Download or read book Prediction of Stock Market Returns and Direction written by Roselyn Dimingo and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills written by Roy Henriksson and published by . This book was released on 2023-07-18 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Prediction of Stock Market Index Movements with Machine Learning written by Nazif AYYILDIZ and published by Özgür Publications. This book was released on 2023-12-16 with total page 121 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book titled "Prediction of Stock Market Index Movements with Machine Learning" focuses on the performance of machine learning methods in forecasting the future movements of stock market indexes and identifying the most advantageous methods that can be used across different stock exchanges. In this context, applications have been conducted on both developed and emerging market stock exchanges. The stock market indexes of developed countries such as NYSE 100, NIKKEI 225, FTSE 100, CAC 40, DAX 30, FTSE MIB, TSX; and the stock market indexes of emerging countries such as SSE, BOVESPA, RTS, NIFTY 50, IDX, IPC, and BIST 100 were selected. The movement directions of these stock market indexes were predicted using decision trees, random forests, k-nearest neighbors, naive Bayes, logistic regression, support vector machines, and artificial neural networks methods. Daily dataset from 01.01.2012 to 31.12.2021, along with technical indicators, were used as input data for analysis. According to the results obtained, it was determined that artificial neural networks were the most effective method during the examined period. Alongside artificial neural networks, logistic regression and support vector machines methods were found to predict the movement direction of all indexes with an accuracy of over 70%. Additionally, it was noted that while artificial neural networks were identified as the best method, they did not necessarily achieve the highest accuracy for all indexes. In this context, it was established that the performance of the examined methods varied among countries and indexes but did not differ based on the development levels of the countries. As a conclusion, artificial neural networks, logistic regression, and support vector machines methods are recommended as the most advantageous approaches for predicting stock market index movements.
Download or read book The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory written by Vladimir Vapnik and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aim of this book is to discuss the fundamental ideas which lie behind the statistical theory of learning and generalization. It considers learning as a general problem of function estimation based on empirical data. Omitting proofs and technical details, the author concentrates on discussing the main results of learning theory and their connections to fundamental problems in statistics. This second edition contains three new chapters devoted to further development of the learning theory and SVM techniques. Written in a readable and concise style, the book is intended for statisticians, mathematicians, physicists, and computer scientists.
Download or read book Handbook of Financial Econometrics written by Yacine Ait-Sahalia and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2009-10-19 with total page 809 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of original articles—8 years in the making—shines a bright light on recent advances in financial econometrics. From a survey of mathematical and statistical tools for understanding nonlinear Markov processes to an exploration of the time-series evolution of the risk-return tradeoff for stock market investment, noted scholars Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Lars Peter Hansen benchmark the current state of knowledge while contributors build a framework for its growth. Whether in the presence of statistical uncertainty or the proven advantages and limitations of value at risk models, readers will discover that they can set few constraints on the value of this long-awaited volume. Presents a broad survey of current research—from local characterizations of the Markov process dynamics to financial market trading activity Contributors include Nobel Laureate Robert Engle and leading econometricians Offers a clarity of method and explanation unavailable in other financial econometrics collections
Download or read book 11th International Conference on Theory and Application of Soft Computing Computing with Words and Perceptions and Artificial Intelligence ICSCCW 2021 written by Rafik A. Aliev and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-01-04 with total page 803 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the proceedings of the 11th Conference on Theory and Applications of Soft Computing, Computing with Words and Perceptions and Artificial Intelligence, ICSCCW-2021, held in Antalya, Turkey, on August 23–24, 2021. The general scope of the book covers uncertain computation, decision making under imperfect information, neuro-fuzzy approaches, natural language processing, and other areas. The topics of the papers include theory and application of soft computing, computing with words, image processing with soft computing, intelligent control, machine learning, fuzzy logic in data mining, soft computing in business, economics, engineering, material sciences, biomedical engineering, and health care. This book is a useful guide for academics, practitioners, and graduates in fields of soft computing and computing with words. It allows for increasing of interest in development and applying of these paradigms in various real-life fields.
Download or read book Multi Valued and Universal Binary Neurons written by Igor Aizenberg and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Multi-Valued and Universal Binary Neurons deals with two new types of neurons: multi-valued neurons and universal binary neurons. These neurons are based on complex number arithmetic and are hence much more powerful than the typical neurons used in artificial neural networks. Therefore, networks with such neurons exhibit a broad functionality. They can not only realise threshold input/output maps but can also implement any arbitrary Boolean function. Two learning methods are presented whereby these networks can be trained easily. The broad applicability of these networks is proven by several case studies in different fields of application: image processing, edge detection, image enhancement, super resolution, pattern recognition, face recognition, and prediction. The book is hence partitioned into three almost equally sized parts: a mathematical study of the unique features of these new neurons, learning of networks of such neurons, and application of such neural networks. Most of this work was developed by the first two authors over a period of more than 10 years and was only available in the Russian literature. With this book we present the first comprehensive treatment of this important class of neural networks in the open Western literature. Multi-Valued and Universal Binary Neurons is intended for anyone with a scholarly interest in neural network theory, applications and learning. It will also be of interest to researchers and practitioners in the fields of image processing, pattern recognition, control and robotics.
Download or read book Machine Learning for Asset Management written by Emmanuel Jurczenko and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-10-06 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new edited volume consists of a collection of original articles written by leading financial economists and industry experts in the area of machine learning for asset management. The chapters introduce the reader to some of the latest research developments in the area of equity, multi-asset and factor investing. Each chapter deals with new methods for return and risk forecasting, stock selection, portfolio construction, performance attribution and transaction costs modeling. This volume will be of great help to portfolio managers, asset owners and consultants, as well as academics and students who want to improve their knowledge of machine learning in asset management.
Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 667 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics
Download or read book Predicting the Stock Market to Maximise Returns for the Small Investor written by Cicil Fonseka and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investors in the stock market are always interested and looking for better methods of predicting the direction of stock price movements with a view to reduce the risk of investment and to improve on the capital gains. This research introduces two algorithms to achieve this objective and evaluate their power of prediction. These algorithms are then generalised to develop a new data mining methodology in the area of "pattern recognition" to identify extreme events in a time varying and real time data stream analysis. Further a software tool is specifically developed as part of this research to perform the constructed algorithms and analyse and evaluate the effectiveness of these methods in predicting stock market movements.
Download or read book Data Mining Algorithms written by Pawel Cichosz and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-01-27 with total page 717 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Data Mining Algorithms is a practical, technically-oriented guide to data mining algorithms that covers the most important algorithms for building classification, regression, and clustering models, as well as techniques used for attribute selection and transformation, model quality evaluation, and creating model ensembles. The author presents many of the important topics and methodologies widely used in data mining, whilst demonstrating the internal operation and usage of data mining algorithms using examples in R.
Download or read book An R Companion to Applied Regression written by John Fox and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2011 with total page 473 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book aims to provide a broad introduction to the R statistical environment in the context of applied regression analysis, which is typically studied by social scientists and others in a second course in applied statistics.
Download or read book Computing the Patterns of Stock Market Price Behavior written by Prakash Kumar Sarangi and published by Department of Political Science and Public Administration. This book was released on 2022-09-16 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: he importance of the financial industry for the regional, national, and global economies needs no over emphasis. Forecasting of stock market return has become a subject of importance. The reason is that the investors may be better guided if the direction of the market is successfully predicted. The stock market behavior is dynamic and its prediction poses a great challenge. Traditional techniques, such as fundamental and technical analysis do provide investors with some tools for manag-ing their stocks, and for predicting their price behavior. Yet the question remains as to how to design an efficient and effective tool or algorithm that will forecast the patterns of stock market price behavior with reasonable precision.
Download or read book I Run for Donuts written by Anthony R. Carver and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2018-10-15 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I Run for A Cure, Marathon Training Journal. 6"X9" 120 blank lined pages in this journal that's so much more than a notebook. The perfect size for that person on the go. Veteran runners, first timers, and endurance athletes will use this journal to diary lessons learned, new goals, accomplishments, and action plans moving forward. Upgrade from the spiral notebook and bring along to group runs, strength training, speed workouts, or any other place you find inspiration. Click on the author's name for more great journal gifts. Also a fantastic gift if you're looking for a running diary, running journal, running notebook, or running logbook. This book is perfect for runners who train for 5K, 10K, Half-Marathon, Marathon, and Ultra Marathon races.
Download or read book Predicting Stock Market Returns by Combining Forecasts written by Laurence Fung and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The predictability of stock market returns has been a challenge to market practitioners and financial economists. This is also important to central banks responsible for monitoring financial market stability. A number of variables have been found as predictors of future stock market returns with impressive in-sample results. Nonetheless, the predictive power of these variables has often performed poorly for out-of-sample forecast. This study utilises a new method known as quot;Aggregate Forecasting Through Exponential Re-weighting (AFTER)quot; to combine forecasts from different models and achieve better out-of-sample forecast performance from these variables. Empirical results suggest that, for longer forecast horizons, combining forecasts based on AFTER provides better out-of-sample predictions than the historical average return and also forecasts from models based on commonly used model selection criteria.
Download or read book Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets written by François M. Longin and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Technical Analysis written by Gerald Appel and published by Ft Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unlike most technical analysis books, Gerald Appel's Practical Power Tools! offers step-by-step instructions virtually any investor can use to achieve breakthrough success in the market. Appel illuminates a wide range of strategies and timing models, demystifying even advanced technical analysis the first time. Among the models he covers: NASDAQ/NYSE Relative Strength, 3-5 Year Treasury Notes, Triple Momentum, Seasonality, Breadth-Thrust Impulse, and models based on the revolutionary MACD techniques he personally invented. Appel covers momentum and trend of price movement, time and calendar cycles, predictive chart patterns, relative strength, analysis of internal vs. external markets, market breadth, moving averages, trading channels, overbought/oversold indicators, Trin, VIX, major term buy signals, major term sell signals, moving average trading channels, stock market synergy, and much more. He presents techniques for short-, intermediate-, and long-term investors, and even for mutual fund investors.
