Download or read book Predicting Financial Risk Taking Behavior written by John Grable and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this study was to compare and contrast the predictive validity of risk tolerance questionnaires. The tested questionnaires represented measures derived from economic and psychometric theory. It was determined that questionnaires based on economic theory had similar predictive power, implying that both measures provided some degree of reliability across measures. Only the psychometric theory-based risk tolerance measure was found to be correlated to other indicators of risk tolerance. Specifically, scores on the psychometric scale were correlated with knowledge of casino games, the likelihood of gambling, financial decision making experience, and investing knowledge, as well as participant holdings of cash and equities. A key finding from this study is that the psychometric questionnaire was the only measure to predict who was more likely to participate in a risk taking game where the outcomes of the game were unknown and potentially negative. Results from this exploratory study suggest that a questionnaire developed using psychometric theory appears to offer superior predictive ability of financial risk taking, at least when compared across the measurement techniques examined in this study.
Download or read book Financial Risk Tolerance A Psychometric Review written by John E. Grable and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2017-06-30 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This content provides financial analysts, investment professionals, and financial planners with a review of how financial risk-tolerance tests can and should be evaluated. It begins by clarifying terms related to risk taking and is followed by a broad overview of two important measurement terms: validity and reliability. It concludes with examples for practice.
Download or read book The Psychology of Risk Taking Behavior written by R.M. Trimpop and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1994-04-28 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book aims to help the reader to understand what motivates people to engage in risk taking behavior, such as participating in traffic, sports, financial investments, or courtship. The consequences of risk taking may be positive, or result in accidents and injuries, especially in traffic. The wealth of studies and theories (about 1000 references) is used to offer a cohesive, holistic view of risk motivation. The risk motivation theory is a dynamic state-trait model incorporating physiological, emotional and cognitive components of risk perception, processing and planning. If a deficit exists between desired and perceived risk, risk compensation behavior results. A feedback loop provides new information for the next perception-motivation-behavior process. Assumptions were tested and support was found with 120 subjects in a longitudinal study. The concepts and findings are discussed in relation to psychological theories and their meaning for our daily lives.
Download or read book Financial Risk Taking written by Mike Elvin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-02-08 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Financial Risk Taking, trader and psychologist Mike Elvin explores the complex relationship between human behaviour patterns and the markets, offering the reader a context in which to assess their own strengths and weaknesses as investors. The book offers an apposite and uncomplicated system of skills development in the form of competences and competencies that can be applied anywhere along the continuum from casual investor to full-time day trader. Elvin presents a Comprehensive Model of Trading Competence (the MOT) as well as the concepts of analysis and refutation, the paramouncy principle, and self-sabotaging behaviours such as the Santa Claus syndrome and Bohica effect. Areas covered include: Emotions - are they functional or disabling? How do the mechanisms of fear, greed and panic work? Motivation and perception - how do belief paradigms affect perception and performance? What perceptual errors influence decisions to the trader's detriment? Information processing and risk assessment - how does information overload affect Stress How does stress affect investment decisions? Technological and mathematical anxiety - why do we avoid learning the skills we most need? What levels of ability are required? Can psychological and biological theories assist in our understanding of investors' performance?
Download or read book Financial Risk Forecasting written by Jon Danielsson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-04-20 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Forecasting is a complete introduction to practical quantitative risk management, with a focus on market risk. Derived from the authors teaching notes and years spent training practitioners in risk management techniques, it brings together the three key disciplines of finance, statistics and modeling (programming), to provide a thorough grounding in risk management techniques. Written by renowned risk expert Jon Danielsson, the book begins with an introduction to financial markets and market prices, volatility clusters, fat tails and nonlinear dependence. It then goes on to present volatility forecasting with both univatiate and multivatiate methods, discussing the various methods used by industry, with a special focus on the GARCH family of models. The evaluation of the quality of forecasts is discussed in detail. Next, the main concepts in risk and models to forecast risk are discussed, especially volatility, value-at-risk and expected shortfall. The focus is both on risk in basic assets such as stocks and foreign exchange, but also calculations of risk in bonds and options, with analytical methods such as delta-normal VaR and duration-normal VaR and Monte Carlo simulation. The book then moves on to the evaluation of risk models with methods like backtesting, followed by a discussion on stress testing. The book concludes by focussing on the forecasting of risk in very large and uncommon events with extreme value theory and considering the underlying assumptions behind almost every risk model in practical use – that risk is exogenous – and what happens when those assumptions are violated. Every method presented brings together theoretical discussion and derivation of key equations and a discussion of issues in practical implementation. Each method is implemented in both MATLAB and R, two of the most commonly used mathematical programming languages for risk forecasting with which the reader can implement the models illustrated in the book. The book includes four appendices. The first introduces basic concepts in statistics and financial time series referred to throughout the book. The second and third introduce R and MATLAB, providing a discussion of the basic implementation of the software packages. And the final looks at the concept of maximum likelihood, especially issues in implementation and testing. The book is accompanied by a website - www.financialriskforecasting.com – which features downloadable code as used in the book.
Download or read book Neuroeconomics written by Paul W. Glimcher and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2013-08-13 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the years since it first published, Neuroeconomics: Decision Making and the Brain has become the standard reference and textbook in the burgeoning field of neuroeconomics. The second edition, a nearly complete revision of this landmark book, will set a new standard. This new edition features five sections designed to serve as both classroom-friendly introductions to each of the major subareas in neuroeconomics, and as advanced synopses of all that has been accomplished in the last two decades in this rapidly expanding academic discipline. The first of these sections provides useful introductions to the disciplines of microeconomics, the psychology of judgment and decision, computational neuroscience, and anthropology for scholars and students seeking interdisciplinary breadth. The second section provides an overview of how human and animal preferences are represented in the mammalian nervous systems. Chapters on risk, time preferences, social preferences, emotion, pharmacology, and common neural currencies—each written by leading experts—lay out the foundations of neuroeconomic thought. The third section contains both overview and in-depth chapters on the fundamentals of reinforcement learning, value learning, and value representation. The fourth section, "The Neural Mechanisms for Choice, integrates what is known about the decision-making architecture into state-of-the-art models of how we make choices. The final section embeds these mechanisms in a larger social context, showing how these mechanisms function during social decision-making in both humans and animals. The book provides a historically rich exposition in each of its chapters and emphasizes both the accomplishments and the controversies in the field. A clear explanatory style and a single expository voice characterize all chapters, making core issues in economics, psychology, and neuroscience accessible to scholars from all disciplines. The volume is essential reading for anyone interested in neuroeconomics in particular or decision making in general. - Editors and contributing authors are among the acknowledged experts and founders in the field, making this the authoritative reference for neuroeconomics - Suitable as an advanced undergraduate or graduate textbook as well as a thorough reference for active researchers - Introductory chapters on economics, psychology, neuroscience, and anthropology provide students and scholars from any discipline with the keys to understanding this interdisciplinary field - Detailed chapters on subjects that include reinforcement learning, risk, inter-temporal choice, drift-diffusion models, game theory, and prospect theory make this an invaluable reference - Published in association with the Society for Neuroeconomics—www.neuroeconomics.org - Full-color presentation throughout with numerous carefully selected illustrations to highlight key concepts
Download or read book Influence of Urgency on Financial Risk Taking Behavior of Individual Investors written by Pragati Hemrajani and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically examines whether unobserved variable (urgency) is capable of influencing individual investors' financial risk-taking behavior. It further aims to explore the causal relationship from urgency through financial risk tolerance to financial risk-taking behavior. Based on the review of previous studies, two conceptual frameworks (direct effect and indirect effect) followed by a set of hypotheses were developed. A survey was conducted among individual investors (N = 90) with various levels of investment experience, through a structured questionnaire followed by data analysis using Partial Least Squares-Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). The results were found to be significant when examined for both direct and causal pathways thereby suggesting the need for more research aimed at examining the effects of these unobserved variables on financial risk-taking behavior of individuals.
Download or read book Risk Profiling through a Behavioral Finance Lens written by Michael Pompian and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-03-03 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This piece examines risk profiling through a behavioral finance lens. Behavioral finance attempts to understand and explain actual investor behavior, in contrast to theorizing about investor behavior. It differs from traditional (or standard) finance, which is based on assumptions of how investors and markets should behave. Much has been written about the tension that exists between the willingness to take risk and the ability to take risk. Risk appetite is the willingness to take risk and risk capacity is the ability to take risk. In the behavioral context, risk appetite and risk capacity are defined in terms of known risks and unknown risks. Irrational client behavior often occurs when a client experiences unknown risks. To aid in the advisory process, advisors can use Behavioral Investor Types to help make rapid yet insightful assessments of what type of investor they are dealing with before recommending an investment plan. With a better understanding of behavioral finance vis-à-vis risk taking, practitioners can enhance their understanding of client preferences and better inform their recommendations of investment strategies and products.
Download or read book Maximal Prediction of Risk Taking Behavior Using Personality and Socioeconomic Measures written by Harve Else Rawson and published by . This book was released on 1959 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Risk Profiling and Tolerance Insights for the Private Wealth Manager written by Joachim Klement and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2018-05-01 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If risk aversion and willingness to take on risk are driven by emotions and we as humans are bad at correctly identifying them, the finance profession has a serious challenge at hand—how to reliably identify the individual risk profile of a retail investor or high-net-worth individual. In this series of CFA Institute Research Foundation briefs, we have asked academics and practitioners to summarize the current state of knowledge about risk profiling in different key areas.
Download or read book Financial Risk Management and Modeling written by Constantin Zopounidis and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-09-13 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk is the main source of uncertainty for investors, debtholders, corporate managers and other stakeholders. For all these actors, it is vital to focus on identifying and managing risk before making decisions. The success of their businesses depends on the relevance of their decisions and consequently, on their ability to manage and deal with the different types of risk. Accordingly, the main objective of this book is to promote scientific research in the different areas of risk management, aiming at being transversal and dealing with different aspects of risk management related to corporate finance as well as market finance. Thus, this book should provide useful insights for academics as well as professionals to better understand and assess the different types of risk.
Download or read book When I m 64 written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-02-13 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: By 2030 there will be about 70 million people in the United States who are older than 64. Approximately 26 percent of these will be racial and ethnic minorities. Overall, the older population will be more diverse and better educated than their earlier cohorts. The range of late-life outcomes is very dramatic with old age being a significantly different experience for financially secure and well-educated people than for poor and uneducated people. The early mission of behavioral science research focused on identifying problems of older adults, such as isolation, caregiving, and dementia. Today, the field of gerontology is more interdisciplinary. When I'm 64 examines how individual and social behavior play a role in understanding diverse outcomes in old age. It also explores the implications of an aging workforce on the economy. The book recommends that the National Institute on Aging focus its research support in social, personality, and life-span psychology in four areas: motivation and behavioral change; socioemotional influences on decision-making; the influence of social engagement on cognition; and the effects of stereotypes on self and others. When I'm 64 is a useful resource for policymakers, researchers and medical professionals.
Download or read book Investor Behavior written by H. Kent Baker and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-02-10 with total page 645 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: WINNER, Business: Personal Finance/Investing, 2015 USA Best Book Awards FINALIST, Business: Reference, 2015 USA Best Book Awards Investor Behavior provides readers with a comprehensive understanding and the latest research in the area of behavioral finance and investor decision making. Blending contributions from noted academics and experienced practitioners, this 30-chapter book will provide investment professionals with insights on how to understand and manage client behavior; a framework for interpreting financial market activity; and an in-depth understanding of this important new field of investment research. The book should also be of interest to academics, investors, and students. The book will cover the major principles of investor psychology, including heuristics, bounded rationality, regret theory, mental accounting, framing, prospect theory, and loss aversion. Specific sections of the book will delve into the role of personality traits, financial therapy, retirement planning, financial coaching, and emotions in investment decisions. Other topics covered include risk perception and tolerance, asset allocation decisions under inertia and inattention bias; evidenced based financial planning, motivation and satisfaction, behavioral investment management, and neurofinance. Contributions will delve into the behavioral underpinnings of various trading and investment topics including trader psychology, stock momentum, earnings surprises, and anomalies. The final chapters of the book examine new research on socially responsible investing, mutual funds, and real estate investing from a behavioral perspective. Empirical evidence and current literature about each type of investment issue are featured. Cited research studies are presented in a straightforward manner focusing on the comprehension of study findings, rather than on the details of mathematical frameworks.
Download or read book Prediction of Risk Taking Behavior in a Two person Zero sum Game Using Variables Derived from Social Learning Theory written by Herbert Michael Lefcourt and published by . This book was released on 1960 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Risk Taking Behavior written by Jacques Frank Yates and published by . This book was released on 1992-02-18 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Offering contributions from the fields of psychology, economics, medicine and business, this study examines the psychological foundations and ramifications of risk-taking behaviour. It provides recommendations on the encouragement of appropriate risk-taking in a business setting.
Download or read book The Relationship Between Risk Taking Behaviors and Meaning in Life written by Clinton R. Greene and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation study sought to examine the relationship between risk-taking behaviors and meaning in life. A United States sample of adults ranging from 18-40 were surveyed via Amazon's Mechanical Turk platform. Statistical analyses of the relationships between meaning in life group and risk-taking behaviors were assessed using a multivariate analysis of covariance, while treating age as a covariate. Additional statistical analyses of the predictive relationships between variables were assessed through five hierarchical regression models. Results of the study indicated that there were significant group differences for risk-taking behaviors based on meaning in life group. Further examination indicated that there were significant group differences for ethical, financial, and social risk-taking behaviors. Consistent with previous research in risk-taking behaviors and meaning in life, the results also suggest that meaning in life does have a significant predictive relationship with risk-taking behaviors. This study highlights the importance of assessing meaning in life and continuing to expand on the interrelation between presence of meaning and search for meaning on current behavioral functioning. Given that risk-taking behaviors could have negative effects on the individual displaying the behavior, elevate the risk for maladaptive behaviors later in life, and puts others at risk, it becomes apparent that risk-taking behaviors could have lasting negative consequences. Therefore, meaning in life has been identified as a potential protective factor to assess in future research and clinical settings when considering risk-taking motivation or interventions.
Download or read book Powering the Digital Economy Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance written by El Bachir Boukherouaa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.
