns on this portfolio are not significantly correlated with either equity or bond market factors.

Download or read book Credit Default Swaps written by Marti Subrahmanyam and published by Now Publishers. This book was released on 2014-12-19 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit Default Swaps: A Survey is the most comprehensive review of all major research domains involving credit default swaps (CDS). CDS have been growing in importance in the global financial markets. However, their role has been hotly debated, in industry and academia, particularly since the credit crisis of 2007-2009. The authors review the extant literature on CDS that has accumulated over the past two decades and divide the survey into seven topics after providing a broad overview in the introduction. The second section traces the historical development of CDS markets and provides an introduction to CDS contract definitions and conventions. The third section discusses the pricing of CDS, from the perspective of no-arbitrage principles, structural, and reduced-form credit risk models. It also summarizes the literature on the determinants of CDS spreads, with a focus on the role of fundamental credit risk factors, liquidity and counterparty risk. The fourth section discusses how the development of the CDS market has affected the characteristics of the bond and equity markets, with an emphasis on market efficiency, price discovery, information flow, and liquidity. Attention is also paid to the CDS-bond basis, the wedge between the pricing of the CDS and its reference bond, and the mispricing between the CDS and the equity market. The fifth section examines the effect of CDS trading on firms' credit and bankruptcy risk, and how it affects corporate financial policy, including bond issuance, capital structure, liquidity management, and corporate governance. The sixth section analyzes how CDS impact the economic incentives of financial intermediaries. The seventh section reviews the growing literature on sovereign CDS and highlights the major differences between the sovereign and corporate CDS markets. The eighth section discusses CDS indices, especially the role of synthetic CDS index products backed by residential mortgage-backed securities during the financial crisis. The authors close with our suggestions for promising future research directions on CDS contracts and markets.

Download or read book Capital Structure Arbitrage written by K. Asante-Poku and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Single Name Credit Default Swap CDS Arbitrage Mechanisms written by Wenchao Liao and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper seeks to clarify and explain the arbitrage trading mechanisms between (and within) debts, equity, credit, and interest rate markets, using the credit default swaps (CDS). We begin by explaining the most basic, though often confusing, concept of arbitrage - basis arbitrage. We then go on to explain other various arbitrage mechanisms. These include the arbitrage across term structure (forward curve arbitrage), arbitrage between equity and debt markets, within debt market, between equity and credit markets (the above three are called capital structure arbitrage), and between interest rate and credit markets. The basis arbitrage concept is frequently used. This paper provides a framework for thinking about the CDS arbitrage.

Download or read book Capital Structure Arbitrage written by Claus Bajlum and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When identifying relative value opportunities across credit and equity markets, the arbitrageur faces two major problems, namely positions based on model misspecification and mismeasured inputs. Using credit default swap data, this paper addresses both concerns in a convergence-type trading strategy. In spite of differences in assumptions governing default and calibration, we find the exact structural model linking the markets second to timely key inputs. Studying an equally-weighted portfolio of all relative value positions, the excess returns are insignificant when based on a traditional volatility from historical equity returns. However, relying on an implied volatility from equity options results in a substantial gain in strategy execution and highly significant excess returns - even when small gaps are exploited. The gain is largest in the speculative grade segment, and cannot be explained from systematic market risk factors. However, although the strategy may seem attractive at an aggregate level, positions on individual obligors can be very risky.

Download or read book The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions written by Jiri Podpiera and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-06-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to identify the fundamental variables that drive the credit default swaps during the initial phase of distress in selected European Large Complex Financial Institutions (LCFIs). It uses yearly data over 2004 - 08 for 29 European LCFIs. The results from a dynamic panel data estimator show that LCFIs’ business models, earnings potential, and economic uncertainty (represented by market expectations about the future risks of a particular LCFI and market views on prospects for economic growth) are among the most significant determinants of credit risk. The findings of the paper are broadly consistent with those of the literature on bank failure, where the determinants of the latter include the entire CAMELS structure - that is, Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, Management Quality, Earnings Potential, Liquidity, and Sensitivity to Market Risk. By establishing a link between the financial and market fundamentals of LCFIs and their CDS spreads, the paper offers a potential tool for fundamentals-based vulnerability and early warning system for LCFIs.

Download or read book The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report written by Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2011-05-01 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, published by the U.S. Government and the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in early 2011, is the official government report on the United States financial collapse and the review of major financial institutions that bankrupted and failed, or would have without help from the government. The commission and the report were implemented after Congress passed an act in 2009 to review and prevent fraudulent activity. The report details, among other things, the periods before, during, and after the crisis, what led up to it, and analyses of subprime mortgage lending, credit expansion and banking policies, the collapse of companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the federal bailouts of Lehman and AIG. It also discusses the aftermath of the fallout and our current state. This report should be of interest to anyone concerned about the financial situation in the U.S. and around the world.THE FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION is an independent, bi-partisan, government-appointed panel of 10 people that was created to "examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States." It was established as part of the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009. The commission consisted of private citizens with expertise in economics and finance, banking, housing, market regulation, and consumer protection. They examined and reported on "the collapse of major financial institutions that failed or would have failed if not for exceptional assistance from the government."News Dissector DANNY SCHECHTER is a journalist, blogger and filmmaker. He has been reporting on economic crises since the 1980's when he was with ABC News. His film In Debt We Trust warned of the economic meltdown in 2006. He has since written three books on the subject including Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity (Cosimo Books, 2008), and The Crime Of Our Time: Why Wall Street Is Not Too Big to Jail (Disinfo Books, 2011), a companion to his latest film Plunder The Crime Of Our Time. He can be reached online at www.newsdissector.com.

Download or read book Collateralized Debt Obligations written by Douglas J. Lucas and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-08-04 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since first edition's publication, the CDO market has seen tremendous growth. As of 2005, $1.1 trillion of CDOs were outstanding -- making them the fastest-growing investment vehicle of the last decade. To help you keep up with this expanding market and its various instruments, Douglas Lucas, Laurie Goodman, and Frank Fabozzi have collaborated to bring you this fully revised and up-to-date new edition of Collateralized Debt Obligations. Written in a clear and accessible style, this valuable resource provides critical information regarding the evolving nature of the CDO market. You'll find in-depth insights gleaned from years of investment and credit experience as well as the examination of a wide range of issues, including cash CDOs, loans and CLOs, structured finance CDOs and collateral review, emerging market and market value CDOs, and synthetic CDOs. Use this book as your guide and take advantage of this dynamic market and its products.

Download or read book Slow Moving Capital written by Mark Mitchell and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study three cases in which specialized arbitrageurs lost significant amounts of capital and, as a result, became liquidity demanders rather than providers. The effects on security markets were large and persistent: Prices dropped relative to fundamentals and the rebound took months. While multi-strategy hedge funds who were not capital constrained increased their positions, a large fraction of these funds actually acted as net sellers consistent with the view that information barriers within a firm (not just relative to outside investors) can lead to capital constraints for trading desks with mark-to-market losses. Our findings suggest that real world frictions impede arbitrage capital.

Download or read book Credit Risk written by Niklas Wagner and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-05-28 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Featuring contributions from leading international academics and practitioners, Credit Risk: Models, Derivatives, and Management illustrates how a risk management system can be implemented through an understanding of portfolio credit risks, a set of suitable models, and the derivation of reliable empirical results. Divided into six sectio

Download or read book The Credit Default Swap Basis written by Moorad Choudhry and published by Bloomberg Press. This book was released on 2027-06-22 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An up-to-date resource on the intricacies of the credit default swap basis While credit default swaps and credit derivatives are of great concern to many in the field of finance, the Second Edition of The Credit Default Swap Basis does not directly focus on these issues. It is instead about an aspect of CDS behavior, the basis, which is of importance to all users of CDS products. An understanding of the basis is essential to anyone involved in the credit-risky debt capital markets, whether you're an investor, trader, or broker. The credit default swap basis (the basis) defines the relationship between the cash and synthetic credit markets. Finance professionals need to understand the drivers of the basis in order to better undertake investment and value analysis, and for trading purposes. In this updated Second Edition, author Moorad Choudhry, a market practitioner who has published widely in the field of credit derivatives, explores this dynamic discipline and examines the structural changes in the CDS market, including new settlement mechanisms and contract standardization. Along the way, he describes how basis pricing has changed in the aftermath of the financial crisis and what that change means in regard to overall market and trading opportunities. The only book on basis issues of credit default swaps, it provides practitioners with vital information on valuation, credit risk assessment, and basis trading strategies Addresses structural changes to the market, including the introduction of central clearing houses in the U.S. and Europe and standardization of contracts to reduce disputes about payout settlements Covers the close relationship between the synthetic and cash markets in credit, which manifests itself in the credit default swap basis The Credit Default Swap Basis, Second Edition offers invaluable market insights to all financial professionals seeking a deeper understanding of credit derivatives and fixed income securities.

Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: