Download or read book Price Volume Correlation in the Housing Market written by Jim Clayton and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Housing market cycles are featured by a positive correlation of prices and trading volume, which is conventionally attributed to a causal relationship between prices and volume. This paper analyzes the housing markets in 114 metropolitan statistical areas in the United States from 1990 to 2002, treats both prices and volume as endogenous variables, and studies whether and how exogenous shocks cause co-movements of prices and volume. At quarterly frequency, we find that, first, both home prices and trading volume are affected by conditions in labor markets, the mortgage market, and the stock market, and the effects differ between markets with low and high supply elasticity. Second, home prices Granger cause trading volume, but the effects are asymmetric - decreases in prices reduce trading volume, and increases in prices have no effect. Third, trading volume also Granger causes home prices, but only in markets with inelastic supply. Finally, we find a statistically significant positive price-volume correlation; which, however, is mainly explained by co-movements of prices and volume caused by exogenous shocks, instead of the Granger causality between prices and volume.

Download or read book What Drives the Property Price Trading Volume Correlation Evidence from a Commercial Real Estate Market written by Charles Ka Yui Leung and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The significant price-trading volume correlation found in the residential property market presents a challenge to the rational expectation hypothesis. Existing theories account for this fact with either capital market imperfection (down-payment effect or loss-aversion consideration) or imperfect information (search theoretic models). This paper employs data from a commercial real estate market, which face a different degree of severity of capital market constraint than the residential market, and thus provide an indirect but effective test for alternative theories. Policy implications are also discussed.

Download or read book Prices and Trading Volume in the Housing Market written by Jeremy C. Stein and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a simple model of trade in the housing market. The crucial feature is that a minimum downpayment is required for the purchase of a new home. The model has direct implications for the volatility of house prices, as well as for the correlation between prices and trading volume. The model can also be extended to address the correlation between prices and time-to-sale, as well as certain aspects of the cyclical behavior of housing starts.

Download or read book Global Housing Markets written by Ashok Bardhan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-10-27 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A global look at the reasons behind the recent economic collapse, and the responses to it The speculative bubble in the housing market began to burst in the United States in 2007, and has been followed by ruptures in virtually every asset market in almost every country in the world. Each country proposed a range of policy initiatives to deal with its crisis. Policies that focused upon stabilizing the housing market formed the cornerstone of many of these proposals. This internationally focused book evaluates the genesis of the housing market bubble, the global viral contagion of the crisis, and the policy initiatives undertaken in some of the major economies of the world to counteract its disastrous affects. Unlike other books on the global crisis, this guide deals with the housing sector in addition to the financial sector of individual economies. Countries in many parts of the world were players in either the financial bubble or the housing bubble, or both, but the degree of impact, outcome, and responses varied widely. This is an appropriate time to pull together the lessons from these various experiences. Reveals the housing crisis in the United States as the core of the meltdown Describes the evolution of housing markets and policies in the run-up to the crisis, their impacts, and the responses in European and Asian countries Compares experiences and linkages across countries and points to policy implications and research lessons drawn from these experiences Filled with the insights of well-known contributors with strong contacts in practice and academia, this timely guide discusses the history and evolution of the recent crisis as local to each contributor's part of the world, and examines its distinctive and common features with that of the U.S., the trajectory of its evolution, and the similarities and differences in policy response.

Download or read book House Price Indices written by Thomas G. Thibodeau and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1997-03-31 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains a special issue of the Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, comprising thirteen articles on house price measurement. These articles address the various procedures used to compute cross-sectional or temporal house price indices. Specifically, these articles contain research that: (1) evaluates hedonic, repeat sales, or hybrid approaches to constructing house price indices; (2) evaluates alternative sources of data on house prices and corresponding housing characteristics; (3) identifies the most influential land, structural, neighborhood, and proximity determinants of house prices (and associated changes in house prices); (4) provides a methodology for identifying housing market segments; (5) incorporates spatial autocorrelation in house price indices; and (6) provides more accurate estimates of the variance in house prices.

Download or read book The Co movement of Housing Sales and Housing Prices written by William C. Wheaton and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the strong positive correlation that exists between the volume of housing sales and housing prices. We first examine gross housing flows in the US and divide sales into two categories: transactions that involve a change or choice of tenure, as opposed to owner-to-owner churn. The literature suggests that the latter generates a positive sales-to-price relationship, but we find that the former actually represents the majority of transactions. We develop a simple model of these inter-tenure flows which suggests they generate a negative price-to-sales relationship. This runs contrary to a different literature on liquidity constraints and loss aversion. Empirically, we assemble two data bases to test the model: a short panel of 33 MSA covering 1999-2008 and a long panel of 101 MSA spanning 1982-2006. Our results from both are strong and robust. Higher sales "Granger cause" higher prices, but higher prices "Granger cause" both lower sales and a growing inventory of units-for-sale. These relationships together provide a more complete picture of the housing market - suggesting the strong positive correlation in the data results from frequent shifts in the negative price-to-sales schedule. Keywords: Housing. JEL Classifications: R2.

Download or read book Trading Volume and Price Dispersion in Housing Markets written by Edward Chung Yim Yiu and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The positive volume-price (return) relationship has been intensively studied and confirmed in both financial and real estate markets, yet Stein's (1995) downpayment model and Berkovec and Goodman's (1996) search theoretic model offered no direct empirical support. This paper puts forward a liquidity premium model which explains the volume-price (return) relationship by the volume-price dispersion relationship. We posit that the extent of price dispersion depends on the level of price information available in the market (measured by the volume of past comparable transactions). The model is tested empirically using 11,267 transactions of housing units in Hong Kong from February 1992 to September 2000. The results support our theoretical prediction that the magnitude of price dispersion, as measured by the heteroskedasticity of a hedonic pricing model, is negatively and significantly related with the volume of transactions in the past 10-day and 30-day period windows. It implies that an increase in liquidity reduces pricing error risk, which in turn reduces the required risk premium in buyers' offering price, and thus a positive volume-price(return) relationship.

Download or read book Testing Alternative Theories of the Property Price Trading Volume Correlation written by Charles Ka Yui Leung and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the correlation between the real housing price and trading volume. Contrary to the predictions of standard rational expectation models, a robust positive correlation between the two variables is identified. While no clear lead-lag relationship is found in the raw data (which is more consistent with the down-payment effect model), the medium-run component of the trading volume tends to lead (and Granger cause) the corresponding component of the property price (which is more consistent with the search theoretic model). An explanation for this difference in behavior is suggested and several future research directions are provided.

Download or read book Economic Analysis of the Digital Economy written by Avi Goldfarb and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2015-05-08 with total page 510 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a small and growing literature that explores the impact of digitization in a variety of contexts, but its economic consequences, surprisingly, remain poorly understood. This volume aims to set the agenda for research in the economics of digitization, with each chapter identifying a promising area of research. "Economics of Digitization "identifies urgent topics with research already underway that warrant further exploration from economists. In addition to the growing importance of digitization itself, digital technologies have some features that suggest that many well-studied economic models may not apply and, indeed, so many aspects of the digital economy throw normal economics in a loop. "Economics of Digitization" will be one of the first to focus on the economic implications of digitization and to bring together leading scholars in the economics of digitization to explore emerging research.

Download or read book House Price Methodology written by Marko Hannonen and published by Suomen E-painos Oy. This book was released on with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This booklet discusses some major methodological issues relating to the construction of house price models on a macro level. There is no single method that always produces the optimal results; the choice of a particular approach, method, theory, model and technique is context-dependent. This is especially true in housing markets, where a multitude of different submarkets exist. The methodology chosen should be based on sound theory, from which the basic concepts of analysis can be derived. This booklet discusses the use of potential models, which can be constructed using a general field theory, and which act as a theoretical foundation for further analysis. If we use potential models for house price analysis we can discover additional features from the data set that other approaches would simply miss. This e-book presents a pragmatic overview of key methodological concerns with the emphasis on the use of potential models. Theoretical methodological questions are left unanswered, and are not even presented in this text, since they have little relevancy to real-world modelling questions.

Download or read book Interest Rate Fluctuations and Equilibrium in the Housing Market written by Yavuz Arslan and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the general equilibrium of the housing market in an economy populated by overlapping generations of households. A contribution of the present paper is to solve for the housing market equilibrium in the presence of aggregate (interest rate) uncertainty with a realistic mortgage contract. In addition, households also face idiosyncratic uncertainty resulting from stochastic changes over the lifecycle in tastes (or need) for housing. In this environment, profit maximizing banks offer fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) contracts to home buyers. As seems plausible, each housing market transaction is subject to a fixed cost, which gives rise to S-s policy rules for housing transactions: existing home owners change the size of their houses only if there is a sufficiently large change in the state of the economy (i.e., in interest rates, in their taste for housing, etc.) A plausibly calibrated version of the model is consistent with three empirically documented features of the housing market: (i) highly volatile housing prices and transaction volume, (ii) a strong positive correlation between transaction volume and housing prices, and (iii) a significant negative relationship between interest rates and housing prices, which can rationalize a large part of the recent boom in housing prices in the U.S. and around the world.

Download or read book Handbook of Real Estate and Macroeconomics written by Leung, Charles K.Y. and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2022-06-16 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook collects a set of academic and accessible chapters to address three questions: What should real estate economists know about macroeconomics? What should macroeconomists know about real estate? What should readers know about the interaction between real estate and macroeconomics?

Download or read book Anchoring and Loss Aversion in the Housing Market written by Tin Cheuk Leung and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we develop a simple model with anchoring and loss aversion to explain house price dynamics. We have two testable implications: 1) when both cognitive biases are present, price dispersion and trade volume are pro-cyclical; 2) if anchoring decreases with time, then price dispersion and trade volume are higher for transactions whose previous purchase is more recent. Using a dataset that contains most real estate transactions in Hong Kong from 1992 to 2006, we find strong and significant anchoring and loss aversion which are robust to type of housing and sample period. The finding is consistent with the strong correlation between house price, price dispersion, and volume in the data. Moreover, anchoring decreases with time since previous transaction, and both price dispersion and volume show the same pattern. Our results suggest that anchoring and loss aversion can induce cyclicality in house prices.

Download or read book Prices and Trading Volume in the Housing Market written by Jeremy C. Stein and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Trading Volume and Liquidity Premium in the Hong Kong Housing Market written by Hon-Ho Kwok and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-27 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "Trading Volume and Liquidity Premium in the Hong Kong Housing Market" by Hon-ho, Kwok, 郭漢豪, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Abstract of thesis entitled "Trading Volume and Liquidity Premium in the Hong Kong Housing Market" Submitted by Kwok Hon Ho for the degree of Master of Philosophy at The University of Hong Kong in Aug 2006 Various liquidity measures, such as the time on the market and trading volume, appear in the economics and finance literature. Since prices and liquidities are normally the optimal choices of asset owners, these liquidity measures are endogenous. Because of the endogeneity of liquidity measures, the ordinary least squares estimator is biased and inconsistent. The ordinary least squares estimate of liquidity effect is expected to be upward biased because of the positive correlation between price and trading volume. In this study, the instrument-variable estimation is proposed to handle the endogeneity problem. The proposed instrument is the size of the housing development, which can be expressed in terms of the number of units developed in the development project. The upward bias of the ordinary least squares estimates and the endogeneity of trading volume are supported by the evidence from the Hong Kong housing market. The choice of instrument is motivated by the conjectured size effects of housing development in Hong Kong. Holding the houses' attributes constant, residential units in Hong Kong are expected to be of higher prices and higher liquidities if the units are developed in large scale development projects or located in large housing estates. Empirical results show that significant size effects do exist in Hong Kong. The estimated size effects on price and liquidity are tremendous. The size effects can be explained by a model based on search friction. DOI: 10.5353/th_b3688190 Subjects: Liquidity (Economics) Housing development - China - Hong Kong Housing - Prices - China - Hong Kong

Download or read book Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies written by Ms.Nan Geng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-13 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.

Download or read book Markov Switching Vector Autoregressions written by Hans-Martin Krolzig and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contributes to re cent developments on the statistical analysis of multiple time series in the presence of regime shifts. Markov-switching models have become popular for modelling non-linearities and regime shifts, mainly, in univariate eco nomic time series. This study is intended to provide a systematic and operational ap proach to the econometric modelling of dynamic systems subject to shifts in regime, based on the Markov-switching vector autoregressive model. The study presents a comprehensive analysis of the theoretical properties of Markov-switching vector autoregressive processes and the related statistical methods. The statistical concepts are illustrated with applications to empirical business cyde research. This monograph is a revised version of my dissertation which has been accepted by the Economics Department of the Humboldt-University of Berlin in 1996. It con sists mainly of unpublished material which has been presented during the last years at conferences and in seminars. The major parts of this study were written while I was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschajt (DFG), Berliner Graduier tenkolleg Angewandte Mikroökonomik and Sondeiforschungsbereich 373 at the Free University and Humboldt-University of Berlin. Work was finally completed in the project The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Forecasting founded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) at the Institute of Economies and Statistics, University of Oxford. It is a pleasure to record my thanks to these institutions for their support of my research embodied in this study.