Download or read book Regional Housing Market Spillovers in the US written by Isabel Vansteenkiste and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Regional Financial Spillovers Across Europe written by Ms.Silvia Sgherri and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-02-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent financial crisis raises important issues about the transmission of financial shocks across borders. In this paper, a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model is constructed to assess the relevance of international spillovers following a historical slowdown in U.S. equity prices. The GVAR model contains 27 country-specific models, including the United States, 17 European advanced economies, and 9 European emerging economies. Each country model is linked to the others by a set of country-specific foreign variables, computed using bilateral bank lending exposures. Results reveal considerable comovements of equity prices across mature financial markets. However, the effects on credit growth are found to be country-specific. Evidence indicates that asset prices are the main channel through which-in the short run-financial shocks are transmitted internationally, while the contribution of other variables-like the cost and quantity of credit-becomes more important over longer horizons.
Download or read book Speculative Bubble Spillovers Across Regional Housing Markets written by Ogonna Nneji and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we determine whether speculative bubbles in one region in the US can lead bubbles to form in others. We first apply a regime-switching model to determine whether speculative bubbles existed in the US regional residential real estate markets. Our findings suggest that the housing markets in five of the nine census divisions investigated were characterized by speculative bubbles. We then examine the extent to which bubbles spill over between neighbouring and more distant regions, finding that the transmission of speculative bubbles and non-fundamentals between regions is multi-directional and does not depend on contiguity or distance.
Download or read book National Regional and Metro specific Factors of the US Housing Market written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Pricing Out Phenomenon in the U S Housing Market written by Francesco Beraldi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-01-06 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic further extended the multi-year housing boom in advanced economies and emerging markets alike against massive monetary easing during the pandemic. In this paper, we analyze the pricing-out phenomenon in the U.S. residential housing market due to higher house prices associated with monetary easing. We first set up a stylized general equilibrium model and show that although monetary easing decreases the mortgage payment burden, it would raise house prices, lower housing affordability for first-time homebuyers, and increase housing wealth inequality between first-time and repeat homebuyers. We then use the U.S. household-level data to quantify the effect of the house price change on housing affordability relative to that of the interest rate change. We find evidence of the pricing-out effect for all homebuyers; moreover, we find that the pricing-out effect is stronger for first-time homebuyers than for repeat homebuyers. The paper highlights the importance of accounting for general equilibrium effects and distributional implications of monetary policy while assessing housing affordability. It also calls for complementing monetary easing with well-targeted policy measures that can boost housing affordability, particularly for first-time and lower-income households. Such measures are also needed during aggressive monetary tightening, given that the fall in house prices may be insufficient or too slow to fully offset the immediate adverse impact of higher rates on housing affordability.
Download or read book Time Series and Panel Data Econometrics written by M. Hashem Pesaran and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2015 with total page 1095 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book describes and illustrates many advances that have taken place in a number of areas in theoretical and applied econometrics over the past four decades.
Download or read book Proceedings of the 18th International Symposium on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate written by Donglang Yang and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-05-21 with total page 700 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Chinese Research Institute of Construction Management (CRIOCM) in collaboration with Xi'an Jiaotong University proudly invites all academics, researchers and professionals to participate in the CRIOCM 2013, the 18th International Symposium on "Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate". We will uphold and preserve the idea and tradition of pragmatism and innovation, to offer an excellent academic and communication platform for academics and professionals to exchange information on the latest developments in real estate and construction management.
Download or read book U S Housing Market Volatility written by Xibin Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first chapter considers the determinants of U.S. housing market volatility. With volatility defined as the sample variance of home value monthly returns during a given quarter, a model of volatility from equilibrium in the housing market is derived. Supply and demand effects on housing return volatility for the U.S. as a whole and for a panel of 16 cities are tested, during the period 1985:1-2009:4. There are some statistically significant links between volatility and fundamentals, but significance generally plummets when fundamentals are allowed to be endogenous. These results are consistent with time plots, which show no clear historical link between housing return volatility and basic market factors. This enigma may be due to data limitations and/or short-run disequilibrium in home prices. In Chapter 2, GARCH(1,1) model family are utilized to describe dynamics of U.S. national and metropolitan housing market volatilities ranging from the first month of 1985 to the last month of 2009. ARCH effects of housing return exist in U.S. national and 15 MSA markets. Housing return volatility positively influences housing return in some MSAs and negatively in some other MSAs. The last chapter discusses the housing return volatility spillovers across U.S. metropolitan markets. House return volatilities in 15 MSAs ranging from the first month of 1985 to the last month of 2009 are estimated by the standard GARCH(1,1) model. The results of the vector error correction model and the vector autoregressive models show that there are unidirectional and bidirectional housing return volatility spillover effects among not only contiguous MSAs but also noncontiguous MSAs. More volatility spillovers happen among the MSAs that share the same economic characters. The long-run housing return volatility convergence exists in U.S. market.
Download or read book The Spatial Diffusion of Regional Housing Prices Across US States written by Ryan R. Brady and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Global House Price Fluctuations written by Mr.Hideaki Hirata and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-02-06 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the properties of house price fluctuations across 18 advanced economies over the past 40 years. We ask two specific questions: First, how synchronized are housing cycles across these countries? Second, what are the main shocks driving movements in global house prices? To address these questions, we first estimate the global components in house prices and various macroeconomic and financial variables. We then evaluate the roles played by a variety of global shocks, including shocks to interest rates, monetary policy, productivity, credit, and uncertainty, in explaining house price fluctuations using a wide range of FAVAR models. We find that house prices are synchronized across countries, and the degree of synchronization has increased over time. Global interest rate shocks tend to have a significant negative effect on global house prices whereas global monetary policy shocks per se do not appear to have a sizeable impact. Interestingly, uncertainty shocks seem to be important in explaining fluctuations in global house prices.
Download or read book Housing Market Spillovers written by David H. Autor and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding potential spillovers from the attributes and actions of neighborhood residents onto the value of surrounding properties and neighborhoods is central to both the theory of urban economics and the development of efficient housing policy. This paper measures the capitalization of housing market spillovers by studying the sudden and largely unanticipated 1995 elimination of stringent rent controls in Cambridge, Massachusetts that had previously muted landlords' investment incentives and altered the assignment of residents to locations. Pooling administrative data on the assessed values of each residential property and the prices and characteristics of all residential transactions between 1988 and 2005, we find that rent control's removal produced large, positive, and robust spillovers onto the price of never-controlled housing from nearby decontrolled units. Elimination of rent control added about $1.8 billion to the value of Cambridge's housing stock between 1994 and 2004, equal to nearly a quarter of total Cambridge residential price appreciation in this period. Positive spillovers to never-controlled properties account for more half of the induced price appreciation. Residential investments can explain only a small fraction of the total. Keywords: Urban Economics, Residential Externalities, Rent Control, Price Regulations. JEL Classification: D61, H23, R23, R31, R32, R38.
Download or read book Housing Market Spillovers written by Matteo Iacoviello and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The GVAR Handbook written by Filippo di Mauro and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2013-02-28 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The GVAR is a global Vector autoregression model of the global economy. The model was initially developed in the early 2000 by Professor Pesaran and co-authors, for the main purpose of analysing credit risk in a globalised economy. Starting from mid-2000 the model was substantially enlarged in the context of a project financed by the ECB, to comprise all major economies and the Euro area as a whole. The purpose of this version was to exploit the rich modelisation of international linkages in order to simulate and analyse global macro scenarios of high policy interest. The rich, yet manageable, specification of international linkages has stimulated a vast literature on the GVAR. Since early 2011, the basic model - and its data base - has also available on a dedicated GVAR-Toolbox website with an easy-to-use interface allowing practical applications by an extended audience, as well as more complex analysis by the expert public. The book provides an overview of the extensions and applications of the GVAR which have been developed in recent years. Such applications are grouped in three main categories: 1) International transmission and forecasting; 2) Finance applications; and 3) Regional applications. By using a language which is accessible to not econometricians, the book reaches out to the extended audience of practitioners and policy makers interested in understanding channels and impacts of international linkages.
Download or read book Hot Property written by Rob Nijskens and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-06-14 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book discusses booming housing markets in cities around the globe, and the resulting challenges for policymakers and central banks. Cities are booming everywhere, leading to a growing demand for urban housing. In many cities this demand is out-pacing supply, which causes house prices to soar and increases the pressure on rental markets. These developments are posing major challenges for policymakers, central banks and other authorities responsible for ensuring financial stability, and economic well-being in general.This volume collects views from high-level policymakers and researchers, providing essential insights into these challenges, their impact on society, the economy and financial stability, and possible policy responses. The respective chapters address issues such as the popularity of cities, the question of a credit-fueled housing bubble, the role of housing supply frictions and potential policy solutions. Given its scope, the book offers a revealing read and valuable guide for everyone involved in practical policymaking for housing markets, mortgage credit and financial stability.
Download or read book Journal of Housing Research written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 1430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Global Liquidity House Prices and the Macroeconomy written by Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-29 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we first compare house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using a new quarterly house price data set covering the period 1990-2012. We find that house prices in emerging economies grow faster, are more volatile, less persistent and less synchronized across countries than in advanced economies. We also find that they correlate with capital flows more closely than in advanced economies. We then condition the analysis on an exogenous change to a particular component of capital flows. We find that a global liquidity shock, identified by aggregating bank-to-bank cross border flows and by using the external instrumental variable approach of Stock and Watson (2012) and Mertens and Ravn (2013), has a much stronger impact on house prices and consumption in emerging markets than in advanced economies. In our empirical model, holding house prices or the exchange rate constant in response to this shock tends to dampen its effects on consumption in emerging economies.
Download or read book The Role of Price Spillovers in the American Housing Boom written by Anthony DeFusco and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the striking features of the last U.S. housing boom was the heterogeneity in the timing of its onset across local markets. In this paper, we exploit this heterogeneity to estimate the extent to which the boom was spread via spatial spillovers from one market to another. Our analysis focuses on spillovers that occur around the time that a local market enters its boom, which we identify using sharp structural breaks in house price growth rates. On the extensive margin, there is evidence that the likelihood of a market booming increases substantially if nearby neighbors boom. On the intensive margin, we also find statistically significant but economically modest effects of the size of a neighbor's boom on subsequent price growth in nearby markets. These affects appear to be unrelated to local market fundamentals, suggesting a potential role for non-rational factors.
