Download or read book Non linear Causality Between the Stock and Real Estate Markets written by Chi Wei Su and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2013 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the last few years, the relationship between real estate and stock markets has always been the hot topic not only in China, but also in western countries. The identification of such relationship is critical for both investors in these two markets and policymakers who need such information prior the designing of a national growth strategy. Traditional linear methods, such as Granger causality test and cointegration test, are already found not capable to catch the essence of the complex reality. Therefore, this book uses the asymmetrical threshold cointegration test and the non-parametric rank test to investigate whether any significant relationship and asymmetric adjustment exists between real estate and stock markets in China and Western European countries. This book should help shed light on the study of economic events, and also is useful to anyone who is interested in the application of econometric methods.

Download or read book The Causal Relationship between Real Estate and Stock Markets written by John Okunev and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the dynamic relationship that exists between the US real estate and Samp;P 500 stock markets between the years of 1972 to 1998. This is achieved by conducting both linear and nonlinear casuality tests. The results from these tests provide a number of interesting observations which primarily show linear relationships to be spuriously affected by structural shifts which are inherent within the data. Linear test results generally show a uni-directional relationship to exist from the real estate market to the stock market. However, these results are not consistent with financial theory and for all sub-samples of the data. In contrast, the nonlinear causality test shows a strong unidirectional relationship running from the stock market to the real estate market, and is consistent in the presence of any structural breaks.

Download or read book Using Non Linear Tests to Examine Integration between Real Estate and Stock Markets written by John Okunev and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study we present an alternative approach to test whether the real estate and stock markets are cointegrated. We develop a nonlinear test which allows for a stochastic trend term as opposed to a deterministic drift term. This is a reasonable approach, because if the real estate market is related to the stock market then it is desirable to incorporate the stochastic nature of the stock market into the model. We compare the results of the nonlinear model to the results obtained using conventional cointegration tests. The cointegration results support the view that the real estate and stock markets are segmented, whereas the nonlinear model supports the view that the markets are fractionally integrated. A possible reason for this apparent discrepancy between the results could be due to the underlying assumption of a linear relationship between the variables. It is possible that the tests of cointegration will reject that the two variables are related even though the relationship may be nonlinear.

Download or read book Empirical Finance written by Shigeyuki Hamori and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-03-25 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is no denying the role of empirical research in finance and the remarkable progress of empirical techniques in this research field. This Special Issue focuses on the broad topic of “Empirical Finance” and includes novel empirical research associated with financial data. One example includes the application of novel empirical techniques, such as machine learning, data mining, wavelet transform, copula analysis, and TV-VAR, to financial data. The Special Issue includes contributions on empirical finance, such as algorithmic trading, market efficiency, market microstructure, portfolio theory and asset allocation, asset pricing models, liquidity risk premium, currency crisis, return predictability, and volatility modeling.

Download or read book An Asian Direct and Indirect Real Estate Investment Analysis written by Kim Hin David HO and published by Partridge Publishing Singapore. This book was released on 2021-05-04 with total page 858 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is dedicated to real estate scholastic work, in advancing the greater understanding of real estate investment analysis. This is because there has been limited research in bringing out clearly the uncertainty or risk, which is quantifiable uncertainty in real estate market analysis. Even real estate market research, which is carried out as an industry practice among private real estate researches, is no exception. Another reason is that it has been widely accepted that while the financial revolution has substantially changed many sectors of the financial industry, it has made little impact on real estate development and investment practice as Ill as scholastic work. Furthermore, while it is readily acknowledged that despite its huge share in the world Ialth, real estate investment discipline and research is on the whole still a poorly researched subject area. As a result, the industry tends to be dominated by traditional real estate analysts with little understanding of real estate market uncertainty and capital markets. These commentators are widely regarded to spend too much time worrying about local space supply and demand conditions, while totally losing sight of the everchanging real estate market and capital market conditions. The theme of this book is real estate investment analysis of direct and indirect real, which in turn can be appropriately managed under economic theory and the theoretical conceptions of real estate finance, provided the uncertainty is quantifiable. The book deploys case studies involving Singapore and Asia. This Black over White background viii framework enables real estate market analysis to attempt what defines the Asian direct and indirect real estate sectors; what is being measured; how it behaves (in terms of price and non-price factors); how it is structured and how it effectively achieves the objectives of sustainable total returns and manageable real estate market uncertainty. Managing real estate market uncertainty optimally is achieved at the portfolio level through real estate asset allocation. This is important because the real estate portfolio is able to virtually eliminate the unique (i.e. specific) uncertainties among the various Asian real estate sectors; thus retaining within the portfolio only the systemic (i.e. market-wide) uncertainty. Apart from real estate asset allocation, the alternative and modern approach to risk management at the portfolio level, is the value-at-risk (VaR) approach. Another modern and important alternative to coping with uncertainty is real option analysis and pricing that help to better define real estate market uncertainty in extent and time. Real option analysis and pricing also represent uncertainty via a decision tree and the risk-neutral probability conception, in order to comprehend how uncertainty impacts on the value of real estate investment decisions. The pricing of uncertainty is based on the risk-free hedge security conception. These are best examined at the micro level of the investment in a real estate development opportunity on vacant land. Nevertheless, the real estate sectors in Singapore and Asia offer promising prospects since the Asian currency crisis of 1997. It is now timely to take stock and make an assessment of how the sectors would pan out for the future, Ill into at least rest the next century. I are very pleased to present our thinking and research in international real estate with particular emphasis on Asia. The region’s vast potential for real estate is itself a large incentive for international real estate research and education that has inspired me to document the significant work I have done over the years. Black over White background ix I wish all readers a pleasurable reading of this book, and I thank you sincerely for your support without which the publication of this book would be made all the more difficult. Dr HO, Kim Hin / David Honorary Professor (University of Hertfordshire, UK) (International Real Estate & Public Policy) March 2021.

Download or read book The Chinese Capital Markets written by Chris Adcock and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2020-12-17 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the past China’s capital market featured prevalent state ownership and a weak legal environment. It has, however, achieved very substantial development in the past two decades. China has surpassed Japan as the world’s second-largest stock market and has also emerged as a leading player in green bonds and Fintech markets. The chapters in this book provide insights on Chinese listed firms and advance the understanding of China’s unique institutions. Some important questions are covered including the governance role of foreign investors in partially privatized firms, the financial implications of political connections, the "Chinese model" of commercial banks and regulatory reforms that promote the marketization of the stock markets, among others. These studies have important implications for other emerging economies, on the recent China-US trade conflicts and about the Trump administration's complaints about the role of the Chinese government in capital markets. This book selectively includes the most influential articles from two special issues of The European Journal of Finance, which were based on selections of papers presented at a series of conferences on the Chinese Capital Markets.

Download or read book International Nonlinear Causality between Stock Markets written by Michel A. R. Beine and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we test for linear and nonlinear Granger causality between the French, German, Japanese, UK and US daily stock index returns from 1973 to 2003. To avoid spurious nonlinear causality, we filter out heteroskedasticity using a FIGARCH model and control for multiple structural breaks. We document the presence of bidirectional nonlinear causality but a large part can be explained by heteroskedasticity and structural changes.

Download or read book Linear and Nonlinear Granger Causality written by Abhay Abhyankar and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several studies have observed a lead-lag relationship between stock index futures and the cash market returns relying largely on the traditional linear tests for Granger causality. Recent research however suggests evidence of nonlinearities in futures and cash market returns. In this study, matched five minute returns from the S amp; P 500 and the FT-SE 100 index futures and cash markets are examined for the presence of both linear and nonlinear causality. Tests for nonlinear Granger causality are based on a methodology recently developed by Baek and Brock. The results of the linear causality tests are similar to those reported in the previous literature. However, the nonlinear Granger causality tests suggest strong evidence of a bi-directional nonlinear causation. The results emphasize the utility of the Baek-Brock test in exploring dynamic asset pricing relationships and point toward a possible misspecification of the forward pricing model.

Download or read book Noneparametric methods in economics and finance dependence causality and prediction written by Valentyn Panchenko and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2004 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Co Movement and Causality Between the U S Real Estate and Stock Markets in the Time and Frequency Domains written by Tsangyao Chang and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study applies wavelet analysis to examine the relationship between the U.S. real estate and stock markets over the period 1890-2012. Wavelet analysis allows the simultaneous examination of co-movement and causality between the two markets in both the time and frequency domains. Our findings provide robust evidence that co-movement and causality vary across frequencies and evolve with time. Examining market co-movement in the time domain, the two markets exhibit positive co-movement over recent past decades, exception for 1998-2002 when a high negative co-movement emerged. In the frequency domain, the two markets correlate with each other mainly at low frequencies (longer term), except in the second half of the 1900s as well as in 1998-2002, when the two markets correlate at high frequencies (shorter term). In addition, we find that the causal effects between the markets in the frequency domain occur generally at low frequencies (longer term). In the time-domain, the time-varying nature of long-run causalities implies structural changes in the two markets. These findings provide a more complete picture of the relationship between the U.S. real estate and stock markets over time and frequency, offering important implications for policymakers and practitioners.

Download or read book The Co movement and Causality Between the US Real Estate and Stock Markets in the Time and Frequency Domains written by and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book A Wavelet Based Study of Systematic Risk written by Kim Hiang Liow and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study, we examine the dynamics of real estate local and global betas using a novel approach - wavelet analysis on nine Asia-Pacific and the US public real estate markets from January 1995 to June 2016. Specifically, Wavelets are localized in both time and scale, and can be used to filter data up into different frequency components. We appeal to the continuous wavelet transform to estimate the two real estate betas across the usual three investment horizons (short-run, medium-term and long-run), as well analyze their dynamic causality relations in asset pricing from the time-frequency perspective. The main empirical insight is that both real estate local beta and real estate global beta coefficients have a time-scale tendency in sample real estate markets. Their joint market risk increases in the long-run at both the local and global levels. The causal relationship between the real estate local/global betas of the US and Asian real estate markets is the strongest at longer time horizons. Moreover, there is non-linear causal relationship between real estate global beta and real estate local beta in all three investment horizons, with a strong feedback relationship exists between the two real estate beta measures in the medium-term for 80% of the sample real estate markets. A better understanding regarding the implications for real estate capital market securitization and market integration at the local and international levels has become important because international financial markets have become increasingly interdependent with continuing liberalization of cross-border capital flows.

Download or read book Linear and Non Linear Financial Econometrics written by Mehmet Terzioğlu and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2021-03-17 with total page 339 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The importance of experimental economics and econometric methods increases with each passing day as data quality and software performance develops. New econometric models are developed by diverging from earlier cliché econometric models with the emergence of specialized fields of study. This book, which is expected to be an extensive and useful reference by bringing together some of the latest developments in the field of econometrics, also contains quantitative examples and problem sets. We thank all the authors who contributed to this book with their studies that provide extensive and accessible explanations of the existing econometric methods.

Download or read book Land Management Economics written by Kim Hin Ho and published by Partridge Publishing Singapore. This book was released on 2020-07-21 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is concerned with a unique, overall land policy optimization model, under active government policy, resulting in the sustainable effectiveness and efficiency of land policy. Such a model distinguishes it from the highly specific urban-planning land use optimization model, meant for optimizing land use specification, strategic land uses, land use restrictions and control, like zoning. Policy input is concerned with a hierarchical and structural definition of policy while ‘Additionality’ looks at land-policy output (outcome) variables, impacting broader land policy efficiency and effectiveness goals, their associated output indicators and the interaction with the macroeconomy. Long run urban policy-macroeconomy interaction is modeled in a contemporaneous cointegration model estimation, involving different sectors of the economy. The model looks at the equilibrium and optimal land-using economic activities. A dynamic interaction of land policy outcomes and their economic implications is discussed via cointegration tests and modelling. This book develops a rigorous system-dynamics-based computable general equilibrium model for direct real estate market uncertainty i.e. the frequent mismatch between office demand and supply under the impact of limited land constraint, the domestic common stock market, the macro economy and macroeconomic policy. Such dynamic interaction is structured under the demand-side and supply-side aspects. The book looks at the binomial option-pricing model by Cox, Ross and Rubinstein, to model the risk-neutral process for short term interest rates, common stock prices and Housing & Development Board (HDB) resale flat prices. Singapore’s Main Upgrading Program (MUP) is a heavily subsidized and highly targeted. Since 1992, the HDB has budgeted some S$3 billion to finance the MUP policy. A positive impact is the asset value enhancement of the HDB flats within the upgraded precincts. MUP subsidies vary significantly with the corresponding option premium. A 3-Room HDB flat owner is more inclined to opt for upgrading while the option premium is deemed to be less attractive for upgrading by the 4-Room HDB flat owner. Residents’ satisfaction level with town council (TC) services are examined, under different political parties. The concern is to ascertain a housing finance model, which analyzes the affordability of household borrowers for purchasing resale public housing. With Central Provident funds (CPF) usage, total interest paid over the loan life is significantly reduced. CPF as a financial buffer significantly reduce default risks for lender and household borrower.

Download or read book Proceedings of the 21st International Symposium on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate written by K. W. Chau and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-12-18 with total page 1500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the proceedings of CRIOCM_2016, 21st International Conference on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate, sharing the latest developments in real estate and construction management around the globe. The conference was organized by the Chinese Research Institute of Construction Management (CRIOCM) working in close collaboration with the University of Hong Kong. Written by international academics and professionals, the proceedings discuss the latest achievements, research findings and advances in frontier disciplines in the field of construction management and real estate. Covering a wide range of topics, including building information modelling, big data, geographic information systems, housing policies, management of infrastructure projects, occupational health and safety, real estate finance and economics, urban planning, and sustainability, the discussions provide valuable insights into the implementation of advanced construction project management and the real estate market in China and abroad. The book is an outstanding reference resource for academics and professionals alike.

Download or read book Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling written by Elisa Luciano and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-10-16 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Measurement is a challenging task, because both the types of risk and the techniques evolve very quickly. This book collects a number of novel contributions to the measurement of financial risk, which address either non-fully explored risks or risk takers, and does so in a wide variety of empirical contexts.

Download or read book Using Non linear Tests to Examine Integration Between Real Estate and Equity Markets written by John Okunev and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: