Download or read book Public Hurricane Loss Prediction Model written by Liang Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Florida Public Hurricane Loss Projection Model written by Joshua Murphree and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 684 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Improvements to the Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model Including a Comparison of ASCE 7 05 to ASCE 7 10 written by Steven Andrew Bell and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model is a catastrophe model commissioned by the State of Florida with the primary purpose of predicting insured losses of residential buildings due to hurricanes. The model has been in a state of ongoing development since 2001, and is contributed to by several universities around the state of Florida. The model is comprised of three main components. The Meteorological Component predicts and models hurricane behavior. The Vulnerability Component predicts and models building damage given specific wind conditions. Lastly, the Actuarial Component takes data from the other two to predict and analyze economic losses. This paper presents several updates to the Vulnerability Component of the model. First, a more realistic cost analysis is presented, created based on information gathered from actual building contractors as well as RS Means. The new cost analysis includes updates such as unit costs that scale with repair size, considerations for actual roof repair methodology, and various other factors specific to the particular building requirements and market conditions of Florida. Second, an analysis of Contents (as well as ALE) vs. Building damage curves (aka Type 2 curves), which allow the Vulnerability Component of the model to be validated independently of the Meteorological Component, is presented. A procedure for their use in model validation is also given, along with a brief sample validation which illustrates the usefulness of the Type 2 curves in uncovering hidden issues with the model. Finally, a brief study analyzing the effects of the changes made to the wind provisions of ASCE 7-10 is presented. The study shows that the changes implemented in ASCE 7-10 will have little effect, in the case of low-rise, personal residential buildings, on actual building practices in the state of Florida.
Download or read book Revision to the Personal Residential Component of the Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model written by Timothy James Johnson and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 492 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Florida Public Hurricane Loss Projection Model written by Arnoldo A. Artiles and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Hurricane Climatology written by James B. Elsner and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2013-03-28 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hurricane Climatology explains how to analyze and model hurricane data to better understand and predict present and future hurricane activity
Download or read book Optimizing the Selection of Hazard consistent Probabilistic Scenarios for Long term Regional Hurricane Loss Estimation written by Meredith Robin Nelson and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book OPPAGA written by Florida. Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A GIS Model to Rapidly Predict Probability of Hurricane Damage written by Ryan Christopher Vaughan and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emergency managers are faced with the challenge of acting quickly after a hurricane but rarely have detailed information available about type and amount of damage. In response to this need, linear additive geospatial models based on logistic regression analyses of driving variables including wind, rain, surge, topography were developed and automation routines programmed that rapidly and accurately predict a variety of damage types. Since a preponderance of damage is associated with falling trees, over 2000 post-Katrina forested plots were used to fit and validate independent models for hardwood blowdown and pine shear. Additional models using peak wind gusts and maximum sustained winds respectively were fully automated. Most importantly, total model run time was decreased from 36 to 5 hours for the more complicated forest damage models. The models have been vetted by the Mississippi Emergency Management Agency (MEMA) and will be part of MEMA's hurricane action response plans.
Download or read book Interior Damage Prediction in Residential Buildings Due to Hurricane Induced Rain Penetration written by Timothy James Johnson and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Catastrophe modelers are responsible for estimating and predicting expected physical and monetary building losses under extreme uncertainty. In the case of hurricanes, interior damage might represent the majority of the repair bill so accurate estimates of the interior damage are paramount to a reliable predictive model. Recent studies have shown that wind-driven rain (WDR) is the predominant source of interior related losses even in the absence of visible exterior physical damage. Significant strides have been made in quantifying the external WDR deposition characteristics during hurricane events, and in identifying sources of WDR intrusion through the building envelope. Recent laboratory tests have measured the so-called rain admittance factor (which quantifies the direct impinging rain) and surface runoff coefficients (which quantify the rain surface run-oft) on buildings subjected to hurricane winds and rain. In addition, post-disaster reconnaissance surveys, following hurricanes landfalls in Florida, have shown that soffits are an important source of water penetration, which is not always specifically taken into account in current vulnerability models. Follow-up laboratory tests have measured the amount of the water penetrating through certain types of soffits. These issues of water intrusion are compounded by the fact that a hurricane rotates around any particular building. Therefore the amount of horizontal rain exposure and penetration on any particular facade or component of the building envelope will vary in time as the storm rotates, while the components go from windward to leeward exposure or vice-versa. This dissertation addresses these issues. First, a new vulnerability model for the soffit incorporates experimental data on soffit rain penetration. Second, a new method captures the effect of the storm rotation on the rain deposition and penetration, which is essentially time dependent, into an existing vulnerability model, which simulates both pressure and debris induced envelope breaches but without an explicit time component. Third, a new interior vulnerability model incorporates the new experimental data on building envelope rain deposition and surface runoff. The model succeeds in evaluating the total volume of water penetration though both defects and breaches of the envelope (including soffits), which is then transformed into interior damage. Several implementation strategies were investigated, and the final version was incorporated into version 6.1 of the Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model. This work emphasizes the critical role WDR plays in interior damage as well as provides insights into future mitigation strategies with regard to WDR management.
Download or read book Predicting the Vulnerability of Typical Commercial and Single Family Residential Buildings to Hurricane Damage written by Johann Everton Weekes and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hurricane impacts have caused significant damage to residential and commercial structures, producing billions of dollars in insured losses. Numerical models are widely used by insurance companies in the prediction of loss cost. Several such loss projection models have been developed by private industry, and the State of Florida sponsored development of a non-proprietary hurricane loss model, known as the Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model (FPHLM). This model resulted from a multi-university effort to quantify the damages and cost of repairs for structures that have been subjected to hurricane force winds. The original FPHLM focused on single-family residential housing. The model is now extended to cover commercial-residential buildings ranging from multi-story apartments to the high rise condominiums typically found lining the beaches of South Florida. This paper proposal focuses on the development of the exterior vulnerability component of the commercial-residential model, and provides a description of the strategies to probabilistically quantify physical exterior damage for two models: low-rise and mid/high rise commercial-residential structures.
Download or read book Hurricane Alicia prediction Damage and Recovery Efforts written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Technology. Subcommittee on Natural Resources, Agriculture Research, and Environment and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Hurricane Prediction with a High Resolution Global Model written by Tiruvalam Natarajan Krishnamurti and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Reducing Disaster Losses Through Better Information written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1999-01-22 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Losses of life and property from natural disasters in the United States-and throughout the world-have been enormous and the potential for substantially greater future losses looms. It is clearly in the public interest to reduce these impacts and to encourage the development of communities that are resilient to disasters. This goal can be achieved through wise and sustained efforts involving mitigation, preparedness, response, and recovery. Implementing such efforts, particularly in the face of limited resources and competing priorities, requires accurate information that is presented in a timely and appropriate manner to facilitate informed decisions. Substantial information already exists that could be used to this end, but there are numerous obstacles to accessing this information, and methods for integrating information from a variety of sources for decision-making are presently inadequate. Implementation of an improved national or international network for making better information available in a more timely manner could substantially improve the situation. As noted in the Preface, a federal transition team is considering the issues and needs associated with implementing a global or national disaster information network as described in the report by the Disaster Information Task Force (1997). This National Research Council report was commissioned by the transition team to provide advice on how a disaster information network could best make information available to improve decision making, with the ultimate goal of reducing losses from natural disasters. The report is intended to provide the basis for a better appreciation of which types of data and information should be generated in an information program and how this information could best be disseminated to decision makers.
Download or read book Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology written by Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology written by Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book 2006 Hurricane Forecast and At risk Cities written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation. Subcommittee on Disaster Prevention and Prediction and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
