Download or read book Uses and Abuses of Forecasting written by Tom Whiston and published by Springer. This book was released on 1979-06-17 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Download or read book Controlling Industrial Economies written by Stephen F. Frowen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-12-30 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Learning from SARS written by Institute of Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2004-04-26 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in late 2002 and 2003 challenged the global public health community to confront a novel epidemic that spread rapidly from its origins in southern China until it had reached more than 25 other countries within a matter of months. In addition to the number of patients infected with the SARS virus, the disease had profound economic and political repercussions in many of the affected regions. Recent reports of isolated new SARS cases and a fear that the disease could reemerge and spread have put public health officials on high alert for any indications of possible new outbreaks. This report examines the response to SARS by public health systems in individual countries, the biology of the SARS coronavirus and related coronaviruses in animals, the economic and political fallout of the SARS epidemic, quarantine law and other public health measures that apply to combating infectious diseases, and the role of international organizations and scientific cooperation in halting the spread of SARS. The report provides an illuminating survey of findings from the epidemic, along with an assessment of what might be needed in order to contain any future outbreaks of SARS or other emerging infections.

Download or read book Employment Output and Inflation written by Andrew J. Britton and published by Heinemann Educational Publishers. This book was released on 1983 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic research essays on an economic model for policy analysis and forecasting of short term fluctuations in employment, productivity and inflation in the UK - discusses the theoretical background and methodology, partic. Model Six forecasting technique for the analysis of consumer expenditure, investment, trade, wages and prices, exchange rate, petroleum production, tax revenue and financial market; outlines the use of the model in economic forecasting and simulation. Graphs and references.

Download or read book Economic Forecasting written by Terence C. Mills and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1999 with total page 562 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a collection of over 50 articles on economic forecasting. Topics cover: macroeconomic forecasting and policy-making; time series forecasting; the econometrics of forecasting; forecast evaluation; forecasting with leading indicators; and forecasting using surveys.

Download or read book World Econonomic and Financial Surveys 1988 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1988-01-01 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the World Economic Outlook forecasting record for the principal performance indicators for the major industrial countries and corresponding aggregates and for groups of non-oil developing countries. Several criteria were used in evaluating the forecasts: the computation and evaluation of various summary statistics of forecast accuracy, bias, and efficiency; comparisons with alternative forecasts—naive forecasts and forecasts produced by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and by national forecasting agencies; the examination of turning-point errors and forecast performance in defined episodes; and, finally, some attempt to explain forecast error in terms of unanticipated developments in policy variables and oil prices. In judging the forecast performance of the World Economic Outlook, a number of points must be kept in mind. Most important, it has to be recognized that the period since the inception of the World Economic Outlook as a regular forecasting exercise has been extraordinarily rich in economic upheavals, which have made the odds against accurate forecasting formidable.

Download or read book Statistical News written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Developments in British official statistics.

Download or read book Understanding Economic Forecasts written by David F. Hendry and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2003 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to interpret and evaluate economic forecasts and the uncertainties inherent in them.

Download or read book Report written by United Nations. Economic and Social Council. Delegation from the United States and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Gross National Product Data Improvement Project Report written by United States. Advisory Committee on Gross National Product Data Improvement and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Gross National Product Data Improvement Project written by United States. Advisory Committee on Gross National Product Data Improvement and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The National Institute on Aging Macroeconomic demographic Model written by and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Office for Budget Responsibility Economic and Fiscal Outlook Cm 8748 written by Office for Budget Responsibility and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2013-12-05 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Office for Budget Responsibility reports that the UK economy has picked up more strongly in 2013 than expected in its March forecast. Private consumption and housing investment have grown whilst business investment and net trade continue to disappoint. The forecast for GDP growth in 2013 is revised up to 1.4 per cent, but this is not expected to be maintained in 2014 as productivity and real earnings growth remain weak. The positive growth is judged to be cyclical, reducing the amount of spare capacity in the economy, rather than indicating stronger underlying growth potential. Productivity-driven growth in real earnings is necessary to sustain the recovery and the outlook for productivity growth is the key uncertainty. Nevertheless, the forecast for growth in 2014 is now 2.4 per cent. Public sector net borrowing (PSNB) - the gap between what the Government spends and raises in revenue - is forecast to be £111.2 billion this year, £8.6 billion lower than the March forecast and £3.8 billion lower than in 2012-13. Underlying PSNB is estimated to have fallen by a third between 2009-10 and 2012-13, the pace of reduction slowing in 2012-13. The employment forecast is now expected to reach 31.2 million in 2018, with unemployment falling steadily over the coming years, reaching 7 per cent in mid-2015 and 6 per cent by the end of 2017. CPI inflation is forecast to fall back to the Bank of England's 2 per cent target during 2016 whilst house price inflation is revised upwards, expected to be above 5 per cent in 2014 and 7 per cent in 2015.

Download or read book Monthly Labor Review written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Publishes in-depth articles on labor subjects, current labor statistics, information about current labor contracts, and book reviews.

Download or read book Statistical Reference Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 1056 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book APAIS 1992 Australian public affairs information service written by and published by National Library Australia. This book was released on with total page 1098 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: