Download or read book Modelling the Tail Risk in Private Equities and Hedge Funds written by Yasuaki Daisai and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monthly return distributions of many private equity and hedge funds indices exhibit a set of distinctive statistical properties; such as skewness, fat-tails, and first-order serial correlation; and if these are ignored then the calculation of risk-return performance measures, asset allocation or loss probabilities of portfolios containing such instruments, will be seriously compromised. The aim of this paper is to provide an insight the time-varying tail of the distribution of private equity and hedge fund indices, while taking into account the statistical challenges posed by such asset classes; namely heterogeneity, risk preferences, non-linearities, and significant serial correlation. The results presented have significant implications for risk management, asset managements and investors' perceptions.

Download or read book Tail Risk of Hedge Funds written by Gregor Aleksander Gawron and published by Cuvillier Verlag. This book was released on 2007 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Hedge Funds written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-09-10 with total page 687 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether already experienced with hedge funds or just thinking about investing in them, readers need a firm understanding of this unique investment vehicle in order to achieve maximum success. Hedge Funds unites over thirty of the top practitioners and academics in the hedge fund industry to provide readers with the latest findings in this field. Their analysis deals with a variety of topics, from new methods of performance evaluation to portfolio allocation and risk/return matters. Although some of the information is technical in nature, an understanding and applicability of the results as well as theoretical developments are stressed. Filled with in-depth insight and expert advice, Hedge Funds helps readers make the most of this flexible investment vehicle.

Download or read book Market Risk Management for Hedge Funds written by Francois Duc and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a cutting edge introduction to market risk management for Hedge Funds, Hedge Funds of Funds, and the numerous new indices and clones launching coming to market on a near daily basis. It will present the fundamentals of quantitative risk measures by analysing the range of Value-at-Risk (VaR) models used today, addressing the robustness of each model, and looking at new risk measures available to more effectively manage risk in a hedge fund portfolio. The book begins by analysing the current state of the hedge fund industry - at the ongoing institutionalisation of the market, and at its latest developments. It then moves on to examine the range of risks, risk controls, and risk management strategies currently employed by practitioners, and focuses on particular risks embedded in the more classic investment strategies such as Long/Short, Convertible Arbitrage, Fixed Income Arbitrage, Short selling and risk arbitrage. Addressed along side these are other risks common to hedge funds, including liquidity risk, leverage risk and counterparty risk. The book then moves on to examine more closely two models which provide the underpinning for market risk management in investment today - Style Value-at-Risk and Implicit Value-at-Risk. As well as full quantitative analysis and backtesting of each methodology, the authors go on to propose a new style model for style and implicit Var, complete with analysis, real life examples and backtesting. The authors then go on to discuss annualisation issues and risk return before moving on to propose a new model based on the authors own Best Choice Implicit VaR approach, incorporating quantitative analysis, market results and backtesting and also its potential for new hedge fund clone products. This book is the only guide to VaR for Hedge Funds and will prove to be an invaluable resource as we embark into an era of increasing volatility and uncertainty.

Download or read book Tail Risks Across Investment Funds written by Jerchern Lin and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managed portfolios are subject to tail risks, which can be either index level (systematic) or fund-specific. Examples of fund-specific extreme events include those due to big bets or fraud. This paper studies the two components in relation to compensation structure in managed portfolios. A simple model generates fund-specific tail risk and its asymmetric dependence on the market, and makes predictions for where such risks should be concentrated. The model predicts that systematic tail risks increase with an increased weight on systematic returns in compensation and idiosyncratic tail risks increase with the degree of convexity in contracts. The model predictions are supported with empirical results. Hedge funds are subject to higher idiosyncratic tail risks and Exchange Traded Funds exhibit higher systematic tail risks. In skewness and kurtosis decompositions, I find that coskewness is an important source for fund skewness, but fund kurtosis is driven by cokurtosis, as well as volatility comovement and residual kurtosis, with the importance of these components varying across fund types. Investors are subject to different sources of skewness and fat tail risks through delegated investments. Volatility based tail risk hedging is not effective for all fund styles and types.

Download or read book Option Implied Tail Risk Timing by Hedge Funds and Performance written by Jung Soon Shin and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on an unexplored dimension of fund managers' timing ability: market-wide tail risk implied by information in options markets. We investigate whether hedge fund managers can strategically time market tail risk implied by options through adjusting their portfolios' market exposure to changes in market tail risk. Using an extensive sample of 6,147 equity-oriented hedge funds over the period 1996 to 2012, we find strong evidence of tail risk timing ability of hedge fund managers. We conduct bootstrap analysis and confirm that our tail risk timing ability is not attributed to pure luck. Furthermore, tail risk timing ability brings significant economic value to investors. Specifically, in out-of-sample tests, top-ranked hedge funds outperform bottom-ranked funds by 5-7% annually after adjusting for common risk factors. Also, we find that managers' tail risk timing skill persists over time, suggesting that hedge fund managers' tail risk timing ability reflects true managerial skill. Our overall results are robust to various hedge fund characteristics, subsample or sub-period analysis, the use of alternative timing abilities, and other hedge funds' managerial skills. Our empirical examination emphasizes the role of market-wide option-implied tail risk in hedge fund managers' skill and their performance.

Download or read book Hedge Funds written by Vikas Agarwal and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hedge Funds summarizes the academic research on hedge funds and commodity trading advisors. The hedge fund industry has grown tremendously over the recent years. According to some industry estimates, hedge funds have increased from $39 million in 1990 to about $972 million in 2004 and the total number of hedge funds has gone up from 610 to 7,436 over the same period. At the same time, hedge fund strategies have changed significantly. In 1990 the macro strategy dominated the industry while in 2004 the equity hedge strategy had the largest share of the market. There has also been a shift in the type of investor in hedge funds. In the early 1990's the typical investor was a high net-worth individual investor, today the typical investor is an institutional investor. Thus, the hedge fund market has not only grown tremendously, but the nature of the market has changed. Despite the enormous growth of this industry, there is limited information available on hedge funds. As a result, there is a need for rigorous research from both the investors' and regulators' point of view. Investors need research to better understand their investment and their risk exposure. This research also helps investors recognize the extent of diversification benefits hedge funds offer in combination with investments in traditional asset classes, such as stocks and bonds. Regulators can use this research to identify situations where regulation may be needed to protect investors' interests and to understand the impact hedge funds trading strategies have on the stability of the financial markets. The first part of Hedge Funds summarizes hedge fund performance, including comparisons of risk-return characteristics of hedge funds with those of mutual funds, factors driving hedge fund returns, and persistence in hedge fund performance. The second part reviews research regarding the unique contractual features and characteristics of hedge funds and their influence on the risk-return tradeoffs. The third part reviews the role of hedge funds in a portfolio including the extent of diversification benefits and limitations of standard mean-variance framework for asset allocation. Finally, the authors summarize the research on the biases in hedge fund databases.

Download or read book Tactical Portfolios written by Bailey McCann and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-03-04 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Take an active management approach with liquid alternatives to increase R.O.I. Take advantage of inefficiencies in the market by investing in alternative assets. Hedge fund and private equity investment diversifies your portfolio and helps shield you from market volatility, allowing your more passive assets to work the long game. In Tactical Portfolios: Strategies and Tactics for Investing in Hedge Funds and Liquid Alternatives, author Bailey McCann guides you through the principles of hedge fund investment and the associated philosophies of risk management strategies. McCann's background in reporting and analyzing government policy and regulatory issues positions her as a valuable source of strategic investment advice. As Senior Editor of Opalesque's Alternative Market Briefing, her take on the market is read by every one of the top 100 hedge fund managers on a daily basis. In Tactical Portfolios: Strategies and Tactics for Investing in Hedge Funds and Liquid Alternatives, McCann goes in-depth on important topics. Strategies for equities, managed futures and fixed income What to expect and common misconceptions Investment mechanics of specific strategies Valuation, red flags, and regulatory changes If your passive approach has failed to produce the desired results, liquid alternative investment may be the answer. While long/short will always be around, external forces can change its impact on your portfolio and it may be time to expand your investment arsenal. Tactical Portfolios: Strategies and Tactics for Investing in Hedge Funds and Liquid Alternatives will help you get the most out of any market.

Download or read book The Tail Risk of Hedge Fund Returns written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I test whether recently proposed, stock market-based tail risk measures explain hedge fund returns. The tail risk measures are TAIL (Kelly and Jiang; 2014), LBVIX (Agarwal, Arisoy, and Naik; 2014), VVIX (Park; 2013), and variations of these measures. The hedge fund data is a variety of hedge fund indices and different samples of individual hedge funds drawn from the Lipper/TASS database. Using EUR-denominated stocks and hedge funds instead of USD-denominated stocks and hedge funds, I test the results of Kelly and Jiang (2012) by applying their methodology to the Eurozone. The results are qualitatively identical, lending support to the claim that TAIL is a risk factor for hedge funds. On the other hand, I find evidence against the claim that TAIL suitably represents tail risk. Incorporating a weighting factor for the stocks' market capitalizations in the calculation of TAIL leads to a more plausible but very different evolution of TAIL and reverses the effect of TAIL in the cross-section of hedge fund returns. Ultimately, no evidence remains for the claim that exposure to tail risk is compensated with higher overall returns. In the second part of this paper, I replicate the results of Agarwal, Arisoy, and Naik (2014) and perform additional robustness tests that confirm the relevance of the second-order volatility measure LBVIX for hedge fund returns. These results extend to the VVIX as an alternative, non-investable measure of second-order volatility. Hedge funds that are more negatively exposed to second-order volatility achieve higher average excess and alpha returns. Following Park (2013), I decompose VVIX into the integrated volatility of volatility (IVV) and the jump variation (VJUMP). This decomposition allows a further and novel analysis of the relationship between second-order volatility and hedge fund returns. I find that it is not the exposure to volatility jumps but to diffusive movements in volatility that is negative.

Download or read book Tail Risk Exposures of Hedge Funds written by Caio Almeida and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines tail risk in the Brazilian hedge fund industry. We rely on a unique data set of daily returns for every hedge fund in Brazil, dead or alive. By employing the universe of hedge funds, we ensure the absence of selection, survivorship, and instant history biases. We estimate tail risk measures based on the cross-section of both equity and hedge-fund returns. We consider three tail risk measures. The first extracts a tail risk measure assuming that the tail of the cross-section distribution has a power law representation, whereas the second and third rely on the expected shortfall of the cross-section distribution under the physical and risk-neutral measures, respectively. We find that the tail risk estimates are very different not only across asset classes (equity vs hedge fund), but also across probability measures (physical vs risk neutral). More interestingly, we also show that, although the hedge fund industry in Brazil seems to exhibit more exposure to equity tail risk, hedge fund tail risk entails higher predictive ability to performance both over time and cross-sectionally.

Download or read book TAIL RISK HEDGING Creating Robust Portfolios for Volatile Markets written by Vineer Bhansali and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2013-12-27 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "TAIL RISKS" originate from the failure of mean reversion and the idealized bell curve of asset returns, which assumes that highly probable outcomes occur near the center of the curve and that unlikely occurrences, good and bad, happen rarely, if at all, at either "tail" of the curve. Ever since the global financial crisis, protecting investments against these severe tail events has become a priority for investors and money managers, but it is something Vineer Bhansali and his team at PIMCO have been doing for over a decade. In one of the first comprehensive and rigorous books ever written on tail risk hedging, he lays out a systematic approach to protecting portfolios from, and potentially benefiting from, rare yet severe market outcomes. Tail Risk Hedging is built on the author's practical experience applying macroeconomic forecasting and quantitative modeling techniques across asset markets. Using empirical data and charts, he explains the consequences of diversification failure in tail events and how to manage portfolios when this happens. He provides an easy-to-use, yet rigorous framework for protecting investment portfolios against tail risk and using tail hedging to play offense. Tail Risk Hedging explores how to: Generate profits from volatility and illiquidity during tail-risk events in equity and credit markets Buy attractively priced tail hedges that add value to a portfolio and quantify basis risk Interpret the psychology of investors in option pricing and portfolio construction Customize explicit hedges for retirement investments Hedge risk factors such as duration risk and inflation risk Managing tail risk is today's most significant development in risk management, and this thorough guide helps you access every aspect of it. With the time-tested and mathematically rigorous strategies described here, including pieces of computer code, you get access to insights to help mitigate portfolio losses in significant downturns, create explosive liquidity while unhedged participants are forced to sell, and create more aggressive yet tail-risk-focused portfolios. The book also gives you a unique, higher level view of how tail risk is related to investing in alternatives, and of derivatives such as zerocost collars and variance swaps. Volatility and tail risks are here to stay, and so should your clients' wealth when you use Tail Risk Hedging for managing portfolios. PRAISE FOR TAIL RISK HEDGING: "Managing, mitigating, and even exploiting the risk of bad times are the most important concerns in investments. Bhansali puts tail risk hedging and tail risk management under a microscope--pricing, implementation, and showing how we can fine-tune our risk exposures, which are all crucial ways in how we can better weather our bad times." -- ANDREW ANG, Ann F. Kaplan Professor of Business at Columbia University "This book is critical and accessible reading for fiduciaries, financial consultants and investors interested in both theoretical foundations and practical considerations for how to frame hedging downside risk in portfolios. It is a tremendous resource for anyone involved in asset allocation today." -- CHRISTOPHER C. GECZY, Ph.D., Academic Director, Wharton Wealth Management Initiative and Adj. Associate Professor of Finance, The Wharton School "Bhansali's book demonstrates how tail risk hedging can work, be concretely implemented, and lead to higher returns so that it is possible to have your cake and eat it too! A must read for the savvy investor." -- DIDIER SORNETTE, Professor on the Chair of Entrepreneurial Risks, ETH Zurich

Download or read book Fat Tail Risk in Portfolios of Hedge Funds and Traditional Investments written by Jean-Francois Bacmann and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyse the risk of portfolios mixing hedge funds, stocks and bonds. The risk of the portfolios is quantified by the Value-at-Risk and the Expected Shortfall derived from the Extreme Value Theory. This approach enables us to take the impact of higher moments into account. We show that the risk of a traditional portfolio is reduced by the inclusion of hedge funds. An optimal weight of 50% hedge funds is found when the traditional portfolio is mostly composed of bonds. In equity dominated portfolios, investors should incorporate as much hedge funds as possible. Furthermore we examine the extremal dependence between funds of hedge funds and stocks or bonds using multivariate Extreme Value Theory. We do not find any significant extremal dependence between hedge funds and bonds. The evidence is more mixed between stocks and funds of hedge funds. Funds of hedge funds without a significant investment in Managed Futures exhibit significant dependence in the extreme with the stock market. The August 1998 event linked to the Russian crisis and the LTCM failure is the cause of this dependence.

Download or read book Tail Risk Hedging written by Andrew Rozanov and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Tail Risk in Hedge Funds written by Vikas Agarwal and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book A New Approach to Tail Risk written by Ana Cascon and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the fundamental requirements of investment management is the ability to assess risk and to adjust exposure to control tail risk, the risk of larger than acceptable losses. Since the onset of the recent credit crisis, the effects of widespread failure of standard techniques for tail risk management have been an almost daily feature in the financial news.The most widely used approach to risk assessment by large financial institutions is the statistical tool known as Value at Risk (VaR). In fact, VaR is the risk measure commonly accepted by bank regulators in the banks' internal models for regulatory capital calculations (International Money Fund 2007). Conventional VaR and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) are useful, however, only if their implementation is consistent with the nature of the data. Conventional VaR and CVaR assume that data come from a normal distribution. We examine some of the failings of using this approach with tail risk in a number of examples from 2007 and 2008.To make VaR and CVaR work, it is important to correctly identify the nature of the tails that these techniques try to estimate. For this we introduce tail risk bands, a practical risk measurement tool that categorizes risk levels and identifies assets and market conditions for which conventional VaR cannot be expected to adequately represent downside risk.We illustrate our approach on daily data from equity markets and monthly data from hedge funds. In particular we show that this analysis provided warning of the riskiness of AIG, JPMorgan Chase, Lehman Brothers, the S&P 500 Index, and other equity indexes well in advance of the credit crisis. For the cases where tail risk bands indicate that the conventional VaR model cannot work, we provide a simple, easy-to-implement alternative. This is appropriate in the case of moderately heavy tails, which are common in financial data. This alternative is easily substituted for the standard approach and, as we show in a number of examples, provides a more realistic estimate of risk. We show that this can be used to make risk-adjusted comparisons of assets, using Berkshire Hathaway and JPMorgan Chase shares and the S&P 500 Index as examples. Finally, we provide evidence that during periods of unusual market turmoil only specialized techniques designed to deal with the statistics of extremes are likely to adequately assess the probability or the size of large losses.

Download or read book International Investments in Private Equity written by Peter Klaus Cornelius and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2011-02-17 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How can private equity investors exploit investment opportunities in foreign markets? Peter Cornelius uses a proprietary database to investigate and describe private equity markets worldwide, revealing their levels of integration, their risks, and the ways that investors can mitigate those risks. In three major sections that concentrate on the risk and return profile of private equity, the growth dynamics of discrete markets and geographies, and opportunities for private equity investments, he offers hard-to-find analyses that fill knowledge gaps about foreign markets. Observing that despite the progressive dismantling of barriers investors are still home-biased, he demonstrates that a methodical approach to understanding foreign private equity markets can take advantage of the macroeconomic and structural factors that drive supply and demand dynamics in individual markets. - Foreword by Josh Lerner - Teaches readers how to investigate and analyze foreign private equity markets - Forecasts private equity investment opportunities via macroeconomic and structural factors in individual markets - Draws on data from a proprietary database covering 250 buyout and VC funds and 7,000 portfolio companies

Download or read book Investment Theory and Risk Management Website written by Steven Peterson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-05-08 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unique perspective on applied investment theory and risk management from the Senior Risk Officer of a major pension fund Investment Theory and Risk Management is a practical guide to today's investment environment. The book's sophisticated quantitative methods are examined by an author who uses these methods at the Virginia Retirement System and teaches them at the Virginia Commonwealth University. In addition to showing how investment performance can be evaluated, using Jensen's Alpha, Sharpe's Ratio, and DDM, he delves into four types of optimal portfolios (one that is fully invested, one with targeted returns, another with no short sales, and one with capped investment allocations). In addition, the book provides valuable insights on risk, and topics such as anomalies, factor models, and active portfolio management. Other chapters focus on private equity, structured credit, optimal rebalancing, data problems, and Monte Carlo simulation. Contains investment theory and risk management spreadsheet models based on the author's own real-world experience with stock, bonds, and alternative assets Offers a down-to-earth guide that can be used on a daily basis for making common financial decisions with a new level of quantitative sophistication and rigor Written by the Director of Research and Senior Risk Officer for the Virginia Retirement System and an Associate Professor at Virginia Commonwealth University's School of Business Investment Theory and Risk Management empowers both the technical and non-technical reader with the essential knowledge necessary to understand and manage risks in any corporate or economic environment.