Download or read book Forecasting principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Download or read book Predictions in Time Series Using Regression Models written by Cory Terrell and published by Scientific e-Resources. This book was released on 2019-09-02 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regression methods have been a necessary piece of time arrangement investigation for over a century. As of late, new advancements have made real walks in such territories as non-constant information where a direct model isn't fitting. This book acquaints the peruser with fresher improvements and more assorted regression models and methods for time arrangement examination. Open to any individual who knows about the fundamental present day ideas of factual deduction, Regression Models for Time Series Analysis gives a truly necessary examination of late measurable advancements. Essential among them is the imperative class of models known as summed up straight models (GLM) which gives, under a few conditions, a bound together regression hypothesis reasonable for constant, all out, and check information. The creators stretch out GLM methodology deliberately to time arrangement where the essential and covariate information are both arbitrary and stochastically reliant. They acquaint readers with different regression models created amid the most recent thirty years or somewhere in the vicinity and condense traditional and later outcomes concerning state space models.
Download or read book Applied Econometrics with R written by Christian Kleiber and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-12-10 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: R is a language and environment for data analysis and graphics. It may be considered an implementation of S, an award-winning language initially - veloped at Bell Laboratories since the late 1970s. The R project was initiated by Robert Gentleman and Ross Ihaka at the University of Auckland, New Zealand, in the early 1990s, and has been developed by an international team since mid-1997. Historically, econometricians have favored other computing environments, some of which have fallen by the wayside, and also a variety of packages with canned routines. We believe that R has great potential in econometrics, both for research and for teaching. There are at least three reasons for this: (1) R is mostly platform independent and runs on Microsoft Windows, the Mac family of operating systems, and various ?avors of Unix/Linux, and also on some more exotic platforms. (2) R is free software that can be downloaded and installed at no cost from a family of mirror sites around the globe, the Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN); hence students can easily install it on their own machines. (3) R is open-source software, so that the full source code is available and can be inspected to understand what it really does, learn from it, and modify and extend it. We also like to think that platform independence and the open-source philosophy make R an ideal environment for reproducible econometric research.
Download or read book The Analysis of Time Series written by Chris Chatfield and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2003-07-29 with total page 450 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since 1975, The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction has introduced legions of statistics students and researchers to the theory and practice of time series analysis. With each successive edition, bestselling author Chris Chatfield has honed and refined his presentation, updated the material to reflect advances in the field, and presented inter
Download or read book Predictions in Time Series Using Regression Models written by Frantisek Stulajter and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book will interest and assist people who are dealing with the problems of predictions of time series in higher education and research. It will greatly assist people who apply time series theory to practical problems in their work and also serve as a textbook for postgraduate students in statistics economics and related subjects.
Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by Jonathan D. Cryer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-04-04 with total page 501 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents an accessible approach to understanding time series models and their applications. The ideas and methods are illustrated with both real and simulated data sets. A unique feature of this edition is its integration with the R computing environment.
Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by Charles W. Ostrom and published by SAGE. This book was released on 1990 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The text gives a good basis for understanding the ideas of the time series models and estimation, without overwhelming readers with the complexity of the subject." --Journal of the American Statistical Association Completely revised and updated, this second edition of Time Series Analysis examines techniques for the study of change based on regression analysis. Ostrom demonstrates how these regression techniques may be employed for hypothesis testing, estimating, and forecasting. In addition, analysis strategies for both lagged and nonlagged models are presented and alternative time-dependent processes are explored.
Download or read book Time Series Forecasting in Python written by Marco Peixeiro and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2022-11-15 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Build predictive models from time-based patterns in your data. Master statistical models including new deep learning approaches for time series forecasting. In Time Series Forecasting in Python you will learn how to: Recognize a time series forecasting problem and build a performant predictive model Create univariate forecasting models that account for seasonal effects and external variables Build multivariate forecasting models to predict many time series at once Leverage large datasets by using deep learning for forecasting time series Automate the forecasting process Time Series Forecasting in Python teaches you to build powerful predictive models from time-based data. Every model you create is relevant, useful, and easy to implement with Python. You’ll explore interesting real-world datasets like Google’s daily stock price and economic data for the USA, quickly progressing from the basics to developing large-scale models that use deep learning tools like TensorFlow. About the technology You can predict the future—with a little help from Python, deep learning, and time series data! Time series forecasting is a technique for modeling time-centric data to identify upcoming events. New Python libraries and powerful deep learning tools make accurate time series forecasts easier than ever before. About the book Time Series Forecasting in Python teaches you how to get immediate, meaningful predictions from time-based data such as logs, customer analytics, and other event streams. In this accessible book, you’ll learn statistical and deep learning methods for time series forecasting, fully demonstrated with annotated Python code. Develop your skills with projects like predicting the future volume of drug prescriptions, and you’ll soon be ready to build your own accurate, insightful forecasts. What's inside Create models for seasonal effects and external variables Multivariate forecasting models to predict multiple time series Deep learning for large datasets Automate the forecasting process About the reader For data scientists familiar with Python and TensorFlow. About the author Marco Peixeiro is a seasoned data science instructor who has worked as a data scientist for one of Canada’s largest banks. Table of Contents PART 1 TIME WAITS FOR NO ONE 1 Understanding time series forecasting 2 A naive prediction of the future 3 Going on a random walk PART 2 FORECASTING WITH STATISTICAL MODELS 4 Modeling a moving average process 5 Modeling an autoregressive process 6 Modeling complex time series 7 Forecasting non-stationary time series 8 Accounting for seasonality 9 Adding external variables to our model 10 Forecasting multiple time series 11 Capstone: Forecasting the number of antidiabetic drug prescriptions in Australia PART 3 LARGE-SCALE FORECASTING WITH DEEP LEARNING 12 Introducing deep learning for time series forecasting 13 Data windowing and creating baselines for deep learning 14 Baby steps with deep learning 15 Remembering the past with LSTM 16 Filtering a time series with CNN 17 Using predictions to make more predictions 18 Capstone: Forecasting the electric power consumption of a household PART 4 AUTOMATING FORECASTING AT SCALE 19 Automating time series forecasting with Prophet 20 Capstone: Forecasting the monthly average retail price of steak in Canada 21 Going above and beyond
Download or read book Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python written by Francesca Lazzeri and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-12-03 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn how to apply the principles of machine learning to time series modeling with this indispensable resource Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is an incisive and straightforward examination of one of the most crucial elements of decision-making in finance, marketing, education, and healthcare: time series modeling. Despite the centrality of time series forecasting, few business analysts are familiar with the power or utility of applying machine learning to time series modeling. Author Francesca Lazzeri, a distinguished machine learning scientist and economist, corrects that deficiency by providing readers with comprehensive and approachable explanation and treatment of the application of machine learning to time series forecasting. Written for readers who have little to no experience in time series forecasting or machine learning, the book comprehensively covers all the topics necessary to: Understand time series forecasting concepts, such as stationarity, horizon, trend, and seasonality Prepare time series data for modeling Evaluate time series forecasting models’ performance and accuracy Understand when to use neural networks instead of traditional time series models in time series forecasting Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is full real-world examples, resources and concrete strategies to help readers explore and transform data and develop usable, practical time series forecasts. Perfect for entry-level data scientists, business analysts, developers, and researchers, this book is an invaluable and indispensable guide to the fundamental and advanced concepts of machine learning applied to time series modeling.
Download or read book Recursive Estimation and Time Series Analysis written by Peter C. Young and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-08-04 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a revised version of the 1984 book of the same name but considerably modified and enlarged to accommodate the developments in recursive estimation and time series analysis that have occurred over the last quarter century. Also over this time, the CAPTAIN Toolbox for recursive estimation and time series analysis has been developed at Lancaster, for use in the MatlabTM software environment (see Appendix G). Consequently, the present version of the book is able to exploit the many computational routines that are contained in this widely available Toolbox, as well as some of the other routines in MatlabTM and its other toolboxes. The book is an introductory one on the topic of recursive estimation and it demonstrates how this approach to estimation, in its various forms, can be an impressive aid to the modelling of stochastic, dynamic systems. It is intended for undergraduate or Masters students who wish to obtain a grounding in this subject; or for practitioners in industry who may have heard of topics dealt with in this book and, while they want to know more about them, may have been deterred by the rather esoteric nature of some books in this challenging area of study.
Download or read book Time Series Forecasting written by Chris Chatfield and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2000-10-25 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space
Download or read book Advances in Time Series Forecasting written by Cagdas Hakan Aladag and published by Bentham Science Publishers. This book was released on 2012 with total page 143 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Time series analysis is applicable in a variety of disciplines such as business administration, economics, public finances, engineering, statistics, econometrics, mathematics and actuarial sciences. Forecasting the future assists in critical organizationa"
Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by Wilfredo Palma and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-03-07 with total page 618 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A modern and accessible guide to the analysis of introductory time series data Featuring an organized and self-contained guide, Time Series Analysis provides a broad introduction to the most fundamental methodologies and techniques of time series analysis. The book focuses on the treatment of univariate time series by illustrating a number of well-known models such as ARMA and ARIMA. Providing contemporary coverage, the book features several useful and newlydeveloped techniques such as weak and strong dependence, Bayesian methods, non-Gaussian data, local stationarity, missing values and outliers, and threshold models. Time Series Analysis includes practical applications of time series methods throughout, as well as: Real-world examples and exercise sets that allow readers to practice the presented methods and techniques Numerous detailed analyses of computational aspects related to the implementation of methodologies including algorithm efficiency, arithmetic complexity, and process time End-of-chapter proposed problems and bibliographical notes to deepen readers’ knowledge of the presented material Appendices that contain details on fundamental concepts and select solutions of the problems implemented throughout A companion website with additional data fi les and computer codes Time Series Analysis is an excellent textbook for undergraduate and beginning graduate-level courses in time series as well as a supplement for students in advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, and physics. The book is also a useful reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, econometrics, and finance. Wilfredo Palma, PhD, is Professor of Statistics in the Department of Statistics at Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. He has published several refereed articles and has received over a dozen academic honors and awards. His research interests include time series analysis, prediction theory, state space systems, linear models, and econometrics. He is the author of Long-Memory Time Series: Theory and Methods, also published by Wiley.
Download or read book Time Series Models for Short Term Forecasting Performance Indicators written by Arno Palmrich and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2009-11-30 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Diploma Thesis from the year 2007 in the subject Business economics - Business Management, Corporate Governance, grade: highest grade (ausgezeichnet), University of Applied Sciences Kufstein Tirol, course: Economics Statistics, language: English, abstract: Managers use forecasting in budgeting time and resources. In this thesis, various advanced time series models are constructed, computed and tested for adequacy. This thesis serves as a practical guide to regression and time series analysis. It seeks to demonstrate how to approach problems according to scientific standards to students who are familiar with SPSS(R) but beginners in regression and time series analysis. Bibliographic notes of classical works and more recent academic advances in time series analysis are provided throughout the text. The research question that this thesis seeks to answer can be formulated in its shortest version as: "How can the management of Dalian Chemson Chemical Products Co; Ltd. use existing company data to make short-term predictions about net sales, Cost of Goods Sold (COGS), and net contribution?" More specifically, this thesis seeks to provide different tools (models) for forecasting the P&L entries net sales, COGS, and net contribution a few months ahead. This author's approach is based on various versions of two models: One model will forecast net sales and the other model will predict COGS. The expected net contribution is simply defined as the difference between the predictions of these two models. In chapter 4.3 an ordinary least squares regression version of the two models has been computed. In chapter 4.6 a weighted least squares regression has been applied to the models. Autoregressions have been computed in chapter 4.7.1 and two Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) versions have been constructed in chapter 4.7.6. The various versions of the models have then been compared against each other. The version that fits the data best will be used in forecasting.
Download or read book Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting written by Douglas C. Montgomery and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-04-27 with total page 670 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for the First Edition "…[t]he book is great for readers who need to apply the methods and models presented but have little background in mathematics and statistics." -MAA Reviews Thoroughly updated throughout, Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition presents the underlying theories of time series analysis that are needed to analyze time-oriented data and construct real-world short- to medium-term statistical forecasts. Authored by highly-experienced academics and professionals in engineering statistics, the Second Edition features discussions on both popular and modern time series methodologies as well as an introduction to Bayesian methods in forecasting. Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition also includes: Over 300 exercises from diverse disciplines including health care, environmental studies, engineering, and finance More than 50 programming algorithms using JMP®, SAS®, and R that illustrate the theory and practicality of forecasting techniques in the context of time-oriented data New material on frequency domain and spatial temporal data analysis Expanded coverage of the variogram and spectrum with applications as well as transfer and intervention model functions A supplementary website featuring PowerPoint® slides, data sets, and select solutions to the problems Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition is an ideal textbook upper-undergraduate and graduate-levels courses in forecasting and time series. The book is also an excellent reference for practitioners and researchers who need to model and analyze time series data to generate forecasts.
Download or read book Pre test Strategies for Time series Forecasting in the Linear Regression Model written by Maxwell L. King and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting and Time Series written by Bruce L. Bowerman and published by South Western Educational Publishing. This book was released on 1993 with total page 746 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This comprehensive book introduces students to time series and forecasting techniques. The prerequisites are college algebra and basic statistics. It contains complete coverage of linear regression analysis, which provides much of the conceptual foundation of forecasting.
