Download or read book Modeling Uncertainty in Large Natural Resource Allocation Problems written by Yongyang Cai and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Modeling in Natural Resource Management written by Tanya M. Shenk and published by Shearwater Books. This book was released on 2001 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work covers topics in natural resource modelling to explain how they can be, have been, and should be used in making decisions about the management of natural resources. It aims to give managers and students the tools they need to assess and apply models effectively.
Download or read book Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences written by Jef Caers and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-05-25 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences highlights the various issues, techniques and practical modeling tools available for modeling the uncertainty of complex Earth systems and the impact that it has on practical situations. The aim of the book is to provide an introductory overview which covers a broad range of tried-and-tested tools. Descriptions of concepts, philosophies, challenges, methodologies and workflows give the reader an understanding of the best way to make decisions under uncertainty for Earth Science problems. The book covers key issues such as: Spatial and time aspect; large complexity and dimensionality; computation power; costs of 'engineering' the Earth; uncertainty in the modeling and decision process. Focusing on reliable and practical methods this book provides an invaluable primer for the complex area of decision making with uncertainty in the Earth Sciences.
Download or read book The Science and Management of Uncertainty written by Bruce G. Marcot and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-11-26 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty can take many forms, can be represented in many ways, and can have important implications in decision-making and policy development. This book provides a rigorous scientific framework for dealing with uncertainty in real-world situations, and provides a comprehensive study of concepts, measurements, and applications of uncertainty in ecological modeling and natural resource management. The focus of this book is on the kinds and implications of uncertainty in environmental modeling and management, with practical guidelines and examples for successful modeling and risk analysis in the face of uncertain conditions and incomplete information. Provided is a clear classification of uncertainty; methods for measuring, modeling, and communicating uncertainty; practical guidelines for capturing and representing expert knowledge and judgment; explanations of the role of uncertainty in decision-making; a guideline to avoiding logical fallacies when dealing with uncertainty; and several example cases of real-world ecological modeling and risk analysis to illustrate the concepts and approaches. Case topics provide examples of structured decision-making, statistical modeling, and related topics. A summary provides practical next steps that the reader can take in analyzing and interpreting uncertainty in real-world situations. Also provided is a glossary and a suite of references.
Download or read book Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling and Consequences for Policy Making written by Philippe Baveye and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-14 with total page 405 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical modelling has become in recent years an essential tool for the prediction of environmental change and for the development of sustainable policies. Yet, many of the uncertainties associated with modelling efforts appear poorly understood by many, especially by policy makers. This book attempts for the first time to cover the full range of issues related to model uncertainties, from the subjectivity of setting up a conceptual model of a given system, all the way to communicating the nature of model uncertainties to non-scientists and accounting for model uncertainties in policy decisions. Theoretical chapters, providing background information on specific steps in the modelling process and in the adoption of models by end-users, are complemented by illustrative case studies dealing with soils and global climate change. All the chapters are authored by recognized experts in their respective disciplines, and provide a timely and uniquely comprehensive coverage of an important field.
Download or read book Resource Allocation for Uncertainty Quantification and Reduction written by Joshua Mullins and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Modeling and Management of Resources Under Uncertainty written by Thomas L. Vincent and published by Springer. This book was released on 1987 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Global Change and the Challenges of Sustainably Feeding a Growing Planet written by Thomas W. Hertel and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-10-31 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the fundamental determinants of long term changes in agricultural land use and the associated implications for environmental and food security. The book is designed around the idea that each chapter focuses on one driver, or underlying determinant, of land use change at global scale. It starts with key factors which have been influential in the past, such as growth population, incomes and agricultural productivity, thereafter turning to new drivers such as biofuels, climate change and demand for environmental services. Specialized topics include food security outcomes, projections of future agricultural prices, greenhouse gas emissions, the role of globalization and market integration. The book draws heavily on the emerging body of literature on these topics, summarizes key findings and organizes these within a unifying economic framework.
Download or read book Decision and Control in Uncertain Resource Systems written by Mangel and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 1984-12-14 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision and Control in Uncertain Resource Systems
Download or read book Proceedings of a Symposium on Oak Woodlands written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 756 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Quantifying Spatial Uncertainty in Natural Resources written by H. Todd Mowrer and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2000-03-01 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book will be useful both to those new to spatial uncertainty assessment and to experienced practitioners.
Download or read book Engineering Risk in Natural Resources Management written by L. Duckstein and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 455 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this paper is to present a methodology for estimating space-time stochastic properties of local climatic factors reflecting global climate change. Specifically, daily precipitation amount and daily mean temperature are considered and illustrated with application to the state of Nebraska, U. S. A. Furthermore, a drought index with and without global climate change is examined. The magnitude and consequences of regional response to anticipated climatic changes are uncertain (Houghton et al. , 1990). Typical questions to be answered are: can time series of hydrological events or 10cal climatic variables such as daily temperature be conditioned in scenarios of future climate change and if so, how can this be utilized ? Can extreme historical drought events be reproduced by a stochastic hydroc1imatological model ? Can such a model be used with General Circu1ation Model (GCM) outputs to evaluate the regional/local effects of climate change scenarios? The approach presented in this paper is an extension of the usual analysis of regional hydrometeorological impacts of climate change: we propose to examine time series of GCM produced daily atmospheric circulation patterns (CP), thought to be relatively accurate GCM output to estimate local climatic factors. The paper is organized as follows. First, daily CPs are classified and analyzed statistically, first for historical and then for GCM produced data. Next, the height of the 500 hPa pressure field is introduced as an additional physically relevant variable influencing local climatic factors within each CP type.
Download or read book Reclaiming the Land written by Gregg Macey and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-06-22 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nearly thirty years after creation of the most advanced and expensive hazardous waste cleanup infrastructure in the world, this book provides a much-needed lens through which the Superfund program should be assessed and reshaped. Focusing on the lessons of adaptive management, it explores new concepts and tools for the cleanup and reuse of contaminated sites, and for dealing with the uncertainty inherent in long-term site stewardship.
Download or read book Uncertainty in Hydrological Change Modelling written by Lauren Paige Seaby and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Practical Spreadsheet Modeling Using Risk written by Dale Lehman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-11-11 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Practical Spreadsheet Modeling Using @Risk provides a guide of how to construct applied decision analysis models in spreadsheets. The focus is on the use of Monte Carlo simulation to provide quantitative assessment of uncertainties and key risk drivers. The book presents numerous examples based on real data and relevant practical decisions in a variety of settings, including health care, transportation, finance, natural resources, technology, manufacturing, retail, and sports and entertainment. All examples involve decision problems where uncertainties make simulation modeling useful to obtain decision insights and explore alternative choices. Good spreadsheet modeling practices are highlighted. The book is suitable for graduate students or advanced undergraduates in business, public policy, health care administration, or any field amenable to simulation modeling of decision problems. The book is also useful for applied practitioners seeking to build or enhance their spreadsheet modeling skills. Features Step-by-step examples of spreadsheet modeling and risk analysis in a variety of fields Description of probabilistic methods, their theoretical foundations, and their practical application in a spreadsheet environment Extensive example models and exercises based on real data and relevant decision problems Comprehensive use of the @Risk software for simulation analysis, including a free one-year educational software license
Download or read book General Technical Report PSW written by and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 756 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Using Ecological Models to Support and Shape Environmental Policy Decisions written by Chiara Piroddi and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2022-02-10 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
