Download or read book Pricing of Gas Swing Options Using Monte Carlo Methods written by Andrea Klimešová and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the changing nature of the natural gas industry in the European Union driven by the liberalization process, we focus on pricing of gas swing options. These options are embedded in typical gas sales agreements in the form of offtake flexibility concerning volume and time. The gas swing option is actually a set of several American puts on a spread between prices of two or more energy commodities. This fact together with the fact that the energy markets are fundamentally different from traditional financial security markets is important for our choice of valuation technique. Due to the specific features of the energy markets, the existing analytic approximations for spread option pricing are hardly applicable to our framework. That is why we employ Monte Carlo methods to model the spot price dynamics of the underlying commodities. The price of an arbitrarily chosen gas swing option is then computed in accordance with the concept of risk-neutral expectations. Finally, our result is compared with the real payoff from the option realized at time of the option execution and the maximum ex-post payoff the buyer could generate in case he knew the future, discounting to the original time of the option pricing. -- energy markets ; gas sales agreement ; gas swing option ; Monte Carlo simulations ; spread option pricing

Download or read book Pricing of Swing Options written by Kai-Siong Leow and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the problem of pricing swing options, a class of multiple early exercise options that are traded in energy market, particularly in the electricity and natural gas markets. These contracts permit the option holder to periodically exercise the right to trade a variable amount of energy with a counterparty, subject to local volumetric constraints. In addition, the total amount of energy traded from settlement to expiration with the counterparty is restricted by a global volumetric constraint. Violation of this global volumetric constraint is allowed but would lead to penalty settled at expiration. The pricing problem is formulated as a stochastic optimal control problem in discrete time and state space. We present a stochastic dynamic programming algorithm which is based on piecewise linear concave approximation of value functions. This algorithm yields the value of the swing option under the assumption that the optimal exercise policy is applied by the option holder. We present a proof of an almost sure convergence that the algorithm generates the optimal exercise strategy as the number of iterations approaches to infinity. Finally, we provide a numerical example for pricing a natural gas swing call option.

Download or read book Option Pricing Using Monte Carlo Simulation written by Padriac Walsh and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Monte Carlo Valuation of Energy Options written by Wen-Yu Liao and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book A Monte Carlo Method for Pricing American Options written by Diego Garcia and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Commodities written by M. A. H. Dempster and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-12-09 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since a major source of income for many countries comes from exporting commodities, price discovery and information transmission between commodity futures markets are key issues for continued economic development. Commodities: Fundamental Theory of Futures, Forwards, and Derivatives Pricing, Second Edition covers the fundamental theory of and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets, as well as the interaction between commodity prices, the real economy, and other financial markets. After a thoroughly updated and extensive theoretical and practical introduction, this new edition of the book is divided into five parts – the fifth of which is entirely new material covering cutting-edge developments. Oil Products considers the structural changes in the demand and supply for hedging services that are increasingly determining the price of oil Other Commodities examines markets related to agricultural commodities, including natural gas, wine, soybeans, corn, gold, silver, copper, and other metals Commodity Prices and Financial Markets investigates the contemporary aspects of the financialization of commodities, including stocks, bonds, futures, currency markets, index products, and exchange traded funds Electricity Markets supplies an overview of the current and future modelling of electricity markets Contemporary Topics discuss rough volatility, order book trading, cryptocurrencies, text mining for price dynamics and flash crashes

Download or read book Option Pricing Using Monte Carlo Methods written by Junxiong Wang and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: This project is devoted primarily to the use of Monte Carlo methods to simulate stock prices in order to price European call options using control variates, and to the use of the binominal model to price American put options. At the end, we can use the information to form a portfolio position using an Interactive Brokers paper trading account. This project was done as a part of the masters capstone course Math 573: Computational Methods of Financial Mathematics.

Download or read book Application of the Least Squares Monte Carlo Technique to the Valuation of Gas Storage Assets and Swing Options written by Jim Redington and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Pricing American Options Using Monte Carlo Simulation written by Victoria Zhanna Averbukh and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Operating a Swing Option on Today s Gas Markets written by Marc Hanfeld and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate, if it pays off for a company to invest into complex swing option algorithms. We first introduce least squares Monte Carlo as a complex valuation algorithm and explain in detail how it works. Using a simulation study and two backtest scenarios we compare the output of this method with a simple myopic approach, and evaluate the results also from a business point of view. We find that myopic operation performs fairly well, but given a certain contract size and a certain contract flexibility, LSMC clearly prevails.

Download or read book Monte Carlo Methods for American Option Pricing written by Alberto Barola and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2014-05-21 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Monte Carlo approach has proved to be a valuable and flexible computational tool in modern finance. A number of Monte Carlo simulation-based methods have been developed within the past years to address the American option pricing problem. The aim of this book is to present and analyze three famous simulation algorithms for pricing American style derivatives: the stochastic tree; the stochastic mesh and the least squares method (LSM). The author first presents the mathematical descriptions underlying these numerical methods. Then the selected algorithms are tested on a common set of problems in order to assess the strengths and weaknesses of each approach as a function of the problem characteristics. The results are compared and discussed on the basis of estimates precision and computation time. Overall the simulation framework seems to work considerably well in valuing American style derivative securities. When multi-dimensional problems are considered, simulation based methods seem to be the best solution to estimate prices since the general numerical procedures of finite difference and binomial trees become impractical in these specific situations.

Download or read book Pricing European Options Using Monte Carlo Methods written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Monte Carlo Simulation and Option Pricing written by Kalina P. Natcheva and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Implementing Models in Quantitative Finance Methods and Cases written by Gianluca Fusai and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-20 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book puts numerical methods in action for the purpose of solving practical problems in quantitative finance. The first part develops a toolkit in numerical methods for finance. The second part proposes twenty self-contained cases covering model simulation, asset pricing and hedging, risk management, statistical estimation and model calibration. Each case develops a detailed solution to a concrete problem arising in applied financial management and guides the user towards a computer implementation. The appendices contain "crash courses" in VBA and Matlab programming languages.

Download or read book The Price is Right written by Kristen Anne Ehringer and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Pricing Swing Options within Stochastic Volatility Model by Least Square Monte Carlo written by and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Topics in Numerical Methods for Finance written by Mark Cummins and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-07-15 with total page 213 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presenting state-of-the-art methods in the area, the book begins with a presentation of weak discrete time approximations of jump-diffusion stochastic differential equations for derivatives pricing and risk measurement. Using a moving least squares reconstruction, a numerical approach is then developed that allows for the construction of arbitrage-free surfaces. Free boundary problems are considered next, with particular focus on stochastic impulse control problems that arise when the cost of control includes a fixed cost, common in financial applications. The text proceeds with the development of a fear index based on equity option surfaces, allowing for the measurement of overall fear levels in the market. The problem of American option pricing is considered next, applying simulation methods combined with regression techniques and discussing convergence properties. Changing focus to integral transform methods, a variety of option pricing problems are considered. The COS method is practically applied for the pricing of options under uncertain volatility, a method developed by the authors that relies on the dynamic programming principle and Fourier cosine series expansions. Efficient approximation methods are next developed for the application of the fast Fourier transform for option pricing under multifactor affine models with stochastic volatility and jumps. Following this, fast and accurate pricing techniques are showcased for the pricing of credit derivative contracts with discrete monitoring based on the Wiener-Hopf factorisation. With an energy theme, a recombining pentanomial lattice is developed for the pricing of gas swing contracts under regime switching dynamics. The book concludes with a linear and nonlinear review of the arbitrage-free parity theory for the CDS and bond markets.