Download or read book Representing Operational Strategies and Command control in the Rand Strategy Assessment System RSAS written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Technology for the United States Navy and Marine Corps 2000 2035 Becoming a 21st Century Force written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1997-10-16 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After v. 1, each volume's t.p. names a different panel at the beginning of its author statement.
Download or read book Modeling of Soft Factors in the Rand Strategy Assessment System RSAS written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reflecting "soft factors" (defined as factors not yet reflected explicitly in analysis, and not yet well understood) has been a major goal since the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) was designed in 1982. This paper discusses how selected soft factors have been and could be represented in combat models, theater-level decision models dealing with command-control issues, and national-command-level models dealing with issues of national policy, strategy, and controls. The paper also discusses the (limited) empirical basis for the assumptions used and speculates about the degree to which the empirical and subjective bases could be improved. Finally, it notes several recent examples of policy-level analysis that have been strongly affected by assumptions about soft factors involving human and organizational issues--notably factors involving readiness, surprise, national fighting quality, the break-point phenomenon, and command-control adaptability.
Download or read book Government Reports Announcements Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 808 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book New Challenges for Defense Planning written by Paul K. Davis and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 1994 with total page 790 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of essays by senior defense analysts at RAND, all of whom have been deeply involved in post-Cold War defense planning studies for the Department of Defense. The essays cover a wide spectrum of issues, including alternative strategies and structures for defense planning, conventional deterrence of Third World opponents, modernizing weapon systems and force structures, and planning under uncertainty (a major theme of the book as a whole). Some of the essays are sympathetic to current U.S. methods and policies, whereas others are critical, arguing that radical changes are needed. Taken as a whole, the book provides a provocative cross section of work by experts who understand both the theoretical issues and the practical considerations that the Department of Defense must address. The book will be of interest to policymakers, students of defense planning, and other readers seeking to understand the challenges and choices confronting defense planners as we approach the end of the century.
Download or read book Overview of System Software in the RAND Strategy Assessment System written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Note documents and updates a briefing given in January 1988 on the system-software aspects of the RAND Strategy Assessment System.
Download or read book Defense Planning for the Post Cold War Era written by Paul K. Davis and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 1993 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study describes a new approach to defense planning that would better integrate strategic, programmatic, and operations planning. The study recommends new methods of analysis that are well suited to planning under uncertainty.
Download or read book Government Reports Annual Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 1662 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Main Theater Warfare Modeling in the Rand Strategy Assessment System 3 0 written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Note provides an overview of the main theater warfare model developed as part of the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS, Release 3.0), in a game-structured simulation of global conflict. This model covers land and air combat in Central Europe and Korea and is part of a global combat model (CAMPAIGN) that provides a fully integrated treatment of conventional, theater-nuclear, and intercontinental-nuclear warfare worldwide. The model has been designed to answer "What if?" questions quickly, to be used either as a closed simulation or as an interactive game, and to be flexible. It permits the user to vary assumptions about a broad range of qualitative and quantitative issues such as national fighting effectiveness, maximum combat intensity, air-ground interactions, etc. The model is also unique in its treatment of maneuver because it allows the attacker and defender to have explicit concepts of maneuver at corps level and above.
Download or read book Analytic War Plans written by William Schwabe and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Signal written by and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 1080 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book RSAS 4 6 Summary written by Bruce W. Bennett and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) is a global war gaming and analysis system that focuses on conflict, from major regional contingencies through strategic warfare. It has been developed to support balance assessment, contingency analysis, and military training. It is global because it includes order-of-battle data for most major countries worldwide. This Note summarizes the development status of RSAS 4.6, as released, describing each of its components and how they have been changed since RSAS 4.0. It describes known limitations of the RSAS and enhancements the authors feel ought to be made, as a reference point for RSAS applications and future development. Finally, it provides some basic information on how to use the RSAS, how it is designed to be used, and descriptions of RSAS inputs and outputs.
Download or read book Use of Services for Family Planning and Infertility United States 1982 written by Gerry E. Hendershot and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 982 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 1982 statistics on the use of family planning and infertility services presented in this report are preliminary results from Cycle III of the National Survey of Family Growth (NSFG), conducted by the National Center for Health Statistics. Data were collected through personal interviews with a multistage area probability sample of 7969 women aged 15-44. A detailed series of questions was asked to obtain relatively complete estimates of the extent and type of family planning services received. Statistics on family planning services are limited to women who were able to conceive 3 years before the interview date. Overall, 79% of currently mrried nonsterile women reported using some type of family planning service during the previous 3 years. There were no statistically significant differences between white (79%), black (75%) or Hispanic (77%) wives, or between the 2 income groups. The 1982 survey questions were more comprehensive than those of earlier cycles of the survey. The annual rate of visits for family planning services in 1982 was 1077 visits /1000 women. Teenagers had the highest annual visit rate (1581/1000) of any age group for all sources of family planning services combined. Visit rates declined sharply with age from 1447 at ages 15-24 to 479 at ages 35-44. Similar declines with age also were found in the visit rates for white and black women separately. Nevertheless, the annual visit rate for black women (1334/1000) was significantly higher than that for white women (1033). The highest overall visit rate was for black women 15-19 years of age (1867/1000). Nearly 2/3 of all family planning visits were to private medical sources. Teenagers of all races had higher family planning service visit rates to clinics than to private medical sources, as did black women age 15-24. White women age 20 and older had higher visit rates to private medical services than to clinics. Never married women had higher visit rates to clinics than currently or formerly married women. Data were also collected in 1982 on use of medical services for infertility by women who had difficulty in conceiving or carrying a pregnancy to term. About 1 million ever married women had 1 or more infertility visits in the 12 months before the interview. During the 3 years before interview, about 1.9 million women had infertility visits. For all ever married women, as well as for white and black women separately, infertility services were more likely to be secured from private medical sources than from clinics. The survey design, reliability of the estimates and the terms used are explained in the technical notes.
Download or read book Effects based Operations written by Paul K. Davis and published by Minnesota Historical Society. This book was released on 2001 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Effects-based operations (EBO) are defined for thismonograph as operations conceived and planned in a systems framework thatconsiders the full range of direct, indirect, and cascading effects
Download or read book Theory and Methods for Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2007 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes an approach to high-level decision support for a Joint Forces Air Component Commander in combat operations or a Chief of Staff in defense planning. Its central theme is the fundamental importance of dealing effectively with uncertainty, whether in effects-based operations, building the Air Force's Commander's Predictive Environment, or planning future forces with the methods of capabilities-based planning. Because many features of the future cannot be predicted with reasonable confidence, it is better to proceed with the expectation of surprise developments and to have skill in recognizing adaptations and making them than it is to treat uncertainty merely as an annoyance. This report sketches the framework of a high-level decision-support environment that is top-down, expresses concepts in simple and intuitive language, deals explicitly with risk and uncertainty, and provides the capability for decisionmakers to readily discover and question the bases for key assumptions and assessments. It can accommodate both "rational-analytic" and "naturalistic" decisionmakers, allowing them to produce strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust (FAR). Two explicit methods and their related tools are described. The first involves portfolio-style thinking and analysis, a good mechanism for balancing risks and other considerations in choosing a course of action. The second is a novel modification of foresight exercises that addresses the need to include humans effectively in dealing with uncertainty. A more extensive discussion of available methods and enabling technologies is also presented, along with some recommendations about investment priorities.
