Download or read book Real Exchange Rates and Foreign Portfolio Investment written by Patrick Roll Bloom and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chapter 1 uses real interest rates to show that the long-term real exchange rate and a risk premium are more volatile than the nominal exchange rate for four developing countries. Chapter 2 finds country-level effects of foreign portfolio investment in 18 developing countries and proposes a channel for real exchange rate volatility driven by foreign portfolio investment. Chapter 3 shows that there are plant-level productivity gains in Chile from small levels and small increases in foreign ownership typical of portfolio investment. Nominal exchange rate changes can be decomposed into inflation differentials and real components, each having different causes and consequences. Although we have explanations for each component, the relative importance of the long-run real exchange rate has previously not been quantified. Chapter 1 uses inflation-linked bond data for Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Turkey to quantify the contribution of those components to exchange rate changes against the United States. We find that the long-term expected real exchange rate plus its risk premium is even more volatile than the nominal exchange rate. Volatility and unforecastability of real exchange rates is a fundamental puzzle of international economics, and these features are even more pronounced in developing countries. In chapter 2, we present a new fact, that inward portfolio investment in equities predicts the extensive margin of imports in 18 developing countries. With this we build a purely real model in which foreign investors finance new intermediate inputs and increase productivity in the tradeable goods sector. We express the Balassa-Samuelson determined real exchange rate as a function of foreign investment. We use the established fact that investors in developed countries exhibit positive feedback or operate under portfolio constraints and show how therefore the real exchange rate reacts positively to equity prices. We test and confirm the prediction of the model that equity portfolio investment predicts exchange rates at quarterly frequencies. We also confirm that the extensive margin of imports comoves with the real exchange rate at annual frequencies, and do not reject that equity portfolio investment acts through this channel only. In chapter 3, we measure the effect of foreign ownership on the productivity of Chilean manufacturers between 1998 and 2001. Total factor productivity is measured at the plant level using multiple alternative methods. Both the level of foreign ownership and increases in foreign ownership are significant predictors of productivity. These effects remain when restricting the sample to plants with low foreign ownership and small changes in foreign ownership, showing the importance of foreign portfolio investment on productivity. A non-parametric fit suggests that low levels of foreign ownership are as significant as larger stakes. When controlling for endogeneity in the foreign investment decision by instrumenting with total developed countries' portfolio outflows the positive effects on productivity remain. Finally we show that foreign ownership predicts that firms source more of their intermediate inputs from abroad.

Download or read book Capital Flows Exchange Rate Flexibility and the Real Exchange Rate written by Mr.Tidiane Kinda and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-01-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the impact of capital inflows and exchange rate flexibility on the real exchange rate in developing countries based on panel cointegration techniques. The results show that public and private flows are associated with a real exchange rate appreciation. Among private flows, portfolio investment has the highest appreciation effect-almost seven times that of foreign direct investment or bank loans-and private transfers have the lowest effect. Using a de facto measure of exchange rate flexibility, we find that a more flexible exchange rate helps to dampen appreciation of the real exchange rate stemming from capital inflows.

Download or read book Portfolio Inflows and Real Effective Exchange Rates written by Rasmané Ouedraogo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-22 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It has been well-established in the literature that portfolio inflows appreciate the real effective exchange rate. However, the literature lacks a systematic empirical analysis of the impact of portfolio inflows by institutional sector or borrower type. This paper fills this gap by exploring the impact of the inflows of portfolio capital into three institutional sectors (government, banks and corporates) on the real effective exchange rate. Using a large sample of 73 countries, it shows that the effect of portfolio inflows on the real effective exchange rate depends on the sector the investment flows in. The findings are robust to different econometric methods, additional variables in the model, and various indicators of real effective exchange rates.

Download or read book The Economics of Foreign Exchange and Global Finance written by Peijie Wang and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book presents all major subjects in international monetary theory, foreign exchange markets, international financial management and investment analysis. The book is relevant to real world problems in the sense that it provides guidance on how to solve policy issues as well as practical management tasks. This in turn helps the reader to gain an understanding of the theory and refines the framework. Various topics are interlinked so the book adopts a systematic treatment of integrated materials relating different theories under various circumstances and combining theory with practice. The text examines issues in international monetary policy and financial management in a practical way, focusing on the identification of the factors and players in foreign exchange markets and the international finance arena. The book can be used in graduate and advanced undergraduate programmes in international or global finance, international monetary economics, and international financial management.

Download or read book The Impact of Capital and Foreign Exchange Flowson the Competitiveness of Developing Countries written by Mr.Bassem Kamar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Attracting capital and foreign exchange flows is crucial for developing countries. Yet, these flows could lead to real exchange rate appreciation and may thus have detrimental effects on competitiveness, jeopardizing exports and growth. This paper investigates this dilemma by comparing the impact of six types of capital and foreign exchange flows on real exchange rate behavior in a sample of 57 developing countries covering Africa, Europe, Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. The results reveal that portfolio investments, foreign borrowing, aid, and income lead to real exchange rate appreciation, while remittances have disparate effects across regions. Foreign direct investments have no effect on the real exchange rate, contributing to resolve the above dilemma.

Download or read book Exchange Rates Capital Flows and Monetary Policy in a Changing World Economy written by William C. Gruben and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dramatic growth of international capital flow has provided unprecedented opportunities and risks in emerging markets. This book is the result of a conference exploring this phenomenon, sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The issues explored include direct versus portfolio investment; exchange rates and economic growth; and optimal exchange rate policy for stabilizing inflation in developing countries. It concludes with a panel discussion on central bank coordination in the midst of exchange rate instability.

Download or read book The Real Exchange Rate and Foreign Direct Investment in the United States written by Michael W. Klein and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There has been a significant correlation between United States inward foreign direct investment and the United States real exchange rate since the 1970s. Two alternative reasons for this relationship are that the real exchange rate affects the relative cost of labor and that the real exchange rate alters relative wealth across countries. In this paper we explore these alternatives by examining the determinants of four measures of inward foreign direct investment to the United States from seven industrial countries over the period 1979 to 1991. We find strong evidence that relative wealth significantly affects U.S. inward foreign direct investment. We find no evidence that relative wages have a significant impact on the determination of U.S. foreign direct investment. These results are robust to the choice of countries in our sample and when controlling for changes in tax codes.

Download or read book The Impact of Capital and Foreign Exchange Flowson the Competitiveness of Developing Countries written by Bassem Kamar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Attracting capital and foreign exchange flows is crucial for developing countries. Yet, these flows could lead to real exchange rate appreciation and may thus have detrimental effects on competitiveness, jeopardizing exports and growth. This paper investigates this dilemma by comparing the impact of six types of capital and foreign exchange flows on real exchange rate behavior in a sample of 57 developing countries covering Africa, Europe, Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. The results reveal that portfolio investments, foreign borrowing, aid, and income lead to real exchange rate appreciation, while remittances have disparate effects across regions. Foreign direct investments have no effect on the real exchange rate, contributing to resolve the above dilemma.

Download or read book Cyclical Fluctuations in Brazil s Real Exchange Rate written by Mr.Carlos I. Medeiros and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-10-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the effects of capital inflows and domestic factors on Brazil’s real exchange rate. It describes the analytical framework, and then estimates a near-VAR model linking capital flows, interest rate differentials, government spending, money-base velocity, and the temporary component of the real exchange rate (TCRER). Generalized variance decompositions indicate that world interest rate shocks largely explain medium-term fluctuations in capital flows and the TCRER. Generalized impulse response functions show that a reduction in the world interest rate (and, to a lesser extent, an increase in government spending) have significant effects on the TCRER and capital flows.

Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in Developing Countries written by Luis Servén and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2002 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Serven examines empirically the link between real exchange rate uncertainty and private investment in developing countries using a large cross country-time series data set. He builds a GARCH-based measure of real exchange rate volatility and finds that it has a strong negative impact on investment, after controlling for other standard investment determinants and taking into account their potential endogeneity. The impact of uncertainty is not uniform, however. There is some evidence of threshold effects, so that uncertainty only matters when it exceeds some critical level. In addition, the negative impact of real exchange rate uncertainty on investment is significantly larger in economies that are highly open and in those with less developed financial systems.

Download or read book Stock Markets and the Real Exchange Rate written by Benoît Mercereau and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper presents an N-country model with stock markets, in which a closed-form solution for the real exchange rate is derived. Risky asset prices and allocation of risky assets among countries are determined endogenously. Such a framework allows an analysis of how fundamental parameters, such as the variance and covariance of the risky assets or demographic variables, affect the real exchange rate. The predictions of the model are contrasted with the Balassa-Samuelson effect. A new transmission channel of the real exchange rate for parameters such as income on net foreign assets, risk aversion, and risk-hedging opportunities is also explored.

Download or read book Capital Flows and Long Term Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Chile written by Ibrahim Elbadawi and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1994 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment written by Kenneth Froot and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the connection between exchange rates and foreign direct investment that arises when globally integrated capital markets are subject to informational imperfections. These imperfections cause external financing to be more expensive than internal financing, so that changes in wealth translate into changes in the demand for direct investment. By systematically lowering the relative wealth of domestic agents, a depreciation of the domestic currency can lead to foreign acquisitions of certain domestic assets. we develop a simple model of this phenomenon and test for its relevance in determining international capital flows.

Download or read book Exchange Rates and Corporate Performance written by Yakov Amihud and published by Beard Books. This book was released on 2003 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a reprint of a previously published book. It consists of a series of papers by experts in the field on how the exchange rate volatility of the 1980s affected the financial policies of international firms.

Download or read book Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates written by Jerome L. Stein and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1997 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book greatly enhances our understanding of the behavior of real exchange rates. It provides an elegant model based on a solid theoretical foundation that links real exchange rates to their fundamental economic determinants and takes proper account of stock and flow considerations. The authors provide a masterful account of how changes in productivity and thrift affect the real exchange rate, and show that the long-run impact depends crucially on whether the change reflects the former fundamental (investment) or the latter (consumption). The empirical implementation uses state-of-the-art cointegration and error correction methodologies that are eminently well suited to capture the short-run adjustment of the real exchange rate to its medium- to long-run equilibrium value. The empirical results are extremely encouraging, as the economic fundamentals identified by the authors can explain a substantial part of the movement in the real exchange rate of a number of countries."--Peter Clark, International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment in Emerging Asia written by Ramkishen S Rajan and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-03-01 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the rapid growth of China and India and the resurgence of Southeast Asia post-1997–8, emerging Asia has once again become one of the most dynamic regions in the world. This dynamism has in turn been fuelled largely by a carefully calibrated embracement of economic openness to international trade, investments and capital flows. While much has been written about international trade, there has been somewhat less work on the issue of capital flows, macroeconomic management and foreign direct investment (FDI) to and from the region, a gap that this book attempts to fill. The book is divided into two parts. The first part deals with selected issues pertaining to macroeconomic management in small and open economies, with particular focus on exchange rates. The second part of the book deals with the trends and determinants of FDI in emerging Asia, its importance as a source of finance, its impact on growth and development, and the nexus between FDI and foreign portfolio flows (FPI). Overall, the chapters in this book tackle important policy issues of contemporary relevance, but are informed by analytical frameworks, data and empirics. While each of the topic areas chosen in individual chapters is intentionally narrow, the book as a whole covers a number of areas and countries/regions within Asia (i.e. East, Southeast and South Asia). While the chapters have been written in a manner that can stand up to academic scrutiny, they are also meant to be accessible to policy makers, researchers and others who might be interested in FDI and related issues in Asia.

Download or read book Why are Countries Asset Portfolios Exposed to Nominal Exchange Rates written by Jonathan J. Adams and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-12-22 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most countries hold large gross asset positions, lending in domestic currency and borrowing in foreign. Thus, their balance sheets are exposed to nominal exchange rates. We argue that when asset markets are incomplete, nominal exchange rate exposure allows countries to partially insure against shocks that move real exchange rates. We demonstrate that asset market incompleteness can simultaneously generate realistic gross asset positions and resolve the Backus-Smith puzzle: that relative consumptions and real exchange rates correlate negatively. We also show that local perturbation methods that use stabilizing endogenous discount factors are inaccurate when average and steady state interest rates differ. To address this, we develop a novel global solution method to accurately solve the model.