Download or read book Monitoring Systemic Risk Basedon Dynamic Thresholds written by Mr.Kasper Lund-Jensen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-06-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Successful implementation of macroprudential policy is contingent on the ability to identify and estimate systemic risk in real time. In this paper, systemic risk is defined as the conditional probability of a systemic banking crisis and this conditional probability is modeled in a fixed effect binary response model framework. The model structure is dynamic and is designed for monitoring as the systemic risk forecasts only depend on data that are available in real time. Several risk factors are identified and it is hereby shown that the level of systemic risk contains a predictable component which varies through time. Furthermore, it is shown how the systemic risk forecasts map into crisis signals and how policy thresholds are derived in this framework. Finally, in an out-of-sample exercise, it is shown that the systemic risk estimates provided reliable early warning signals ahead of the recent financial crisis for several economies.
Download or read book Monitoring Systemic Risk Basedon Dynamic Thresholds written by Mr.Kasper Lund-Jensen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-06-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Successful implementation of macroprudential policy is contingent on the ability to identify and estimate systemic risk in real time. In this paper, systemic risk is defined as the conditional probability of a systemic banking crisis and this conditional probability is modeled in a fixed effect binary response model framework. The model structure is dynamic and is designed for monitoring as the systemic risk forecasts only depend on data that are available in real time. Several risk factors are identified and it is hereby shown that the level of systemic risk contains a predictable component which varies through time. Furthermore, it is shown how the systemic risk forecasts map into crisis signals and how policy thresholds are derived in this framework. Finally, in an out-of-sample exercise, it is shown that the systemic risk estimates provided reliable early warning signals ahead of the recent financial crisis for several economies.
Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin September 2012 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-09-21 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The research summaries in the September 2012 issue of the IMF Research Bulletin are "Surges in Capital Flows: Why History Repeats Itself" (by Mahvash S. Qureshi) and "The LIC-BRIC Linkage: Growth Spillovers" (by Issouf Samake, Yongzheng Yang, and Catherine Pattillo). The Q&A covers "Seven Questions on Monetary Transmission in Low-Income Countries" (by Prachi Mishra and Peter Montiel). "Conversations with a Visiting Scholar" features an interview with IMF Fellow Olivier Coibion. Also included in this issue are details on the IMF Fellowship Program, visiting scholars at the IMF, a listing of recently published IMF Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes, and an announcement on IMF Economic Review's first Impact Factor.
Download or read book Financial Structures and Economic Outcomes written by Mr.Tom Gole and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-05-22 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the potential relationships between financial structures and economic outcomes. The empirical results that withstand a battery of methods suggest that some financial intermediation structures are likely to be more closely related to positive economic outcomes than others. For instance, protective financial buffers within institutions have been associated with better economic performance, and a domestic financial system that is dominated by some types of nontraditional bank intermediation or that has a high proportion of foreign banks has in some cases been associated with adverse economic outcomes, especially during the financial crisis. The results also suggest that there may be trade-offs between beneficial effects on growth and stability of some financial structures. For example, the positive association of financial buffers with growth can diminish above a certain, relatively high, threshold—a too-safe system may limit the available funds for credit and hence growth.
Download or read book An Introduction to Socio Finance written by Jørgen Vitting Andersen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-11 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introductory text is devoted to exposing the underlying nature of price formation in financial markets as a predominantly sociological phenomenon that relates individual decision-making to emergent and co-evolving social and financial structures. Two different levels of this sociological influence are considered: First, we examine how price formation results from the social dynamics of interacting individuals, where interaction occurs either through the price or by direct communication. Then the same processes are revisited and examined at the level of larger groups of individuals. In this book, models of both levels of socio-finance are presented, and it is shown, in particular, how complexity theory provides the conceptual and methodological tools needed to understand and describe such phenomena. Accordingly, readers are first given a broad introduction to the standard economic theory of rational financial markets and will come to understand its shortcomings with the help of concrete examples. Complexity theory is then introduced in order to properly account for behavioral decision-making and match the observed market dynamics. This book is conceived as a primer for newcomers to the field, as well as for practitioners seeking new insights into the field of complexity science applied to socio-economic systems in general, and financial markets and price formation in particular.
Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report October 2012 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-30 with total page 443 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The October 2012 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) finds increased risks to the global financial system, with the euro area crisis the principal source of concern, and urges policymakers to act now to restore confidence, reverse capital flight, and reintegrate the euro zone. This GFSR presents a report on whether regulatory reforms are moving the financial system in the right direction, and finds that progress has been limited, partly because many reforms are in the early stages of implementation and partly because crisis intervention methods are still in use in a number of economies, delaying the movement of the financial system onto a safer path. The final chapter examines whether certain aspects of financial structure enhance economic outcomes. Indeed, some structural features are associated with better outcomes. In particular, financial buffers made up of high-quality capital and truly liquid assets tend to be associated with better economic performance.
Download or read book The Rise and Fall of Nations Forces of Change in the Post Crisis World written by Ruchir Sharma and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2016-06-06 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International Bestseller "Quite simply the best guide to the global economy today." —Fareed Zakaria Shaped by his twenty-five years traveling the world, and enlivened by encounters with villagers from Rio to Beijing, tycoons, and presidents, Ruchir Sharma’s The Rise and Fall of Nations rethinks the "dismal science" of economics as a practical art. Narrowing the thousands of factors that can shape a country’s fortunes to ten clear rules, Sharma explains how to spot political, economic, and social changes in real time. He shows how to read political headlines, black markets, the price of onions, and billionaire rankings as signals of booms, busts, and protests. Set in a post-crisis age that has turned the world upside down, replacing fast growth with slow growth and political calm with revolt, Sharma’s pioneering book is an entertaining field guide to understanding change in this era or any era.
Download or read book Credit Cycle and Capital Buffers in Central America Panama and the Dominican Republic written by Valentina Flamini and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-02-22 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit is key to support healthy and sustainable economic growth but excess aggregate credit growth can signal the build-up of imbalances and lead to systemic financial crisis. Hence, monitoring the credit cycle is key to identifying vulnerabilities, particularly in emerging markets, which tend to be more exposed to sudden external shocks and reversal in capital flows. We estimate the credit cycle in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic and find that the creadit gap is a powerful predictor of systemic vulnerability in the region. We simulate the activation of the Basel III countercyclical capital buffers and discuss the macroprudential policy implications of the results, arguing that countercyclical macroprudential policies based on the credit gap could prove useful to enhance the resilience of the region’s financial sector but the activation of macroprudential instruments should also be informed by the development of other macrofinancial variables and by expert judgment.
Download or read book Paving the Way to Sustained Growth and Prosperity in Central America Panama and the Dominican Republic written by Ms.Kimberly Beaton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-09-13 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Accelerating economic growth in Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic (CAPDR) remains an elusive task. While the region performed relatively well in the post-global financial crisis period, over the last five years obstacles to growth have become more evident and new challenges have emerged. In response, the region has strengthened macro-financial frameworks but more progress will be required to pave the way to sustained growth and prosperity. This book considers the structural factors underlying the region’s growth outlook and assesses its macroeconomic and financial challenges to help shape the policy agenda going forward. The book first identifies the structural determinants of growth in the region related to: capital formation; employment; demographic factors, including immigration; productivity; and violence. It then highlights the importance of creating fiscal space through the design and implementation of fiscal rules and mechanisms to increase accountability (better quality of public spending, adequate policies to reduce income inequality and sustainable retirement plans). Finally, it presents recent evidence on the importance of a supportive financial sector for growth (including through financial inclusion and development).
Download or read book Key Aspects of Macroprudential Policy written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-10-06 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The crisis has underscored the costs of systemic instability at both the national and the global levels and highlighted the need for dedicated macroprudential policies to achieve financial stability. Building on recent advances, this paper provides a framework to inform the IMF’s country-specific advice on macroprudential policy. It recognizes that developing macroprudential policy is a work in progress, and addresses key issues to help ensure its effectiveness.
Download or read book Chile written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-07-22 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper on Chile seeks to explain why foreign ownership of locally issued sovereign bonds is so low in Chile and its implications. The low foreign ownership seems to be the result of a combination of macroeconomic, regulatory, and technical factors. The Financial Stability Report discusses the issue, and points to the tax on capital gains, costs for custody of securities and other administrative costs, and the relatively small size of the sovereign bond market as the reasons. Our study also finds that a combination of factors contributed to the low foreign ownership, including a moderate supply of sovereign bonds shadowed by strong local demand, illiquid secondary market, tax and administrative burden, the dominance of inflation-indexed bonds, and inconvenience and potential risks associated with foreign exchange transactions. The small size of the market for nominal bonds, the lack of a liquid secondary market, the previous tax regime and existing administrative burden, and transaction costs in the foreign exchange market seem to be the main reasons.
Download or read book International Finance and Open Economy Macroeconomics written by Giancarlo Gandolfo and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-12 with total page 681 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This rigorous textbook tames technicalities and makes even the most complex models accessible to students. Its unique two-tier structure makes the book attractive for undergraduates, graduates and researchers alike. In fact, the coverage is primarily directed to undergraduate students and is mainly confined to graphic analysis and to some elementary algebra. Further, each chapter has its own mathematical appendix, in which (i) the topics treated in the text are examined at a level suitable for advanced undergraduates, graduates and researchers, and (ii) generalizations and/or topics not treated in the text (including some at the cutting edge of research) are formally examined. The new edition has been thoroughly revised and updated to reflect the latest research on international finance. This book deals with the financial side of international economics and covers all aspects of international finance. There are many books and articles by exponents of alternative points of view. I know of no other book that provides the scope, balance, objectivity and rigor of this book. the late Professor Jerome L. Stein, Brown University This book is a second edition of a volume on international finance first published in 2001. Like Giancarlo’s other books in International Economics, this book is organised as a two-books-in-one by distributing the material between text and appendices. The text provides coverage suitable for an undergraduate course while the mathematical appendices provide coverage of the topics at the frontier of the discipline and suitable for advanced undergraduate or graduate students in an international finance and international macroeconomics course. This edition updates the earlier volume and covers all the classic topics as well as the more recent advances in the theory and modelling of international finance. It includes some discussion of the empirical testing of these theories and where appropriate reference to the extensive empirical literature is also provided. This book is a valuable addition to the bookshelf of any serious International Finance Scholar and provides a treasure chest of material for any quality international finance course. Professor Pasquale M Sgro, Deakin University Giancarlo Gandolfo is one of the profession's most gifted textbook authors on mathematical modeling and international economics. His revised International Finance and Open-Economy Macroeconomics is remarkable for its scope and clarity. The book covers the older and intertemporal approaches, and topics that are usually left out of graduate treatments (the chapter on balance-of-payments accounting is a gem). Gandolfo's two-tier approach of first developing topics with graphs and basic algebra and then providing rigorous mathematics for each topic makes the book ideal for advanced undergraduate and graduate classes. Professor Michael D. Goldberg, University of New Hampshire
Download or read book Mapping Financial Stability written by Peter Sarlin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-05-08 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book approaches macroprudential oversight from the viewpoint of three tasks. The focus concerns a tight integration of means for risk communication into analytical tools for risk identification and risk assessment. Generally, this book explores approaches for representing complex data concerning financial entities on low-dimensional displays. Data and dimension reduction methods, and their combinations, hold promise for representing multivariate data structures in easily understandable formats. Accordingly, this book creates a Self-Organizing Financial Stability Map (SOFSM), and lays out a general framework for mapping the state of financial stability. Beyond external risk communication, the aim of the visual means is to support disciplined and structured judgmental analysis based upon policymakers' experience and domain intelligence.
Download or read book Observability in Finance written by Brindha Priyadarshini Jeyaraman and published by BPB Publications. This book was released on 2024-06-25 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Observe, optimize, and transform in finance KEY FEATURES ● Learn observability basics in finance. ● Monitor financial data with logs and alerts and improve data security. ● Identify the key metrics for financial oversight. ● Use new tech for financial observability. DESCRIPTION This book explains the role of observability in the finance sector, showing how new technologies can help monitor and manage financial systems more effectively. It outlines the use of real-time data monitoring, Machine Learning, and cloud computing to enhance the efficiency of financial operations and ensure they meet regulatory standards. The chapters guide you through the process of setting up systems to track financial activities accurately, analyze market trends, and predict future challenges to keep operations secure and competitive. It offers clear explanations of how these technologies can help finance professionals make better decisions and manage risks proactively. Designed for finance professionals looking to update their technical skills, this book provides practical guidance on adopting modern observability tools and practices. It will help you understand how to apply these technologies to increase transparency and strengthen the resilience of financial operations in a constantly evolving industry. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN ● Implement effective data monitoring strategies in finance. ● Use Machine Learning to enhance financial risk assessment. ● Develop robust compliance frameworks using observability tools. ● Apply real-time analytics for quicker financial decision-making. ● Integrate predictive analytics for forward-looking financial insights. ● Understand and deploy distributed tracing for financial operations. WHO THIS BOOK IS FOR This book is ideal for financial professionals seeking to deepen their understanding of observability. It is also suitable for IT specialists in finance who wish to advance their skills in modern observability tools and practices. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction 2. The Fundamentals of Observability 3. Monitoring and Logging for Financial Data 4. Tracing and Correlation in Finance 5. Metrics and Key Performance Indicators for Finance 6. Real-time Monitoring and Alerting in Finance 7. Observability for Algorithmic Trading and Market Data 8. Compliance and Regulatory Considerations 9. Advanced Techniques: Machine Learning and Predictive Analytics 10. Organizational Culture and Collaboration 11. Case Studies and Best Practices Observability 12. The Future of Observability in Finance 13. The Horizon of Financial Observability
Download or read book Systemic Risk Monitoring SysMo Toolkit A User Guide written by Mr.Nicolas R. Blancher and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-07-17 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There has recently been a proliferation of new quantitative tools as part of various initiatives to improve the monitoring of systemic risk. The "SysMo" project takes stock of the current toolkit used at the IMF for this purpose. It offers detailed and practical guidance on the use of current systemic risk monitoring tools on the basis of six key questions policymakers are likely to ask. It provides "how-to" guidance to select and interpret monitoring tools; a continuously updated inventory of key categories of tools ("Tools Binder"); and suggestions on how to operationalize systemic risk monitoring, including through a systemic risk "Dashboard." In doing so, the project cuts across various country-specific circumstances and makes a preliminary assessment of the adequacy and limitations of the current toolkit.
Download or read book Azure Architecture Explained written by David Rendón and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2023-09-22 with total page 446 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Enhance your career as an Azure architect with cutting-edge tools, expert guidance, and resources from industry leaders Key Features Develop your business case for the cloud with technical guidance from industry experts Address critical business challenges effectively by leveraging proven combinations of Azure services Tackle real-world scenarios by applying practical knowledge of reference architectures Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free PDF eBook Book DescriptionAzure is a sophisticated technology that requires a detailed understanding to reap its full potential and employ its advanced features. This book provides you with a clear path to designing optimal cloud-based solutions in Azure, by delving into the platform's intricacies. You’ll begin by understanding the effective and efficient security management and operation techniques in Azure to implement the appropriate configurations in Microsoft Entra ID. Next, you’ll explore how to modernize your applications for the cloud, examining the different computation and storage options, as well as using Azure data solutions to help migrate and monitor workloads. You’ll also find out how to build your solutions, including containers, networking components, security principles, governance, and advanced observability. With practical examples and step-by-step instructions, you’ll be empowered to work on infrastructure-as-code to effectively deploy and manage resources in your environment. By the end of this book, you’ll be well-equipped to navigate the world of cloud computing confidently.What you will learn Implement and monitor cloud ecosystem including, computing, storage, networking, and security Recommend optimal services for performance and scale Provide, monitor, and adjust capacity for optimal results Craft custom Azure solution architectures Design computation, networking, storage, and security aspects in Azure Implement and maintain Azure resources effectively Who this book is forThis book is an indispensable resource for Azure architects looking to develop cloud-based services along with deploying and managing applications within the Microsoft Azure ecosystem. It caters to professionals responsible for crucial IT operations, encompassing budgeting, business continuity, governance, identity management, networking, security, and automation. If you have prior experience in operating systems, virtualization, infrastructure, storage structures, or networking, and aspire to master the implementation of best practices in the Azure cloud, then this book will become your go-to guide.
Download or read book Systemic Risk Tomography written by Monica Billio and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2016-11-25 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In April 2010 Europe was shocked by the Greek financial turmoil. At that time, the global financial crisis, which started in the summer of 2007 and reached systemic dimensions in September 2008 with the Lehman Brothers’ crash, took a new course. An adverse feedback loop between sovereign and bank risks reflected into bubble-like spreads, as if financial markets had received a wake-up call concerning the disregarded structural vulnerability of economies at risk. These events inspired the SYRTO project to “think and rethink the economic and financial system and to conceive it as an “ensemble of Sovereigns and Banks with other Financial Intermediaries and Corporations. Systemic Risk Tomography: Signals, Measurement and Transmission Channels proposes a novel way to explore the financial system by sectioning each part of it and analyzing all relevant inter-relationships. The financial system is inspected as a biological entity to identify the main risk signals and to provide the correct measures of prevention and intervention. Explores the economic and financial system of Sovereigns, Banks, other Financial Intermediaries, and Corporations Presents the financial system as a biological entity to be explored in order to identify the main risk signals and provide the right measures of prevention and interventions Offers a new, systemic-based approach to construct a hierarchical, internally coherent framework to be used in developing an effective early warning system
