Download or read book Price Discovery and Speculation in Commodity Futures Markets written by Martin Stefan and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Does Speculation Drive Commodity Prices Evidence from the Market for Corn written by Niklas Humann and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2021-09-22 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2020 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1,0, University of Münster, language: English, abstract: This seminar paper reviews the literature on futures markets as well as the recent food crisis and presents an empirical investigation of the influence of (index) speculation on the corn price. My findings are in line with most of the other empirical conclusions that, rather than speculation, factors from the real and monetary economy played a role in the spike of commodity prices. For centuries, corn has been one of the most produced crops in the world, used to feed people, livestock and machines. During the last quarter of the twentieth-century, world food prices declined by more than 50 percent, thereby improving the nourishment of people all over the world. However, this extensive decline also raised calls for protectionist policies, aimed at defending the welfare of commodity producers. Starting in the early 2000s, all classes of commodities have experienced hefty price increases. The price for corn increased by more than 250 percent in roughly three years (2005-2008). The resulting food crisis devastated low-income communities around the globe, with the already large part of their income they spent on food becoming even more substantial, causing hunger and malnutrition. While a variety of explanations for this crisis have been offered, some were quick to blame excessive (index) speculation.
Download or read book Price Distortions in the Commodity Futures Markets written by Devin B. Helfrich and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Speculation is not monolithic; it comes in many forms. A certain level of speculation is required for commodity futures markets to function. On the other hand, certain types of trading activities by speculators may damage a market's price discovery function and in turn its hedging function. However, there is great disagreement as to which types of speculation can distort commodity futures prices and the mechanisms for how a price distortion may occur. This thesis advances three distinct categories of speculative activities alleged to distort commodity prices and reviews evidence for each. Those three categories are: corner and squeeze manipulations, nonfundamental futures demand, and large speculative demand. Case studies are presented for each of the three categories. In addition, the effectiveness of speculative position limits in decreasing the occurrence of each category is analyzed. A question that arises, but is left unanswered, is whether the marginal benefits outweigh the possible costs of speculation once speculation rises above certain levels required for price discovery and hedging.
Download or read book Futures Markets for Commodities Speculation Price Discovery and the Connectedness of Prices written by Claudia Wellenreuther and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Energy Speculation written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce. Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 990 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Special Issue on Futures Markets written by Jerome Leon Stein and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Not a Game Speculation vs Food Security Regulating financial markets to grow a better future written by Marc-Olivier Herman and published by Oxfam. This book was released on with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Behavioral Finance written by Lucy F. Ackert and published by South Western Educational Publishing. This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book begins by building upon the established, conventional principles of finance that you've have already learned in your principles course. The authors then move into psychological principles of behavioral finance, including heuristics and biases, overconfidence, emotion and social forces. You immediately see how human behavior influences the decisions of individual investors and professional finance practitioners, managers, and markets. You also gain a strong understanding of how social forces impact individuals' choices. The book clearly explains what behavioral finance indicates about observed market outcomes as well as how psychological biases potentially impact the behavior of managers. The book's solid academic approach provides opportunities for you to utilize theory and complete applications in every chapter as you learn the implications of behavioral finance on retirement, pensions, education, debiasing, and client management. The book spends a significant amount of time examining how today's practitioners can use behavioral finance to further their professional success.
Download or read book Commodities written by M. A. H. Dempster and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-11-05 with total page 725 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since a major source of income for many countries comes from exporting commodities, price discovery and information transmission between commodity futures markets are key issues for continued economic development.This book covers the fundamental theory of and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets as well as the interaction between commodi
Download or read book Speculation in Commodity Contracts and Options written by L. Dee Belveal and published by McGraw-Hill Professional Publishing. This book was released on 1985 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Three Essays on Price Discovery in the Cotton Futures Market written by Joseph Peter Janzen and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent booms and busts in commodity prices have placed renewed scrutiny on commodity futures markets as a mechanism for price discovery, the process of incorporating new information about the relative scarcity of the commodity into prices. Such concerns are not new; there has been some distrust of futures market price discovery since the inception of these markets. As these markets evolve, new market participants and institutions may influence price discovery. Using the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) cotton futures market as a laboratory, I consider three such forces potentially responsible for poor price discovery during the 2007-2011 period of volatile cotton prices. These are financial speculation, electronic trading, and funding constraints on commercial hedgers. In Chapter 1, I study whether the increased presence of financial firms, particularly commodity index traders, drives cotton futures prices away from the levels implied by supply and demand under rational expectations. I estimate a structural vector autoregression model of the cotton futures market. My model develops a new method to point identify shocks to precautionary demand for cotton separately from shocks to current supply and demand and separately identifies the effects of two types of speculation: precautionary demand for the commodity and financial speculation. I show empirically that most cotton price variation stems from contemporaneous unanticipated shocks to current cotton supply and demand. However, the 2008 price spike came from an increase in precautionary demand due to projections of lower future production. I find no evidence in support of claims that financial speculation causes commodity booms and busts.Chapter 2 considers the introduction of electronic trading to the cotton futures market across three periods of floor trade, parallel floor and electronic trade, and electronic-only trade. I statistically decompose intraday variation in cotton prices into a component related to information about market fundamentals and a ''pricing error'' caused by frictions in the trading mechanism. Better market quality or price discovery is characterized by lower variance of the pricing error. Unlike previous studies of floor and electronic trading, I consider more than average measures of market quality. I calculate statistics for market quality for each trading day, and study their trend, variance, persistence, and relationship to other variables related to price discovery. I find that market quality improved, but became more variable under electronic trading. This relationship between electronic trading and market quality is robust to controls for changes over time in the number of trades, trading volume, and price volatility.My final chapter considers the role of funding constraints in exacerbating futures price spikes. I review the experience of commercial hedgers during the 2008 cotton futures price spike. In this period, commercial hedgers without access to credit were forced to close futures positions in an illiquid market. Losses incurred on these trades led some firms to exit the cotton merchandising business. I use facts from the cotton case to develop a dynamic model of futures market equilibrium in the short-run for cases where funding constraints for some hedging firms bind and do not bind. Analytical results show that observed futures price volatility can be explained by the relation between funding liquidity of trading firms and market liquidity. This relationship alters the trading behavior of hedgers and results in diminished price discovery.
Download or read book Economics of Futures Trading For Commercial and Personal Profit written by Thomas A. Hieronymus and published by Ceres Books LLC. This book was released on 2023-08-07 with total page 543 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the Award for Publication of Enduring Quality from the American Agricultural Economics Association The classic and must-have book on the commodity futures market For decades, Economics of Futures Trading has been known as “the bible” of the commodity futures market. This updated edition provides the foundation for everything you need to know in commodity basics and the economics of futures trading. In this comprehensive and essential guide, Professor Hieronymus reveals secrets and wisdom attained from decades of hands-on experience and research in the field. His timeless insight provides the fundamentals necessary for trading in pursuit of profits–whether you are new to the world of commodity trading or experienced. Dr. Hieronymus’ witty and engaging writing ushers you into the world of trading so you can attain success in these ever-growing markets. The underlying principles presented in this classic remain unchanged, and your understanding of all the complex concepts in futures trading will be enhanced, such as: Operation and performance of the commodity market. Hedging and speculation. Historical developments. And much more. This remains the ultimate guide and go-to resource for anyone interested in the operation of commodity markets. Set yourself up for success as you navigate the complexity of the market by first gleaning from a gold mine of insight offered in this easy-to-digest classic.
Download or read book The Role of Market Speculation in Rising Oil and Gas Prices written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Commodities written by M. A. H. Dempster and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-12-09 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since a major source of income for many countries comes from exporting commodities, price discovery and information transmission between commodity futures markets are key issues for continued economic development. Commodities: Fundamental Theory of Futures, Forwards, and Derivatives Pricing, Second Edition covers the fundamental theory of and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets, as well as the interaction between commodity prices, the real economy, and other financial markets. After a thoroughly updated and extensive theoretical and practical introduction, this new edition of the book is divided into five parts – the fifth of which is entirely new material covering cutting-edge developments. Oil Products considers the structural changes in the demand and supply for hedging services that are increasingly determining the price of oil Other Commodities examines markets related to agricultural commodities, including natural gas, wine, soybeans, corn, gold, silver, copper, and other metals Commodity Prices and Financial Markets investigates the contemporary aspects of the financialization of commodities, including stocks, bonds, futures, currency markets, index products, and exchange traded funds Electricity Markets supplies an overview of the current and future modelling of electricity markets Contemporary Topics discuss rough volatility, order book trading, cryptocurrencies, text mining for price dynamics and flash crashes
Download or read book Price Discovery in Commodity Futures and Cash Markets with Heterogenous Agents written by Sophie van Huellen and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper develops a price discovery model for commodity futures markets that accounts for two forms of limits to arbitrage caused by transaction costs and noise trader risk. Four market regimes are identified: (1) effective arbitrage, (2) transaction costs but no noise trader risk, (3) no transaction costs but noise trader risk and (4) both transaction costs and noise trader risk. It is shown that commodity prices are driven by both market fundamentals and speculative trader positions under the latter two regimes. Further, speculative effects spill over to the cash market under regime (3) but are confined to the futures market under regime (4). The model is empirically tested using data from six grain and soft commodity markets. While regime (4) is rare and short lived, regime (3) with some noise trader risk and varying elasticity of arbitrage prevails.
Download or read book Economic Purposes of Future Trading written by United States. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Commodity Speculation for Beginners written by Charles Huff and published by McGraw-Hill Companies. This book was released on 1982 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
