Download or read book Probability Econometrics and Truth written by Hugo A. Keuzenkamp and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-11-02 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When John Maynard Keynes likened Jan Tinbergen's early work in econometrics to black magic and alchemy, he was expressing a widely held view of a new discipline. However, even after half a century of practical work and theorizing by some of the most accomplished social scientists, Keynes' comments are still repeated today. This book assesses the foundations and development of econometrics and sets out a basis for the reconstruction of the foundations of econometric inference by examining the various interpretations of probability theory which underlie econometrics. Keuzenkamp claims that the probabilistic foundations of econometrics are weak, and although econometric inferences may yield interesting knowledge, claims to be able to falsify or verify economic theories are unwarranted. Methodological falsificationism in econometrics is an illusion. Instead, it is argued, econometrics should locate itself in the tradition of positivism.
Download or read book History and Methodology of Econometrics written by Neil De Marchi and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1989 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past decade has seen a lively debate on the methodology of econometrics: econometricians can now estimate almost any model they choose to specify, but many have expressed doubts about the practical usefulness and scientific validity of such models. In this volume, prominent historians of econometrics work with methodologists and practicing econometricians to illuminate current controversies and explain the origins of the present situation.
Download or read book The Probability Approach in Econometrics written by Trygve Haavelmo and published by . This book was released on 1944 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Probability econometrics and truth a treatise on the foundations of econometric inference written by Hugo Albert Keuzenkamp and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Econometric Model Selection written by Antonio Aznar Grasa and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes a new methodology for the selection of one (model) from among a set of alternative econometric models. Let us recall that a model is an abstract representation of reality which brings out what is relevant to a particular economic issue. An econometric model is also an analytical characterization of the joint probability distribution of some random variables of interest, which yields some information on how the actual economy works. This information will be useful only if it is accurate and precise; that is, the information must be far from ambiguous and close to what we observe in the real world Thus, model selection should be performed on the basis of statistics which summarize the degree of accuracy and precision of each model. A model is accurate if it predicts right; it is precise if it produces tight confidence intervals. A first general approach to model selection includes those procedures based on both characteristics, precision and accuracy. A particularly interesting example of this approach is that of Hildebrand, Laing and Rosenthal (1980). See also Hendry and Richard (1982). A second general approach includes those procedures that use only one of the two dimensions to discriminate among models. In general, most of the tests we are going to examine correspond to this category.
Download or read book Intermediate Statistics and Econometrics written by Dale J. Poirier and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1995 with total page 744 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard introductory texts to mathematical statistics leave the Bayesian approach to be taught later in advanced topics courses-giving students the impression that Bayesian statistics provide but a few techniques appropriate in only special circumstances. Nothing could be further from the truth, argues Dale Poirier, who has developed a course for teaching comparatively both the classical and the Bayesian approaches to econometrics. Poirier's text provides a thoroughly modern, self-contained, comprehensive, and accessible treatment of the probability and statistical foundations of econometrics with special emphasis on the linear regression model. Written primarily for advanced undergraduate and graduate students who are pursuing research careers in economics, Intermediate Statistics and Econometrics offers a broad perspective, bringing together a great deal of diverse material. Its comparative approach, emphasis on regression and prediction, and numerous exercises and references provide a solid foundation for subsequent courses in econometrics and will prove a valuable resource to many nonspecialists who want to update their quantitative skills. The introduction closes with an example of a real-world data set-the Challengerspace shuttle disaster-that motivates much of the text's theoretical discussion. The ten chapters that follow cover basic concepts, special distributions, distributions of functions of random variables, sampling theory, estimation, hypothesis testing, prediction, and the linear regression model. Appendixes contain a review of matrix algebra, computation, and statistical tables.
Download or read book Statistical Methods of Econometrics written by Edmond Malinvaud and published by North-Holland. This book was released on 1970 with total page 772 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Philosophy of Economics written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2012-04-23 with total page 929 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part of the Handbook of the Philosophy of Science Series edited by: Dov M. Gabbay King's College, London, UK;Paul Thagard University of Waterloo, Canada; and John Woods University of British Columbia, Canada. Philosophy of Economics investigates the foundational concepts and methods of economics, the social science that analyzes the production, distribution and consumption of goods and services. This groundbreaking collection, the most thorough treatment of the philosophy of economics ever published, brings together philosophers, scientists and historians to map out the central topics in the field. The articles are divided into two groups. Chapters in the first group deal with various philosophical issues characteristic of economics in general, including realism and Lakatos, explanation and testing, modeling and mathematics, political ideology and feminist epistemology. Chapters in the second group discuss particular methods, theories and branches of economics, including forecasting and measurement, econometrics and experimentation, rational choice and agency issues, game theory and social choice, behavioral economics and public choice, geographical economics and evolutionary economics, and finally the economics of scientific knowledge. This volume serves as a detailed introduction for those new to the field as well as a rich source of new insights and potential research agendas for those already engaged with the philosophy of economics. - Provides a bridge between philosophy and current scientific findings - Encourages multi-disciplinary dialogue - Covers theory and applications
Download or read book The Philosophy of Causality in Economics written by Mariusz Maziarz and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-05-13 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Approximately one in six top economic research papers draws an explicitly causal conclusion. But what do economists mean when they conclude that A ‘causes’ B? Does ‘cause’ say that we can influence B by intervening on A, or is it only a label for the correlation of variables? Do quantitative analyses of observational data followed by such causal inferences constitute sufficient grounds for guiding economic policymaking? The Philosophy of Causality in Economics addresses these questions by analyzing the meaning of causal claims made by economists and the philosophical presuppositions underlying the research methods used. The book considers five key causal approaches: the regularity approach, probabilistic theories, counterfactual theories, mechanisms, and interventions and manipulability. Each chapter opens with a summary of literature on the relevant approach and discusses its reception among economists. The text details case studies, and goes on to examine papers which have adopted the approach in order to highlight the methods of causal inference used in contemporary economics. It analyzes the meaning of the causal claim put forward, and finally reconstructs the philosophical presuppositions accepted implicitly by economists. The strengths and limitations of each method of causal inference are also considered in the context of using the results as evidence for policymaking. This book is essential reading to those interested in literature on the philosophy of economics, as well as the philosophy of causality and economic methodology in general.
Download or read book Corrupt Research written by Raymond Hubbard and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2015-07-01 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Addressing the immensely important topic of research credibility, Raymond Hubbard’s groundbreaking Corrupt Research proposes that we must treat such information with a healthy dose of skepticism. This book argues that the dominant model of knowledge procurement subscribed to in these areas—the significant difference paradigm—is philosophically suspect, methodologically impaired, and statistically broken. Hubbard introduces a more accurate, alternative framework—the significant sameness paradigm—for developing scientific knowledge. The majority of the book comprises a head-to-head comparison of the “significant difference” versus “significant sameness” conceptions of science across philosophical, methodological, and statistical perspectives.
Download or read book Computational Methods in Statistics and Econometrics written by Hisashi Tanizaki and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2004-01-21 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reflecting current technological capacities and analytical trends, Computational Methods in Statistics and Econometrics showcases Monte Carlo and nonparametric statistical methods for models, simulations, analyses, and interpretations of statistical and econometric data. The author explores applications of Monte Carlo methods in Bayesian estimation, state space modeling, and bias correction of ordinary least squares in autoregressive models. The book offers straightforward explanations of mathematical concepts, hundreds of figures and tables, and a range of empirical examples. A CD-ROM packaged with the book contains all of the source codes used in the text.
Download or read book Probability and Statistics for Economists written by Bruce Hansen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2022-06-28 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and up-to-date introduction to the mathematics that all economics students need to know Probability theory is the quantitative language used to handle uncertainty and is the foundation of modern statistics. Probability and Statistics for Economists provides graduate and PhD students with an essential introduction to mathematical probability and statistical theory, which are the basis of the methods used in econometrics. This incisive textbook teaches fundamental concepts, emphasizes modern, real-world applications, and gives students an intuitive understanding of the mathematics that every economist needs to know. Covers probability and statistics with mathematical rigor while emphasizing intuitive explanations that are accessible to economics students of all backgrounds Discusses random variables, parametric and multivariate distributions, sampling, the law of large numbers, central limit theory, maximum likelihood estimation, numerical optimization, hypothesis testing, and more Features hundreds of exercises that enable students to learn by doing Includes an in-depth appendix summarizing important mathematical results as well as a wealth of real-world examples Can serve as a core textbook for a first-semester PhD course in econometrics and as a companion book to Bruce E. Hansen’s Econometrics Also an invaluable reference for researchers and practitioners
Download or read book An Information Theoretic Approach to Econometrics written by George G. Judge and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-12-12 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is intended to provide the reader with a firm conceptual and empirical understanding of basic information-theoretic econometric models and methods. Because most data are observational, practitioners work with indirect noisy observations and ill-posed econometric models in the form of stochastic inverse problems. Consequently, traditional econometric methods in many cases are not applicable for answering many of the quantitative questions that analysts wish to ask. After initial chapters deal with parametric and semiparametric linear probability models, the focus turns to solving nonparametric stochastic inverse problems. In succeeding chapters, a family of power divergence measure-likelihood functions are introduced for a range of traditional and nontraditional econometric-model problems. Finally, within either an empirical maximum likelihood or loss context, Ron C. Mittelhammer and George G. Judge suggest a basis for choosing a member of the divergence family.
Download or read book The Limits of Econometrics written by A. C. Darnell and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1990 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Econometric issues have provoked a lively and sometimes adversarial debate in the economics profession. The excitement and intellectual vitality of that debate is captured here for the reader in a lucid overview of econometric approaches, describing their advantages and limitations. This ambitious book focuses on the underlying methodological issues rather than concentrating upon econometric techniques. The limits of econometric investigations are identified through a critical appraisal of three different approaches associated with the work of Professors Hendry, Leamer and Sims. After explaining why the early optimism in econometrics was misplaced, it argues that rejection is not an appropriate response. It offers a rich spectrum of approaches to a problem of central importance in the development of modern economics. The book will appeal not only to all econometricians whatever their persuasion but also to all those with an interest in the methodology of economics.
Download or read book The History of Econometric Ideas written by Mary S. Morgan and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book illustrates how economists first learnt to harness statistical methods to measure and test the 'laws' of economics.
Download or read book Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data second edition written by Jeffrey M. Wooldridge and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2010-10-01 with total page 1095 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second edition of a comprehensive state-of-the-art graduate level text on microeconometric methods, substantially revised and updated. The second edition of this acclaimed graduate text provides a unified treatment of two methods used in contemporary econometric research, cross section and data panel methods. By focusing on assumptions that can be given behavioral content, the book maintains an appropriate level of rigor while emphasizing intuitive thinking. The analysis covers both linear and nonlinear models, including models with dynamics and/or individual heterogeneity. In addition to general estimation frameworks (particular methods of moments and maximum likelihood), specific linear and nonlinear methods are covered in detail, including probit and logit models and their multivariate, Tobit models, models for count data, censored and missing data schemes, causal (or treatment) effects, and duration analysis. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data was the first graduate econometrics text to focus on microeconomic data structures, allowing assumptions to be separated into population and sampling assumptions. This second edition has been substantially updated and revised. Improvements include a broader class of models for missing data problems; more detailed treatment of cluster problems, an important topic for empirical researchers; expanded discussion of "generalized instrumental variables" (GIV) estimation; new coverage (based on the author's own recent research) of inverse probability weighting; a more complete framework for estimating treatment effects with panel data, and a firmly established link between econometric approaches to nonlinear panel data and the "generalized estimating equation" literature popular in statistics and other fields. New attention is given to explaining when particular econometric methods can be applied; the goal is not only to tell readers what does work, but why certain "obvious" procedures do not. The numerous included exercises, both theoretical and computer-based, allow the reader to extend methods covered in the text and discover new insights.
Download or read book Statistics and Econometrics written by Orley Ashenfelter and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Every major econometric method is illustrated by a persuasive, real life example applied to real data. * Explores subjects such as sample design, which are critical to practical application econometrics.
