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Book On the Long Memory Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models

Download or read book On the Long Memory Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models written by Sai-Shing Ma and published by . This book was released on 2017-01-26 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "On the Long Memory Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models" by Sai-shing, Ma, 馬世晟, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: In financial markets, transaction durations refer to the duration time between two consecutive trades. It is common that more frequent trades are expected to be followed by shorter durations between consecutive transactions, while less frequent trades are expected to be followed by longer durations. Autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model was developed to model transaction durations, based on the assumption that the expected average duration is dependent on the past durations. Empirically, transaction durations possess much longer memory than expected. The autocorrelation functions of durations decay slowly and are still significant after a large number of lags. Therefore, the fractionally integrated autoregressive conditional duration (FIACD) model was proposed to model this kind of long memory behavior. The ACD model possesses short memory as the dependence of the past durations will die out exponentially. The FIACD model possesses much longer memory as the dependence of the past durations will decay hyperbolically. However, the modeling result would be misleading if the actual dependence of the past durations decays between exponential rate and hyperbolic rate. Neither of these models can truly reveal the memory properties in this case. This thesis proposes a new duration model, named as the hyperbolic autoregressive conditional duration (HYACD) model, which combines the ACD model and the FIACD model into one. It possesses both short memory and long memory properties and allows the dependence of the past durations to decay between the exponential rate and the hyperbolic rate. It also indicates whether the dependence is close to short memory or long memory. The model is applied to the transaction data of AT&T and McDonald stocks traded on NYSE and statistically positive results are obtained when it is compared to the ACD model and the FIACD model. DOI: 10.5353/th_b5185908 Subjects: Autoregression (Statistics) Time-series analysis

Book Time Series with Long Memory

Download or read book Time Series with Long Memory written by Peter M. Robinson and published by Advanced Texts in Econometrics. This book was released on 2003 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Long memory time series are characterized by a strong dependence between distant events.

Book Continuous Time Econometric Modelling

Download or read book Continuous Time Econometric Modelling written by Albert Rex Bergstrom and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1990 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Long Memory in Economics

Download or read book Long Memory in Economics written by Gilles Teyssière and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-09-22 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assembles three different strands of long memory analysis: statistical literature on the properties of, and tests for, LRD processes; mathematical literature on the stochastic processes involved; and models from economic theory providing plausible micro foundations for the occurrence of long memory in economics.

Book Long Memory Time Series

Download or read book Long Memory Time Series written by Wilfredo Palma and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-04-27 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A self-contained, contemporary treatment of the analysis of long-range dependent data Long-Memory Time Series: Theory and Methods provides an overview of the theory and methods developed to deal with long-range dependent data and describes the applications of these methodologies to real-life time series. Systematically organized, it begins with the foundational essentials, proceeds to the analysis of methodological aspects (Estimation Methods, Asymptotic Theory, Heteroskedastic Models, Transformations, Bayesian Methods, and Prediction), and then extends these techniques to more complex data structures. To facilitate understanding, the book: Assumes a basic knowledge of calculus and linear algebra and explains the more advanced statistical and mathematical concepts Features numerous examples that accelerate understanding and illustrate various consequences of the theoretical results Proves all theoretical results (theorems, lemmas, corollaries, etc.) or refers readers to resources with further demonstration Includes detailed analyses of computational aspects related to the implementation of the methodologies described, including algorithm efficiency, arithmetic complexity, CPU times, and more Includes proposed problems at the end of each chapter to help readers solidify their understanding and practice their skills A valuable real-world reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, economerics, finance, and related fields, this book is also excellent for a beginning graduate-level course in long-memory processes or as a supplemental textbook for those studying advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, or physics. A companion Web site is available for readers to access the S-Plus and R data sets used within the text.

Book Parameter Estimation in Stochastic Volatility Models

Download or read book Parameter Estimation in Stochastic Volatility Models written by Jaya P. N. Bishwal and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-08-06 with total page 634 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book develops alternative methods to estimate the unknown parameters in stochastic volatility models, offering a new approach to test model accuracy. While there is ample research to document stochastic differential equation models driven by Brownian motion based on discrete observations of the underlying diffusion process, these traditional methods often fail to estimate the unknown parameters in the unobserved volatility processes. This text studies the second order rate of weak convergence to normality to obtain refined inference results like confidence interval, as well as nontraditional continuous time stochastic volatility models driven by fractional Levy processes. By incorporating jumps and long memory into the volatility process, these new methods will help better predict option pricing and stock market crash risk. Some simulation algorithms for numerical experiments are provided.

Book Long Memory  Realized Volatility and Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models

Download or read book Long Memory Realized Volatility and Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models written by Richard Baillie and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The presence of long memory in realized volatility () is a widespread stylized fact. The origins of long memory in have been attributed to jumps, structural breaks, contemporaneous aggregation, nonlinearities, or pure long memory. An important development has been the heterogeneous autoregressive () model and its extensions. This article assesses the separate roles of fractionally integrated long memory models, extended models and time varying parameter models. We find that the presence of the long memory parameter is often important in addition to the models.

Book Time Series Analysis with Long Memory in View

Download or read book Time Series Analysis with Long Memory in View written by Uwe Hassler and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2018-09-07 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a simple exposition of the basic time series material, and insights into underlying technical aspects and methods of proof Long memory time series are characterized by a strong dependence between distant events. This book introduces readers to the theory and foundations of univariate time series analysis with a focus on long memory and fractional integration, which are embedded into the general framework. It presents the general theory of time series, including some issues that are not treated in other books on time series, such as ergodicity, persistence versus memory, asymptotic properties of the periodogram, and Whittle estimation. Further chapters address the general functional central limit theory, parametric and semiparametric estimation of the long memory parameter, and locally optimal tests. Intuitive and easy to read, Time Series Analysis with Long Memory in View offers chapters that cover: Stationary Processes; Moving Averages and Linear Processes; Frequency Domain Analysis; Differencing and Integration; Fractionally Integrated Processes; Sample Means; Parametric Estimators; Semiparametric Estimators; and Testing. It also discusses further topics. This book: Offers beginning-of-chapter examples as well as end-of-chapter technical arguments and proofs Contains many new results on long memory processes which have not appeared in previous and existing textbooks Takes a basic mathematics (Calculus) approach to the topic of time series analysis with long memory Contains 25 illustrative figures as well as lists of notations and acronyms Time Series Analysis with Long Memory in View is an ideal text for first year PhD students, researchers, and practitioners in statistics, econometrics, and any application area that uses time series over a long period. It would also benefit researchers, undergraduates, and practitioners in those areas who require a rigorous introduction to time series analysis.

Book Modelling Irregularly Spaced Financial Data

Download or read book Modelling Irregularly Spaced Financial Data written by Nikolaus Hautsch and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-01-07 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a methodological framework to model univariate and multivariate irregularly spaced financial data. It gives a thorough review of recent developments in the econometric literature, puts forward existing approaches and opens up new directions. The book presents alternative ways to model so-called financial point processes using dynamic duration as well as intensity models and discusses their ability to account for specific features of point process data, like the occurrence of time-varying covariates, censoring mechanisms and multivariate structures. Moreover, it illustrates the use of various types of financial point processes to model financial market activity from different viewpoints and to construct volatility and liquidity measures under explicit consideration of the passing trading time.

Book Econometrics of Financial High Frequency Data

Download or read book Econometrics of Financial High Frequency Data written by Nikolaus Hautsch and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-10-12 with total page 381 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The availability of financial data recorded on high-frequency level has inspired a research area which over the last decade emerged to a major area in econometrics and statistics. The growing popularity of high-frequency econometrics is driven by technological progress in trading systems and an increasing importance of intraday trading, liquidity risk, optimal order placement as well as high-frequency volatility. This book provides a state-of-the art overview on the major approaches in high-frequency econometrics, including univariate and multivariate autoregressive conditional mean approaches for different types of high-frequency variables, intensity-based approaches for financial point processes and dynamic factor models. It discusses implementation details, provides insights into properties of high-frequency data as well as institutional settings and presents applications to volatility and liquidity estimation, order book modelling and market microstructure analysis.

Book Towards Tree level Evapotranspiration Estimation with Small UAVs in Precision Agriculture

Download or read book Towards Tree level Evapotranspiration Estimation with Small UAVs in Precision Agriculture written by Haoyu Niu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-10-27 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimating evapotranspiration (ET) has been one of the most critical research areas in agriculture because of water scarcity, the growing population, and climate change. The accurate estimation and mapping of ET are necessary for crop water management. Traditionally, researchers use water balance, soil moisture, weighing lysimeters, or an energy balance approach, such as Bowen ratio or eddy covariance towers to estimate ET. However, these ET methods are point-specific or area-weighted measurements and cannot be extended to a large scale. On the other hand, while remote sensing is able to provide spatially distributed measurements, the spatial resolution of multispectral satellite images is often not enough for crops with clumped canopy structures, such as trees and vines. Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) can mitigate these spatial and temporal limitations. Lightweight cameras and sensors can be mounted on the UAVs and take high-resolution images. Unlike satellite imagery, the spatial resolution of the UAV images can be at the centimeter-level. UAVs can also fly on-demand, which provides high temporal imagery. This book examines the different UAV-based approaches of ET estimation. Models and algorithms, such as mapping evapotranspiration at high resolution with internalized calibration (METRIC), the two-source energy balance (TSEB) model, and machine learning (ML) are discussed. It also covers the challenges and opportunities for UAVs in ET estimation, with the final chapters devoted to new ET estimation methods and their potential applications for future research.

Book The Application of Econophysics

Download or read book The Application of Econophysics written by Hideki Takayasu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Econophysics is a newborn field of science bridging economics and physics. A special feature of this new science is the data analysis of high-precision market data. In economics arbitrage opportunity is strictly denied; however, by observing high-precision data we can prove the existence of arbitrage opportunity. Also, financial technology neglects the possibility of market prediction; however, in this book you can find many examples of predicted events. There are other surprising findings. This volume is the proceedings of a workshop on "application of econophysics" at which leading international researchers discussed their most recent results.

Book Advances in Time Series Methods and Applications

Download or read book Advances in Time Series Methods and Applications written by Wai Keung Li and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-12-02 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume reviews and summarizes some of A. I. McLeod's significant contributions to time series analysis. It also contains original contributions to the field and to related areas by participants of the festschrift held in June 2014 and friends of Dr. McLeod. Covering a diverse range of state-of-the-art topics, this volume well balances applied and theoretical research across fourteen contributions by experts in the field. It will be of interest to researchers and practitioners in time series, econometricians, and graduate students in time series or econometrics, as well as environmental statisticians, data scientists, statisticians interested in graphical models, and researchers in quantitative risk management.

Book Long Memory in the Volatility of Indian Financial Market  An Empirical Analysis Based on Indian Data

Download or read book Long Memory in the Volatility of Indian Financial Market An Empirical Analysis Based on Indian Data written by Dilip Kumar and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2014-04-01 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the long memory characteristics in the volatility of the Indian stock market, the Indian exchange rates and the Indian banking sector. This book also reviews the chain of approaches to estimate the long memory parameter. The long memory characteristics of the financial time series are widely studied and have implications for various economics and finance theories. The most important financial implication is related to the violation of the weak-form of market efficiency which encourages the traders, investors and portfolio managers to develop models for making predictions and to construct and implement speculative trading and investment strategies. In an efficient market, the price of an asset should follow a random walk process in which the price change is unaffected by ist lagged price changes and has no memory.

Book Financial Econometrics  Bayesian Analysis  Quantum Uncertainty  and Related Topics

Download or read book Financial Econometrics Bayesian Analysis Quantum Uncertainty and Related Topics written by Nguyen Ngoc Thach and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-05-28 with total page 865 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book overviews latest ideas and developments in financial econometrics, with an emphasis on how to best use prior knowledge (e.g., Bayesian way) and how to best use successful data processing techniques from other application areas (e.g., from quantum physics). The book also covers applications to economy-related phenomena ranging from traditionally analyzed phenomena such as manufacturing, food industry, and taxes, to newer-to-analyze phenomena such as cryptocurrencies, influencer marketing, COVID-19 pandemic, financial fraud detection, corruption, and shadow economy. This book will inspire practitioners to learn how to apply state-of-the-art Bayesian, quantum, and related techniques to economic and financial problems and inspire researchers to further improve the existing techniques and come up with new techniques for studying economic and financial phenomena. The book will also be of interest to students interested in latest ideas and results.

Book Predicting Bid Ask Spreads Using Long Memory Autoregressive Conditional Poisson Models

Download or read book Predicting Bid Ask Spreads Using Long Memory Autoregressive Conditional Poisson Models written by Axel Groß-Klußmann and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: