Download or read book The Prediction of Criminal Behaviour written by Thomas Gabor and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an introduction to the techniques of predicting criminal behaviour, and the ethical and practical issues surrounding them. It discusses the use of prediction in bail, sentencing, and parole decisions, as well as in the allocation of treatments to offenders and presents a typology of predictive approaches. This typology serves as the framework for a discussion of the various predictive factors, including sex, race and ethnicity, age, personality and intelligence, socio-economic status, criminal history, institutional adjustment, drug and alcohol use, etc. Issues of variable measurement and sampling are reviewed, as are some of the statistical methods used to predict criminality, including the Burgess Method, predictive attributive analysis, multiple regression, multidiscriminant analysis, and log-linear techniques. The book concludes with an evaluation of the potential value of statistical predictions.
Download or read book Predicting Criminal Behavior written by John Lewis Gillin and published by . This book was released on 1952 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Predictive Policing written by Walt L. Perry and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2013-09-23 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Predictive policing is the use of analytical techniques to identify targets for police intervention with the goal of preventing crime, solving past crimes, or identifying potential offenders and victims. These tools are not a substitute for integrated approaches to policing, nor are they a crystal ball. This guide assesses some of the most promising technical tools and tactical approaches for acting on predictions in an effective way.
Download or read book Films from the Future written by Andrew Maynard and published by Mango Media Inc.. This book was released on 2018-11-15 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Deftly shows how a seemingly frivolous film genre can guide us in shaping tomorrow’s world.” —Seth Shostak, senior astronomer, SETI Institute Artificial intelligence, gene manipulation, cloning, and interplanetary travel are all ideas that seemed like fairy tales but a few years ago. And now their possibilities are very much here. But are we ready to handle these advances? This book, by a physicist and expert on responsible technology development, reveals how science fiction movies can help us think about and prepare for the social consequences of technologies we don’t yet have, but that are coming faster than we imagine. Films from the Future looks at twelve movies that take us on a journey through the worlds of biological and genetic manipulation, human enhancement, cyber technologies, and nanotechnology. Readers will gain a broader understanding of the complex relationship between science and society. The movies mix old and new, and the familiar and unfamiliar, to provide a unique, entertaining, and ultimately transformative take on the power of emerging technologies, and the responsibilities they come with.
Download or read book Against Prediction written by Bernard E. Harcourt and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-09-15 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From random security checks at airports to the use of risk assessment in sentencing, actuarial methods are being used more than ever to determine whom law enforcement officials target and punish. And with the exception of racial profiling on our highways and streets, most people favor these methods because they believe they’re a more cost-effective way to fight crime. In Against Prediction, Bernard E. Harcourt challenges this growing reliance on actuarial methods. These prediction tools, he demonstrates, may in fact increase the overall amount of crime in society, depending on the relative responsiveness of the profiled populations to heightened security. They may also aggravate the difficulties that minorities already have obtaining work, education, and a better quality of life—thus perpetuating the pattern of criminal behavior. Ultimately, Harcourt shows how the perceived success of actuarial methods has begun to distort our very conception of just punishment and to obscure alternate visions of social order. In place of the actuarial, he proposes instead a turn to randomization in punishment and policing. The presumption, Harcourt concludes, should be against prediction.
Download or read book Breaking the Cycle written by Felton Earls and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Predicting Criminal Behavior Among Authorized Purchasers of Handguns written by Garen Wintemute and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Study of Factors Predicting Criminal Behavior written by Karen N. Blondin and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Encyclopedia of Research Methods in Criminology and Criminal Justice 2 Volume Set written by J. C. Barnes and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-09-08 with total page 967 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Encyclopedia of RESEARCH METHODS IN CRIMINOLOGY & CRIMINAL JUSTICE The most comprehensive reference work on research designs and methods in criminology and criminal justice This Encyclopedia of Research Methods in Criminology and Criminal Justice offers a comprehensive survey of research methodologies and statistical techniques that are popular in criminology and criminal justice systems across the globe. With contributions from leading scholars and practitioners in the field, it offers a clear insight into the techniques that are currently in use to answer the pressing questions in criminology and criminal justice. The Encyclopedia contains essential information from a diverse pool of authors about research designs grounded in both qualitative and quantitative approaches. It includes information on popular datasets and leading resources of government statistics. In addition, the contributors cover a wide range of topics such as: the most current research on the link between guns and crime, rational choice theory, and the use of technology like geospatial mapping as a crime reduction tool. This invaluable reference work: Offers a comprehensive survey of international research designs, methods, and statistical techniques Includes contributions from leading figures in the field Contains data on criminology and criminal justice from Cambridge to Chicago Presents information on capital punishment, domestic violence, crime science, and much more Helps us to better understand, explain, and prevent crime Written for undergraduate students, graduate students, and researchers, The Encyclopedia of Research Methods in Criminology and Criminal Justice is the first reference work of its kind to offer a comprehensive review of this important topic.
Download or read book Predicting Violent Behavior written by John Monahan and published by SAGE Publications, Incorporated. This book was released on 1981-04 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a review and discussion of existing scientific and technical literature on the prediction of individual violent behaviour. The literature is first used to explain the technical problems and issues associated with such predictions, and then this material is drawn on to illustrate various steps that can be taken to improve reliability.
Download or read book Predicting delinquency and crime written by Sheldon Glueck and published by . This book was released on 1960 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Explaining Measuring and Predicting the Criminal Behavior of High Rate Offenders written by Hannah Sybil Laqueur and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation offers three studies on criminal behavior and criminal risk forecasting. The first two chapters present theoretical models and empirical evidence on the nature and motives of criminal behavior among high risk and high rate offenders and the implications these models have for criminal justice policy. The third chapter is a study of judicial and administrative decision-making with regard to assessments of crime and violence risk. Chapter 1 gives an account of the 1970s and 80s rise and dominance of the policy of incapacitation through incarceration. The chapter describes the deterministic model of criminal behavior underpinning the theory and policy of incapacitation, and the policy implications of recent re-conceptualizations that view criminal behavior much more like other human choices - a question of contingencies and opportunities. The chapter focuses on Franklin Zimring's (2011) account of the New York City crime decline as evidence against the notion that criminal propensities are fixed and predictable over periods of years. Rather, it appears, relatively modest and superficial changes in circumstances and environmental features can lead to vastly different rates of criminal engagement. The second chapter turns to a particular aspect of the New York City crime decline and the question of future criminal risk prediction. Specifically, the chapter examines the more than two decade drop in the rate of prison return for a new felony among New York City offenders. The chapter assesses whether the declining prison return rate is indeed an indicator of significant behavior change, or is a reflection of changes in criminal justice system actor practices. Further, to the extent that the statistics are an indicator of behavior change, the chapter evaluates whether this can interpreted as the result of the changing New York City crime environment over the last two and a half decades, or is better understood as a reflection of changes in the individual criminal propensities of those leaving prison over this period. To tease apart these competing accounts, the chapter analyzes a unique dataset involving individual records of four cohorts of prisoners from New York City released in the years 1990, 1995, 2000, and 2008. The analysis suggests a mixed picture - all three accounts are at work. Finally, the third chapter of the dissertation turns from models of criminal behavior and criminal decision-making, to judges and administrator decisions regarding criminal risk. The chapter uses machine-learning procedures for prediction and causal estimation to analyze release decisions in California Parole hearings for inmates serving life sentences with the possibility of parole. Using an original dataset generated from all parole suitability hearings conducted since 2011 (over 8,000 transcripts), the chapter offers an empirical analysis of the current system, evaluating the rationality, uniformity, and defensibility of the criteria and decision-making applied to each claim for release. Finally, using the parole analysis as proof of concept, the chapter considers the promises and pitfalls of algorithmic assisted decision-making in the criminal justice system.
Download or read book Predicting Criminality Forecasting Behavior on Parole written by Ferris Finley Laune and published by Greenwood. This book was released on 1973 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Prediction in Criminology written by David P. Farrington and published by SUNY Press. This book was released on 1985-09-01 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prediction in Criminology is the first book to bring together a wide variety of articles on prediction research in criminology. It stresses not only substantive findings but also the methodology of prediction research, and demonstrates how similar issues arise in many applications: problems of research design, the choice of predictor and criterion variables, methods of selecting and combining variables into a prediction instrument, measures of predictive efficiency, and external validity or generalizability. The collection includes research from the United States, Canada, and Great Britain and will be of interest to an international audience of policy makers, practitioners, academics, and researchers.
Download or read book Risk Terrain Modeling written by Joel M. Caplan and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2016-06-28 with total page 171 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Imagine using an evidence-based risk management model that enables researchers and practitioners alike to analyze the spatial dynamics of crime, allocate resources, and implement custom crime and risk reduction strategies that are transparent, measurable, and effective. Risk Terrain Modeling (RTM) diagnoses the spatial attractors of criminal behavior and makes accurate forecasts of where crime will occur at the microlevel. RTM informs decisions about how the combined factors that contribute to criminal behavior can be targeted, connections to crime can be monitored, spatial vulnerabilities can be assessed, and actions can be taken to reduce worst effects. As a diagnostic method, RTM offers a statistically valid way to identify vulnerable places. To learn more, visit http://www.riskterrainmodeling.com and begin using RTM with the many free tutorials and resources.
Download or read book Prediction in Criminology written by David P. Farrington and published by State University of New York Press. This book was released on 1985-09-01 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prediction in Criminology is the first book to bring together a wide variety of articles on prediction research in criminology. It stresses not only substantive findings but also the methodology of prediction research, and demonstrates how similar issues arise in many applications: problems of research design, the choice of predictor and criterion variables, methods of selecting and combining variables into a prediction instrument, measures of predictive efficiency, and external validity or generalizability. The collection includes research from the United States, Canada, and Great Britain and will be of interest to an international audience of policy makers, practitioners, academics, and researchers.
Download or read book Predicting Criminal Behavior written by Richard H. Blum and published by . This book was released on 1955 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
