Download or read book Modeling Residential Mortgage Performance with Random Utility Models written by Carolina Márquez Guerrero and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Regional Econometric Forecasting Models of Housing and Mortgage Markets written by Seth Kwame Gakpo and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Mortgage Transition Model Based on Loan Performance Data written by Shuyao Yang and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The unexpected increase in loan default on the mortgage market is widely considered to be one of the main cause behind the economic crisis. To provide some insight on loan delinquency and default, I analyze the mortgage performance data from Fannie Mae website and investigate how economic factors and individual loan and borrower information affect the events of default and prepaid. Various delinquency status including default and prepaid are treated as discrete states of a Markov chain. One-step transition probabilities are estimated via multinomial logistic models. We find that in general current loan-to-value ratio, credit score, unemployment rate, and interest rate significantly affect the transition probabilities to different delinquency states, which lead to further default or prepaid events.

Download or read book Econometric and Time Series Models of the Housing Sector and Mortgage Market written by Soo-Bin Park and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report is organized into two parts. In part I of the report a description of the basic structure of an econometric model of the Canadian housing sector and mortgage market is presented. The model is a result of the effort of the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation to enhance its forecasting ability in the area of the housing sector and mortgage market in the Canadian economy. Structural equations of the model have been estimated using available quarterly data in the period from 1963:1 to 1990:4. Time series data on many housing and mortgage market variables are not available for the entire 30 year period. Thus the sample period used in the model estimation varies from one equation to another, depending on the availability of data for the variables included in the equation. Part II presents a series of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models of Canadian housing sector and mortgage market variables. It includes a brief summary of ARIMA modeling techniques. Appendix A at the end of the report contains a list of variables and their data sources and Appendix C, a selected bibliography of ARIMA modeling.

Download or read book Credit Risk Modeling of Residential Mortgage Lending in Russia written by Agatha Poroshina and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the problems of credit risk modeling of residential mortgage lending in Russia. Using unique mortgage loan and macro data from a regional branch of the Agency of Home Mortgage Lending (2008-2012), we find that borrower and mortgage loan characteristics affect the loan performance and play an important role in predicting default as well as a macroeconomic situation. On the residential mortgage market, borrowers with undeclared income have the lowest probability of default, mainly explained by the difference in declared and real income. Obtained results are robust under parametric and semiparametric specifications with correction for selectivity bias.

Download or read book Two Sided Matching written by Alvin E. Roth and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1992-06-26 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Two-sided matching provides a model of search processes such as those between firms and workers in labor markets or between buyers and sellers in auctions. This book gives a comprehensive account of recent results concerning the game-theoretic analysis of two-sided matching. The focus of the book is on the stability of outcomes, on the incentives that different rules of organization give to agents, and on the constraints that these incentives impose on the ways such markets can be organized. The results for this wide range of related models and matching situations help clarify which conclusions depend on particular modeling assumptions and market conditions, and which are robust over a wide range of conditions. 'This book chronicles one of the outstanding success stories of the theory of games, a story in which the authors have played a major role: the theory and practice of matching markets ... The authors are to be warmly congratulated for this fine piece of work, which is quite unique in the game-theoretic literature.' From the Foreword by Robert Aumann

Download or read book An Intensity Based Non Parametric Default Model for Residential Mortgage Portfolios written by Jürg Burkhard and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In June 2003 Swiss banks held over CHF 500 billion in mortgages. This important segment accounts for about 63% of all loan portfolios of Swiss banks. Since default insurance is not common in Switzerland, the corresponding risks are a severe threat for the health of the financial system. We focus the analysis on portfolios of residential mortgages and model the probability distribution of the number of defaults using a non-parametric approach, where the intensity processes associated to the time-to-default is linked to a set of predictors through general smooth functions: A generalized additive model is used to condition default intensities of mortgages on relevant economic risk drivers. We calibrate our model on a large mortgage servicing data set and compare the resulting loss distributions to a well-known benchmark, i.e. the loss distribution from CreditRisk+ as commonly applied in the industry. The conditional loss distribution and risk measures for a large mortgage portfolio are shown to be greatly sensitive to the prevailing socio-economic scenario. We present evidence that aggregated res- idential mortgage default risk is not only driven by the rating but also by variables such as the loan-to-value ratio, contract age, regional unemployment as well as contract rate changes and the contract type. Hence, it is crucial to integrate the significant factors into any reasonable bank risk, portfolio or capital management framework or approaches for structuring and pricing of related products. We illustrate the severe shortcomings of the unconditional ap- proaches. With our results we are able to contribute significantly to the ongoing international discussion about the drivers of residential mortgage risk as well as to suggestions for improved risk management approaches. Finally, our findings are highly relevant for the implementation of the Basel II accord. Keywords: reduced-form, structural approach, default risk, default intensity, mortgages, generalized additive model, CreditRisk+

Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Mortgage Default and Mortgage Valuation written by John Krainer and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010-10 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors develop an equilibrium valuation model that incorporates optimal default to show how mortgage yields and lender recovery rates on defaulted mortgages depend on initial loan-to-value (LTV) ratios. The analysis treats both the frictionless case and the case in which borrowers and lenders incur deadweight costs upon default. The model is calibrated using data on California mortgages. Given reasonable parameter values, the model does a surprisingly good job fitting the risk premium in the data for high LTV mortgages. Thus, from an ex ante perspective, the authors do not find strong evidence of systematic underpricing of default risk in the run-up to the housing market crisis. Charts and tables.

Download or read book Economics of the Mortgage Market written by David Leece and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The analysis of the mortgage market is a specialised field but examines a financial market with extremely wide-ranging implications; it affects the stability of the whole economy. The key thing about this analysis is the increasing importance of the secondary mortgage market – which in the US is now several times larger than the market for government debt. The UK secondary mortgage market is also growing and the book will provide a timely resource to those active and interested in this important financial market. The 1990s saw an enormous growth of mortgage market analysis as an academic subject and there is a vast literature scattered among the key real estate journals. There is now a great need to not only bring this very complex subject area together, but also to abstract the main issues and to render them intelligible. The book will provide an organised research resource and also inform and motivate further research into the microeconomics of mortgage markets.

Download or read book The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report written by Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2011-05-01 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, published by the U.S. Government and the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in early 2011, is the official government report on the United States financial collapse and the review of major financial institutions that bankrupted and failed, or would have without help from the government. The commission and the report were implemented after Congress passed an act in 2009 to review and prevent fraudulent activity. The report details, among other things, the periods before, during, and after the crisis, what led up to it, and analyses of subprime mortgage lending, credit expansion and banking policies, the collapse of companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the federal bailouts of Lehman and AIG. It also discusses the aftermath of the fallout and our current state. This report should be of interest to anyone concerned about the financial situation in the U.S. and around the world.THE FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION is an independent, bi-partisan, government-appointed panel of 10 people that was created to "examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States." It was established as part of the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009. The commission consisted of private citizens with expertise in economics and finance, banking, housing, market regulation, and consumer protection. They examined and reported on "the collapse of major financial institutions that failed or would have failed if not for exceptional assistance from the government."News Dissector DANNY SCHECHTER is a journalist, blogger and filmmaker. He has been reporting on economic crises since the 1980's when he was with ABC News. His film In Debt We Trust warned of the economic meltdown in 2006. He has since written three books on the subject including Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity (Cosimo Books, 2008), and The Crime Of Our Time: Why Wall Street Is Not Too Big to Jail (Disinfo Books, 2011), a companion to his latest film Plunder The Crime Of Our Time. He can be reached online at www.newsdissector.com.

Download or read book Journal of Housing Research written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Complex Mortgages CM written by Gene Amromin and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CM became a popular borrowing instrument during the bullish housing market of the early 2000s but vanished rapidly during the subsequent downturn. These non-traditional loans (interest only, negative amortization, and teaser mortgages) enable households to postpone loan repayment compared to traditional mortgages and hence relax borrowing constraints. But, they increase household leverage and heighten dependence on mortgage refinancing. CM were chosen by prime borrowers with high income levels seeking to purchase expensive houses relative to their incomes. Borrowers with CM experience substantially higher ex post default rates than borrowers with traditional mortgages with similar characteristics. Illus. This is a print on demand report.

Download or read book Regression Modeling with Actuarial and Financial Applications written by Edward W. Frees and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010 with total page 585 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book teaches multiple regression and time series and how to use these to analyze real data in risk management and finance.

Download or read book Monthly Catalogue United States Public Documents written by and published by . This book was released on 1995-03 with total page 1048 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Modern Analysis of Customer Surveys written by Ron S. Kenett and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-01-30 with total page 533 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Customer survey studies deals with customers, consumers and user satisfaction from a product or service. In practice, many of the customer surveys conducted by business and industry are analyzed in a very simple way, without using models or statistical methods. Typical reports include descriptive statistics and basic graphical displays. As demonstrated in this book, integrating such basic analysis with more advanced tools, provides insights on non-obvious patterns and important relationships between the survey variables. This knowledge can significantly affect the conclusions derived from a survey. Key features: Provides an integrated, case-studies based approach to analysing customer survey data. Presents a general introduction to customer surveys, within an organization’s business cycle. Contains classical techniques with modern and non standard tools. Focuses on probabilistic techniques from the area of statistics/data analysis and covers all major recent developments. Accompanied by a supporting website containing datasets and R scripts. Customer survey specialists, quality managers and market researchers will benefit from this book as well as specialists in marketing, data mining and business intelligence fields.

Download or read book Monthly Catalog of United States Government Publications written by and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 656 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: