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Book Discussion Paper

Download or read book Discussion Paper written by and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 550 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Modelling Uncertainty in Flood Forecasting Systems

Download or read book Modelling Uncertainty in Flood Forecasting Systems written by Shreeda Maskey and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2004-11-23 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Like all natural hazards, flooding is a complex and inherently uncertain phenomenon. Despite advances in developing flood forecasting models and techniques, the uncertainty in forecasts remains unavoidable. This uncertainty needs to be acknowledged, and uncertainty estimation in flood forecasting provides a rational basis for risk-based criteria. This book presents the development and applications of various methods based on probablity and fuzzy set theories for modelling uncertainty in flood forecasting systems. In particular, it presents a methodology for uncertainty assessment using disaggregation of time series inputs in the framework of both the Monte Carlo method and the Fuzzy Extention Principle. It reports an improvement in the First Order Second Moment method, using second degree reconstruction, and derives qualitative scales for the interpretation of qualitative uncertainty. Application is to flood forecasting models for the Klodzko catchment in POland and the Loire River in France. Prospects for the hybrid techniques of uncertainty modelling and probability-possibility transformations are also explored and reported.

Book Applied Uncertainty Analysis For Flood Risk Management

Download or read book Applied Uncertainty Analysis For Flood Risk Management written by Keith J Beven and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2014-01-13 with total page 685 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume provides an introduction for flood risk management practitioners, up-to-date methods for analysis of uncertainty and its use in risk-based decision making. It addresses decision making for both short-term (real-time forecasting) and long-term (flood risk planning under change) situations. It aims primarily at technical practitioners involved in flood risk analysis and flood warning, including hydrologists, engineers, flood modelers, risk analysts and those involved in the design and operation of flood warning systems. Many experienced practitioners are now expected to modify their way of working to fit into the new philosophy of flood risk management. This volume helps them to undertake that task with appropriate attention to the surrounding uncertainties. The book will also interest and benefit researchers and graduate students hoping to improve their knowledge of modern uncertainty analysis.

Book Geographia Polonica

Download or read book Geographia Polonica written by and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 658 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Economic Effects of Floods

Download or read book The Economic Effects of Floods written by J. P. Brown and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is by now a large literature on the economic aspects of flood control and flood relief policies. The contribution of this paper lies in its careful scrutiny of one single critical aspect of the economics of floods, the choice of land use by a single land owner. We analyze that choice using the methods of dynamic programming, and in particular, we show how that choice is dependent on the probability of floods for his piece of land. The theory we have developed here has been developed in the context of floods. In fact, this work grew out of an empirical study of flood plain damages, when we found that the underlying theory was not yet developed.! In fact, we feel that the theory is of much more general interest. It is a theory of optimal investment choice under uncertainty when that uncertainty is a result of destruction or failure of the investment at a random date. This is the case in flood plains, but it is also the appropriate basic theory for understanding investment decisions in the face of earthquakes, fires, war damage, avalanches, and other kinds of disasters. These are only the more dramatic examples of situations where replacement is required at an uncertain date.

Book Discussion Papers

    Book Details:
  • Author : University of Birmingham. Faculty of Commerce and Social Science
  • Publisher :
  • Release : 1973
  • ISBN :
  • Pages : 54 pages

Download or read book Discussion Papers written by University of Birmingham. Faculty of Commerce and Social Science and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Flood Risk Management  Research and Practice

Download or read book Flood Risk Management Research and Practice written by Paul Samuels and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-10-01 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Floods cause distress and damage wherever and whenever they happen. Flooding from rivers, estuaries and the sea threatens many millions of people worldwide and economic and insurance losses from flooding have increased significantly since 1990. Based on the work of leading researchers, this book provides an overview of advances in this important subject. It covers all aspects of flood risk including the causes of floods; their impacts on people, property and the environment; and portfolios of risk management measurement. Additional topics include climate change, estimation of extremes, flash floods, flood forecasting and warning, inundation modeling, systems analysis, uncertainty, international programs, and flood defense infrastructure and assets. The book also examines environmental, human, and social impacts; vulnerability and resilience; risk sharing; and civil contingency planning and emergency management.

Book Hydrologic and Economic Uncertainties and Their Incorporation Into the Economic Evaluation of Flood Risk Management Projects

Download or read book Hydrologic and Economic Uncertainties and Their Incorporation Into the Economic Evaluation of Flood Risk Management Projects written by Ahmed Al-Futaisi and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Financial Management of Flood Risk

Download or read book Financial Management of Flood Risk written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2016-07-29 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Disasters present a broad range of human, social, financial, economic and environmental impacts, with potentially long-lasting effects. This report applies the lessons from the OECD’s analysis of disaster risk financing practices and its risk guidance to the specific case of floods.

Book Selected Water Resources Abstracts

Download or read book Selected Water Resources Abstracts written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 630 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Flood Risk Assessment and Management

Download or read book Flood Risk Assessment and Management written by Andreas H. Schumann and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-10-15 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Flood catastrophes which happened world-wide have shown that it is not sufficient to characterize the hazard caused by the natural phenomenon "flood" with the well-known 3M-approach (measuring, mapping and modelling). Due to the recent shift in paradigms from a safety oriented approach to risk based planning it became necessary to consider the harmful impacts of hazards. The planning tasks changed from attempts to minimise hazards towards interventions to reduce exposure or susceptibility and nowadays to enhance the capacities to increase resilience. Scientific interest shifts more and more towards interdisciplinary approaches, which are needed to avoid disaster. This book deals with many aspects of flood risk management in a comprehensive way. As risks depend on hazard and vulnerabilities, not only geophysical tools for flood forecasting and planning are presented, but also socio-economic problems of flood management are discussed. Starting with precipitation and meteorological tools to its forecasting, hydrological models are described in their applications for operational flood forecasts, considering model uncertainties and their interactions with hydraulic and groundwater models. With regard to flood risk planning, regionalization aspects and the options to utilize historic floods are discussed. New hydrological tools for flood risk assessments for dams and reservoirs are presented. Problems and options to quantify socio-economic risks and how to consider them in multi-criteria assessments of flood risk planning are discussed. This book contributes to the contemporary efforts to reduce flood risk at the European scale. Using many real-world examples, it is useful for scientists and practitioners at different levels and with different interests.

Book Research and Publications

Download or read book Research and Publications written by University of Birmingham. University Research Committee and published by . This book was released on 1972 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Economic Aspects of Integrated Flood Management

Download or read book Economic Aspects of Integrated Flood Management written by and published by Associated Programme. This book was released on 2007 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: